Earlier Migration Timing, Decreasing Phenotypic Variation, and Biocomplexity in Multiple Salmonid Species

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 1, 2013, Pages

  Kovach, Ryan P ^a   Joyce, John E ^b   Echave, Jesse D ^b   Lindberg, Mark S ^a   Tallmon, David A ^a,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

^b NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA SOUTHEAST   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FRESH WATER;

ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONTROLLED STUDY; CORRELATION ANALYSIS; ECOLOGY; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; LIFE HISTORY; MIGRATION; NONHUMAN; PHENOLOGY; PHENOTYPIC VARIATION; SALMONID; SPECIES DIFFERENCE; TIME; UNITED STATES; WATER TEMPERATURE;

ANIMAL MIGRATION; ANIMALS; CLIMATE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SALMONIDAE; SEASONS; TIME FACTORS;

SALMONIDAE;

EID: 84872259338     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0053807     Document Type: Article

References (76)

1. Gende SM, Edwards RT, Willson MF, Wipfli MS, (2002) Pacific salmon in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. BioScience 52: 917-928.
2. Schindler DE, Scheuerell MD, Moore JW, Gende SM, Francis TB, Palen WJ, (2003) Pacific salmon and the ecology of coastal ecosystems. Front Ecol Environ 1: 31-37.
3. Hilborn R, Quinn TP, Schindler DE, Rogers DE, (2003) Biocomplexity and fisheries sustainability. Proc Natl Acad Sci 100: 6564-6568.
4. Taylor EB, (1991) A review of local adaptation in Salmonidae, with particular reference to Pacific and Atlantic salmon. Aquaculture 98: 185-207.
5. Dickerson BR, Brinck KW, Willson MF, Quinn TP, (2005) Relative importance of salmon body size and arrival time at breeding grounds to reproductive success. Ecology 86: 347-352.
6. Crozier LG, Hendry AP, Lawson PW, Quinn TP, Mantua NJ, et al. (2008) Potential responses to climate change in organisms with complex life histories: evolution and plasticity in Pacific salmon. Evol Appl 1: 252-270.
7. Scheuerell MD, Zabel RW, Sanford BP, (2009) Relating juvenile migration timing and survival to adulthood in two species of threatened Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.). J Appl Ecol 46: 983-990.
8. Kennedy RJ, Crozier WW, (2010) Evidence of changing migratory patterns of wild Atlantic salmon Salmo salar smolts in the River Bush, Northern Ireland, and possible associations with climate change. J Fish Biol 76: 1786-1805.
9. Quinn TP (2005) The Behavior and Ecology of Pacific Salmon and Trout. Seattle: University of Washington Press. 320 p.
10. Moore JW, Schindler DE, (2010) Spawning salmon and the phenology of emergence in stream insects. Proc R Soc B 277: 1695-1703.
11. Lisi PJ, Schindler DE, (2011) Spatial variation in timing of marine subsidies influences riparian phenology through a plant pollinator mutualism. Ecosphere 2: 1-14.
12. Hocking MD, Reynolds JD, (2011) Impacts of salmon on riparian plant diversity. Science 331: 1609-1612.
13. Quinn TP, Hodson S, Flynn L, Hilborn R, Rogers DE, (2007) Directional selection by fisheries and the timing of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) migrations. Ecol Appl 17: 731-739.
14. Quinn TP, Peterson JA, Gallucci VF, Hershberger WK, Brannon EL, (2002) Artificial selection and environmental change: countervailing factors affecting the spawning of coho and Chinook salmon. Trans Amer Fish Soc 131: 591-598.
15. Quinn TP, Adams DJ, (1996) Environmental changes affecting the migratory timing of American shad and sockeye salmon. Ecology 77: 1151-1162.
16. Robards MD, Quinn TP, (2002) The migratory timing of adult summer-run steelhead trout in the Columbia River: Six decades of environmental change. Trans Am Fish Soc 131: 523-536.
17. Cooke SJ, Hinch SG, Farrell AP, Lapointe M, Jones SRM, et al. (2004) Abnormal migration timing and high en route mortality of sockeye salmon in the Fraser River, British Columbia. Fisheries 29: 22-33.
18. Juanes F, Gephard S, Beland KF, (2004) Long-term changes in migration timing of adult Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) at the southern edge of the species distribution. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 61: 2392-2400.
19. Taylor SG, (2008) Climate warming causes phenological shift in Pink Salmon, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, behavior at Auke Creek, Alaska. Glob Change Biol 14: 229-235.
20. Todd BD, Scott DE, Pechman JHK, Whitfield Gibbons J, (2011) Climate change correlates with rapid delays and advancements in reproductive timing in an amphibian community. Proc R Soc B 278: 2191-2197.
21. Diez JM, Ibanez I, Miller-Rushing AJ, Mazer SJ, Crimmins TM, et al. (2012) Forecasting phenology: from species variability to community patterns. Ecol Lett 15: 545-553.
22. Palkovacs EP, Kinnison MT, Correa C, Dalton CM, Hendry AP, (2012) Fates beyond traits: ecological consequences of human induced trait change. Evol Appl 5: 183-191.
23. Carlson SM, Quinn TP, Hendry AP, (2011) Eco-evolutionary dynamics in Pacific salmon. Heredity 106: 438-447.
24. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, et al. (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395.
25. Parmesan C, Yohe G, (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
26. Parmesan C, (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Ann Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37: 637-639.
27. Olsen EM, Carlson SM, Gjøsæter J, Stenseth NC (2009) Nine decades of decreasing phenotypic variability. Ecol Lett 12: 622-631.
28. Brodie ED, Moore AJ, Janzen FJ, (1995) Visualizing and quantifying natural selection. Trends Ecol Evol 10: 313-318.
29. Ghalambor CK, McKay JK, Carroll SP, Reznick DN, (2007) Adaptive versus non-adaptive phenotypic plasticity and the potential for contemporary adaptation in new environments. Func Ecol 21: 394-407.
30. Allendorf FW, Luikart G (2007) Conservation and the Genetics of Populations. Malden: Blackwell Publishing. 664 p.
31. Carlson SM, Seamons TR, (2008) A review of quantitative genetic components in salmonids: implications for adaption to future change. Evol Appl 1: 222-238.
32. Humbert J, Mills LS, Horne JS, Dennis B, (2009) A better way to estimate population trends. Oikos 118: 1940-1946.
33. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2002) Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information theoretic approach. New York: Springer. 488 p.
34. Malick MJ, Adkison MD, Wertheimer AC, (2009) Variable effects of biological and environmental processes on coho salmon survival in southeast Alaska. Trans Am Fish Soc 138: 846-860.
35. Crozier LG, Scheuerell MD, Zabel RW, (2011) Using time series to characterize evolutionary and plastic responses to environmental change: a case study of a shift toward earlier migration date in sockeye salmon. Am Nat 78: 755-773.
36. Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann C, Carl G, et al. (2012) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07348.x.
37. Anderson DR, Burnham KP, (2002) Avoiding pitfalls when using information-theoretic methods. J Wild Manage 66: 910-916.
38. Warren DR, Robinson JM, Josephson DC, Sheldon DR, Kraft CE, (2012) Elevated summer temperatures delay spawning and reduce redd construction for resident brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis). Glob Change Biol 18: 1804-1811.
39. Fukushima M, Smoker WW, (1998) Spawning habitat segregation of sympatric sockeye and pink salmon. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 127: 253-260.
40. Mundy PR, Evenson DF, (2011) Environmental controls of phenology of high-latitude Chinook salmon populations of the Yukon River, North America, with application to fishery management. ICES J Mar Sci 68: 1155-1164.
41. Thomson RE, Hourston RAS, (2011) A matter of timing: the role of ocean conditions in the initiation of spawning migration by late-run Fraser River sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka). Fish Ocean 20: 47-65.
42. Bryant MD, (2009) Global climate change and potential effects on Pacific salmonids in freshwater ecosystems of southeast Alaska. Climatic Change 95: 169-193.
43. Shaul L, Crabtree K, Jones E. McCurdy S, Elliot B (2011) Coho salmon stock status and escapement goals in Southeast Alaska. Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Special Publication No. 11-23, Anchorage, AK.
44. Beacham TD, Murray CB, (1990) Temperature, egg size, and development of embryos and alevins of five species of Pacific salmon: a comparative analysis. Trans Am Fish Soc 119: 927-945.
45. Roper BB, Scarnecchia DL, (1999) Emigration of age-0 chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) smolts from the upper South Umpqua River basin, Oregon. U.S.A. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 56: 939-946.
46. Martins EG, Hinch SG, Cooke SJ, Patterson DA (2012) Climate effects on growth, phenology, and survival of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka): a synthesis of the current state of knowledge and future research directions. Rev Fish Biol Fisheries DOI 10.1007/s11160-012-9271-9.
47. Jones JD, Seifert CL (1997) Distribution of mature sea-run cutthroat trout overwintering in Auke Lake and Lake Eva in Southeastern Alaska. In 'Sea-run cutthroat trout: biology, management, and future conservation' 27-28. Oregon Chapter, Am Fish Soc.
48. Duffy EJ, Beauchamp DA, (2008) Seasonal patterns of predation on juvenile Pacific salmon by anadramous cutthroat trout in Puget Sound. Trans Am Fish Soc 137: 165-181.
49. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate change 2007: synthesis report. Fourth assessment report, http://www.ipcc.ch/(2007).
50. Greene CM, Hall JE, Guilbault KR, Quinn TP, (2010) Improved viability of populations with diverse life history portfolios. Biol Lett 6: 382-386.
51. Schindler DE, Hilborn R, Chasco B, Boatright CP, Quinn TP, et al. (2010) Population diversity and the portfolio effect in an exploited species. Nature 465: 609-612.
52. Moore JW, McClure M, Rogers LA, Schindler DE, (2010) Synchronization and portfolio performance of threatened salmon. Cons Lett 3: 340-348.
53. Carlson SM, Satterthwaite WH, (2011) Weakened portfolio effect in a collapsed salmon population complex. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 68: 1579-1589.
54. Taylor SG, (1980) Marine survival of pink salmon fry from early and late spawners. Trans Am Fish Soc 109: 79-82.
55. Dunham J, Baxter C, Fausch K, Fredenburg W, Kitano S, et al. (2008) Evolution, ecology, and conservation of Dolly Varden, white spotted char, and bull trout. Fisheries 33: 537-550.
56. Kinnison MT, Hairston Jr NG, (2007) Eco-evolutionary conservation biology: contemporary evolution and the dynamics of persistence. Func Ecol 21: 444-454.
57. Ezard TGH, Cote SD, Pelletier F, (2009) Eco-evolutionary dynamics: Disentangling environmental, phenotypic and population fluctuations. Proc R Soc B 364: 1491-1498.
58. Schoener TW, (2011) The newest synthesis: Understanding the interplay of evolutionary and ecological dynamics. Science 331 426: 429.
59. Kovach RK, Gharrett AJ, Tallmon DA, (2012) Genetic change for earlier migration timing in a pink salmon population. Proc R Soc B 279: 3870-3978.
60. Gienapp P, Teplitsky C, Alho JS, Mills JA, Merilä J, (2008) Climate change and evolution: disentangling environmental and genetic responses. Mol Ecol 17: 167-178.
61. Hutchings JA, (2011) Old wine in new bottles: reaction norms in salmon fishes. Heredity 106: 421-437.
62. Charmantier A, McCleery RH, Cole LR, Perrins C, Kruuk LEB, et al. (2008) Adaptive phenotypic plasticity in response to climate change in a wild bird population. Science 320: 800-803.
63. Hansen MM, Olivieri I, Waller DM, (2012) Nielsen EE. The GeM Working Group (2012) Monitoring adaptive genetic responses to environmental change. Mol Ecol 21: 1311-1329.
64. Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC, (1997) A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 78: 1069-1079.
65. Carlson SM, Quinn TP, (2007) Ten years of varying lake level and selection on size-at-maturity in sockeye salmon. Ecology 88: 2620-2629.
66. Stewart IT, Cayan DR, Dettinger MD, (2005) Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across Western North America. J Clim 18: 1136-1155.
67. Zabel RW, Achord S, (2004) Relating size of juveniles to survival within and among populations Chinook salmon. Ecology 85: 795-806.
68. McPhee MV, Noakes DLG, Allendorf FW, (2012) Developmental rate: a unifying mechanism for sympatric divergence in postglacial fishes. Curr Zool 58: 21-34.
69. Schindler DE, Rogers DE, Scheuerell MD, Abrey CA, (2005) Effects of changing climate on zooplankton and juvenile sockeye salmon in southwestern Alaska. Ecology 86: 198-209.
70. Rich HB, Quinn TP, Scheuerell MD, Schindler DE, (2009) Climate and intraspecific competition control the growth and life history of juvenile sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) in Iliamna Lake, Alaska. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 66: 238-246.
71. Williams JG, Zabel RW, Waples RS, Hutchings JA, Connor WP, (2008) Potential for anthropogenic disturbances to influence evolutionary change in the life history of a threatened salmonid. Evol Appl 1: 271-285.
72. Ben-David M, (1997) Timing of reproduction in wild mink: the influence of spawning Pacific salmon. Can J Zool 75: 376-382.
73. Brodeur RD, Myers KW, Helle JH, (2003) Research conducted by the United States on the early ocean life history of Pacific Salmon. N Pac Anadr Fish Comm Bull 3: 89-131.
74. Willson WF, Halupka KC, (1995) Anadromous fish as keystone species in vertebrate communities. Conserv Biol 9: 489-497.
75. Hughes AR, Inouye BD, Johnson MTJ, Underwood N, Vellend M, (2008) Ecological consequences of genetic diversity. Ecol Lett 11: 609-623.
76. Reed TE, Schindler DE, Hague MJ, Patterson DA, Meir E, et al. (2011) Time to evolve? Potential evolutionary responses of Fraser River sockeye salmon to climate change and effects on persistence. PLoS ONE e20380.