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Volumn 16, Issue 1, 2010, Pages 37-57

The gettier problem and legal proof

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EID: 84863828974     PISSN: 13523252     EISSN: 14698048     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1352325210000054     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (60)
  • 1
    • 84924150367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (2006); H.L. Ho, A Philosophy of Evidence Law (2008); Mike Redmayne, Exploring the Proof Paradoxes, 14 Legal Theory 281 (2008) Michael S. Pardo & Ronald J. Allen, Juridical Proof and the Best Explanation, 27 Law & Phil. 223 (2008) Michael S. Pardo, The Field of Evidence and the Field of Knowledge, 24 Law & Phil. 321 (2005) Duncan Pritchard, Testimony, in 1 The Trial on Trial (Anthony Duff et al. eds., 2004) Ronald J. Allen & Brian Leiter, Naturalized Epistemology and the Law of Evidence, 87 Va. L. Rev. 1491 (2001) Scott Brewer, Scientific Expert Testimony and Intellectual Due Process, 107 Yale L.J. 1535
    • See, e.g., Larry Laudan, Truth, Error, and Criminal Law: An Essay in Legal Epistemology (2006); H.L. Ho, A Philosophy of Evidence Law (2008); Mike Redmayne, Exploring the Proof Paradoxes, 14 Legal Theory 281 (2008) Michael S. Pardo & Ronald J. Allen, Juridical Proof and the Best Explanation, 27 Law & Phil. 223 (2008) Michael S. Pardo, The Field of Evidence and the Field of Knowledge, 24 Law & Phil. 321 (2005) Duncan Pritchard, Testimony, in 1 The Trial on Trial (Anthony Duff et al. eds., 2004) Ronald J. Allen & Brian Leiter, Naturalized Epistemology and the Law of Evidence, 87 Va. L. Rev. 1491 (2001) Scott Brewer, Scientific Expert Testimony and Intellectual Due Process, 107 Yale L.J. 1535 (1998).
    • (1998) Truth, Error, and Criminal Law: An Essay in Legal Epistemology
    • Laudan, L.1
  • 7
    • 85010695825 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ho, Foundations of Evidence Law note 1, at 89-99. For a discussion of the justification of legal verdicts, see Amalia Amaya, Justification, Coherence, and Epistemic Responsibility in Legal Fact-Finding, 5 Episteme
    • See Ferrer, Foundations of Evidence Law note 5 Ho, Foundations of Evidence Law note 1, at 89-99. For a discussion of the justification of legal verdicts, see Amalia Amaya, Justification, Coherence, and Epistemic Responsibility in Legal Fact-Finding, 5 Episteme 306 (2008).
    • (2008) Foundations of Evidence Law note 5 , pp. 306
    • Ferrer1
  • 11
    • 85022391563 scopus 로고
    • Crim. L. Rev. 103, 104 (“There is a miscarriage of justice whenever an innocent man is convicted.”).
    • Cf. Glanville Williams, A Short Rejoinder, Crim. L. Rev. 103, 104 (1980) (“There is a miscarriage of justice whenever an innocent man is convicted.”).
    • (1980) A Short Rejoinder
    • Williams, G.1
  • 12
    • 54749115161 scopus 로고
    • in Cognition and Interpretation of Law 20 (L. Gianformaggio & S. Paulson eds., ) (“for punishing Tom the law requires not only that the sentence ‘Tom killed Peter’ be true, but also that there be sufficient evidence for the truth of this sentence.”)
    • Eugenio Bulygin, Cognition and Interpretation of Law, in Cognition and Interpretation of Law 20 (L. Gianformaggio & S. Paulson eds., 1995) (“for punishing Tom the law requires not only that the sentence ‘Tom killed Peter’ be true, but also that there be sufficient evidence for the truth of this sentence.”)
    • (1995) Cognition and Interpretation of Law
    • Bulygin, E.1
  • 13
    • 85022399898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • at 99. Ho attempts to derive this requirement from the nature of beliefs (i.e., that beliefs aim at truth); however, he acknowledges that it is unclear whether such an argument can succeed. Id.
    • Ho, Cognition and Interpretation of Law note 1, at 99. Ho attempts to derive this requirement from the nature of beliefs (i.e., that beliefs aim at truth); however, he acknowledges that it is unclear whether such an argument can succeed. Id.
    • Cognition and Interpretation of Law note 1
    • Ho1
  • 16
    • 85022377357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • They may diverge, however, in cases with mandatory evidentiary presumptions.
    • Moreover, beliefs and acceptances often converge. They may diverge, however, in cases with mandatory evidentiary presumptions.
    • Moreover, beliefs and acceptances often converge
  • 18
    • 61249371569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 105 J. Phil. 571 (arguing that knowledge provides the norm for action but that some failures to comply are excusable or less blameworthy than others).
    • Cf. John Hawthorne & Jason Stanley, Knowledge and Action, 105 J. Phil. 571 (2008) (arguing that knowledge provides the norm for action but that some failures to comply are excusable or less blameworthy than others).
    • (2008) Knowledge and Action
    • Hawthorne, J.1    Stanley, J.2
  • 19
    • 85022446732 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (e.g., proof beyond a 0.5 likelihood in civil cases or beyond a 0.9 likelihood in criminal cases), a finding is materially accurate when it is 100 percent accurate in the sense that there is a finding when the disputed proposition is true and no finding when it is false.
    • Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically (e.g., proof beyond a 0.5 likelihood in civil cases or beyond a 0.9 likelihood in criminal cases), a finding is materially accurate when it is 100 percent accurate in the sense that there is a finding when the disputed proposition is true and no finding when it is false.
    • Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically
  • 20
    • 85022409775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically note 30, at 1-2; see Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically note
    • See In re Davis, Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically note 30, at 1-2; see Even when legal decision rules are conceptualized probabilistically note 30.
    • re Davis , pp. 30
  • 23
    • 52649145540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • in Papers in Metaphysics and Epistemology
    • See David Lewis, Elusive Knowledge, in Papers in Metaphysics and Epistemology 418 (1999).
    • (1999) Elusive Knowledge , pp. 418
    • Lewis, D.1
  • 25
    • 85010699975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • see Frederick Schauer, In Defense of Rule-Based Evidence Law-and Epistemology Too, 5 Episteme
    • For a discussion of rules in legal proof and epistemology, see Frederick Schauer, In Defense of Rule-Based Evidence Law-and Epistemology Too, 5 Episteme 295 (2008).
    • (2008) For a discussion of rules in legal proof and epistemology , pp. 295
  • 29
    • 85022367995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A system that produced more accurate verdicts would be superior to a system that produced fewer, even if the latter produced more verdicts that were justified. Epistemic justification is no guarantee of truth-this is one lesson of the Gettier problem-and so it is, of course, possible that a highly accurate proof system could have few justified verdicts and that a highly inaccurate system could have many justified verdicts. These possibilities, however, run counter to the basic presuppositions of evidence law and legal proof that (1) verdicts better supported by the available evidence (and thus more justified than their alternatives) are more likely to be true; and (2) verdicts supported by better evidence (and thus more likely to be justified than verdicts based on worse evidence) are more likely to be true.
    • From this perspective, it does not matter whether any individual verdict is justified. A system that produced more accurate verdicts would be superior to a system that produced fewer, even if the latter produced more verdicts that were justified. Epistemic justification is no guarantee of truth-this is one lesson of the Gettier problem-and so it is, of course, possible that a highly accurate proof system could have few justified verdicts and that a highly inaccurate system could have many justified verdicts. These possibilities, however, run counter to the basic presuppositions of evidence law and legal proof that (1) verdicts better supported by the available evidence (and thus more justified than their alternatives) are more likely to be true; and (2) verdicts supported by better evidence (and thus more likely to be justified than verdicts based on worse evidence) are more likely to be true.
    • From this perspective, it does not matter whether any individual verdict is justified
  • 30
    • 85022418748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • If the machine reported a result of “guilty,” the defendant could object on the ground that the test itself does a poor job of sorting guilty from innocent defendants (systemic epistemic concerns); or alternatively, the defendant could object on the ground that even if the test is generally good at identifying guilt, there was a problem in administering his test that undermined the particular result (case-specific epistemic concerns). Both appear to be legitimate challenges that a defendant could raise, either of which would undermine the epistemic success of a legal verdict.
    • By analogy, suppose the proof process were instead a mechanical test from a “guilt machine” that purported to tell us whether a particular defendant was guilty. If the machine reported a result of “guilty,” the defendant could object on the ground that the test itself does a poor job of sorting guilty from innocent defendants (systemic epistemic concerns); or alternatively, the defendant could object on the ground that even if the test is generally good at identifying guilt, there was a problem in administering his test that undermined the particular result (case-specific epistemic concerns). Both appear to be legitimate challenges that a defendant could raise, either of which would undermine the epistemic success of a legal verdict.
    • By analogy, suppose the proof process were instead a mechanical test from a “guilt machine” that purported to tell us whether a particular defendant was guilty
  • 31
    • 85022382773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • I discuss Sorensen's examples in the next section. For a discussion of the problem in the context of substantive criminal law, see Douglas N. Husak & Craig A. Callender, Wilful Ignorance, Knowledge, and the “Equal Culpability” Thesis: A Study of the Deeper Significance of the Principle of Equality, 1994 Wis. L. Rev. 29, 44-53; and for a discussion of the problem in the context of witness testimony and hearsay evidence, see Michael S. Pardo, Testimony, 82 Tul. L. Rev. 119
    • Sorensen, By analogy, suppose the proof process were instead a mechanical test from a “guilt machine” that purported to tell us whether a particular defendant was guilty note 20, is an exception. I discuss Sorensen's examples in the next section. For a discussion of the problem in the context of substantive criminal law, see Douglas N. Husak & Craig A. Callender, Wilful Ignorance, Knowledge, and the “Equal Culpability” Thesis: A Study of the Deeper Significance of the Principle of Equality, 1994 Wis. L. Rev. 29, 44-53; and for a discussion of the problem in the context of witness testimony and hearsay evidence, see Michael S. Pardo, Testimony, 82 Tul. L. Rev. 119 (2007).
    • (2007) Sorensen, By analogy, suppose the proof process were instead a mechanical test from a “guilt machine” that purported to tell us whether a particular defendant was guilty note 20, is an exception
  • 32
    • 34648865957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • in Epistemology Futures 148 (Stephen Hetherington ed., 2006) (“the Gettier problem became a leading focus, if not the focus, of disenchantment with the definition-and-counterexample method of analytic philosophy. In some cases the disenchantment spilled over into scorn; there were slighting references to the ‘S knows that P’ crowd.”). But see Timothy Williamson, The Philosophy of Philosophy 179 (referring to Gettier's article as the “canonical example in the literature on philosophical thought experiments”).
    • See William G. Lycan, On the Gettier Problem Problem, in Epistemology Futures 148 (Stephen Hetherington ed., 2006) (“the Gettier problem became a leading focus, if not the focus, of disenchantment with the definition-and-counterexample method of analytic philosophy. In some cases the disenchantment spilled over into scorn; there were slighting references to the ‘S knows that P’ crowd.”). But see Timothy Williamson, The Philosophy of Philosophy 179 (2007) (referring to Gettier's article as the “canonical example in the literature on philosophical thought experiments”).
    • (2007) On the Gettier Problem Problem
    • Lycan, W.G.1
  • 33
    • 77955765767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 29 Phil. Topics 429-460, reprinted in Experimental Philosophy 17 (J. Knobe & S. Nichols eds., 2008).
    • Jonathan M. Weinberg, Shaun Nichols & Stephen Stich, Normativity and Epistemic Intuitions, 29 Phil. Topics 429-460 (2001), reprinted in Experimental Philosophy 17 (J. Knobe & S. Nichols eds., 2008).
    • (2001) Normativity and Epistemic Intuitions
    • Weinberg, J.M.1    Nichols, S.2    Stich, S.3
  • 34
    • 85022425540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moreover, as Williamson explains, the hypothetical cases themselves (not psychological facts about intuitions) provide evidence for evaluating the counterfactual conditionals they raise. See Williamson, Normativity and Epistemic Intuitions note 45, at 235. Hypothetical Gettier cases provide counterexamples to the modal claim that knowledge coincides with JTBs in all possible cases; actual Gettier cases provide counterexamples to the nonmodal claim that they coincide in all actual cases. Id. at
    • The argument is an abductive one from specific cases to general conclusions; in other words, the examples are given epistemic priority over any general definitions or principles. Moreover, as Williamson explains, the hypothetical cases themselves (not psychological facts about intuitions) provide evidence for evaluating the counterfactual conditionals they raise. See Williamson, Normativity and Epistemic Intuitions note 45, at 235. Hypothetical Gettier cases provide counterexamples to the modal claim that knowledge coincides with JTBs in all possible cases; actual Gettier cases provide counterexamples to the nonmodal claim that they coincide in all actual cases. Id. at 193.
    • The argument is an abductive one from specific cases to general conclusions; in other words, the examples are given epistemic priority over any general definitions or principles , pp. 193
  • 36
    • 85022442659 scopus 로고
    • Gettier cases often involve instances of bad luck (undermining justification) followed by good luck (making the belief true). See Linda Zagzebski, The Inescapability of Gettier Problems, 44 Phil. Q. 65. For a more developed and nuanced discussion of the varieties of luck in epistemology, see Duncan Pritchard, Epistemic Luck (2005).
    • More specifically, Gettier cases often involve instances of bad luck (undermining justification) followed by good luck (making the belief true). See Linda Zagzebski, The Inescapability of Gettier Problems, 44 Phil. Q. 65 (1994). For a more developed and nuanced discussion of the varieties of luck in epistemology, see Duncan Pritchard, Epistemic Luck (2005).
    • (1994) More specifically
  • 37
    • 85022351193 scopus 로고
    • at 154; I. Scheffler, Conditions of Knowledge
    • Lycan, More specifically note 45, at 154; I. Scheffler, Conditions of Knowledge (1965).
    • (1965) More specifically note 45
    • Lycan1
  • 43
    • 85022381966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • For a good overview of the literature on the Gettier problem note note note 1, at 322-323. As in Gettier's examples, the legal examples assume we know the truth. One objection raised during a presentation of an early version of this paper was that we typically never know the truth in legal settings-we only have better or worse evidence-and hence I am not entitled to this assumption. Assuming truth, however, simply allows us to reflect more clearly on the conceptual point regarding a possible disconnect between truth and justification manifested in Gettier cases; it is not an empirical claim about whether we know the truth in any actual cases nor a metaphysical claim about whether such knowledge is possible. In any event, those persuaded by this objection could reframe the examples by describing them as involving two perspectives: our own external perspective, in which we have better evidence, and the fact finders’ internal one, in which they are presented with the trial evidence. In these reframed examples, my analysis would still go through in the relevant respects. The jury would arrive at the same conclusion as we do, although coincidentally; the Gettier-ized gap would now be between our justification and their justification (rather than between the truth and their justification).
    • See Pardo, Field of Evidence, For a good overview of the literature on the Gettier problem note note note 1, at 322-323. As in Gettier's examples, the legal examples assume we know the truth. One objection raised during a presentation of an early version of this paper was that we typically never know the truth in legal settings-we only have better or worse evidence-and hence I am not entitled to this assumption. Assuming truth, however, simply allows us to reflect more clearly on the conceptual point regarding a possible disconnect between truth and justification manifested in Gettier cases; it is not an empirical claim about whether we know the truth in any actual cases nor a metaphysical claim about whether such knowledge is possible. In any event, those persuaded by this objection could reframe the examples by describing them as involving two perspectives: our own external perspective, in which we have better evidence, and the fact finders’ internal one, in which they are presented with the trial evidence. In these reframed examples, my analysis would still go through in the relevant respects. The jury would arrive at the same conclusion as we do, although coincidentally; the Gettier-ized gap would now be between our justification and their justification (rather than between the truth and their justification).
    • Field of Evidence
    • Pardo1
  • 45
    • 85022441585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • However, this runs the risk of collapsing justification into truth. For a discussion, see Zagzebski, The verdict is problematic primarily because it is unsafe-that is, in a number of similar possible worlds the jury would have reached the same result and been in error note
    • Alternatively, one might propose strengthening the concept of justification and concluding that these conclusions are not really justified. However, this runs the risk of collapsing justification into truth. For a discussion, see Zagzebski, The verdict is problematic primarily because it is unsafe-that is, in a number of similar possible worlds the jury would have reached the same result and been in error note 50.
    • Alternatively, one might propose strengthening the concept of justification and concluding that these conclusions are not really justified , pp. 50
  • 47
  • 51
    • 85022385946 scopus 로고
    • See Judith Jarvis Thomson, Liability and Individualized Evidence, 49 Law & Contemp. Probs. 199 see also Redmayne, Id note 1, at 296 (noting that Sorensen's theory is problematic because it would exclude motive evidence).
    • His theory would exclude any “forward-looking” evidence. See Judith Jarvis Thomson, Liability and Individualized Evidence, 49 Law & Contemp. Probs. 199 (1986) see also Redmayne, Id note 1, at 296 (noting that Sorensen's theory is problematic because it would exclude motive evidence).
    • (1986) His theory would exclude any “forward-looking” evidence
  • 52
    • 85022349195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Well-established scientific facts or theories may fail to qualify as “knowledge” under some epistemological theories or conceptions of knowledge, but this does not render them epistemically equivalent to baseless conclusions or mere conjecture. Nor does it render a concept of “scientific knowledge” useless for the philosophy of science or other theoretical endeavors. Likewise, even if legal proof fails to generate genuine knowledge as that concept is understood by some (many) epistemologists, this neither reduces legal judgments to the level of guesses or conjecture, nor does it render a concept of “legal knowledge” theoretically useless for the philosophy of law.
    • An analogy with science may be helpful. Well-established scientific facts or theories may fail to qualify as “knowledge” under some epistemological theories or conceptions of knowledge, but this does not render them epistemically equivalent to baseless conclusions or mere conjecture. Nor does it render a concept of “scientific knowledge” useless for the philosophy of science or other theoretical endeavors. Likewise, even if legal proof fails to generate genuine knowledge as that concept is understood by some (many) epistemologists, this neither reduces legal judgments to the level of guesses or conjecture, nor does it render a concept of “legal knowledge” theoretically useless for the philosophy of law.
    • An analogy with science may be helpful
  • 53
    • 85022416009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analogy with science may be helpful note 46. The simple fact that there is disagreement about the examples does not by itself undermine the examples as sources of evidence. For a discussion of this point, see Williamson, An analogy with science may be helpful note 45, at 192. For example, there is often disagreement among eyewitnesses, but eyewitness testimony remains an important source of knowledge.
    • See Weinberg, Nichols & Stich, An analogy with science may be helpful note 46. The simple fact that there is disagreement about the examples does not by itself undermine the examples as sources of evidence. For a discussion of this point, see Williamson, An analogy with science may be helpful note 45, at 192. For example, there is often disagreement among eyewitnesses, but eyewitness testimony remains an important source of knowledge.
    • Nichols & Stich
    • Weinberg1
  • 54
    • 85022362708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frank Jackson, Book Review: Experimental Philosophy (Knobe & Nichols eds., 2008), Notre Dame Phil. Rev., For an alternative explanation of disagreement about Gettier examples, see Williamson, Nichols & Stich note 45, at 183-190, who suggests that it may have to do with having a better or worse classificatory ability to apply the relevant concepts. He draws an analogy to law students, who learn an ability to apply legal concepts more successfully than those without legal training.
    • See Lycan, Nichols & Stich note 45 Frank Jackson, Book Review: Experimental Philosophy (Knobe & Nichols eds., 2008), Notre Dame Phil. Rev. (2008). For an alternative explanation of disagreement about Gettier examples, see Williamson, Nichols & Stich note 45, at 183-190, who suggests that it may have to do with having a better or worse classificatory ability to apply the relevant concepts. He draws an analogy to law students, who learn an ability to apply legal concepts more successfully than those without legal training.
    • (2008) Nichols & Stich note 45
    • Lycan1
  • 57
  • 58
    • 85022385757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • at 91 (concluding that a convicted defendant in such a situation is entitled to have the conviction reversed).
    • Cf. Duff et al., Id note 20, at 91 (concluding that a convicted defendant in such a situation is entitled to have the conviction reversed).
    • Id note 20
    • Duff1
  • 59
    • 85022451481 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • In Disjunctive Verdict, if we remove the evidence from the false side of the disjunct, there is now insufficient evidence to support a conviction. Likewise, in Fake Cabs, if we admit evidence about the fake cabs, then the evidence is no longer sufficient. Even if the system that produced these verdicts is generally reliable, the examples present case-specific epistemic defects that undermine the verdicts.
    • A similar conclusion applies to the other legal examples. In Disjunctive Verdict, if we remove the evidence from the false side of the disjunct, there is now insufficient evidence to support a conviction. Likewise, in Fake Cabs, if we admit evidence about the fake cabs, then the evidence is no longer sufficient. Even if the system that produced these verdicts is generally reliable, the examples present case-specific epistemic defects that undermine the verdicts.
    • A similar conclusion applies to the other legal examples


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