How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 37, Issue 7, 2010, Pages

  Jevrejeva, S ^a   Moore, J C ^b   Grinsted, A ^c  

^a NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE   (United Kingdom)

^b BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^c UNIVERSITY OF COPENHAGEN   (Denmark)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CONFIDENCE LIMIT; FORCINGS; PINATUBO; POTENTIAL REDUCTION; RADIATIVE FORCINGS; SEA LEVEL RISE; SOLAR IRRADIANCES; STATISTICAL MODELS; VOLCANIC FORCING;

VOLCANOES;

SEA LEVEL;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; FORECASTING METHOD; GREENHOUSE GAS; INVERSE ANALYSIS; RADIATIVE FORCING; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SOLAR RADIATION; STRATOSPHERE; SULFUR DIOXIDE; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

PINATUBO;

EID: 77950496254     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010GL042947     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Benestad, R. E., and G. A. Schmidt (2009), Solar trends and global warming, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D14101, doi:10.1029/2008JD011639.
2. Bindoff, N. L., et al. (2007), Observations: Oceanic climate change and sea level, in Climate Change 2007: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, edited by S. Solomon et al., pp. 385-432, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
3. Crowley, T. J., S. K. Baum, K.-Y. Kim, G. C. Hegerl, and W. T. Hyde (2003), Modeling ocean heat content changes during the last millennium, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(18), 1932, doi:10.1029/2003GL017801.
4. Goosse, H., H. Renssen, A. Timmermann, and R. S. Bradley (2005), Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations, Quat. Sci. Rev., 24, 1345-1360, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.12.009. (Pubitemid 40717337)
5. Grinsted, A., J. C. Moore, and S. Jevrejeva (2010), Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100 AD, Clim. Dyn., 34, 461-472, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0507-2.
6. Hansen, J., M. Sato, A. Lacis, R. Ruedy, I. Tegen, and E. Matthews (1998), Perspective: Climate forcings in the industrial era, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 95, 12,753-12,758, doi:10.1073/pnas.95.22.12753. (Pubitemid 28509468)
7. Hegerl, G. C., T. J. Crowley, M. Allen, W. T. Hyde, H. N. Pollack, J. E. Smerdon, and E. Zorita (2007), Detection of human influence on a new, validated 1500-year temperature reconstruction, J. Clim., 20, 650-666, doi:10.1175/JCLI4011.1. (Pubitemid 46332532)
8. Jevrejeva, S., J. C. Moore, A. Grinsted and P. L. Woodworth (2008), Recent global sea level acceleration started over 200 years ago?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08715, doi:10.1029/2008GL033611.
9. Jevrejeva, S., J. C. Moore, and A. Grinsted (2008), Relative importance of mass and volume changes to global sea level rise, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D08105, doi:10.1029/2007JD009208.
10. Jevrejeva, S., A. Grinsted, and J. C. Moore (2009), Anthropogenic forcing dominates sea level rise since 1850, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20706, doi:10.1029/2009GL040216.
11. Lean, J. L., and D. H. Rind (2008), How natural and anthropogenic influences alter global and regional surface temperatures: 1889 to 2006, Geophys. Res. Lett, 35, L18701, doi:10.1029/2008GL034864.
12. Lettenmaier, D. P., and P. C. D. Milly (2009), Land waters and sea level, Nat. Geosci., 2(7), 452-454, doi:10.1038/ngeo567.
13. Meehl, G. A., et al. (2007), Global climate projections, in Climate Change 2007: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, edited by S. Solomon et al., pp. 747-846, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
14. Pfeffer, W. T., J. T. Harper, and S. O'Neel (2008), Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise, Science, 321, 1340-1343, doi:10.1126/science.1159099.
15. Rahmstorf, S. (2007), A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise, Science, 315, 368-370, doi:10.1126/science.1135456. (Pubitemid 46175515)
16. 2 injections, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D16101, doi:10.1029/2008JD010050.
17. Rohling, E. J., K. Grant, C. Hemleben, M. Siddall, B. A. A. Hoogakker, M. Bolshaw, and M. Kucera (2008), High rates of sea-level rise during the last interglacial period, Nat. Geosci., 1, 38-42, doi:10.1038/ ngeo.2007.28.
18. Shindell, D. T., G. Faluvegi, D. M. Koch, G. A. Schmidt, N. Unger, and S. E. Bauer (2009), Improved attribution of climate forcing to emissions export, Science, 326, 716-718, doi:10.1126/science.1174760.
19. Steinhilber, F., J. Beer, and C. Fröhlich (2009), Total solar irradiance during the Holocene, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19704, doi:10.1029/ 2009GL040142.
20. Tett, S. F. B., R. Betts, T. J. Crowley, J. Gregory, T. C. Johns, A. Jones, T. J. Osborn, E. Ostrom, D. L. Roberts, and M. J. Woodage (2007), The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550, Clim. Dyn., 28(1), 3-34, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0165-1. (Pubitemid 44742677)
21. Vermeer, M., and S. Rahmstorf (2010), Global sea level linked to global temperature, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., doi:10.1073/pnas. 0907765106, in press