Biodemography of exceptional longevity: Early-life and mid-life predictors of human longevity

Biodemography and Social Biology

Volumn 58, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 14-39

  Gavrilov, Leonid A ^a   Gavrilova, Natalia S ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGED; ARTICLE; BIRTH ORDER; CASE CONTROL STUDY; FEMALE; HUMAN; LONGEVITY; MALE; MARRIAGE; MATERNAL AGE; PATERNAL AGE; SOCIOECONOMICS; UNITED STATES;

AGED, 80 AND OVER; BIRTH ORDER; CASE-CONTROL STUDIES; FEMALE; HUMANS; LONGEVITY; MALE; MARITAL STATUS; MATERNAL AGE; PATERNAL AGE; SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84860466279     PISSN: 19485565     EISSN: 19485573     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2012.666121     Document Type: Article

References (118)

1. Adams, J. W., and A. B. Kasakoff. 1984. Migration and the family in colonial New England-the view from genealogies. J Fam Hist 9:24-43.
2. 1991. Estimates of census underenumeration based on genealogies. Soc Sci Hist 15: 527-543.
3. Adams, K., A. Schatzkin, T. Harris, V. Kipnis, T. Mouw, R. Ballard-Barbash, A. Hollenbeck, and M. Leitzmann. 2006. Overweight, obesity, and mortality in a large prospective cohort of persons 50 to 71 years old. N Engl J Med 355:763-778. (Pubitemid 44285582)
4. Adkins, G., P. Martin, and L. W. Poon. 1996. Personality traits and states as predictors of subjective well-being in centenarians, octogenarians, and sexagenarians. Psychol Aging 11:408-416. (Pubitemid 26355244)
5. Alter, G. 2004. Height, frailty, and the standard of living: modelling the effects of diet and disease on declining mortality and increasing height. Popul Stud (Camb) 58:265-279. (Pubitemid 39454912)
6. Alter, G., M. Neven, and M. Oris. 2004. Stature in transition-a micro-level study from nineteenthcentury Belgium. Soc Sci Hist 28:231-247. (Pubitemid 38847539)
7. Alter, G., and M. Oris. 2005. Childhood conditions, migration, and mortality: migrants and natives in 19th-century cities. Soc Biol 52:178-191.
8. Anderton, D. L., L. L. Bean, J. D. Willigan, and G. P. Mineau. 1984. Adoption of fertility limitation in an American frontier population: an analysis and simulation of socio-religious subgroups. Soc Biol 31:140-159.
9. Anderton, D. L., N. O. Tsuya, L. L. Bean, and G. P. Mineau. 1987. Intergenerational transmission of relative fertility and life course patterns. Demography 24:467-480.
10. Banks, R. 2000. World War I civilian draft registrations. Online database, Ancestry.com, Provo, UT.
11. Barker, D. J. P. 1992. The fetal and infant origins of adult disease. London: BMJ Books.
12. Barker, D. J. P., E. Kajantie, C. Osmond, K. L. Thornburg, and J. G. Eriksson. 2011. How boys grow determines how long they live. Am J Hum Biol 23:412-416.
13. Barker, D. J. P., P. D. Gluckman, K. M. Godfrey, J. E. Harding, J. A. Owens, and J. S. Robinson. 1993. Fetal nutrition and cardiovascular disease in adult life. Lancet 341:938-941. (Pubitemid 23109122)
14. Barzilai, N., G. Atzmon, C. A. Derby, J. M. Bauman, and R. B. Lipton. 2006. A genotype of exceptional longevity is associated with preservation of cognitive function. Neurology 67:2170-2175. (Pubitemid 46035472)
15. Barzilai, N., and A. R. Shuldiner. 2001. Searching for human longevity genes: the future history of gerontology in the post-genomic era. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 56:M83-M87. (Pubitemid 32121422)
16. Batty, G. D., M. J. Shipley, D. Gunnell, R. Huxley, M. Kivimaki, M. Woodward, C. M. Y. Lee, and G. D. Smith. 2009. Height, wealth, and health: an overview with new data from three longitudinal studies. Econ Hum Biol 7:137-152.
17. Bean, L. L., G. P. Mineau, and D. L. Anderton. 1992. High-risk childbearing: fertility and infant mortality on the American frontier. Soc Sci Hist 16:337-363.
18. Bengtsson, T., and G. R. Mineau. 2009. Early-life effects on socio-economic performance and mortality in later life: a full life-course approach using contemporary and historical sources: introduction. Soc Sci Med 68:1561-1564.
19. Ben-Shlomo, Y., and D. Kuh. 2002. A life course approach to chronic disease epidemiology: conceptual models, empirical challenges and interdisciplinary perspectives. Int J Epidemiol 31:285-293. (Pubitemid 34537777)
20. Bickel, S. E. 2005. Aging (not so) gracefully. Nat Genet 37:1303-1304. (Pubitemid 41722181)
21. Bottini, E., G. F. Meloni, J. MacMurray, M. Ammendola, T. Meloni, and F. Gloria-Bottini. 2001. Maternal age and traits of offspring in humans. Placenta 22:787-789. (Pubitemid 32982715)
22. Breslow, N. E., and N. E. Day. 1993. Statistical methods in cancer research, vol.1: the analysis of case-control studies. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
23. Chan, Y. C., M. Suzuki, and S. Yamamoto. 1997a. Dietary, anthropometric, hematological and biochemical assessment of the nutritional status of centenarians and elderly people in Okinawa, Japan. J Am Coll Nutr 16:229-235. (Pubitemid 27237526)
24. 1997b. Nutritional status of centenarians assessed by activity and anthropometric, hematological and biochemical characteristics. J Nutr Sci Vitaminol 43: 73-81.
25. 1999. A comparison of anthropometry, biochemical variables and plasma amino acids among centenarians, elderly and young subjects. J Am Coll Nutr 18: 358-365.
26. Comings, D. E., and J. Macmurray. 2001. Maternal age as a confounding variable in association studies. Am J Med Genet B Neuropsychiatr Genet 105:564-564.
27. 2006. Maternal age at the birth of the first child as an epistatic factor in polygenic disorders. Am J Med Genet B Neuropsychiatr Genet. 141: 1-6.
28. Costa, D. L. 1993a. Height, wealth, and disease among the native-born in the rural, antebellum North. Soc Sci Hist 17:355-383.
29. -. 1993b. Height, weight, wartime stress, and older age mortality: evidence from the Union Army records. Explor Econ Hist 30:424-449.
30. 2003. Understanding mid-life and older age mortality declines: evidence from Union Army veterans. J Econometrics 112: 175-192.
31. Costa, D. L., and J. Lahey. 2005. Becoming oldest old: evidence from historical U.S. data. Genus 61:125-161.
32. Crimmins, E., and C. Finch. 2006. Infection, inflammation, height, and longevity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:498-503. (Pubitemid 43122430)
33. Crimmins, E. M., and T. Seeman. 2000. Integrating biology into demographic research on health and aging (with a focus on the MacArthur Study of Successful Aging). In Cells and surveys, eds. C. E. Finch, J. W. Vaupel, and K. Kinsella, 9-41. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
34. Crow, J. F. 1997. The high spontaneous mutation rate: is it a health risk? Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 94:8380-8386. (Pubitemid 27335047)
35. 2000. The origins patterns and implications of human spontaneous mutation. Nat Rev Genet 1: 40-47.
36. Elo, I. T., and S. H. Preston. 1992. Effects of early-life condition on adult mortality: a review. Popul Index 58:186-222.
37. Elo, I. T., S. H. Preston, I. Rosenwaike,M. Hill, and T. P. Cheney. 1996. Consistency of age reporting on death certificates and social security records among elderly African Americans. Soc Sci Res 25:292-307. (Pubitemid 126162416)
38. Faig, K. 2001. Reported deaths of centenarians and near-centenarians in the U.S. Social Security Administration's death master file. Paper presented at the Society of Actuaries "Living to 100 and Beyond" international symposium, Florida, January.
39. Finch, C. E., and E. M. Crimmins. 2004. Inflammatory exposure and historical changes in human life-spans. Science 305:1736-1739. (Pubitemid 39249633)
40. Flegal, K., B. Graubard, D. Williamson, and M. Gail. 2005. Excess deaths associated with underweight, overweight, and obesity. JAMA 293:1861-1867. (Pubitemid 40548182)
41. 2007. Impact of smoking and preexisting illness on estimates of the fractions of deaths associated with underweight, overweight, and obesity in the US population. Am J Epidemiol 166: 975-982.
42. Fogel, R.W. 2003. Secular trends in physiological capital: implications for equity in health care. Perspect Biol Med 46:S24-S38. (Pubitemid 36900719)
43. Fogel, R.W., and D. L. Costa. 1997. A theory of technophysio evolution, with some implications for forecasting population, health care costs, and pension costs. Demography 34:49-66.
44. Fontana, L., L. Partridge, and V. D. Longo. 2010. Extending healthy life span: from yeast to humans. Science 328:321-326.
45. Gavrilov, L. A., and N. S. Gavrilova. 1991. The biology of life span: a quantitative approach. New York: Harwood Academic Publisher. -. 1997. Parental age at conception and offspring longevity. Rev. Clin Gerontol 7:5-12.
46. -. 2000. Human longevity and parental age at conception. In Sex and longevity: sexuality, gender, reproduction, parenthood, eds. J.-M. Robine, T. B. L. Kirkwood, and M. Allard, 7-31.
47. Berlin and Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. -. 2001. Biodemographic study of familial determinants of human longevity. Popul 13:197-222.
48. -. 2003. Early-life factors modulating lifespan. In Modulating aging and longevity, ed. S. I. S. Rattan, 27-50. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
49. Gavrilov, L. A., N. S. Gavrilova, V. N. Kroutko, G. N. Evdokushkina, V. G. Semyonova, A. L. Gavrilova, E. V. Lapshin, N. N. Evdokushkina, and Y. E. Kushnareva. 1997. Mutation load and human longevity. Mutat Res 377:61-62. (Pubitemid 27264917)
50. Gavrilov, L. A., N. S. Gavrilova, S. J. Olshansky, and B. A. Carnes. 2002. Genealogical data and the biodemography of human longevity. Soc Biol 49:160-173.
51. Gavrilova, N. S., and L. A. Gavrilov. 1999. Data resources for biodemographic studies on familial clustering of human longevity. Demogr Res 1:1-48.
52. 2007. Search for predictors of exceptional human longevity: using computerized genealogies and Internet resources for human longevity studies. N Am Actuar J 11:49-67.
53. Gloria-Bottini, F., E. Cosmi, M. Nicotra, E. V. Cosmi, and E. Bottini. 2005. Is delayed childbearing changing gene frequencies in western populations? Hum Biol 77:433-441. (Pubitemid 41772671)
54. Groves, R. M. 2006. Nonresponse rates and nonresponse bias in household surveys. Public Opin Q 70:646-675.
55. Guest, M. 1987. Notes from the National Panel Study: linkage and migration in the late nineteenth century. Hist Methods 20:63-77.
56. Hadley, E. C., W. K. Rossi, S. Albert, J. Bailey-Wilson, J. Baron, R. Cawthon, J. C. Christian, et al. 2000. Genetic epidemiologic studies on age-specified traits. Am J Epidemiol 152:1003-1008.
57. Hagberg, B., B. B. Alfredson, L. W. Poon, and A. Homma. 2001. Cognitive functioning in centenarians: a coordinated analysis of results from three countries. J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci 56:P141-P151. (Pubitemid 32397470)
58. Haines, M. R., L. A. Craig, and T. Weiss. 2003. The short and the dead: nutrition, mortality, and the "antebellum puzzle" in the United States. J Econ Hist 63:382-413.
59. Hayward, M. D., and B. K. Gorman. 2004. The long arm of childhood: the influence of early-life social conditions on men's mortality. Demography 41:87-107. (Pubitemid 38762438)
60. Heffner, L. J. 2004. Advanced maternal age: how old is too old? New Engl J Med 351:1927-1929. (Pubitemid 39447130)
61. Hill, M. E., and I. Rosenwaike. 2001. The Social Security Administration's death master file: the completeness of death reporting at older ages. Soc Secur Bull 64:45-51.
62. Hill, M. E., S. H. Preston, I. Rosenwaike, and J. F. Dunagan. 2000. Childhood conditions predicting survival to advanced age among white Americans. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Los Angeles.
63. Hosmer, D. W., and S. Lemeshow. 2001. Applied logistic regression. New York: Wiley & Sons.
64. Hubbard, R. E., M. K. Andrew, and K. Rockwood. 2009. Effect of parental age at birth on the accumulation of deficits, frailty and survival in older adults. Age Ageing 38:380-385.
65. Jang, Y. R., L. W. Poon, and P. Martin. 2004. Individual differences in the effects of disease and disability on depressive symptoms: the role of age and subjective health. Int J Aging Hum Dev 59:125-137. (Pubitemid 39159310)
66. Jeune, B., and J. Vaupel. 1999. Validation of exceptional longevity. Odense, Denmark: Odense University Press.
67. Kalmijn, M., and G. Kraaykamp. 2005. Late or later? A sibling analysis of the effect of maternal age on children's schooling. Soc Sci Res 34:634-650. (Pubitemid 41334976)
68. Kasakoff, A. B., and J. W. Adams. 2000. The effects of migration, place, and occupation on adult mortality in the American North, 1740-1880. Hist Methods 33:115-130. (Pubitemid 30609119)
69. Keefe, D. L., S. Franco, L. Liu, J. Trimarchi, B. Cao, S. Weitzen, S. Agarwal, and M. A. Blasco. 2005. Telomere length predicts embryo fragmentation after in vitro fertilization in women: toward a telomere theory of reproductive aging in women. Am J Obstet Gynecol 192:1256-1260.
70. Kemkes-Grottenthaler, A. 2004. Parental effects on offspring longevity: evidence from 17th to 19th century reproductive histories. Ann Hum Biol 31:139-158. (Pubitemid 38504185)
71. Kerber, R. A., E. O'Brien, K. R. Smith, and R. M. Cawthon. 2001. Familial excess longevity in Utah genealogies. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 56:B130-B139. (Pubitemid 32187136)
72. Kestenbaum, B. 1992. A description of the extreme aged population based on improved Medicare enrollment data. Demography 29:565-580. (Pubitemid 24383880)
73. Kestenbaum, B., and B. R. Ferguson. 2001. Mortality of the extreme aged in the United States in the 1990s, based on improved Medicare data. Paper presented at the Society of Actuaries "Living to 100 and Beyond" international symposium, Orlando, Florida.
74. Kuh, D., and B. Ben-Shlomo. 1997. A life course approach to chronic disease epidemiology. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
75. Lauderdale, D. S., and P. J. Rathouz. 1999. Evidence of environmental suppression of familial resemblance: height among US Civil War brothers. Ann Hum Biol 26:413-426. (Pubitemid 29442445)
76. Li, Y., B. Deeb, W. Pendergrass, and N. Wolf. 1996. Cellular proliferative capacity and life span in small and large dogs. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 51:B403-B408. (Pubitemid 26394066)
77. Lummaa, V., and T. Clutton-Brock. 2002. Early development, survival and reproduction in humans. Trends Ecol Evol 17:141-147. (Pubitemid 34162539)
78. Martin, P., G. da Rosa, and I. C. Siegler. 2006. Personality and longevity: findings from the Georgia Centenarian Study. Age 28:343-352. (Pubitemid 46034231)
79. Michell, A. R. 1999. Longevity of British breeds of dog and its relationships with sex, size, cardiovascular variables and disease. Vet Rec 145:625-629.
80. Miller, R. A., C. Chrisp, and W. Atchley. 2000. Differential longevity in mouse stocks selected for early life growth trajectory. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 55:B455-B461. (Pubitemid 32010271)
81. Miller, R. A., J. M. Harper, A. Galecki, and D. T. Burke. 2002. Big mice die young: early life body weight predicts longevity in genetically heterogeneous mice. Aging Cell 1:22-29.
82. Paajanen, T. A., N. K. J. Oksala, P. Kuukasjarvi, and P. J. Karhunen. 2010. Short stature is associated with coronary heart disease: a systematic review of the literature and a meta-analysis. Eur Heart J 31:1802-1809.
83. Patronek, G. J., D. J. Waters, and L. T. Glickman. 1997. Comparative longevity of pet dogs and humans: implications for gerontology research. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 52:B171-B178. (Pubitemid 27235340)
84. Pellestor, F., T. Anahory, and S. Hamamah. 2005. Effect of maternal age on the frequency of cytogenetic abnormalities in human oocytes. Cytogenet Genome Res 111:206-212. (Pubitemid 41414470)
85. Polani, P. E., and J. A. Crolla. 1991. A test of the production line hypothesis of mammalian oogenesis. Hum Genet 88:64-70.
86. Preston, S. H., I. T. Elo, I. Rosenwaike, andM. Hill. 1996. African-American mortality at older ages: results of a matching study. Demography 33:193-209. (Pubitemid 126420367)
87. Preston, S. H., and M. R. Haines. 1991. Fatal years: child mortality in late nineteenth-century America. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
88. Preston, S. H., M. E. Hill, and G. L. Drevenstedt. 1998. Childhood conditions that predict survival to advanced ages among African-Americans. Soc Sci Med 47:1231-1246. (Pubitemid 28444737)
89. Puca, A. A., M. J. Daly, S. J. Brewster, T.C. Matise, J. Barrett, M. Shea-Drinkwater, S. Kang, et al. 2001. A genome-wide scan for linkage to human exceptional longevity identifies a locus on chromosome 4. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 98:10505-10508. (Pubitemid 32803049)
90. Robine, J. M., A. Cournil, N. Henon, and M. Allard. 2003. Have centenarians had younger parents than the others? Exp Gerontol 38:361-365. (Pubitemid 36379071)
91. Rollo, C. D. 2002. Growth negatively impacts the life span of mammals. Evol Dev 4:55-61. (Pubitemid 37007743)
92. Rosenwaike, I., and M. E. Hill. 1996. The accuracy of age reporting among elderly African Americans: evidence of a birth registration effect. Res Aging 18:310-324. (Pubitemid 26275182)
93. Rosenwaike, I., M. E. Hill, S. H. Preston, and I. T. Elo. 1998. Linking death certificates to early census records: the African American matched records sample (American genealogy). Hist Methods 31:65-74. (Pubitemid 28358895)
94. Rosenwaike, I., and L. F. Stone. 2003. Verification of the ages of supercentenarians in the United States: results of a matching study. Demography 40:727-739. (Pubitemid 38762759)
95. Ruggles, S., J. T. Alexander, K. Genadek, R. Goeken, M. B. Shroeder, and M. Sobek. 2010. Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS), Version 5.0, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
96. Samaras, T. T. 2009. Should we be concerned over increasing body height and weight? Exp Gerontol 44:83-92.
97. Samaras, T. T., H. Elrick, and L. H. Storms. 2003. Is height related to longevity? Life Sci 72:1781-1802. (Pubitemid 36174017)
98. Samaras, T. T., and L. H. Storms. 1992. Impact of height and weight on life-span. Bull. World Health Organ 70:259-267.
99. 2002. Secular growth and its harmful ramifications. Med Hypotheses 58: 93-112.
100. Samaras, T. T., L. H. Storms, and H. Elrick. 2002. Longevity, mortality and body weight. Ageing Res Rev 1:673-691. (Pubitemid 38340324)
101. Sesso, H. D., R. S. Paffenbarger, and I. M. Lee. 2000. Comparison of national death index andWorld Wide Web death searches. Am J Epidemiol 152:107-111. (Pubitemid 30463657)
102. Shrestha, L. B., and I. Rosenwaike. 1996. Can data from the decennial census measure trends in mobility limitation among the aged? Gerontologist 36:106-109. (Pubitemid 26067599)
103. Smith, K. R., A. Gagnon, R. M. Cawthon, G. P. Mineau, R.Mazan, and B. Desjardins. 2009. Familial aggregation of survival and late female reproduction. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 64:740-744.
104. Smith, K. R., G. Garibotti, A. Fraser, and G. P. Mineau. 2005. Adult mortality and geographic proximity of parents in Utah in the 19th and 20th centuries. Paper presented at the IUSSP Symposium on Kinship and Demographic Behavior, Salt Lake City, Utah.
105. Smith, K. R., G. R. Mineau, G. Garibotti, and R. Kerber. 2009. Effects of childhood and middleadulthood family conditions on later-life mortality: evidence from the Utah Population Database, 1850-2002. Soc Sci Med 68:1649-1658.
106. StataCorp. 2009. Stata Statistical Software: Release 11. College Station, TX: StataCorp LP.
107. Stone, L. 2003. Early-life conditions and survival to age 110 in the U.S. Paper presented at the "Early Life Conditions and Longevity: Reconstructive Lives from Cradle to Grave" workshop, Geneva.
108. Suitor, J. J., K. Pillemer, and J. Sechrist. 2006.Within-family differences in mothers' support to adult children. J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci 61:S10-S17. (Pubitemid 43068542)
109. Tarin, J. J., V. Gomez-Piquer, C. Manzanedo, J. Minarro, C. Hermenegildo, and A. Cano. 2003. Longterm effects of delayed motherhood in mice on postnatal development and behavioural traits of offspring. Hum Reprod 18:1580-1587. (Pubitemid 36958034)
110. Tarin, J. J., V. Gomez-Piquer, F. Rausell, S. Navarro, C. Hermenegildo, and A. Cano. 2005. Delayed motherhood decreases life expectancy of mouse offspring. Biol Reprod 72:1336-1343. (Pubitemid 40696076)
111. U.S. Department of Commerce. 1940. Statistical Abstract of the United States 1939. Washington, DC: United States Government Printing Office.
112. Waaler, H. T. 1984. Height, weight and mortality: the Norwegian experience. Acta Medica Scandinavica 215:1-56.
113. Wang, M. H., and F. S. vom Saal. 2000. Maternal age and traits in offspring: the timing of a mouse's first litter influences the development of her pups. Nature 407:469-470.
114. Wells, J. C. K. 2007. The programming effects of early growth. Early Hum Dev 83:743-748. (Pubitemid 350016669)
115. Westendorp, R. G. J., and T. B. L. Kirkwood. 1998. Human longevity at the cost of reproductive success. Nature 396:743-746. (Pubitemid 29024050)
116. Willcox, D. C., B. J. Willcox, H. Todoriki, J. D. Curb, and M. Suzuki. 2006. Caloric restriction and human longevity: what can we learn from the Okinawans? Biogerontology 7:173-177. (Pubitemid 44151629)
117. Woodward, M. 2005. Epidemiology: study design and data analysis. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC.
118. Young, R. D., B. Desjardins, K. McLaughlin, M. Poulain, and T. T. Perls. 2010. Typologies of extreme longevity myths. Curr Gerontol Geriatr Res.