To sample or eradicate? A cost minimization model for monitoring and managing an invasive species

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 45, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 1134-1142

  Bogich, Tiffany L ^a   Liebhold, Andrew M ^b   Shea, Katriona ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^b NORTHERN RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

^c PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Cost minimization; Detection; Eradication; Gypsy moth; Lymantria dispar; Pheromone traps; Risk aversion

Indexed keywords

COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; DETECTION METHOD; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GROWTH RATE; INVASIVE SPECIES; MODELING; MOTH; TRAP (EQUIPMENT);

EURASIA; EUROPE; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

LYMANTRIA; LYMANTRIA DISPAR;

EID: 46749134773     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01494.x     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Berliner, L.M., Lu, Z.Q. Snyder, C. (1999) Statistical design for adaptive weather observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56 (15 2536 2552.
2. Byers, J.E., Reichard, S., Randall, J.M., Parker, I.M., Smith, C.S., Lonsdale, W.M., Atkinson, I.A.E., Seastedt, T.R., Williamson, M., Chornesky, E. Hayes, D. (2002) Directing research to reduce the impacts of nonindigenous species. Conservation Biology, 16 (3 630 640.
3. Chao, C.T. Thompson, S.K. (2001) Optimal adaptive selection of sampling sites. Environmetrics, 12 (6 517 538.
4. Diggle, P.J. (2003) Statistical Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns, 2nd edn. Arnold, London.
5. Elkinton, J.S. Liebhold, A.M. (1990) Population dynamics of gypsy moth in North America. Annual Review of Entomology, 35, 571 596.
6. Elton, C.S. (1958) The Ecology of Invasions by Animals and Plants. Methuen, London.
7. Field, S.A., Tyre, A.J., Jonzen, N., Rhodes, J.R. Possingham, H.P. (2004) Minimizing the cost of environmental management decisions by optimizing statistical thresholds. Ecology Letters, 7 (8 669 675.
8. Field, S.A., Tyre, A.J. Possingham, H.P. (2005) Optimizing allocation of monitoring effort under economic and observational constraints. Journal of Wildlife Management, 69 (2 473 482.
9. Gerber, L.R., Beger, M., McCarthy, M.A. Possingham, H.P. (2005) A theory for optimal monitoring of marine reserves. Ecology Letters, 8 (8 829 837.
10. GISP (2005) Tackling the growing spread of invasive species across the globe: renewed commitment from key international organisations. Global Invasive Species Programme, In : GISP News, 4, 4 5.
11. Hauser, C.E., Pople, A.R. Possingham, H.P. (2006) Should managed populations be monitored every year? Ecological Applications, 16 (2 807 819.
12. Liebhold, A. Bascompte, J. (2003) The Allee effect, stochastic dynamics and the eradication of alien species. Ecology Letters, 6 (2 133 140.
13. Liebhold, A., Halverson, J.A. Elmes, G.A. (1992) Gypsy moth invasion in North America: a quantitative analysis. Journal of Biogeography, 19 (5 513 520.
14. Liebhold, A.M. Tobin, P.C. (2006) Growth of newly established alien populations: comparison of North American gypsy moth colonies with invasion theory. Population Ecology, 48 (4 253 262.
15. Lodge, D.M., Williams, S., MacIsaac, H.J., Hayes, K.R., Leung, B., Rieichard, S., Mack, R.N., Moyle, P.B., Smith, M., Andow, D.A., Carlton, J.T. McMichael, A. (2006) Biological invasions: recommendations for U.S. policy and management. Ecological Applications, 16 (6 2035 2054.
16. Mack, R.N., Simberloff, D., Lonsdale, W.M., Evans, H., Clout, M. Bazzaz, F.A. (2000) Biotic invasions: causes, epidemiology, global consequences, and control. Ecological Applications, 10 (3 689 710.
17. Mayo, J.H., Straka, T.J. Leonard, D.S. (2003) The cost of slowing the spread of the gypsy moth (Lepidoptera : Lymantriidae). Journal of Economic Entomology, 96 (5 1448 1454.
18. McFadden, M.W. McManus, M.L. (1991) An insect out of control? The potential for spread and establishment of the gypsy moth in new forest areas in the United States. Forest Insect Guilds: Patterns of Interactions with Host Trees (eds Y.N. Baranchikov, W.J. Mattson, F.P. Hain T.L. Payne pp. 172 186. US Department of Agriculture Forest Service. General Technical Report NE 153.
19. Milner-Gulland, E.J., Shea, K., Possingham, H., Coulson, T. Wilcox, C. (2001) Competing harvesting strategies in a simulated population under uncertainty. Animal Conservation, 4, 157 167.
20. Muller, P. (1999) Simulation-based optimal design. Bayesian Statistics 6: Proceedings of the Sixth Valencia International Meeting 6-10 June 1998 (eds J.M. Bernardo, J.O. Berger, A.P. Dawid A.F.M. Smith pp. 459 474. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
21. Myers, J.H., Simberloff, D., Kuris, A.M. Carey, J.R. (2000) Eradication revisited: dealing with exotic species. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 15 (8 316 320.
22. Nychka, D. Saltzman, N. (1998) Design of air-quality monitoring networks. Case Studies in Environmental Statistics (eds D. Nychka, W.W. Piegorsch L.H. Cox Vol. 132, pp. 51 76. Springer, New York.
23. Pimentel, D., Lach, L., Zuniga, R. Morrison, D. (2000) Environmental and economic costs of nonindigenous species in the United States. Bioscience, 50 (1 53 65.
24. Possingham, H.P., Andelman, S.J., Noon, B.R., Trombulak, S. Pulliam, H.R. (2001) Making smart conservation decisions. Conservation Biology: Research Priorities for the Next Decade (eds M.E. Soule G.H. Orians p. 307. Island Press, Washington, D.C.
25. Regan, H.M., Ben-Haim, Y., Langford, B., Wilson, W.G., Lundberg, P., Andelman, S.J. Burgman, M.A. (2005) Robust decision-making under severe uncertainty for conservation management. Ecological Applications, 15 (4 1471 1477.
26. Sharov, A.A., Liebhold, A.M. Roberts, E.A. (1998) Optimizing the use of barrier zones to slow the spread of gypsy moth (Lepidoptera : Lymantriidae) in North America. Journal of Economic Entomology, 91 (1 165 174.
27. Shigesada, N. Kawasaki, K. (1997) Biological Invasions: Theory and Practice. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
28. Skarpaas, O., Shea, K. Bullock, J.M. (2005) Optimizing dispersal study design by Monte Carlo simulation. Journal of Applied Ecology, 42 (4 731 739.
29. Skellam, J.G. (1951) Random dispersal in theoretical populations. Biometrika, 38, 196 218.
30. Tenhumberg, B., Tyre, A.J., Shea, K. Possingham, H.P. (2004) Linking wild and captive populations to maximize species persistence: optimal translocation strategies. Conservation Biology, 18 (5 1304 1314.
31. Tildesley, M.J., Savill, N.J., Shaw, D.J., Deardon, R., Brooks, S.P., Woolhouse, M.E.J., Grenfell, B.T. Keeling, M.J. (2006) Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature, 440 (7080 83 86.
32. US NISC (2005) Progress Report on the Meeting the Invasive Species Challenge: National Invasive Species Management Plan. US National Invasive Species Council, Beltsville, MD, USA
33. Walters, C.J. (1986) Adaptive Management of Renewable Resources. Macmillan Publishing Company, New York.
34. Welk, E. (2004) Constraints in range predictions of invasive plant species due to non-equilibrium distribution patterns: purple loosestrife (Lythrum salicaria) in North America. Ecological Modelling, 179 (4 551 567.
35. Wikle, C.K. Royle, J.A. (1999) Space-time dynamic design of environmental monitoring networks. Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, 4 (4 489 507.
36. Wikle, C.K. Royle, J.A. (2005) Dynamic design of ecological monitoring networks for non-Gaussian spatio-temporal data. Environmetrics, 16 (5 507 522.
37. Williams, B.K., Nichols, J.D. Conroy, M.J. (2002) Analysis and Management of Animal Populations. Academic Press, San Diego, CA, USA.
38. Yokomizo, H., Haccou, P. Iwasa, Y. (2004) Multiple-year optimization of conservation effort and monitoring effort for a fluctuating population. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 230 (2 157 171.