메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 115, Issue 3-4, 2012, Pages 893-902

Toward a physically plausible upper bound of sea-level rise projections

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION STRATEGIES; DEEP OCEAN; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL; ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLES; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGES; KINEMATIC CONSTRAINTS; OCEAN HEAT UPTAKE; PARAMETRIC UNCERTAINTIES; PORT OF LOS ANGELES; SEA LEVEL RISE; SEMI-EMPIRICAL MODELING; THREE ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE; UPPER BOUND;

EID: 84868682849     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0610-6     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (48)

References (35)
  • 1
    • 84860477445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling Ice-Sheet Flow
    • Alley RB, Joughin I (2012) Modeling Ice-Sheet Flow. Science 336(6081): 551-552.
    • (2012) Science , vol.336 , Issue.6081 , pp. 551-552
    • Alley, R.B.1    Joughin, I.2
  • 4
    • 78650026628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is the skill of ocean tracers in reducing uncertainties about ocean diapycnal mixing and projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?
    • doi: 10. 1029/2010JC006407
    • Goes M, Urban NM, Tonkonojenkov R, Haran M, Schmittner A, Keller K (2010) What is the skill of ocean tracers in reducing uncertainties about ocean diapycnal mixing and projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation? J Geophys Res-Oceans. doi: 10. 1029/2010JC006407.
    • (2010) J Geophys Res-Oceans
    • Goes, M.1    Urban, N.M.2    Tonkonojenkov, R.3    Haran, M.4    Schmittner, A.5    Keller, K.6
  • 6
    • 84868711539 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple technique for estimating an allowance for uncertain sea-level rise
    • doi: 10. 1007/s10584-10011-10332-10581
    • Hunter J (2011) A simple technique for estimating an allowance for uncertain sea-level rise. Clim Change. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-10011-10332-10581.
    • (2011) Clim Change
    • Hunter, J.1
  • 8
    • 84857459235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise
    • Jacob T, Wahr J, Pfeffer WT, Swenson S (2012) Recent contributions of glaciers and ice caps to sea level rise. Nature 482(7386): 514-518.
    • (2012) Nature , vol.482 , Issue.7386 , pp. 514-518
    • Jacob, T.1    Wahr, J.2    Pfeffer, W.T.3    Swenson, S.4
  • 9
    • 77950496254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?
    • doi: 10. 1029/2010GL042947
    • Jevrejeva S, Moore JC, Grinsted A (2010) How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100? Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL042947.
    • (2010) Geophys Res Lett
    • Jevrejeva, S.1    Moore, J.C.2    Grinsted, A.3
  • 10
    • 60649110991 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes
    • Knutti R, Hegerl GC (2008) The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes. Nat Geosc 1(11): 735-743.
    • (2008) Nat Geosc , vol.1 , Issue.11 , pp. 735-743
    • Knutti, R.1    Hegerl, G.C.2
  • 11
    • 0034209933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of the thermohaline circulation on projected sea level rise
    • Knutti R, Stocker TF (2000) Influence of the thermohaline circulation on projected sea level rise. J Clim 13: 1997-2001.
    • (2000) J Clim , vol.13 , pp. 1997-2001
    • Knutti, R.1    Stocker, T.F.2
  • 12
    • 0037129209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles
    • Knutti R, Stocker TF, Joos F, Plattner GK (2002) Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles. Nature 416(6882): 719-723.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.416 , Issue.6882 , pp. 719-723
    • Knutti, R.1    Stocker, T.F.2    Joos, F.3    Plattner, G.K.4
  • 13
    • 84882614695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterizing Uncertain Sea Level Rise Projections to Support Infrastructure Investment Decisions
    • California Energy Commission, Publication Number: CEC-500-2012-056
    • Lempert R, Sriver RL, Keller K (2012) Characterizing Uncertain Sea Level Rise Projections to Support Infrastructure Investment Decisions. California Energy Commission, Publication Number: CEC-500-2012-056, http://www. energy. ca. gov/2012publications/CEC-500-2012-056/CEC-500-2012-056. pdf. In review at Global Environmental Change.
    • (2012) In review at Global Environmental Change
    • Lempert, R.1    Sriver, R.L.2    Keller, K.3
  • 14
    • 84861155306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change
    • doi: 10. 1038/NCLIMATE1389
    • Lin N, Emanuel K, Oppenheimer M, Vanmarcke E (2012) Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change. Nature Climate Change. doi: 10. 1038/NCLIMATE1389.
    • (2012) Nature Climate Change
    • Lin, N.1    Emanuel, K.2    Oppenheimer, M.3    Vanmarcke, E.4
  • 15
    • 0038543365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accurate and computationally efficient algorithms for potential temperature and density of seawater
    • McDougall TJ, Jackett DR, Wright DG, Feistel R (2003) Accurate and computationally efficient algorithms for potential temperature and density of seawater. J Atmos Ocean Technol 20(5): 730-741.
    • (2003) J Atmos Ocean Technol , vol.20 , Issue.5 , pp. 730-741
    • McDougall, T.J.1    Jackett, D.R.2    Wright, D.G.3    Feistel, R.4
  • 18
    • 84860487803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 21st-Century Evolution of Greenland Outlet Glacier Velocities
    • Moon T, Joughin I, Smith B, Howat I (2012) 21st-Century Evolution of Greenland Outlet Glacier Velocities. Science 336(6081): 576-578.
    • (2012) Science , vol.336 , Issue.6081 , pp. 576-578
    • Moon, T.1    Joughin, I.2    Smith, B.3    Howat, I.4
  • 20
    • 78650272307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Academy of Sciences, Washington: The National Academies Press
    • National Academy of Sciences (2010) Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change. The National Academies Press, Washington.
    • (2010) Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change
  • 22
    • 84857488239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A climate sensitivity estimate using Bayesian fusion of instrumental observations and an Earth System model
    • doi: 04110. 01029/02011JD016620
    • Olson R, Sriver RL, Goes M, Urban NM, Matthews HD, Haran M, Keller K (2012) A climate sensitivity estimate using Bayesian fusion of instrumental observations and an Earth System model. J Geophys Res-Atm D04103. doi: 04110. 01029/02011JD016620.
    • (2012) J Geophys Res-Atm D04103
    • Olson, R.1    Sriver, R.L.2    Goes, M.3    Urban, N.M.4    Matthews, H.D.5    Haran, M.6    Keller, K.7
  • 23
    • 51349100681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise
    • Pfeffer WT, Harper JT, O'Neel S (2008) Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise. Science 321: 1340-1343.
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , pp. 1340-1343
    • Pfeffer, W.T.1    Harper, J.T.2    O'Neel, S.3
  • 24
    • 56349160512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic methodology to estimate future coastal flood risk due to sea level rise
    • Purvis MJ, Bates PD, Hayes CM (2008) A probabilistic methodology to estimate future coastal flood risk due to sea level rise. Coast Eng 55(12): 1062-1073.
    • (2008) Coast Eng , vol.55 , Issue.12 , pp. 1062-1073
    • Purvis, M.J.1    Bates, P.D.2    Hayes, C.M.3
  • 27
    • 33746613639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptation to five metres of sea level rise
    • Tol RSJ, Bohn M, Downing TE, Guillerminet M-L, Hizsnyik E, Kasperson R, Lonsdale K, Mays C, Nicholls RJ, Olsthoorn AA, Pfeifle G, Poumadere M, Toth FL, Nafeidis AT, van Der Werrf PE, Yetkiner IH (2006) Adaptation to five metres of sea level rise. J Risk Res 9(5): 467-482.
    • (2006) J Risk Res , vol.9 , Issue.5 , pp. 467-482
    • Tol, R.S.J.1
  • 28
    • 0000694956 scopus 로고
    • Economic decision problems for flood prevention
    • van Dantzig D (1956) Economic decision problems for flood prevention. Econometrica 24(3): 276-287.
    • (1956) Econometrica , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 276-287
    • van Dantzig, D.1
  • 30
    • 76049103123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sea level linked to global temperature
    • Vermeer M, Rahmstorf S (2009) Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106(51): 21527-21532.
    • (2009) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.106 , Issue.51 , pp. 21527-21532
    • Vermeer, M.1    Rahmstorf, S.2
  • 31
    • 0026446585 scopus 로고
    • Relationship between wind speed and gas exchange over the ocean
    • Wanninkhof R (1992) Relationship between wind speed and gas exchange over the ocean. J Geophys Res 97: 7373-7382.
    • (1992) J Geophys Res , vol.97 , pp. 7373-7382
    • Wanninkhof, R.1
  • 32
    • 0035568671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The UVic Earth System Climate Model: Model description, climatology, and applications to past, present and future climates
    • Weaver AJ et al (2001) The UVic Earth System Climate Model: Model description, climatology, and applications to past, present and future climates. Atmosphere-Ocean 39(4): 361-428.
    • (2001) Atmosphere-Ocean , vol.39 , Issue.4 , pp. 361-428
    • Weaver, A.J.1
  • 33
    • 84860442878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional Sea-Level Projection
    • Willis JK, Church JA (2012) Regional Sea-Level Projection. Science 336(6081): 550-551.
    • (2012) Science , vol.336 , Issue.6081 , pp. 550-551
    • Willis, J.K.1    Church, J.A.2
  • 34
    • 67649526449 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States
    • Yin JJ, Schlesinger ME, Stouffer RJ (2009) Model projections of rapid sea-level rise on the northeast coast of the United States. Nat Geosci 2(4): 262-266.
    • (2009) Nat Geosci , vol.2 , Issue.4 , pp. 262-266
    • Yin, J.J.1    Schlesinger, M.E.2    Stouffer, R.J.3
  • 35
    • 0000276270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economic cost of greenhouse-induced sea-level rise for developed property in the United States
    • Yohe G, Neumann J, Marshall P, Ameden H (1996) The economic cost of greenhouse-induced sea-level rise for developed property in the United States. Clim Change 32: 387-410.
    • (1996) Clim Change , vol.32 , pp. 387-410
    • Yohe, G.1    Neumann, J.2    Marshall, P.3    Ameden, H.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.