Cumulative probability of false-positive recall or biopsy recommendation after 10 years of screening mammography; a cohort study

Annals of Internal Medicine

Volumn 155, Issue 8, 2011, Pages 481-492

  Hubbard, Rebecca A ^a   Kerlikowske, Karla ^b   Flowers, Chris I ^c   Yankaskas, Bonnie C ^d   Zhu, Weiwei ^a   Miglioretti, Diana L ^a  

^a GROUP HEALTH RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c H LEE MOFFITT CANCER CENTER AND RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; BREAST BIOPSY; BREAST CANCER; BREAST EXAMINATION; CANCER DIAGNOSIS; CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY; CANCER INCIDENCE; CANCER INVASION; CANCER RISK; CANCER SCREENING; CANCER STAGING; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DIAGNOSTIC TEST ACCURACY STUDY; FEMALE; HUMAN; HUMAN TISSUE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MAMMOGRAPHY; MEDICAL HISTORY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROSPECTIVE STUDY;

EID: 80054739549     PISSN: 00034819     EISSN: 15393704     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.7326/0003-4819-155-8-201110180-00004     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Humphrey LL, Helfand M, Chan BK, Woolf SH. Breast cancer screening: a summary of the evidence for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med. 2002;137:347-60.
2. Nelson HD, Tyne K, Naik A, Bougatsos C, Chan BK, Humphrey L; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for breast cancer: an update for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med. 2009;151:727-37, W237-42.
3. Smith RA, Duffy SW, Gabe R, Tabar L, Yen AM, Chen TH. The randomized trials of breast cancer screening: what have we learned? Radiol Clin North Am. 2004;42:793-806.
4. Nyström L, Andersson I, Bjurstam N, Frisell J, Nordenskjöld B, Rutqvist LE. Long-term effects of mammography screening: updated overview of the Swedish randomised trials. Lancet. 2002;359:909-19.
5. Tabár L, Vitak B, Chen HH, Duffy SW, Yen MF, Chiang CF, et al. The Swedish Two-County Trial twenty years later. Updated mortality results and new insights from long-term follow-up. Radiol Clin North Am. 2000;38:625-51.
6. Yankaskas BC, Taplin SH, Ichikawa L, Geller BM, Rosenberg RD, Carney PA, et al. Association between mammography timing and measures of screening performance in the United States. Radiology. 2005;234:363-73.
7. Montgomery M. Uncertainty during breast diagnostic evaluation: state of the science. Oncol Nurs Forum. 2010;37:77-83.
8. Taplin SH, Abraham L, Geller BM, Yankaskas BC, Buist DS, Smith- Bindman R, et al. Effect of previous benign breast biopsy on the interpretive performance of subsequent screening mammography. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2010; 102:1040-51.
9. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for breast cancer: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2009; 151:716-26, W-236.
10. Elmore JG, Barton MB, Moceri VM, Polk S, Arena PJ, Fletcher SW. Ten-year risk of false positive screening mammograms and clinical breast examinations. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:1089-96.
11. Xu JL, Fagerstrom RM, Prorok PC, Kramer BS. Estimating the cumulative risk of a false-positive test in a repeated screening program. Biometrics. 2004;60: 651-60.
12. Blanchard K, Colbert JA, Kopans DB, Moore R, Halpern EF, Hughes KS, et al. Long-term risk of false-positive screening results and subsequent biopsy as a function of mammography use. Radiology. 2006;240:335-42.
13. Baker SG, Erwin D, Kramer BS. Estimating the cumulative risk of false positive cancer screenings. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2003;3:11.
14. Barlow WE, Chi C, Carney PA, Taplin SH, D'Orsi C, Cutter G, et al. Accuracy of screening mammography interpretation by characteristics of radiologists. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2004;96:1840-50.
15. Christiansen CL, Wang F, Barton MB, Kreuter W, Elmore JG, Gelfand AE, et al. Predicting the cumulative risk of false-positive mammograms. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2000;92:1657-66.
16. Elmore JG, Jackson SL, Abraham L, Miglioretti DL, Carney PA, Geller BM, et al. Variability in interpretive performance at screening mammography and radiologists' characteristics associated with accuracy. Radiology. 2009;253: 641-51.
17. Smith-Bindman R, Chu P, Miglioretti DL, Quale C, Rosenberg RD, Cutter G, et al. Physician predictors of mammographic accuracy. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2005;97:358-67.
18. Carney PA, Miglioretti DL, Yankaskas BC, Kerlikowske K, Rosenberg R, Rutter CM, et al. Individual and combined effects of age, breast density, and hormone replacement therapy use on the accuracy of screening mammography. Ann Intern Med. 2003;138:168-75.
19. Ballard-Barbash R, Taplin SH, Yankaskas BC, Ernster VL, Rosenberg RD, Carney PA, et al. Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium: a national mammography screening and outcomes database. AJR Am J Roentgenol. 1997;169: 1001-8.
20. Hubbard RA, Miglioretti DL, Smith RA. Modelling the cumulative risk of a false-positive screening test. Stat Methods Med Res. 2010;19:429-49.
21. American College of Radiology. Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) Atlas. Reston, VA: American College of Radiology; 2003.
22. American Joint Committee on Cancer. Manual for Staging of Cancer. 6th ed. Philadelphia: JB Lippincott; 2002.
23. Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium. BCSC Glossary of Terms. 2010. Accessed at http://breastscreening.cancer.gov/data/bcsc_data_definitions.pdf on 31 May 2011.
24. White E, Miglioretti DL, Yankaskas BC, Geller BM, Rosenberg RD, Kerlikowske K, et al. Biennial versus annual mammography and the risk of late-stage breast cancer. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2004;96:1832-9.
25. Graubard BI, Korn EL. Predictive margins with survey data. Biometrics. 1999;55:652-9.
26. Lane PW, Nelder JA. Analysis of covariance and standardization as instances of prediction. Biometrics. 1982;38:613-21.
27. Cook AJ, Elmore JG, Miglioretti DL, Sickles EA, Aiello Bowles EJ, Cutter GR, et al. Decreased accuracy in interpretation of community-based screening mammography for women with multiple clinical risk factors. J Clin Epidemiol. 2010;63:441-51.
28. Kerlikowske K, Carney PA, Geller B, Mandelson MT, Taplin SH, Malvin K, et al. Performance of screening mammography among women with and without a first-degree relative with breast cancer. Ann Intern Med. 2000;133:855-63.
29. LE, Barlow WE, Anderson ML, Taplin SH, Geller BM, Brenner RJ; National Cancer Institute-sponsored Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium. Time trends in radiologists' interpretive performance at screening mammography from the community-based Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium, 1996-2004. Radiology. 2010;256:74-82.
30. Gelfand AE, Wang F. Modelling the cumulative risk for a false-positive under repeated screening events. Stat Med. 2000;19:1865-79.
31. Brewer NT, Salz T, Lillie SE. Systematic review: the long-term effects of false-positive mammograms. Ann Intern Med. 2007;146:502-10.
32. Zagouri F, Sergentanis TN, Gounaris A, Koulocheri D, Nonni A, Domeyer P, et al. Pain in different methods of breast biopsy: emphasis on vacuum-assisted breast biopsy. Breast. 2008;17:71-5.
33. Yazici B, Sever AR, Mills P, Fish D, Jones SE, Jones PA. Scar formation after stereotactic vacuum-assisted core biopsy of benign breast lesions. Clin Radiol. 2006;61:619-24.
34. Beam CA, Layde PM, Sullivan DC. Variability in the interpretation of screening mammograms by US radiologists. Findings from a national sample. Arch Intern Med. 1996;156:209-13.
35. Elmore JG, Miglioretti DL, Reisch LM, Barton MB, Kreuter W, Christiansen CL, et al. Screening mammograms by community radiologists: variability in false-positive rates. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2002;94:1373-80.
36. Food and Drug Administration. Mammography Quality Standards Act and Program. MQSA national statistics. Accessed at www.fda.gov/Radiation-EmittingProducts/MammographyQualityStandardsActandProgram/FacilityScorecard/ucm113858.htm on 20 May 2011.
37. Pisano ED, Gatsonis C, Hendrick E, Yaffe M, Baum JK, Acharyya S, et al; Digital Mammographic Imaging Screening Trial (DMIST) Investigators Group. Diagnostic performance of digital versus film mammography for breastcancer screening. N Engl J Med. 2005;353:1773-83.
38. Pisano ED, Hendrick RE, Yaffe MJ, Baum JK, Acharyya S, Cormack JB, et al; DMIST Investigators Group. Diagnostic accuracy of digital versus film mammography: exploratory analysis of selected population subgroups in DMIST. Radiology. 2008;246:376-83.