Higher degree-days at the time of breeding predict size of second clutches in the barn swallow

Climate Research

Volumn 50, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 43-50

  Ambrosini, Roberto ^a   Saino, Nicola ^b   Rubolini, Diego ^b   Møller, Anders Pape ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MILANO BICOCCA   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MILAN   (Italy)

^c UNIVERSITÉ PARIS SUD   (France)

Author keywords

Degree days; Ecological mismatch; Fecundity; Hirundo rustica; Phenology; Thermal delay

Indexed keywords

BIOLOGY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLUTCHES; FORESTRY; PHENOLS; POPULATION STATISTICS;

DEGREE-DAYS; ECOLOGICAL MISMATCH; FECUNDITY; HIRUNDO RUSTICA; PHENOLOGY; THERMAL DELAY;

ECOLOGY;

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; BIOACCUMULATION; BREEDING SEASON; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLUTCH SIZE; FECUNDITY; FITNESS; HIGH TEMPERATURE; MIGRATORY BEHAVIOR; PASSERINE; PHENOLOGY; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION STRUCTURE; REPRODUCTION; REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TROPHIC LEVEL;

EID: 82555192139     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr01034     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Ådahl E, Lundberg P, Jonzén N (2006) From climate change to population change: the need to consider annual lifecycles. Glob Change Biol 12: 1627-1633 (Pubitemid 44270142)
2. Ambrosini R, Rubolini D, Møller AP, Bani L and others (2011) Climate change and the long-term northward shift in the African wintering range of the barn swallow Hirundo rustica. Clim Res 49: 131-141
3. Beale CM, Lennon JJ, Gimona A (2008) Opening the climate envelope reveals no macroscale associations with climate in European birds. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 14908-14912
4. Bonhomme R (2000) Bases and limits to using 'degree-day' units. Eur J Agron 13: 1-10 (Pubitemid 30454035)
5. Both C (2010) Food availability, mistiming, and climatic change. In: Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P (eds) Effects of climate change on birds. Oxford University Press, Oxford, p 129-147
6. Both C, Visser ME (2001) Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird. Nature 411: 296-298 (Pubitemid 32467032)
7. Both C, Bouwhuis S, Lessells CM, Visser ME (2006) Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird. Nature 441: 81-83
8. Both C, van Asch M, Bijlsma RG, van den Burg AB, Visser ME (2009) Climate change and unequal phenological changes across four trophic levels: constraints or adaptations? J Anim Ecol 78: 73-83
9. Buchanan KL, Evans MR (2000) The effect of tail streamer length on aerodynamic performance in the barn swallow. J Anim Ecol 11: 228-238 (Pubitemid 30217966)
10. Chapman DW (1988) Critical review of variables used to define effects of fines in redds of large salmonids. Trans Am Fish Soc 117: 1-21
11. Cramp J (1988) Handbook of the birds of Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. The birds of the Western Palearctic, Vol V. Oxford University Press, Oxford
12. Crick HQP, Sparks TH (1999) Climate change related to egg-laying trends. Nature 399: 423
13. Cummins KW, Klug MJ (1979) Feeding ecology of stream invertebrates. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 10: 147-172
14. Dunn PO (2004) Breeding dates and reproductive performance. Adv Ecol Res 35: 67-85
15. Huntley B (2008) Plant species' response to climate change: implications for the conservation of European birds. Ibis 137: S127-S128
16. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
17. Jackson RD, Idso SB, Reginato RJ, Pinter PJ Jr (1981) Canopy temperature as a crop water stress indicator. Water Resour Res 17: 1133-1138 (Pubitemid 12259625)
18. Lack D (1954) The natural regulation of animal numbers. Clarendon, Oxford
19. Lehikoinen E, Sparks TH, ZalakeviciusM(2004) Arrival and departure dates. In: Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P (eds) Birds and climate change. Academic Press, London, p 1-31 (Pubitemid 39752179)
20. Lindström J, Forchhammer MC (2010) Time-series analyses. In: Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P (eds) Effects of climate change on birds. Oxford University Press, Oxford, p 57-66
21. Møller AP (1994a) Sexual selection and the barn swallow. Oxford University Press, Oxford
22. Møller AP (1994b) Phenotype-dependent arrival time and its consequences in a migratory bird. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 35: 115-122 (Pubitemid 2123730)
23. Møller AP (2002) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) effects of climate on the relative importance of first and second clutches in a migratory passerine birds. J Anim Ecol 71: 201-210 (Pubitemid 34409290)
24. Møller AP (2004) Protandry, sexual selection and climate change. Glob Change Biol 10: 2028-2035 (Pubitemid 40015003)
25. Møller AP (2007) Interval between clutches, fitness and climate change. Behav Ecol 18: 62-70 (Pubitemid 46026313)
26. Møller AP, Martinelli R, Saino N (2004) Genetic variation in infestation with a directly transmitted ectoparasite. J Evol Biol 17: 41-47 (Pubitemid 38162178)
27. Møller AP, Rubolini D, Lehikoinen E (2008) Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 16195-16200
28. Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P (eds) (2010a) Effects of climate change on birds. Oxford University Press, Oxford
29. Møller AP, Flensted-Jensen E, Klarborg K, Mardal W, Nielsen JT (2010b) Climate change affects the duration of the reproductive season in birds. J Anim Ecol 79: 777-784
30. Newton I (2008) The migration ecology of birds. Academic Press, London
31. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42 (Pubitemid 36077078)
32. Peterson AT, Menon S, Xingong L (2010) Recent advances in the climate change biology literature: describing the whole elephant. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 1: 548-555
33. Pinheiro J, Bates D, DebRoy S, Sarkar D, the R Core team (2008) nlme: linear and nonlinear mixed effects models. R package version 3. Available at http: //cran.r-project. org/web/packages/nlme/nlme.pdf (accessed10April 2011)
34. Preuss KP (1983) Day-degree methods for pest management. Environ Entomol 12: 613-619
35. R Development Core Team (2008) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna
36. Ritchie ME (2000) Nitrogen limitation and trophic vs. abiotic influences on insect herbivores in a temperate grassland. Ecology 81: 1601-1612 (Pubitemid 30446145)
37. Rubolini D, Ambrosini R, Caffi M, Brichetti P, Armiraglio S, Saino N (2007) Long-term trends in first arrival and first egg laying dates of some migrant and resident bird species in northern Italy. Int J Biometeorol 51: 553-563 (Pubitemid 47185334)
38. Rubolini D, Saino N, Møller AP (2010) Migratory behaviour constrains the phenological response of birds to climate change. Clim Res 42: 45-55
39. Saino N, Calza S, Ninni P, Møller AP (1999) Barn swallows trade survival against offspring condition and immunocompetence. J Anim Ecol 68: 999-1009 (Pubitemid 29456125)
40. Saino N, Incagli M, Martinelli R, Møller AP (2002) Immune response of male barn swallows in relation to parental effort, corticosterone plasma levels, and sexual ornamentation. Behav Ecol 13: 169-174 (Pubitemid 34290270)
41. Saino N, Ambrosini R, Rubolini D, von Hardenberg J and others (2011) Climate warming, ecological mismatch at arrival and population decline in migratory birds. Proc R Soc B Biol Sci 278: 835-842
42. Schwartz MD (2003) Phenology. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
43. Schwartz MD, Ahas R, Aasa A (2006) Onset of spring starting earlier across the Northern Hemisphere. Glob Change Biol 12: 343-351
44. Simmons A, Uppala S, Dee D, Kobayashi S (2006) ERAInterim: new ECMWF reanalysis products from 1989 onwards. ECMWF, Shinfield Park
45. Turner A (2006) The barn swallow. T & AD Poyser, London
46. Uppala SM, Kållberg PW, Simmons AJ, Andrae U and others (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. QJR Meteorol Soc 131: 2961-3012 (Pubitemid 43186171)
47. Zuur AF, Ieno EI, Walker NJ, Saveliev AA, Smith GM (2009) Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Springer, New York, NY