Decadal changes in the atmospheric circulation and associated surface climate variations in the Northern Hemisphere winter

Journal of Climate

Volumn 12, Issue 2, 1999, Pages 494-510

  Watanabe, Masahiro ^a   Nitta, Tsuyoshi ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS; ATMOSPHERIC STRUCTURE; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; SNOW; STATISTICAL TESTS;

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST);

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; WINTER;

EID: 0033080350     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<0494:DCITAC>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Barnston, A. G., and R. E. Livezey, 1987: Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1083-1126.
2. Bjerknes, J., 1964: Atlantic air-sea interaction. Advances in Geophysics, Vol. 10, Academic Press, 1-82.
3. Bretherton, C. S., C. Smith, and J. M. Wallace, 1992: An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J. Climate, 5, 541-560.
4. Cayan, D. R., 1992: Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the northern oceans: The connection to monthly atmospheric circulation. J. Climate, 5, 354-369.
5. Cheng, X., G. Nitsche, and J. M. Wallace, 1995: Robustness of low-frequency circulation patterns derived from EOF and rotated EOF analysis. J. Climate, 8, 1709-1713.
6. Deser, C., and M. Blackmon, 1993: Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during winter: 1900-1989. J. Climate, 6, 1743-1753.
7. _, and _, 1995: On the relationship between tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperature variations. J. Climate, 8, 1677-1680.
8. Graham, N. E., 1994: Decadal-scale climate variability in the tropical and North Pacific during the 1970s and 1980s: Observations and model results. Climate Dyn., 10, 135-162.
9. Groisman, P. Y., T. R. Karl, R. W. Knight, and G. L. Stenchikov, 1994: Changes of snow cover, temperature, and radiative heat balance over the Northern Hemisphere. J. Climate, 7, 1633-1656.
10. Holton, J. R., and H. C. Tan, 1980: The influence of the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation on the global circulation at 50 mb. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 2200-2208.
11. Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
12. _, 1996: Influence of variations in extratropical wintertime teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 665-668.
13. Iwasaka, N., and J. M. Wallace, 1995: Large scale air sea interaction in the Northern Hemisphere from a view point of variations of surface heat flux by SVD analysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 73, 781-794.
14. James, I. N., and P. M. James, 1989: Ultra-low-frequency variability in a simple atmospheric circulation model. Nature, 342, 53-55.
15. Jones, P. D., S. C. B. Raper, R. S. Bradley, H. F. Diaz, P. M. Kelly, and T. M. Wigley, 1986: Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature variations: 1851-1984. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 25, 161-179.
16. Kawamura, R., 1994: A rotated EOF analysis of global sea-surface temperature variability with interannual and interdecadal scales. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24, 707-715.
17. Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2625-2643.
18. Kitoh, A., H. Koide, K. Kodera, S. Yukimoto, and A. Noda, 1996: Interannual variability in the stratospheric-tropospheric circulation in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 543-546.
19. Kushnir, Y., 1994: Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions. J. Climate, 7, 141-157.
20. _, and J. M. Wallace, 1989: Low-frequency variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter: Geographical distribution, structure, and time-scale dependence. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3122-3142.
21. Lanzante, J. R., 1984: A rotated eigenanalysis of the correlation between 700 mb heights and sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 2270-2280.
22. Latif, M., and T. P. Barnett, 1994: Causes of decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America. Science, 266, 634-637.
23. _, and _, 1996: Decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America: Dynamics and predictability. J. Climate, 9, 2407-2423.
24. Mann, M. E., and J. Park, 1994: Global-scale modes of surface temperature variability on interannual to century timescales. J. Geophys. Res., 99, 25 819-25 833.
25. Maslanik, J. A., M. C. Serreze, and R. G. Barry, 1996: Recent decreases in Arctic summer ice cover and linkages to atmospheric circulation anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1677-1680.
26. Nakamura, H., G. Lin, and T. Yamagata, 1997: Decadal climate variability in the North Pacific during the recent decades. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 2215-2225.
27. Nitta, T., and S. Yamada, 1989: Recent warming of tropical sea surface temperature and its relationship to the Northern Hemisphere circulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 67, 375-383.
28. North, G., T. Bell, R. Cahalan, and F. Moeng, 1982: Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 699-706.
29. Richman, M. B., 1986: Rotation of principal components. J. Climatol., 6, 293-335.
30. Rogers, J. C., 1984: The association between the North Atlantic oscillation and the Southern Oscillation in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 1999-2015.
31. Tachibana, Y., M. Honda, and K. Takeuchi, 1996: The abrupt decrease of the sea ice over the southern part of the sea of Okhotsk in 1989 and its relation to the recent weakening of the Aleutian low. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 579-584.
32. Tanaka, H. L., R. Kanohgi, and T. Yasunari, 1996: Recent abrupt intensification of the northern polar vortex since 1988. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 947-954.
33. Tanimoto, Y., N. Iwasaka, K. Hanawa, and Y. Toba, 1993: Characteristic variations of sea surface temperature with multiple timescales in the North Pacific. J. Climate, 6, 1153-1160.
34. Thompson, D. W. J., and J. M. Wallace, 1998: The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 1297-1300.
35. Ting, M., M. P. Hoerling, T. Xu, and A. Kumar, 1996: Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns during extreme phases of the zonal-mean circulation. J. Climate, 9, 2614-2633.
36. Trenberth, K. E., 1990: Recent observed interdecadal climate changes in the Northern Hemisphere. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71, 988-993.
37. _, and D. A. Paolino, 1981: Characteristic patterns of variability of sea level pressure in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1169-1189.
38. _, and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dyn., 9, 303-319.
39. _, and T. J. Hoar, 1996: The 1990-1995 El Niño-Southern Oscillation event: Longest on record. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 57-60.
40. Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 784-812.
41. _, C. Smith, and Q. Jiang, 1990: Spatial patterns of atmosphere-ocean interaction in the northern winter. J. Climate, 3, 990-998.
42. _, _, and C. S. Bretherton, 1992: Singular value decomposition of wintertime sea surface temperature and 500-mb height anomalies. J. Climate, 5, 561-576.
43. _, Y. Zhang, and J. A. Renwick, 1995: Dynamic contribution to hemispheric mean temperature trends. Science, 270, 780-783.
44. Walsh, J., W. Chapman, and T. Shy. 1996: Recent decrease of sea level pressure in the central Arctic. J. Climate, 9, 480-486.
45. Watanabe, M., and T. Nitta, 1998: Relative impacts of snow and sea surface temperature anomalies on an extreme phase in the winter atmospheric circulation. J. Climate, 11, 2837-2857.
46. Wiesnet, D. R., C. F. Ropelewski, G. J. Kukla, and D. A. Robinson, 1987: A discussion of accuracy of NOAA satellite-derived global snow cover measurements. Large Scale Effects of Seasonal Snow Cover, IHAS Publ. 166, 291-304.
47. Yonetani, T., 1992: Discontinuous changes of precipitation in Japan after 1900 detected by the Lepage test. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 70, 95-104.
48. Zhang, Y. Z., J. M. Wallace, and D. S. Battisti, 1997: ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900-1993. J. Climate, 10, 1004-1020.