Temporally variable dispersal and demography can accelerate the spread of invading species

Theoretical Population Biology

Volumn 82, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 283-298

  Ellner, Stephen P ^a   Schreiber, Sebastian J ^b  

^a Department of Obstetrics Gynecology   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Fluctuating environment; Integral projection model; Invasive species; Perennial pepperweed; Spatial population dynamics; Stochastic demography

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHY; DISPERSAL; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; FECUNDITY; GROWTH; INVASIVE SPECIES; PERENNIAL PLANT; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; TEMPORAL VARIATION; WEED;

ARTICLE; DEMOGRAPHY; INTRODUCED SPECIES; SPECIES DIFFERENCE; THEORETICAL MODEL;

DEMOGRAPHY; INTRODUCED SPECIES; MODELS, THEORETICAL; SPECIES SPECIFICITY;

LEPIDIUM; LEPIDIUM LATIFOLIUM;

EID: 84869883789     PISSN: 00405809     EISSN: 10960325     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2012.03.005     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Andrew M.E., Ustin S.L. The effects of temporally variable dispersal and landscape structure on invasive species spread. Ecological Applications 2010, 20(3):593-608.
2. Bedford T., Cobey S., Beerli P., Pascual M. Global migration dynamics underlie evolution and persistence of human influenza A (H3N2). PLoS Pathogens 2010, 6(5):e1000918.
3. Benaïm M., Schreiber S.J. Persistence of structured populations in random environments. Theoretical Population Biology 2009, 76:19-34.
4. Berg, R., 1983. Plant distribution as seen from plant dispersal: general principles and basic modes of plant dispersal. In: Kubitski, K. (Ed.), Dispersal and Distribution. Paul Parey, pp. 13-36.
5. Blank R.R., Qualls R.G., Young J.A. Lepidium latifolium: plant nutrient competition-soil interactions. Biology and Fertility of Soils 2002, 35(6):458-464.
6. Bogich T.L., Liebhold A.M., Shea K. To sample or eradicate? A cost minimization model for monitoring and managing an invasive species. Journal of Applied Ecology 2008, 45(4):1134-1142.
7. Boyce M.S., Haridas C.V., Lee C.T., The NCEAS Stochastic Demography Working Group Demography in an increasingly variable world. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2006, 21:141-148.
8. Bullock J., Shea K., Skarpaas O. Measuring plant dispersal: an introduction to field methods and experimental design. Plant Ecology 2006, 186(2):217-234.
9. Caswell H. Matrix Population Models 2001, Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, MA. second ed.
10. Caswell H., Neubert M., Hunter C. Demography and dispersal: invasion speeds and sensitivity analysis in periodic and stochastic environments. Theoretical Ecology 2011, 4:407-421.
11. Clark J.S. Why trees migrate so fast: confronting theory with dispersal biology and the paleorecord. The American Naturalist 1998, 152(2):204-224.
12. Clark J.S., Lewis M., Horvath L. Invasion by extremes: population spread with variation in dispersal and reproduction. The American Naturalist 2001, 157(5):537-554.
13. Cote J., Fogarty S., Weinersmith K., Brodin T., Sih A. Personality traits and dispersal tendency in the invasive mosquitofish (Gambusia affinis). Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 2010, 277:1571-1579.
14. Easterling M., Ellner S., Dixon P. Size-specific sensitivity: applying a new structured population model. Ecology 2000, 81:694-708.
15. Ellner S.P., Rees M. Integral projection models for species with complex demography. American Naturalist 2006, 167:410-428.
16. Ellner S.P., Rees M. Stochastic stable population growth in integral projection models: theory and application. Journal of Mathematical Biology 2007, 54:227-256.
17. Ellner S.P., Rees M. Integral projection models for populations in temporally varying environments. Ecological Monographs 2009, 79:575-594.
18. Epanchin-Niell R.S., Hastings A. Controlling established invaders: integrating economics and spread dynamics to determine optimal management. Ecology Letters 2010, 13(4):528-541.
19. Forman Orth J., Gammon M., Abdul-Basir F., Stevenson R.D., Tsirelson D., Ebersole J., Speak S., Kesseli R. Natural history, distribution, and management of Lepidium latifolium (Brassicaceae) in New England, United Kingdom. Rhodora 2006, 108(934):103-118.
20. Fryxell J., Hazell M., Börger L., Dalziel B., Haydon D., Morales J., McIntosh T., Rosatte R. Multiple movement modes by large herbivores at multiple spatiotemporal scales. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2008, 105:19114.
21. Grevstad F.S. Simulating control strategies for a spatially structured weed invasion: Spartina alterniflora (Loisel) in Pacific coast estuaries. Biological Invasions 2005, 7(4):665-677.
22. Hampe A. Extensive hydrochory uncouples spatiotemporal patterns of seedfall and seedling recruitment in a bird-dispersed riparian tree. Journal of Ecology 2004, 92:797-807.
23. Heppell S.S., Crouse D.T., Crowder L.B. Using matrix models to focus research and management efforts in conservation. Quantitative Methods for Conservation Biology 2000, 148-168. Springer, New York. S. Ferson, M. Burgman (Eds.).
24. Higgins S.I., Richardson D.M., Cowling R.M. Using a dynamic landscape model for planning the management of alien plant invasions. Ecological Applications 2000, 10(6):1833-1848.
25. Horvitz C.C., Schemske D.W. Seed dispersal of a neotropical myrmecochore: variation in removal rates and dispersal distance. Biotropica 1986, 18:319-323.
26. Hutchinson R.A., Viers J.H. Tarping as an alternative for perennial pepperweed (Lepidium latifolium) control. Invasive Plant Science and Management 2011, 4:66-72.
27. Hutchinson, R.A., Viers, J.H., Quinn, J.F., 2007. Perennial pepperweed inventory at the Cosumnes River Preserve. A Technical Report to the California Bay-Delta Authority Ecosystem Restoration Program. University of California, Davis.
28. Jongejans E., Shea K., Skarpaas O., Kelly D., Ellner S.P. Importance of individual and environmental variation for invasive species spread: a spatial integral projection model. Ecology 2011, 92(1):86-97.
29. Jongejans E., Skarpaas O., Shea K. Dispersal, demography and spatial population models for conservation and control management. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 2008, 9(3-4):153-170.
30. Jordano P., García C., Godoy J., García-Castaño J. Differential contribution of frugivores to complex seed dispersal patterns. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2007, 104(9):3278.
31. Kot M., Lewis M.A., van den Driessche P. Dispersal data and the spread of invading organisms. Ecology 1996, 77:2027-2042.
32. Lande R., Engen S., Saether B.-E. Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation. Oxford Series in Ecology and Evolution 2003, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
33. Leininger S.P., Foin T.C. Lepidium latifolium reproductive potential and seed dispersal along salinity and moisture gradients. Biological Invasions 2009, 11(10):2351-2365.
34. Lewis M.A. Spread rate for a nonlinear stochastic invasion. Journal of Mathematical Biology 2000, 41:430-454.
35. Lewis M., Neubert M.G., Caswell H., Clark J., Shea K. A guide to calculating discrete-time invasion rates from data. Conceptual Ecology and Invasion Biology: Reciprocal Approaches to Nature 2006, 169-192. Springer, Dordrecht. M.W. Cadotte, S.M. McMahon, T. Fukami (Eds.).
36. Lewontin R.C., Cohen D. On population growth in a randomly varying environment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States 1969, 62:1056-1060.
37. Lui R. Biological growth and spread modeled by systems of recursions. 1. Mathematical theory. Mathematical Biosciences 1989, 93(2):269-295.
38. Mack R.N., Simberloff D., Mark Lonsdale W., Evans H., Clout M., Bazzaz F.A. Biotic invasions: causes, epidemiology, global consequences, and control. Ecological Applications 2000, 10(3):689-710.
39. Minor E.S., Gardner R.H. Landscape connectivity and seed dispersal characteristics inform the best management strategy for exotic plants. Ecological Applications 2011, 21(3):739-749.
40. Mollison D. Dependence of epidemic and population velocities on basic parameters. Mathematical Biosciences 1991, 107:255-287.
41. Morris W.F., Doak D.F. Quantitative Conservation Biology: Theory and Practice of Population Viability Analysis 2002, Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Mass.
42. Nathan R., Schurr F., Spiegel O., Steinitz O., Trakhtenbrot A., Tsoar A. Mechanisms of long-distance seed dispersal. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2008, 23(11):638-647.
43. Neubert M.G., Caswell H. Demography and dispersal: calculation and sensitivity analysis of invasion speed for structured populations. Ecology 2000, 81:1613-1628.
44. Neubert M.G., Kot M., Lewis M.A. Invasion speeds in fluctuating environments. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 2000, 267:1603-1610.
45. Schreiber S., Ryan M. Invasion speeds for structured populations in fluctuating environments. Theoretical Ecology 2011, 4:423-434.
46. Seo G., Lutscher F. Spread rates under temporal variability: calculation and application to biological invasions. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences 2011, 12:2469-2489.
47. Shea K., Jongejans E., Skarpaas O., Kelly D., Sheppard A.W. Optimal management strategies to control local population growth or population spread may not be the same. Ecological Applications 2010, 20(4):1148-1161.
48. Shea K., Kelly D. Estimating biocontrol agent impact with matrix models: Carduus nutans in New Zealand. Ecological Applications 1998, 8(3):824-832.
49. Shea K., Kelly D. Modeling for management of invasive species: Musk thistle (Carduus nutans) in New Zealand. Weed Technology 2004, 18:1338-1341.
50. Simberloff D. How common are invasion-induced ecosystem impacts?. Biological Invasions 2011, 13(5):1255-1268.
51. Taylor C.M., Hastings A. Finding optimal control strategies for invasive species: a density-structured model for Spartina alterniflora. Journal of Applied Ecology 2004, 41:1049-1057.
52. Tuljapurkar S. Population Dynamics in Variable Environments 1990, Springer-Verlag, New York.
53. Viers, J.H., Hutchinson, R.A., Quinn, J.F., 2008. Modeling perennial pepperweed populations at the Cosumnes River Preserve. A Technical Report to the California Bay-Delta Authority Ecosystem Restoration Program. University of California, Davis.
54. Weinberger H.F. On spreading speeds and traveling waves for growth and migration models in a periodic habitat. Journal of Mathematical Biology 2002, 45(6):511-548.