Bayesian framework for characterizing geotechnical model uncertainty

Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering

Volumn 135, Issue 7, 2009, Pages 932-940

  Zhang, J ^a   Zhang, Limin ^a   Tang, Wilson H ^a  

^a HONG KONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Hong Kong)

Author keywords

Bayesian analysis; Centrifuge model; Reliability; Slope stability; Uncertainty principles

Indexed keywords

CENTRIFUGES; DECISION MAKING; NETWORK FUNCTION VIRTUALIZATION; QUALITY CONTROL; RELIABILITY; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; SLOPE STABILITY;

APPROXIMATE SOLUTION; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CENTRIFUGE MODELING; GEOTECHNICAL MODELING; LIMIT EQUILIBRIUM METHODS; MODEL UNCERTAINTIES; SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLES;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CENTRIFUGAL MODEL TEST; GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING; NUMERICAL MODEL; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; PARAMETERIZATION; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PREDICTION; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; SLOPE STABILITY; STABILITY ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 67649238652     PISSN: 10900241     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0000018     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Ang, A. H.-S., and Tang, W. H. (1984). Probability concepts in engineering planning and design: Design, risk and reliability, Vol. 2, Wiley, New York.
2. Ang, A. H. S., and Tang, W. H. (2007). Probability concepts in engineering: Emphasis on applications to civil and environmental engineering, 2nd Ed., Vol. 1, Wiley, New York.
3. Bishop, A. W. (1955). "The use of the slip circle in the stability analysis of slopes." Geotechnique GTNQA80016-8505, 5, 7-17.
4. Cheung, R. W. M., and Tang, W. H. (2005). "Realistic assessment of slope reliability for effective landslide hazard management." Geotechnique GTNQA80016-8505, 55(1), 85-94.
5. Ching, J., Yen, M. T., and Lin, H. D. (2007). "Model selection issue in calibrating reliability-based resistance factors based on in-situ test data." Proc., 1st Int. Symp. Geotech. Safety and Risk, Tongji University, Shanghai, China, 561-572.
6. Duncan, J. M., and Wright, S. G. (1980). "The accuracy of equilibrium methods of slope stability analysis." Eng. Geol. (Amsterdam) EGGOAO0013-7952, 16, 5-17.
7. Fellenius, W. (1936). "Calculation of the stability of earth dams." Transactions of the 2nd Congress on Large Dams, Vol. 4, International Commission on Large Dams, Paris, 445-463.
8. Fredlund, D. G., and Raharjo, H. (1993). Soil mechanics for unsaturated soils, Wiley, New York.
9. Gelman, B. A., Carlin, B. P., Stem, H. S., and Rubin, D. B. (1995). Bayesian data analysis, Chapman & Hall, London.
10. Gilbert, R. B. (1999). "First-order, second-moment Bayesian method for data analysis in decision making." Geotechnical Engineering Center Report GR99-4, Geotechnical Engineering Center, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Austin, Austin, Tex.
11. Gilbert, R. B., and Tang, W. H. (1995). "Model uncertainty in offshore geotechnical reliability." Proc., 27th Offshore Technology Conf., Society of Petroleum Engineers, Houston, 557-567.
12. Janbu, N., Bjerrum, L., and Kjaernsli, B. (1956). "Soil mechanics applied to some engineering problems." Publication No. 16, Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, Oslo, Norway.
13. Juang, C. H., Fang, S. Y., and Khor, E. H. (2006). "First order reliability method for probabilistic liquefaction triggering analysis using CPT." J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. JGGEFK1090-0241, 132(3), 337-350.
14. Juang, C. H., Rosowsky, D. V., and Tang, W. H. (1999). "Reliability-based method for assessing liquefaction potential of soils." J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. JGGEFK1090-0241, 125(8), 684-689.
15. Juang, C. H., Yang, S. H., and Yuan, H. (2005). "Model uncertainty of shear wave velocity-based method for liquefaction potential evaluation." J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. JGGEFK1090-0241, 131(10), 1274-1282.
16. Juang, C. H., Yang, S. H., Yuan, H., and Khor, E. H. (2004). "Characterization of the uncertainty of Robertson and Wride model for liquefaction potential evaluation." Soil Dyn. Earthquake Eng. SDEEEJ0267-7261, 24(9), 771-780.
17. Kim, M. M. (1980). "Centrifuge model testing of soil slopes." Ph.D. thesis, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, Colo.
18. Kim, M. M., and Ko, H. Y. (1982). "Centrifugal testing of soil slope models." Transportation Research Record. 872, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 7-15.
19. Ko, K. Y. (1988). "Summary of the state of the art in centrifuge model testing." Centrifuges in soil mechanics, W. H. Craig, R. G. James, and A. N. Schofield, eds., Balkema, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 11-18.
20. Krahn, J. (2003). "The 2001 R.M. Hardy lecture: The limits of limit equilibrium analyses." Can. Geotech. J. CGJOAH0008-3674, 40, 643-660.
21. Kurtz, N. R. (1983). Introduction to social statistics, McGraw-Hill, New York.
22. Lacasse, S., and Nadim, F. (1994). "Reliability issues and future challenges in geotechnical engineering for offshore structures." Proc., 7th Int. Conf. on Behaviour of Offshore Structures, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass., 9-38.
23. Morgenstern, N. R., and Price, V. E. (1965). "The analysis of the stability of general slip surfaces." Geotechnique GTNQA80016-8505, 15(1), 79-93.
24. Tang, W. H., and Gilbert, R. B. (1993). "Case study of offshore pile system reliability." Proc., 25th Offshore Technology Conf., Society of Petroleum Engineers, Houston, Tex., 677-686.
25. Wong, F. S. (1985). "Slope reliability and response surface method." J. Geotech. Engrg. JGENDZ0733-9410, 111(1), 32-53.
26. Zhang, J., Tang, W. H., Zhang, L. M., and Zheng, Y. R. (2007). "Calibrating and comparing reliability analysis procedures for slope stability problems." Proc., 1st Int. Symp. Geotech. Safety and Risk, Tongji University, Shanghai, China, 205-216.
27. Zhang, L. L. (2005). "Probabilistic study of slope stability under rainfall condition." Ph.D. thesis, the Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology, Hong Kong.