-
1
-
-
30544441912
-
Oracle-based optimization applied to climate model calibration
-
Beltran C, Edwards NR, Haurie A, Vial J-P, Zachary DS (2006) Oracle-based optimization applied to climate model calibration. Environ Model Assess 11: 31-43.
-
(2006)
Environ Model Assess
, vol.11
, pp. 31-43
-
-
Beltran, C.1
Edwards, N.R.2
Haurie, A.3
Vial, J.-P.4
Zachary, D.S.5
-
2
-
-
33846929503
-
Towards the probability of rapid cimate change
-
H. J. Schellnhuber, W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley, and G. Yohe (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
-
Challenor PG, Hankin RKS, Marsh R (2006) Towards the probability of rapid cimate change. In: Schellnhuber HJ, Cramer W, Nakicenovic N, Wigley T, Yohe G (eds) Avoiding dangerous climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 53-63.
-
(2006)
Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change
, pp. 53-63
-
-
Challenor, P.G.1
Hankin, R.K.S.2
Marsh, R.3
-
3
-
-
84972528615
-
Bayesian experimental design: a review
-
Chaloner K, Verdinelli I (1995) Bayesian experimental design: a review. Stat Sci 10(3): 273-304.
-
(1995)
Stat Sci
, vol.10
, Issue.3
, pp. 273-304
-
-
Chaloner, K.1
Verdinelli, I.2
-
4
-
-
0002483326
-
Pressure matching for hydrocarbon reservoirs: a case study in the use of Bayes linear strategies for large computer experiments
-
With discussion, C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R. E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, and N. D. Singpurwalla (Eds.), New York: Springer
-
Craig PS, Goldstein M, Seheult AH, Smith JA (1997) Pressure matching for hydrocarbon reservoirs: A case study in the use of Bayes Linear strategies for large computer experiments. In: Gatsonis C, Hodges JS, Kass RE, McCulloch R, Rossi P, Singpurwalla ND (eds) Case studies in Bayesian Statistics III. Springer, New York, pp 37-87 (With discussion).
-
(1997)
Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics III
, pp. 37-87
-
-
Craig, P.S.1
Goldstein, M.2
Seheult, A.H.3
Smith, J.A.4
-
7
-
-
16344377940
-
Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model
-
Edwards NR, Marsh R (2005) Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model. Clim Dyn 24: 415-433.
-
(2005)
Clim Dyn
, vol.24
, pp. 415-433
-
-
Edwards, N.R.1
Marsh, R.2
-
8
-
-
16244396056
-
Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems
-
Goldstein M, Rougier JC (2004) Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems. SIAM J Sci Comput 26(2): 467-487.
-
(2004)
SIAM J Sci Comput
, vol.26
, Issue.2
, pp. 467-487
-
-
Goldstein, M.1
Rougier, J.C.2
-
9
-
-
33748848850
-
Bayes linear calibrated prediction for complex systems
-
Goldstein M, Rougier JC (2006) Bayes linear calibrated prediction for complex systems. J Am Stat Assoc 101: 1132-1143.
-
(2006)
J Am Stat Assoc
, vol.101
, pp. 1132-1143
-
-
Goldstein, M.1
Rougier, J.C.2
-
10
-
-
56949088109
-
Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems
-
With discussion
-
Goldstein M, Rougier JC (2009) Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems. J Stat Plan Inference 139: 1221-1239 (With discussion).
-
(2009)
J Stat Plan Inference
, vol.139
, pp. 1221-1239
-
-
Goldstein, M.1
Rougier, J.C.2
-
11
-
-
25844465765
-
2 concentration
-
10. 1029/2005GL023209
-
2 concentration. Geophys Res Lett 32, Art. No. L12703. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL023209.
-
(2005)
Geophys Res Lett Art
, vol.32
-
-
Gregory, J.M.1
Dixon, K.W.2
Stouffer, R.J.3
Weaver, A.J.4
Driesschaert, E.5
Eby, M.6
Fichefet, T.7
Hasumi, H.8
Hu, A.9
Jungclaus, J.H.10
Kamenkovich, I.V.11
Levermann, A.12
Montoya, M.13
Murakami, S.14
Nawrath, S.15
Oka, A.16
Sokolov, A.P.17
Thorpe, R.B.18
-
12
-
-
12744278428
-
Climate forecasting using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the Ensemble Kalman Filter
-
Hargreaves JC, Annan JD, Edwards NR, Marsh R (2004) Climate forecasting using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the Ensemble Kalman Filter. Clim Dyn 23: 745-760.
-
(2004)
Clim Dyn
, vol.23
, pp. 745-760
-
-
Hargreaves, J.C.1
Annan, J.D.2
Edwards, N.R.3
Marsh, R.4
-
13
-
-
77954701190
-
A probabilistic calibration of climate sensitivity and terrestrial carbon change in GENIE-1
-
doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0630-8
-
Holden PB, Edwards NR, Oliver KIC, Lenton TM, Wilkinson RD (2009) A probabilistic calibration of climate sensitivity and terrestrial carbon change in GENIE-1. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0630-8.
-
(2009)
Clim Dyn
-
-
Holden, P.B.1
Edwards, N.R.2
Oliver, K.I.C.3
Lenton, T.M.4
Wilkinson, R.D.5
-
15
-
-
38149072239
-
The 'heuristics and biases' bias in expert elicitation
-
Kynn M (2008) The 'heuristics and biases' bias in expert elicitation. J R Stat Soc A 171: 239-264.
-
(2008)
J R Stat Soc A
, vol.171
, pp. 239-264
-
-
Kynn, M.1
-
16
-
-
34548653463
-
Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework
-
Lenton TM, Marsh R, Price AR, Lunt DJ, Aksenov Y, Annan JD, Cooper-Chadwick T, Cox SJ, Edwards NR, Goswami S, Hargreaves JC, Harris PP, Jiao Z, Livina VN, Payne AJ, Rutt IC, Shepherd JG, Valdes PJ, Williams G, Williamson MS, Yool A (2007) Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework. Clim Dyn 29: 591-613.
-
(2007)
Clim Dyn
, vol.29
, pp. 591-613
-
-
Lenton, T.M.1
Marsh, R.2
Price, A.R.3
Lunt, D.J.4
Aksenov, Y.5
Annan, J.D.6
Cooper-Chadwick, T.7
Cox, S.J.8
Edwards, N.R.9
Goswami, S.10
Hargreaves, J.C.11
Harris, P.P.12
Jiao, Z.13
Livina, V.N.14
Payne, A.J.15
Rutt, I.C.16
Shepherd, J.G.17
Valdes, P.J.18
Williams, G.19
Williamson, M.S.20
Yool, A.21
more..
-
17
-
-
12744269658
-
Bistability of the thermohaline circulation identified through comprehensive 2-parameter sweeps of an efficient climate model
-
Marsh R, Yool A, Lenton TM, Gulamali MY, Edwards NR, Shepherd JG, Krznaric M, Newhouse S, Cox SJ (2004) Bistability of the thermohaline circulation identified through comprehensive 2-parameter sweeps of an efficient climate model. Clim Dyn 23: 761-777.
-
(2004)
Clim Dyn
, vol.23
, pp. 761-777
-
-
Marsh, R.1
Yool, A.2
Lenton, T.M.3
Gulamali, M.Y.4
Edwards, N.R.5
Shepherd, J.G.6
Krznaric, M.7
Newhouse, S.8
Cox, S.J.9
-
18
-
-
34547489061
-
Global climate projections
-
Solomon S et al (eds) Contribution of working group 1 to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Meehl GA et al (2007) Global climate projections. In: Solomon S et al (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group 1 to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 747-845.
-
(2007)
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
, pp. 747-845
-
-
Meehl, G.A.1
-
19
-
-
4043124611
-
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
-
Murphy JM, Sexton DMH, Barnett DN, Jones GS, Webb MJ, Collins M, Stainforth DA (2004) Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations. Nature 430: 768-772.
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.430
, pp. 768-772
-
-
Murphy, J.M.1
Sexton, D.M.H.2
Barnett, D.N.3
Jones, G.S.4
Webb, M.J.5
Collins, M.6
Stainforth, D.A.7
-
20
-
-
34547191081
-
A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles
-
Murphy JM, Booth BBB, Collins M, Harris GR, Sexton DMH, Webb MJ (2007) A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles. Philos Trans R Soc Lond A 365: 1993-2028.
-
(2007)
Philos Trans R Soc Lond A
, vol.365
, pp. 1993-2028
-
-
Murphy, J.M.1
Booth, B.B.B.2
Collins, M.3
Harris, G.R.4
Sexton, D.M.H.5
Webb, M.J.6
-
21
-
-
33745699573
-
Bayesian analysis of computer code outputs: a tutorial
-
O'Hagan A (2006) Bayesian analysis of computer code outputs: a tutorial. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 91: 1290-1300.
-
(2006)
Reliab Eng Syst Saf
, vol.91
, pp. 1290-1300
-
-
O'Hagan, A.1
-
22
-
-
38449117516
-
Multiobjective tuning of Grid-enabled Earth System Models using a non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II)
-
The GENIE team, Amsterdam, Netherlands
-
Price AR, Voutchkov II, Pound GE, Edwards NR, Lenton TM, Cox SJ, the GENIE team (2006) Multiobjective tuning of Grid-enabled Earth System Models using a non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II). In: Proceedings of the 2nd international conference on eScience and grid computing, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
-
(2006)
Proceedings of the 2nd international conference on eScience and grid computing
-
-
Price, A.R.1
Voutchkov, I.I.2
Pound, G.E.3
Edwards, N.R.4
Lenton, T.M.5
Cox, S.J.6
-
23
-
-
5344244656
-
-
R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-00-3.R Development Core Team
-
R Development Core Team (2004) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-00-3. http://www. R-project. org/.
-
(2004)
R: a language and environment for statistical computing
-
-
-
24
-
-
33847615314
-
Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations
-
Rougier JC (2007) Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations. Clim Change 81: 247-264.
-
(2007)
Clim Change
, vol.81
, pp. 247-264
-
-
Rougier, J.C.1
-
25
-
-
64249139703
-
Efficient emulators for multivariate deterministic functions
-
Rougier JC (2008) Efficient emulators for multivariate deterministic functions. J Comput Graph Stat 17(4): 827-843.
-
(2008)
J Comput Graph Stat
, vol.17
, Issue.4
, pp. 827-843
-
-
Rougier, J.C.1
-
27
-
-
67749118304
-
Analysing the climate sensitivity of the HadSM3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments
-
doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2533.1
-
Rougier JC, Sexton DMH, Murphy JM, Stainforth D (2009) Analysing the climate sensitivity of the HadSM3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments. J Clim 22(13): 3540-3557. doi: 10. 1175/2008JCLI2533. 1.
-
(2009)
J Clim
, vol.22
, Issue.13
, pp. 3540-3557
-
-
Rougier, J.C.1
Sexton, D.M.H.2
Murphy, J.M.3
Stainforth, D.4
-
29
-
-
31544443813
-
Model projections of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation for the 21st century assessed by observations
-
Schmittner A, Latif M, Schneider B (2005) Model projections of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation for the 21st century assessed by observations. Geophys Res Lett 32 Art. No. L23710.
-
(2005)
Geophys Res Lett 32 Art
-
-
Schmittner, A.1
Latif, M.2
Schneider, B.3
-
30
-
-
33646449957
-
Investigating the causes of the response of the thermohaline circulation to past and future climate changes
-
Stouffer RJ, Yin J, Gregory JM, Dixon KW, Spelman MJ, Hurlin W, Weaver AJ, Eby M, Flato GM, Hasumi H, Hu A, Jungclaus JH, Kamenkovich IV, Levermann A, Montoya M, Murakami S, Nawrath S, Oka A, Peltier WR, Robitaille DY, Sokolov A, Vettoretti G, Weber SL (2006) Investigating the causes of the response of the thermohaline circulation to past and future climate changes. J Clim 19: 1365-1387.
-
(2006)
J Clim
, vol.19
, pp. 1365-1387
-
-
Stouffer, R.J.1
Yin, J.2
Gregory, J.M.3
Dixon, K.W.4
Spelman, M.J.5
Hurlin, W.6
Weaver, A.J.7
Eby, M.8
Flato, G.M.9
Hasumi, H.10
Hu, A.11
Jungclaus, J.H.12
Kamenkovich, I.V.13
Levermann, A.14
Montoya, M.15
Murakami, S.16
Nawrath, S.17
Oka, A.18
Peltier, W.R.19
Robitaille, D.Y.20
Sokolov, A.21
Vettoretti, G.22
Weber, S.L.23
more..
-
31
-
-
0036315114
-
Global climatic impacts of a collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation
-
Vellinga M, Wood RA (2002) Global climatic impacts of a collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Clim Change 54: 251-267.
-
(2002)
Clim Change
, vol.54
, pp. 251-267
-
-
Vellinga, M.1
Wood, R.A.2
-
32
-
-
54949123789
-
Impacts of thermohaline circulation shutdown in the twenty-first century
-
Vellinga M, Wood RA (2008) Impacts of thermohaline circulation shutdown in the twenty-first century. Clim Change 91: 43-63.
-
(2008)
Clim Change
, vol.91
, pp. 43-63
-
-
Vellinga, M.1
Wood, R.A.2
-
35
-
-
34247195097
-
Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to climate change
-
Zickfeld K, Levermann A, Granger Morgan M, Kuhlbrodt T, Rahmstorff S, Keith DW (2007) Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to climate change. Clim Change 82: 235-265.
-
(2007)
Clim Change
, vol.82
, pp. 235-265
-
-
Zickfeld, K.1
Levermann, A.2
Granger, M.M.3
Kuhlbrodt, T.4
Rahmstorff, S.5
Keith, D.W.6
|