May the NAO index be used to forecast rain in Spain?

Atmosfera

Volumn 24, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 251-265

  Castro, A ^a   Vidal, M I ^a   Calvo, A I ^b   Fernandez Raga M ^a   Fraile, R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF LEÓN   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITY OF AVEIRO   (Portugal)

Author keywords

Ebro Valley; Forecasting; North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO); Precipitation; Spain

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE PREDICTION; CORRELATION; DATA SET; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL; SEASONAL VARIATION; WEATHER FORECASTING; WEATHER STATION;

SPAIN;

EID: 80055088189     PISSN: 01876236     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Dai A., I. Y. Fung and A. D. Del Genio, 1997. Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900-88. J. Climate 10, 2943-2962.
2. del Río S., A. Penas and R. Fraile, 2005. Analysis of recent climatic variations in Castile and Leon (Spain). Atmos. Res. 73, 69-85. (Pubitemid 39648786)
3. Essenwanger O. M., 1986. Word survey of climatology, Vol. 1 B: Elements of statistical analysis. Elsevier Science Publising Company, Ing., Amsterdam, 532 pp.
4. García N. O., L. Gimeno, L. de la Torre, R. Nieto and J. A. Añel, 2005. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and precipitation in Galicia (Spain). Atmósfera 18, 25-32. (Pubitemid 40210570)
5. Hurrell J. W., 1995. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269, 676-679. (Pubitemid 26439360)
6. Hurrell J. W. and H. van Loon, 1997. Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Climate Change. Proceedings International Workshop on Climatic Change at High Elevation Sites, Wengen, Switzerland, pp. 302-326.
7. IPCC, 2001. Climate Change 2001. The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Pannel on Climate Change (J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, Eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
8. IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Four Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Pannel on Climate Change (S. Solomon, D. Quin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt and H. L. Miller, Eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
9. Isaaks E. H. and R. M. Srivastava, 1989. An introduction to applied geostatistics. Oxford University Press, NY, 592 pp.
10. Lindey D. V. and W. F. Scott, 1984. New Cambridge elementary statistical tables. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 96 pp.
11. Mossmann V. L. F., 2002. Análise especial e temporal das tendêncies das precipitações na Espanha Peninsular. Ph. D. Thesis. Universidad de León, León, Spain, 342 pp.
12. Mossmann V. L. F., A. Castro, R. Fraile, J. Dessens and J. L. Sánchez, 2004. Detection of statistically significant trends in the summer precipitation of mainland Spain. Atmos. Res. 70, 43-53. (Pubitemid 38427626)
13. Muñoz-Díaz D. and F. S. Rodrigo, 2003. Effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the probability for climatic categories of local monthly rainfall in southern Spain. Int. J. Climatol. 23, 381-397. (Pubitemid 36463764)
14. Paulus J. L. H. and M. A. Kohler, 1952. Interpolation of missing precipitation records. Mon. Wea. Rev. 80, 129-133.
15. Romero R., J. A. Guijarro, C. Ramis and S. Alonso, 1998. A 30 years (1964-1993) daily rainfall data base for the Spanish Mediterranean regions: first exploratory study. Int. J. Climatol. 18, 541-560.
16. Romero R., G. Sumner, C. Ramis and A. Genovés, 1999. A classification of the atmospheric circulation in patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area. Int. J. Climatol. 19, 765-785. (Pubitemid 29437771)
17. Tang W. Y., A. H. M. Kassim and S. H. Abubakar, 1996. Comparative studies of various missing data treatment methods - Malaysian experience. Atmos. Res. 42, 247-262.
18. Thompson D. W. J. and J. M. Wallace, 1998. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, 1297-1300. (Pubitemid 28437547)
19. Trigo R. M., D. Pozo-Vázquez, T. J. Osborn, Y. Castro-Diez, S. Gámiz-Fortis and M. J. Esteban-Parra, 2004. North Atlantic Oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula. Int. J. Climatol. 24, 925-944. (Pubitemid 38904906)
20. Walsh J. E., 1996. Recent decrease of sea level pressure in the central Arctic. J. Climate 9, 480-486.
21. Wanner H., S. Brönnimann, C. Casty, D. Gyalistras, J. Luterbacher, C. Schmutz, D. B. Stephenson and E. Xoplaki, 2001. North Atlantic Oscillation - Concepts and studies. Surveys in Geophysics 22, 321-382. (Pubitemid 34189055)
22. Watanabe M. and T. Nitta, 1999. Decadal changes in the atmospheric circulation and associated surface climate variations in the Northern Hemisphere winter. J. Climate 12, 494-510. (Pubitemid 29347980)