Changes in summer monsoon rainfall in the Upper Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand

Climate Research

Volumn 49, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 155-168

  Singhrattna, Nkrintra ^a   Babel, Mukand Singh ^a  

^a ASIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Thailand)

Author keywords

Climate change; Ping River Basin; Thailand rainfall; Upper Chao Phraya River Basin

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC VARIABLES; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; DOWN-SCALING; DRY AND WET; EXTREME EVENTS; GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMICS LABORATORIES; K-NEAREST NEIGHBORS; MERIDIONAL WINDS; NORTHERN THAILAND; PING RIVER BASIN; PRE-MONSOON; RIVER BASINS; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; SOUTH CHINA SEA; SUMMER MONSOON RAINFALL; SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES; THAILAND; UPPER CHAO PHRAYA RIVER BASIN;

ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMICS; CLIMATE MODELS; RAIN; RIVERS; SEA LEVEL; WATERSHEDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE PREDICTION; DATA ACQUISITION; DOWNSCALING; EXTREME EVENT; FLUID DYNAMICS; MERIDIONAL CIRCULATION; MONSOON; NEAREST NEIGHBOR ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PROBABILITY; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS; ZONAL WIND;

CHAO PHRAYA BASIN; PACIFIC OCEAN; SOUTH CHINA SEA; THAILAND;

EID: 80054075342     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr01015     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Bhaskaran B, Mitchell JFB (1998) Simulated changes in Southeast Asian monsoon precipitation resulting from anthropogenic emission. Int J Climatol 18: 1455-1462 (Pubitemid 29121194)
2. Bronstert A (2004) Rainfall-runoff modelling for assessing impacts of climate and land-use change. Hydrol Process 18: 567-570 (Pubitemid 38300813)
3. Chen TC, Yoon JH (2000) Interannual variation in Indochina summer monsoon rainfall: possible mechanism. J Clim 13: 1979-1986
4. Chinvanno S (2009) Future climate projection for Thailand and surrounding countries: climate change scenario of 21st century. 1st China-Thailand Joint Seminar on Climate Change, Bangkok
5. Croke BFW, Merritt WS, Jakeman AJ (2004) A dynamic model for predicting hydrologic response to land cover changes in gauged and ungauged catchments. J Hydrol (Amst) 291: 115-131 (Pubitemid 38484897)
6. Delworth TL, Stouffer RJ, Dixon KW, Spelman MJ and others (2002) Review of simulations of climate variability and change with the GFDL R30 coupled climate model. Clim Dyn 19: 555-574
7. ESRL (Earth System Research Laboratory) (2008) Interactive plotting and analysis: linear monthly/seasonal correlations. Available at: www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation
8. Eum HI, Simonovic SP, Kim YO (2010) Climate change impact assessment using k-nearest neighbor weather generator: case study of the Nakdong River Basin in Korea. J Hydrol Eng 15: 772-785
9. Gangopadhyay S, Clark M, Rajagopalan B (2005) Statistical downscaling using k-nearest neighbors. Water Resour Res 41: W02024 doi: 10.1029/2004WR003444 (Pubitemid 40393942)
10. Grantz K, Rajagopalan B, Clark M, Zagona E (2005) A technique for incorporating large-scale climate information in basin-scale ensemble streamflow forecasts. Water Resour Res 41: W10410 doi: 10.1029/2004WR003467 (Pubitemid 41705695)
11. Haan CT (2002) Statistical methods in hydrology, 2nd edn. Iowa State Press, Ames, IA
12. Hamlet AF, Huppert D, Lettenmaier DP (2002) Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower. J Water Resour Plan Manag 128: 91-101 (Pubitemid 34235578)
13. Hansen J, Ruedy R, Sato M, Lo K (2010) Global surface temperature change. Rev Geophys 48: RG4004 doi: 10.1029/2010RG000345
14. IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
15. IPCC (2007) IPCC fourth assessment report: climate change 2007, global average temperatures. Available at: www.ipcc. ch/publications-and-data/ar4/wg1/ en/tssts-3-1-1.html
16. IPCC-DDC (IPCC Data Distribution Centre) (2009) TAR GCM data. Available at: www.mad.zmaw.de/IPCC-DDC/html/SRES-TAR/index.html
17. Jenkins GJ, Perry MC, Prior MJ (2008) The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends. Met Office Hadley Center, Exeter
18. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W and others (1996) The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis 40-year project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77: 437-471
19. Kanae S, Oki T, Musiake K (2001) Impact of deforestation on regional precipitation over the Indochina Peninsula. J Hydrometeorol 2: 51-70
20. Koocheki A, Nassiri M, Soltani A, Sharifi H, Ghorbani R (2006) Effects of climate change on growth criteria and yield of sunflower and chickpea crops in Iran. Clim Res 30: 247-253
21. Krishna Kumar K, Soman MK, Rupakumar K (1995) Seasonal forecasting of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a review. Weather 50: 449-467
22. Loader C (1999) Local regression and likelihood. Springer, New York, NY
23. Maslin M (2007) Global warming: causes, effects and the future. MBI Publishing Company LLC, Minneapolis, MN
24. McCabe GJ, Dettinger MD (2002) Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variation in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate. J Hydrometeorol 3: 13-25
25. Mitchell JFB (1989) The 'greenhouse' effect and climate change. Rev Geophys 27: 115-139
26. Moriondo M, Bindi M (2006) Comparison of temperature simulated by GCMs, RCMs and statistical downscaling: potential application in studies of future crop development. Clim Res 30: 149-160
27. NASA (2010) The ups and downs of global warming. Available at: www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/ups Downs Global Warming.html
28. NIC (National Intelligence Council) (2009) Southeast Asia and Pacific Islands: the impact of climate change to 2030. Spec Rep NIC2009-006D. NIC, Washington, DC
29. Owosina A (1992) Methods for assessing the space and time variability of ground water data. MSc thesis, Utah State University, Logan
30. Paeth H, Scholten A, Friederichs P, Hense A (2008) Uncertainties in climate change prediction: El Niño-Southern Oscillation and monsoons. Global Planet Change 60: 265-288
31. Podestá G, Bert F, Rajagopalan B, Apipattanavis S and others (2009) Decadal climate variability in the Argentine Pampas: regional impacts of plausible climate scenarios on agricultural systems. Clim Res 40: 199-210
32. Prairie J, Rajagopalan B, Fulp T, Zagona E (2006) Modified k-nn model for stochastic streamflow simulation. J Hydrol Eng 11: 371-378
33. Rajagopalan B, Lall U (1999) A k-nearest-neighbor simulation for daily precipitation and other weather variables. Water Resour Res 35: 3089-3101 (Pubitemid 29461972)
34. Schöngart J, Junk WJ (2007) Forecasting the flood-pulse in Central Amazonia by ENSO-indices. J Hydrol (Amst) 335: 124-132 (Pubitemid 46331845)
35. Sharif M, Burn DH (2007) Improved k-nearest neighbor weather generating model. J Hydrol Eng 12: 42-51 (Pubitemid 44942488)
36. Singhrattna N, Rajagopalan B, Clark M, Kumar KK (2005a) Forecasting Thailand summer monsoon rainfall. Int J Climatol 25: 649-664 (Pubitemid 40595196)
37. Singhrattna N, Rajagopalan B, Kumar KK, Clark M (2005b) Interannual and interdecadal variability of Thailand summer monsoon season. J Clim 18: 1697-1708 (Pubitemid 41052669)
38. Singhrattna N, Babel MS, Perret SR (in press) Hydroclimate variability and long leading prediction of Thailand rainfall by large-scale atmospheric variables. Hydrolog Sci J
39. Tao F, Yokozawa M, Hayashi Y, Lin E (2003) Terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change. Ambio 32: 295-301 (Pubitemid 36872341)
40. TMD (Thailand Meteorological Department) (2010) Climate statistics: climate charts. Available at: www.tmd.go.th/en/climate.php?FileID=7
41. Trenberth KE (2008) The impact of climate change and variability on heavy precipitation, floods, and droughts. In: Anderson MG (ed) Encyclopedia of hydrological sciences. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, p 1-11
42. UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) (2003) How will global warming affect my world? UNEP, Geneva.