Exploring ecosystem service issues across diverse knowledge domains using Bayesian Belief Networks

Progress in Physical Geography

Volumn 35, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 681-699

  Haines Young, Roy ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NOTTINGHAM   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

analytical deliberative techniques; Bayesian Belief Networks; BBN; mapping ecosystem services; multicriteria methods; non monetary valuation; scenarios

Indexed keywords

ANALYTICAL METHOD; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUE; GIS; KNOWLEDGE; MAPPING; MODELING; MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS; STAKEHOLDER; VALUATION;

EID: 80053604343     PISSN: 03091333     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0309133311422977     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Bateman I, Abson aD, Andrews B, Crowe A, Darnell A, Dugdale,x /xet-alet al/et-al. (2011) Valuing changes in ecosystem services: Scenario analysesc Assessment, Technical Report. Cambridge: UNEP-WCMC, Chapter 26.
2. Bunce RGH, Barr CJ, Clarke RT, Howard DC and Lane AMJ (1996) ITE Merlewood land classification of Great Britain. Journal of Biogeography 23(5): 625-634.
3. Burkhard B, Kroll F, Müller F and Windhorst W (2009) Landscapes' capacities to provide ecosystem services - a concept for land-cover based assessments. Landscape Online 15: 1-22.
4. Cain J (2001) Planning Improvements in Natural Resources Management: Guidelines for Using Bayesian Networks to Support the Planning and Management of DevelopmentProgrammes in theWater Sector and Beyond.Wallingford: Centre for Ecology and Hydrology.
5. Cantarello E, Newton AC and Hill RA (2011) Potential effects of future land-use change on regional carbon stocks in the UK. Environmental Science and Policy 14(1): 40-52.
6. Chan KMA, Shaw MR, Cameron DR, Underwood EC and Daily GC (2006) Conservation planning for ecosystem services. PLoS Biology 4(11): 2138-2152.
7. Conte M, Nelson E, Carney K, Fissore C, Olwero N, Plantinga AJ, et al. (2010) Terrestrial carbon sequestration and storage. In: Karvera P, Tallis H, Ricketts TH, Daily GC and Polasky S (eds) Natural Capital. Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 111-128.
8. Creedy J, Doran H, Duffield S, George N Kass G(2009) England's Natural Environment in 2060 - Issues, Implications and Scenarios. Sheffield: Natural England.
9. De Groot R, Fisher B, Christie M, Aronson J, Braat L, Gowdy J, et al. (2010) Integrating the ecological and economic dimensions in biodiversity and ecosystem service valuation. In Kumar P (ed.) The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Ecological and Economic Foundations. London: Earthscan, 9-40.
10. Eaton JM, McGoff NM, Byrne KA, Leahy P and Kiely G (2008) Land cover change and soil organic carbon stocks in the Republic of Ireland 1851-2000. Climatic Change 91(3-4): 317-334.
11. Fish R (2011) Environmental decision making and an ecosystems approach: Somechallenges fromthe perspective of social science. Progress in Physical Geography 35(5): 671-680.
12. Fisher B, Turner RK, Burgess ND, Swetnam RD, Green J, Green R, et al. (2011)Measuring, modeling andmapping ecosystem services in the Eastern Arc Mountains of Tanzania. Progress in Physical Geography 35(5): 595-611.
13. Haines-Young RH, Potschin M (2010) The links between biodiversity, ecosystem services and human well-being. In Raffaelli D and Frid C (eds) Ecosystem Ecology: A New Synthesis. BES Ecological Reviews Series. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 110-139.
14. Haines-Young RH, Paterson J and Potschin M (2011) The UK NEA scenarios: Development of storylines and analysis of outcomes. In: UK National Ecosystem Assessment, Technical Report. Cambridge: UNEPWCMC, Chapter 25.
15. Helming K, Diehl K, Bach H, Dilly O, König B, Kuhlman T, et al. (2011) Ex ante impact assessment of policies affecting land use, Part B: Application of the analytical framework. Ecology and Society 16(1). Available at: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/articles/3839.html.
16. Imhoff ML, Bounoua L, Ricketts T, Loucks C, Harriss R and Lawrence WT (2004) Global patterns in human consumption of net primary production. Nature 429(6994): 870-873.
17. Karvera P, Tallis H, Ricketts TH, Daily GC and Polasky S (eds) (2011) Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
18. Kates RW, Clark WC, Corell R, Hall JM, Jaeger CC, Lowe I, et al. (2000) Sustainability science. Science 292(5517): 641-642.
19. Kienast F, Bolliger J, Potschin M, de Groot RS, Verburg PH, Heller I, et al. (2009) Assessing landscape functions with broad-scale environmental data: Insights gained from a prototype development for Europe. Environmental Management 44: 1099-1120.
20. Kocabas V and Dragicevic S (2007) Enhancing a GIS cellular automata model of land use change: Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causality. Transactions in GIS 11(5): 681-702.
21. König HJ (2010) Multifunctional forest management in Guyuan: Potentials, challenges and trade-offs. Journal of Resources and Ecology 1(4): 300-310.
22. König HJ, Schuler J, Suarma U, McNeill D, Imbernon J, Damayanti F, et al. (2010) Assessing the impact of land use policy on urban-rural sustainability using the FoPIA approach in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Sustainability 2: 1991-2009.
23. Kuhnert PM, Martin TG, Griffiths SP (2010) A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models. Ecology Letters 13(7): 900-914.
24. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press.
25. Milne R and Brown TA (1997) Carbon in the vegetation and soils of Great Britain. Journal of Environmental Management 49(4): 413-433.
26. Morris JB, Tassone V, de Groot R, Camilleri M and Moncada S (2011) A framework for participatory impact assessment: Involving stakeholders in European policy making, A case study of land use change in Malta. Ecology and Society 16(1). Available at: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss1/art12.
27. Naidoo R, Balmford A, Costanza R, Fisher B, Green RE, Lehner B, et al. (2008) Global mapping of ecosystem services and conservation priorities. PNAS 105(28): 9495-9500.
28. Natural England (2009a) Global drivers of change to 2060. Natural England Commissioned Report, NECR030.
29. Natural England (2009b) Scenarios compendium. Natural England Commissioned Report, NECR031.
30. Newton AC, Stewart GB, Diaz A, Golicher D and Pullin AS (2007) Bayesian Belief Networks as a tool for evidence-based conservation management. Journal for Nature Conservation 15(2): 144-160.
31. Potschin MB and Haines-Young RH (2006) Rio+10, sustainability science and Landscape Ecology. Landscape and Urban Planning 75(3-4): 162-174.
32. Potschin MB and Haines-Young RH (2011): Ecosystem services: Exploring a geographical perspective. Progress in Physical Geography 35(5): 575-594.
33. Schröter D, Cramer W, Leemans R, Prentice IC, Araújo MB, Amell NW, et al. (2005) Ecology: Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science 310(5752): 1333-1337.
34. Smith CS, Howes AL, Price B and McAlpine CA (2007) Using a Bayesian belief network to predict suitable habitat of an endangered mammal - The Julia Creek dunnart (Sminthopsis douglasi). Biological Conservation 139(3-4): 333-347.
35. Smith RI, Dick JM and Scott EM (2011) The role of statistics in the analysis of ecosystem services. Environmetrics 22(5): 608-617.
36. Stelzenmü ller V, Lee J, Garnacho E and Rogers SI (2010) Assessment of a Bayesian Belief Network-GIS framework as a practical tool to support marine planning. Marine Pollution Bulletin 60(10): 1743-1754.
37. Sutherland WJ, Adams WM, Aronson, RB, Aveling R, Blackburn TM, Broad S, et al. (2009) One hundred questions of importance to the conservation of global biological diversity. Conservation Biology 23(3): 557-567.
38. Swetnam RD, Fisher B, Mbilinyi BP, Munishi PKT, Willcock S, Ricketts T, et al. (2010) Mapping socio-economic scenarios of land cover change: A GIS method to enable ecosystem service modelling. Journal of Environmental Management 92(3): 563-574.
39. Tallis H and Polasky S (2011a) Assessing multiple ecosystem services: An integrated tool for the real world. In: Karvera P, Tallis H, Ricketts TH, Daily GC, and Polasky S (eds) Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 34-52.
40. Tallis H and Polasky S (2011b) How much information do we need? The sensitivity of ecosystem service decisions to model complexity. In: Karvera P, Tallis H, Ricketts TH, Daily GC and Polasky S (eds) Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 264-277.
41. UK National Ecosystem Assessment (NEA) (2011) The UK National Ecosystem Assessment: Synthesis of the Key Findings. Cambridge: UNEP-WCMC.
42. Zorrilla P, Carmona G and De la Hera, A (2010) Evaluation of Bayesian networks in participatory water resources management, upper Guadiana Basin, Spain. Ecology and Society 15(3). Available at: http://www. ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss3/art12.