Assessing impact of climate change on forest cover type shifts in Western Himalayan Eco-region

Journal of Forestry Research

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 75-80

  Joshi, P K ^a   Rawat, Asha ^a   Narula, Sheena ^a   Sinha, Vinay ^a  

^a TERI UNIVERSITY   (India)

Author keywords

Climate change; forest cover types; genetic algorithm; shift; western Himalaya

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONIFEROUS FOREST; CONSERVATION PLANNING; DECIDUOUS FOREST; ECOREGION; ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; EVERGREEN FOREST; FOREST COVER; FOREST DYNAMICS; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; FOREST MANAGEMENT; GENETIC ALGORITHM; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; TEMPERATE FOREST; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; VULNERABILITY;

CONIFEROPHYTA;

EID: 84855906010     PISSN: 1007662X     EISSN: 19930607     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11676-012-0235-7     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Agarwal S, Joshi PK, Shukla Y, Roy PS. 2003. SPOT VEGETATION multi temporal data for classifying vegetation in south central Asia. Current Science, 84(11): 1440-1448.
2. Allen CD, Macalady AK, Chenchouni H, Bachelet D, McDowell N, Vennetier M, Kitzberger T, Rigling A, Breshears DD, Hogg EH, Gonzalez P, Fensham R, Zhangm Z, Castro J, Demidova N, Lim J, Allard G, Running SW, Semerci A, Cobb N. 2010. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecology and Management, 259(4): 660-684.
3. Baker B, Diaz H, Hargrove W, Hoffman F. 2010. Use of the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification to evaluate climatic refugia in statistically derived ecoregions for the People's Republic of China. Climatic Change, 98: 113-131.
4. Bryant RH. 1986. Physical Geography. New Delhi: Rupa Co., pp. 273-277.
5. Camarero JJ, Gutierrez E. 2004. Pace and pattern of recent tree line dynamics: response of ecotones to climatic variability in the Spanish Pyreness. Climate Change, 63(1/2): 181-200.
6. Champion HG, Seth SK. 1968. A revised survey of forest types of India. New Delhi: Manager Publication, Government of India.
7. Coops NC, Gillanders SN, Wulder MA, Gergel SE, Nelson T, Goodwin NR. 2010. Assessing changes in forest fragmentation following infestation using time series Landsat imagery. Forest Ecology and Management, 259(12): 2355-2365.
8. Coppin PR, Bauer ME. 1996. Change detection in forest ecosystems with remote sensing digital imagery. Remote Sensing Reviews, 13: 207-234.
9. Cullen LE, Stewart GH, Duncan RP, Palmer JG. 2001. Disturbance and climate warming influences in New Zealand Northofagus tree line population dynamics. Journal of Ecology, 89(6): 1061-1071.
10. Dale VH, Tharp ML, Lannom KO, Hodges DG. 2010. Modelling transient response of forests to climate change. Science of the Total Environment, 408(8): 1888-1901.
11. Fraser R, Abuelgasimb T, Latifovica R. 2005. A method for detecting large-scale forest cover change using coarse spatial resolution imagery. Remote Sensing of Environment, 95(4): 414-427.
12. Gasner MR, Jankowski JE, Ciecka AL, Kyle KO, Rabenold KN. 2010. Projecting the local impacts of climate change on a Central American montane avian community. Biological Conservation, 143(5): 1250-1258.
13. Geri F, Amici V, Rocchini D. 2010. Human activity impact on the heterogeneity of a Mediterranean landscape. Applied Geography, 30(3): 370-379.
14. Godde P, Price MF, Zimmermann FM. 2000. Tourism and Development in Mountain Regions(eds.), Wallingford: CABI Publishing.
15. Guo K, Werger MJA. 2010. Effect of prevailing monsoons on the distribution of beeches in continental East Asia. Forest Ecology and Management, 259(4): 2197-2203.
16. Gustafson EJ, Roberts LJ, Leefers LA. 2006. Linking linear programming and spatial simulation models to predict landscape effects of forest management alternatives. Journal of Environmental Management, 81(4): 339-350.
17. Hanewinkel M, Hummel S, Cullmann DA. 2010. Modelling and economic evaluation of forest biome shifts under climate change in Southwest Germany. Forest Ecology and Environment, 259(4): 710-719.
18. Horikawa M, Tsuyama I, Matsui T, Kominami Y, Tanaka N. 2009. Assessing the potential impacts of climate change on the alpine habitat suitability of Japanese stone Pine (Pinus pumila). Landscape Ecology, 24(1): 115-128.
19. Hotmeier FK, Broll G. 2005. Sensitivity and response of northern hemisphere altitudinal and polar treelines to environmental change at landscape and local scales. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 14(5): 395-410.
20. IIRS (NRSA). 2004. Biome level characterization of Indian vegetation using IRS-WiFS data: ISRO-GBP Project, Working Group III: Biogeocycles and Global Change, Sub-working group: Land Use/Land Cover and Ecosystem Dynamics. Dehradun: Depatment of Space, Government of India.
21. IIRS (NRSA). 2004. Land cover mapping using SPOT-VEGETATION for South Central Asia: TREES 2-GLC 2000/IIRS-JRC. Dehradun: Department of Space, Government of India.
22. IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson (eds). Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York: Cambridge University Press.
23. ISFR. 2009. Forest Survey of India, 2009. Indian State of Forest Report, MoEF. Dehradun: Government of India.
24. Jakeman AJ, Voinov A, Emilio A. 2008. Environmental Modelling, Software and Decision support. Netherland: Elsevier, pp. 1-11.
25. Lasch P, Lindner M, Erhard M, Suckow F, Wenzel A. 2002. Regional impact assessment on forest structure and functions under climate change-the Brandenburg case study. Forest Ecology and Management, 162(1): 73-86.
26. Lenoir J, Gegout JC, Marquet PA, De Ruffray P, Brisse H. 2008. A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century. Science, 320(5884): 1768-1771.
27. Lindner M, Maroschek M, Netherer S, Kremer A, Barbati A, Gonzalo J, Seidl R, Delzon S, Corona P, Kolstrom M, Lexer MJ, Marchetti M. 2010. Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems. Forest Ecology and Management, 259(4): 698-709.
28. Lloyd AH, Graumlich LJ. 1997. Holocene dynamics of tree line forests in the Sierra Nevada. Ecology, 78(4): 1199-1210.
29. Miller KG, Sugarman PJ, Browning JV, Horton BP, Stanley A, Kahn A, Uptegrove J, Aucott M. 2009. Sea-level rise in New Jersey over the past 5000 years: Implications to anthropogenic changes. Global and Planetary Change, 66(1/2): 10-18.
30. Negi SP. 2009. Forest cover in Indian Himalayan states-An overview. Indian Journal of Forestry, 32(1): 1-5.
31. Omann I, Stocker A, Jager J. 2009. Climate change as a threat to biodiversity: An application of the DPSIR approach. Ecological Economics, 69(1): 24-31.
32. Parmesan C, Yohe G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421: 37-42.
33. Peterson AT, Vieglais DA. 2001. Predicting species invasion using ecological niche modeling: new approaches from bioinformatics attack a pressing problem. BioScience, 51(5): 363-371.
34. Ravindranath NH, Sudha P. 2004. Joint Forest Management in India: Spread, Performance and Impacts. Hyderabad: Universities Press.
35. Ravindranath NH, Joshi NV, Sukumar R, Saxena A. 2006. Impacts of Climate Change on Forests in India. Current Science, 90(3): 354-361.
36. Schickhoff U. 2000. Persistence and dynamics of long-lived forest stands in the Karakorum under the influence of climate and man. In: Miehe G, Zhang Y (eds.): Environmental Changes in High Asia. Proceedings of an International Symposium at the University of Marburg. Marburger Geographische Schriften, 135: 250-264.
37. Schickhoff U. 2008. Response of arctic terrestrial ecosystems to recent climate change: biophysical and habitat changes in northern Alaska. Abhandlungen aus dem Westfälischen Museum für Naturkunde, 70(3/4): 343-361.
38. Selkowitz DJ. 2010. A comparison of multi-spectral, multi-angular, and multi-temporal remote sensing datasets for fractional shrub canopy mapping in Arctic Alaska. Remote Sensing of Environment, 114(7): 1338-1352.
39. Soja AJ, Tchebakova NM, French NHF, Flannigan MD, Shugart HH, Stocks BJ, Sukhinin AI, Parfenova EI, Chapin FS, Stackhouse PW. 2007. Climate-induced boreal forest change: Predictions versus current observations. Global and Planetary Change, 56(3-4): 274-296.
40. Suresh HS, Dattaraj HS, Sukumar R. 2010. Relationship between annual rainfall and tree mortality in a tropical dry forest: Results of a 19-year study at Mudumalai, southern India. Forest Ecology and Management, 259(4): 762-769.
41. Thuiller W. 2007. Biodiversity: Climate change and the ecologist. Nature, 448: 550-552.
42. Vennetier M. Ripert C. 2009. Forest flora turnover with climate change in the Mediterranean region: A case study in Southeastern France. Forest Ecology and Management, 258: S56-S63.
43. Wegener M. 2001. Spatial Models and GISIn: Fotheringham and Wegener (ed.), 2001, Spatial Models and GIS: new potential and new models. London: Taylor and Francis Inc., pp. 3-18.
44. Whiteman D. 2000. Mountain Meteorology. Oxford: Oxford University Press. p. 355.
45. Woodall CW, Oswalt CM, Westfall JA, Perry CH, Nelson MD, Finley AO. 2009. An indicator of tree migration in forests of the eastern United States. Forest Ecology and Management, 257(5): 1434-1444.
46. Xu J, Grumbine RE, Shrestha A, Eriksson M, Yang X, Wang Y, Wilkes A. 2009. The melting Himalayas: cascading effects of climate change on water, biodiversity, and Livelihoods. Conservation Biology, 23(3): 520-530.