메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 96, Issue 454, 2001, Pages 717-729

Bayesian forecasting for complex systems using computer simulators

Author keywords

Bayes linear methods; Calibration; Computer experiments; Design; Diagnostics; History matching; Hydrocarbon reservoir

Indexed keywords


EID: 1542468821     PISSN: 01621459     EISSN: 1537274X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1198/016214501753168370     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (190)

References (19)
  • 2
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The Future of Distributed Models: Model Calibration and Uncertainty Prediction
    • Beven, K. J., and Binley, A. M. (1992), “The Future of Distributed Models: Model Calibration and Uncertainty Prediction,” Hydrological Processes, 6, 279–298.
    • (1992) Hydrological Processes , vol.6 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 3
    • 0001957349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayes Linear Strategies for History Matching of Hydrocarbon Reservoirs (With discussion)
    • J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press
    • Craig, P. S., Goldstein, M., Seheult, A. H., and Smith, J. A. (1996), “Bayes Linear Strategies for History Matching of Hydrocarbon Reservoirs” (with discussion), in Bayesian Statistics 5, eds. J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press, pp. 69–95.
    • (1996) Bayesian Statistics , vol.5 , pp. 69-95
    • Craig, P.S.1    Goldstein, M.2    Seheult, A.H.3    Smith, J.A.4
  • 4
    • 0002483326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pressure Matching for Hydrocarbon Reservoirs: A Case Study in the Use of Bayes Linear Strategies for Large Computer Experiments
    • (with discussion), eds. C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R. E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, and N. D. Singpurwalla, New York: Springer-Verlag
    • Craig, P. S., Goldstein, M., Seheult, A. H., and Smith, J. A. (1997), “Pressure Matching for Hydrocarbon Reservoirs: A Case Study in the Use of Bayes Linear Strategies for Large Computer Experiments” (with discussion), in Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics: Volume 3, eds. C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R. E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, and N. D. Singpurwalla, New York: Springer-Verlag, pp. 36–93.
    • (1997) Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics , vol.3 , pp. 36-93
    • Craig, P.S.1    Goldstein, M.2    Seheult, A.H.3    Smith, J.A.4
  • 5
    • 0002563962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constructing Partial Prior Specifications for Models of Complex Physical Systems (With discussion)
    • Ser. D
    • Craig, P. S., Goldstein, M., Seheult, A. H., and Smith, J. A. (1998), “Constructing Partial Prior Specifications for Models of Complex Physical Systems” (with discussion), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Ser. D, 47, 37–53.
    • (1998) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.47 , pp. 37-53
    • Craig, P.S.1    Goldstein, M.2    Seheult, A.H.3    Smith, J.A.4
  • 7
    • 84950437532 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian Prediction of Deterministic Functions, With Applications to the Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments
    • Currin, C., Mitchell, T., Morris, M., and Ylvisaker, D. (1991), “Bayesian Prediction of Deterministic Functions, With Applications to the Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86, 953–963.
    • (1991) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.86 , pp. 953-963
    • Currin, C.1    Mitchell, T.2    Morris, M.3    Ylvisaker, D.4
  • 8
    • 33744594542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comments on “Pressure Matching for Hydrocarbon Reservoirs” by Craig, Goldstein, Seheult, and Smith
    • C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R. E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, and N. D. Singpurwalla, New York: Springer-Verlag
    • Galway, L., and Lucas, T. (1997), Comments on “Pressure Matching for Hydrocarbon Reservoirs” by Craig, Goldstein, Seheult, and Smith, in Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics: Volume 3, eds. C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, R. E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, and N. D. Singpurwalla, New York: Springer-Verlag, pp. 87–91.
    • (1997) Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics , vol.3 , pp. 87-91
    • Galway, L.1    Lucas, T.2
  • 9
    • 0002591987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayes Linear Analysis
    • S. Kotz, C. B. Read, and D. L. Banks, New York: Wiley
    • Goldstein, M. (1999), “Bayes Linear Analysis,” in Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences: Update Volume 3, eds. S. Kotz, C. B. Read, and D. L. Banks, New York: Wiley, pp. 29–34.
    • (1999) Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences: Update , vol.3 , pp. 29-34
    • Goldstein, M.1
  • 10
    • 0007312235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the Output From a Complex Computer Code When Fast Approximations are Available
    • Kennedy, M. C., and O’Hagan, A. (2000), “Predicting the Output From a Complex Computer Code When Fast Approximations are Available,” Biometrika, 87, 1–13.
    • (2000) Biometrika , vol.87 , pp. 1-13
    • Kennedy, M.C.1    O’Hagan, A.2
  • 12
    • 0002978835 scopus 로고
    • On Curve Fitting and Optimal Design for Regression (With discussion)
    • Ser. B
    • O’Hagan, A. (1978), “On Curve Fitting and Optimal Design for Regression” (with discussion), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Ser. B, 40, 1–42.
    • (1978) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.40 , pp. 1-42
    • O’Hagan, A.1
  • 13
    • 0001136395 scopus 로고
    • Some Bayesian Numerical Analysis (With discussion)
    • J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press
    • O’Hagan, A. (1992), “Some Bayesian Numerical Analysis” (with discussion), in Bayesian Statistics 4, eds. J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press, pp. 345–363.
    • (1992) Bayesian Statistics , vol.4 , pp. 345-363
    • O’Hagan, A.1
  • 14
    • 0002503187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty Analysis and Other Inference Tools for Complex Computer Codes (With discussion)
    • J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press
    • O’Hagan, A., Kennedy, M. C., and Oakley, J. E. (1999), “Uncertainty Analysis and Other Inference Tools for Complex Computer Codes” (with discussion), in Bayesian Statistics 6, eds. J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press, pp. 503–524.
    • (1999) Bayesian Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 503-524
    • O’Hagan, A.1    Kennedy, M.C.2    Oakley, J.E.3
  • 15
    • 21844489855 scopus 로고
    • Controlling Correlations in Latin Hypercube Samples
    • Owen, A. B. (1994), “Controlling Correlations in Latin Hypercube Samples,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 1517–1522.
    • (1994) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.89 , pp. 1517-1522
    • Owen, A.B.1
  • 16
    • 0024607804 scopus 로고
    • Design for Computer Experiments
    • Sacks, J., Schiller, S. B., and Welch, W. J. (1992), “Design for Computer Experiments,” Technometrics, 31, 41–47.
    • (1992) Technometrics , vol.31 , pp. 41-47
    • Sacks, J.1    Schiller, S.B.2    Welch, W.J.3
  • 17
    • 84972517827 scopus 로고
    • Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments
    • (with discussion)
    • Sacks, J., Welch, W. J., Mitchell, T. J., and Wynn, H. P. (1989), “Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments” (with discussion), Statistical Science, 4, 409–435.
    • (1989) Statistical Science , vol.4 , pp. 409-435
    • Sacks, J.1    Welch, W.J.2    Mitchell, T.J.3    Wynn, H.P.4
  • 19
    • 0041612833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayes Linear Adjustment for Variance Matrices
    • J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press
    • Wilkinson, D. J., and Goldstein, M. (1996), “Bayes Linear Adjustment for Variance Matrices,” in Bayesian Statistics 5, eds. J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith, Oxford, U.K.: Clarendon Press, pp. 791–799.
    • (1996) Bayesian Statistics , vol.5 , pp. 791-799
    • Wilkinson, D.J.1    Goldstein, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.