How well can F MSY and B MSY be estimated using empirical measures of surplus production?

Fisheries Research

Volumn 134-136, Issue , 2012, Pages 113-124

  Punt, André E ^a   Szuwalski, Cody ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

B MSY; Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands; Crab; E MSY; F MSY; Management; Production Model; Simulation; Size structure

Indexed keywords

DECAPODA (CRUSTACEA);

EID: 84866148099     PISSN: 01657836     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.fishres.2012.08.014     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Chen Y., Andrew N. Parameter estimation in modelling the dynamics of fish stock biomass: are currently used observation-error estimators reliable?. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1998, 55:749-760.
2. Clark W.G. Groundfish exploitation rates based on life history parameters. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1991, 48:734-750.
3. Givens G.H., Zeh J.E., Raftery A.E. Assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales using the BALEEN II model is a Bayesian Synthesis framework. Rep. Int. Whal. Commun. 1995, 45:345-364.
4. Haltuch M.A., Punt A.E., Dorn M.W. Evaluating alternative estimators of fishery management reference points. Fish. Res. 2008, 94:290-303.
5. Hilborn R. Comparison of fisheries control systems that utilize catch and effort data. J. Fish. Res. Bd. Can. 1979, 36:1477-1489.
6. Hilborn R. Calculation of biomass trend, exploitation rate, and surplus production from survey and catch data. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2001, 58:579-584.
7. Hilborn R. Pretty good yield. Mar. Pol. 2010, 34:193-196.
8. Hilborn R., Litzinger E. Causes of decline and potential for recovery of Atlantic cod populations. Open Fish Sci. J. 2009, 2:32-38.
9. Jacobson L.D., De Oliveira J.A.A., Barange M., Cisneros-Mata M.A., Félix-Uraga R., Hunter J.R., Kim J.Y., Matsuura Y., Ñiquen M., Porteiro C., Rothschild B., Sanchez R.P., Serra R., Uriarte A., Wada T. Surplus production, variability, and climate change in the great sardine and anchovy fisheries. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2001, 58:1891-1903.
10. Kruskal J.B. Non metric multidimensional scaling. A numerical method. Psychometrika 1964, 29:115-129.
11. Meyer R., Millar R.B. BUGS in Bayesian stock assessment. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 1999, 56:1078-1086.
12. North Pacific Fishery Management Council (NPFMC), 2008. Amendment 24, Final Environmental Assessment for amendment 24 to the Fishery Management Plan for Bering Sea/Aleutian Islands King and Tanner Crabs to Revise Overfishing Definitions. North Pacific Fishery Management Council, 605 West 4th Ave, Anchorage, AK 99501.
13. Ludwig D., Walters C.J., Cooke J. Comparison of two models and two estimation methods for catch and effort data. Nat. Res. Model. 1988, 2:457-498.
14. 0 determined by the Pella-Tomlinson shape parameter fitted to New Zealand rock lobster data. NZ Fish. Assess. Res. Doc. 1995, 95(10).
15. Ono K., Rivot E., Punt A.E. Model performance analysis using bias, precision and reliability estimators in a Bayesian framework. Fish. Res. 2012, 125-6:173-183.
16. Polacheck T., Hilborn R., Punt A.E. Fitting surplus production models: comparing methods and measuring uncertainty. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci 1993, 50:2597-2607.
17. 1=K an appropriate assumption when applying an observation error production-model estimator to catch-effort data. S. Afr. J. Mar. Sci. 1990, 9:249-259.
18. Punt A.E. The performance of a production-model management procedure. Fish. Res. 1995, 21:349-374.
19. Punt A.E. Extending production models to include process error in the population dynamics. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2003, 60:1217-1228.
20. Punt A.E., Wade P.R. Population status of the eastern North pacific stock of gray whales in 2009. J. Cet. Res. Manage. 2012, 12:15-28.
21. Turnock, B.J., Rugolo, L.J., 2009. Stock assessment of eastern Bering Sea snow crab. Pg 29-130 in Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation Report for the King and Tanner Crab Fisheries of the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands Region. North Pacific Fishery Management Council, 605 W 4th Avenue, #306, Anchorage, AK 99501.
22. Turnock, B.J., Rugolo, L.J., 2010. Stock assessment of eastern Bering Sea snow crab. Pg 31-123 in Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation Report for the King and Tanner Crab Fisheries of the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands Region. North Pacific Fishery Management Council, 605 W 4th Avenue, #306, Anchorage, AK 99501.
23. Walters C.J., Hilborn R., Christensen V. Surplus production dynamics in declining and recovering fish populations. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 2008, 65:2536-2551.
24. Zheng, J., Siddeek, M.S.M., 2010. Bristol Bay red king crab stock assessment in fall 2010. Pg 125-266 in Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation Report for the King and Tanner Crab Fisheries of the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands Region. North Pacific Fishery Management Council. 605 W 4th Avenue, #306, Anchorage, AK 99501.
25. Zhou S., Punt A.E., Deng R., Dichmont C.M., Ye T., Bishop J. Modified hierarchical Bayesian biomass dynamics models for assessment of short-lived invertebrates: a comparison for tropical tiger prawns. Mar. Freshw. Res. 2009, 60:1298-1308.