Diagnosis of embankment dam distresses using Bayesian networks. Part II. Diagnosis of a specific distressed dam

Canadian Geotechnical Journal

Volumn 48, Issue 11, 2011, Pages 1645-1657

  Xu, Y ^a,b   Zhang, L M ^a   Jia, J S ^b  

^a HONG KONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Hong Kong)

^b CHINA INSTITUTE OF WATER RESOURCES AND HYDROPOWER RESEARCH   (China)

Author keywords

Bayesian networks; Dam safety; Diagnosis; Embankment dams; Risk analysis; Seepage

Indexed keywords

DIAGNOSIS; EMBANKMENT DAMS; RISK ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEEPAGE;

DAM SAFETY; LEAKAGE RATES; PRIOR INFORMATION; REMEDIAL MEASURES; SEEPAGE PROBLEM; TWO SOURCES;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; DAM; DATABASE; EMBANKMENT; HYDROGEOLOGY; LEAKAGE; REMEDIATION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; SEEPAGE;

EID: 80355129237     PISSN: 00083674     EISSN: 12086010     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1139/t11-070     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. ANCOLD. 2003. Guidelines on dam safety management. The Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD), Hobart, Australia.
2. British Standards Institution. 1986. Code of practice for foundations. British standard BS-8004. British Standards Institution, London.
3. CDA. 2007. Dam safety guidelines. Canadian Dam Association (CDA), Moose Jaw, Sask.
4. Chen, Q., and Zhang, L.M. 2006. Three-dimensional analysis of water infiltration into the Gouhou rockfill dam using saturatedunsaturated seepage theory. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 43(5): 449-461. doi:10.1139/t06-011.
5. Christian, J.T., Ladd, C.C., and Baecher, G.B. 1994. Reliability applied to slope stability analysis. Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 120(12): 2180-2207. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)07339410(1994)120:12(2180).
6. Duncan, J.M., and Wright, S.G. 2005. Soil strength and slope stability. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, N.J.
7. FEMA. 2004. Federal guidelines for dam safety. U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), Washington, D.C.
8. Foster, M., Fell, R., and Spannagle, M. 2000a. The statistics of embankment dam failures and accidents. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 37(5): 1000-1024. doi:10.1139/t00-030.
9. Foster, M., Fell, R., and Spannagle, M. 2000b. A method for assessing the relative likelihood of failure of embankment dams by piping. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 37(5): 1025-1061. doi:10. 1139/t00-029.
10. Geo-Slope International. 2007. SEEP/W 2007. In GeoStudio, version 7.16 [computer program]. Geo-Slope International, Calgary, Alta.
11. Gimenes, E., and Fernández, G. 2006. Hydromechanical analysis of flow behavior in concrete gravity dam foundations. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 43(3): 244-259. doi:10.1139/t05-095.
12. Hugin Expert A/S. 2004. Hugin Lite [online]. Available from www. hugin.com [accessed 20 January 2009].
13. ICOLD. 1987. Dam safety guidelines. International Commission on Large Dams (ICOLD), Paris.
14. Jensen, F.V. 1996. An introduction to Bayesian networks. Springer, New York.
15. Jensen, F.V. 2001. Bayesian networks and decision graphs. Springer, New York.
16. Lee, C.F. 1996. Watershed modeling and flood routing for safety assessment of an existing dam. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 122(5): 334-341. doi:10.1061/(ASCE) 0733-9496(1996)122:5(334).
17. Li, L., Wang, R.Z., Sheng, J.B., Wang, Z.S., Peng, X.H., and Zhang, S.C. 2006. Risk assessment and risk management for dam. Water Power Press, Beijing. [In Chinese.]
18. Li, H.J., Chi, S.C., Lin, G., and Zhong, H. 2008. A modified approach for determination of nonlinear properties in seismic response analyses for 200 m high core rock-fill dams. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 45(8): 1064-1072. doi:10.1139/T08-045.
19. Mai, J.X. 2005. Hydraulic structures. Tsinghua University Press, Beijing. [In Chinese.]
20. MWR. 1994. Flood control standard, GB50201-94. Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China (MWR), Beijing. [In Chinese.]
21. MWR. 2000. Guidelines on dam safety evaluation, SL258-2000. Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China (MWR), Beijing. [In Chinese.]
22. MWR. 2001. Design code for rolled earth-rock fill dams, SL2742001. Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China (MWR), Beijing. [In Chinese.]
23. National Research Council. 1985. Safety of dams flood and earthquake criteria. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.
24. Niu, Y.G. 2002. Case studies on rehabilitation of dangerous reservoirs. Water Power Press, Beijing. [In Chinese.]
25. Olson, S.M. 2006. Liquefaction analysis of Duncan Dam using strength ratios. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 43(5): 484-499. doi:10.1139/t06-025.
26. Pagano, L., Sica, S., and Desideri, A. 2006. Representativeness of measurements in the interpretation of earth dam behaviour. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 43(1): 87-99. doi:10.1139/t05093.
27. Smith, M., and Konrad, J.M. 2008. Analysis of the annual thermal response of an earth dam for the assessment of the hydraulic conductivity of its compacted till core. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 45(2): 185-195. doi:10.1139/T07-095.
28. Stewart, R.A. 2000. Dam risk management. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Geotechnical and Geological Engineering, Melbourne, Australia, 19-24 November 2000. Technomic Publishing Co., Lancaster. Pa. Vol. 1, pp. 721-748.
29. Wu, G. 2001. Earthquake-induced deformation analyses of the Upper San Fernando Dam under the 1971 San Fernando Earthquake. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 38(1): 1-15. doi:10.1139/t00-086.
30. Xu, Y., and Zhang, L.M. 2009. Breaching parameters for earth and rockfill dams. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 135(12): 1957-1970. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)GT.19435606.0000162.
31. Zhang, L.M., and Chen, Q. 2006. Seepage failure mechanism of the Gouhou rockfill dam during reservoir water infiltration. Soils and Foundations, 46(5): 557-568. doi:10.3208/sandf.46.557.
32. Zhang, J., Zhang, L.M., and Tang, W.H. 2009. Bayesian framework for characterizing geotechnical model uncertainty. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 135(7): 932-940. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0000018.
33. Zhang, J., Tang, W.H., and Zhang, L.M. 2010. Efficient probabilistic back-analysis of slope stability model parameters. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 136(1): 99-109. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0000205.
34. Zhang, L.M., Xu, Y., Jia, J.S., and Zhao, C. 2011. Diagnosis of embankment dam distresses using Bayesian networks. Part I. Global-level characteristics based on a dam distress database. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 48(11): 1630-1644. doi:10.1139/ t11-069.