The potential impacts of climate change on Australian subtropical rainforest

Australian Journal of Botany

Volumn 59, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 440-449

  Laidlaw, M J ^a,b   McDonald, W J F ^a   Hunter, R John ^c   Putland, D A ^d   Kitching, R L ^d  

^a DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCE MANAGEMENT   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

^c Griffith University ^*

^d GRIFFITH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ALTITUDINAL ZONATION; ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; BASELINE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE CHANGE; ELEVATION; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; FLORISTICS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFOREST; SUBTROPICAL REGION; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; VEGETATION;

AUSTRALIA; QUEENSLAND;

EID: 80052511468     PISSN: 00671924     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/BT10319     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. Australian National University (2009) 'Implications of climate change for Australia's World Heritage properties: A preliminary assessment.' A report to the Department of Climate Change and the Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts by the Fenner School of Environment and Society. (The Australian National University: Canberra)
2. Baker PJ, Bunyavejchewin S, Oliver CD, Ashton PS (2005) Disturbance history and historical stand dynamics of a seasonal tropical forest in western Thailand. Ecological Monographs 75, 317-343. doi:10.1890/04-0488 (Pubitemid 41009314)
3. Basset Y, Corbara B, Barrios H, Cuénoud P, Leponce M, Aberlenc H, Bail J, Bito D, Bridle JR, Castaño-meneses G, Cizek L, Cornejo A, Curletti G, Delabie JHC, Dejean A, Didham RK, Dufrêne M, Fagan LL, Floren A, Frame DM, Hallé F, Hardy OJ, Hernandez A, Kitching RL, Lewinsohn TM, Lewis OT, Manumbor M, Medianero E, Missa O, Mitchell AW, Mogia M, Novotny V, Ødegaard F, de Oliveira EG, Orivel J, Ozanne CMP, Pascal O, Pinzón S, Rapp M, Ribeiro SP, Roisin Y, Roslin T, Roubik DW, SamaniegoM, Schmidl J, Sørensen LL, Tishechkin A, Van Osselaer C, Winchester NN (2007) IBISCA-Panama, a large-scale study of arthropod beta-diversity and vertical stratification in a lowland rainforest: Rationale, study sites and field protocols. Bulletin of the Belgian Institute 77, 39-69.
4. Belbin L, (2003) 'PATN:Pattern Analysis Package. Version 2.25.' (L. Belbin, Griffith University, The University of Queensland: Brisbane)
5. Bendix J, Rollenbeck R, Richter M, Fabian P, Emck P (2008) Climate. Gradients in a tropical mountain ecosystem of Ecuador: Ecological studies 198. In 'Gradients in a tropical mountain ecosystem of Ecuador'. (Eds E Beck, J Bendix, I Kottke, F Makeschin, R Mosandl) pp. 63-73. (Springer-Verlag: Berlin)
6. Beniston M, Diaz HF, Bradley RS (1997) Climatic change at high elevation sites: An overview. Climatic Change 36, 233-251. doi:10.1023/A:1005380714349 (Pubitemid 27353933)
7. Bostock PD, Holland AE (2007) 'Census of the Queensland Flora 2007.' (Queensland Herbarium Environmental Protection Agency: Brisbane)
8. Bray JR, Curtis JT (1957) An ordination of the upland forest communities of southern Wisconsin. Ecological Monographs 27, 325-349. doi:10.2307/1942268
9. Bruijnzeel LA, Proctor J (1995) Hydrology and biogeochemistry of tropical montane cloud forests: What do we really know? In 'Tropical montane cloud forests: Ecological studies 110'. (Eds LS Hamilton, JO Juvik, FN Scatena) pp. 38-78. (Springer-Verlag: New York)
10. Burbidge NT (1960) The phytogeography of the Australian region. Australian Journal of Botany 8, 75-212. doi:10.1071/BT9600075
11. Clark DA (2007) Detecting tropical forests' responses to global climatic and atmospheric change: Current challenges and a way forward. Biotropica 39, 4-19. doi:10.1111/j.1744-7429.2006.00227.x (Pubitemid 46066460)
12. Condit R, Hubbell SP, Foster RB (1995) Mortality rates of 205 neotropical tree and shrub species and the impact of severe drought. Ecological Monographs 65, 419-439. doi:10.2307/2963497 (Pubitemid 3004411)
13. Condit R, Aguilar S, Hernandez A, Perez R, Lao S, Angehr G, Hubbell SP, Foster RB (2004) Tropical forest dynamics across a rainfall gradient and the impact of an El Niño dry season. Journal of Tropical Ecology 20, 51-72. doi:10.1017/S0266467403001081 (Pubitemid 38162053)
14. Connell J, Green PT (2000) Seedling dynamics over thirty-two years in a tropical rain forest tree. Ecology 81, 568-584. doi:10.1890/0012-9658(2000) 081[0568:SDOTTY]2.0.CO;2 (Pubitemid 30445992)
15. Cottam G, Curtis JT (1956) The use of distance measurement in phytosociological sampling. Ecology 37, 451-460. doi:10.2307/1930167
16. Debski I, Burslem DFRP, Lamb D (2000) Ecological processes maintaining differential tree species distributions in an Australian subtropical rain forest: Implications for models of species coexistence. Journal of Tropical Ecology 16, 387-415. doi:10.1017/S0266467400001474
17. Environmental Protection Agency (2007) 'Regional Ecosystem Description Database (REDD). Version 5.2.' Updated November 2007. Database maintained by Queensland Herbarium. (Environmental Protection Agency: Brisbane)
18. Feeley KJ, Davies SJ, Noor MNS, Kassim AR, Tan S (2007) Do current stem size distributions predict future population changes? An empirical test of intraspecific patterns in tropical trees at two spatial scales. Journal of Tropical Ecology 23, 191-198. doi:10.1017/S0266467406003919 (Pubitemid 46364663)
19. Fisher HJ, Timms BV (1978) Ferns of the rainforests of the Liverpool ranges. Hunter Natural History 10, 174-185.
20. Flenley JR (1995) Cloud forest, the Massenerhebung effect, and ultraviolet insolation. In 'Tropical montane cloud forests: Ecological studies 110'. (Eds LS Hamilton, JO Juvik,FNScatena) pp. 150-155. (Springer-Verlag: New York)
21. Floyd AG (2008) 'Rainforest trees of mainland south-eastern Australia.' (Terania Rainforest Publishing: Lismore)
22. Floyd A (1990) 'Australian rainforests in New South Wales. Vol. 2.' (Surrey Beatty and Sons: Sydney)
23. Foster P (2001) The potential negative impacts of global climate change on tropical montane cloud forests. Earth-Science Reviews 55, 73-106. doi:10.1016/S0012-8252(01)00056-3 (Pubitemid 33071781)
24. Gilbert GS, Harms KE, Hamill DN, Hubbell SP (2001) Effects of seedling size, El Niño drought, seedling density, and distance to nearest conspecific adult on 6-year survival of Ocotea whitei seedlings in Panamá. Oecologia 127, 509-516. doi:10.1007/s004420000616 (Pubitemid 32526383)
25. Gloor M, Phillips OL, Lloyd JJ, Lewis SL, Malhi Y, Barker TR, López-Gonzalez G, Peacock J, Almeida S, Alves de Oliveira AC, Alvarez E, Amaral I, Arroyo L, Aymard G, Banki O, Blanc L, Bonal D, Brando P, Chao KJ, Chave J, Dávila N, Erwin T, Silva J, DiFiore A, Feldpausch TR, Freitas A, Herrera R, Higuchi N, Honorio E, Jiménez E, Killeen T, Laurance W, Mendoza C, Monteagudo A, Andrade A, Neill D, Nepstad D, Núñez Vargas P, Peñuela MC, Peña Cruz A, Prieto A, Pitman N, Quesada C, Salomáo R, Silveira M, Schwarz M, Stropp J, Ramírez F, Ramírez H, Rudas A, ter Steege H, Silva N, Torres A, Terborgh J, Vázquez R, van der Heijden G (2009) Does the disturbance hypothesis explain the biomass increase in basin-wide Amazon forest plot data? Global Change Biology 15, 2418-2430. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01891.x
26. Hamilton LS, Juvik JO, Scatena FN (1995) The Puerto Rico tropical cloud forest symposium: Introduction and workshop synthesis. In 'Tropical montane cloud forests: Ecological studies 110'. (Eds LS Hamilton, JO Juvik, FN Scatena) pp. 1-23. (Springer-Verlag: New York)
27. Hennessy KJ, McInnes KL, Abbs DJ, Jones RN, Bathols J, Suppiah R, Ricketts J, Rafter T, Collins D, Jones D (2004) 'Climate change in New South Wales Part 2: Projected changes in climate extremes.' (New South Wales Greenhouse Office, Climate Impact Group, CSIRO Atmospheric Research and National Climate Centre, Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology: Canberra)
28. Hobbs RJ, Arico S, Aronson J, Baron JS, Bridgewater P, Cramer VA, Epstein PR, Ewel JJ, Klink CA, Lugo AE, Norton D, Ojima D, Richardson DM, Sanderson EW, Valladares F, Vilá M, Zamora R, Zobel M (2006) Novel ecosystems: Theoretical and management aspects of the new ecological world order. Global Ecology and Biogeography 15, 1-7. doi:10.1111/j.1466-822X.2006.00212.x
29. Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (2001) 'IPCC third assessment report: Climate change.' (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge)
30. Houlder D, Hutchinson MF, Nix HA, McMahon JP (2000) 'Anuclim 5.1. Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies.' (The Australian National University: Canberra)
31. Howard TM (1973) Studies in the ecology of Nothofagus cunninghamii. Australian Journal of Botany 21, 67-102. doi:10.1071/BT9730067
32. Hunter RJ (1988) On the Beech: A study of adjoining Nothofagus moorei and other rainforest communities on the Mt Warning Shield. MSc. thesis, University of New England, Armidale.
33. Hutley LB, Doley D, Yates DJ, Boonsaner A (1997) Water balance of an Australian subtropical rainforest at altitude: The ecological and physiological significance of intercepted cloud and fog. Australian Journal of Botany 45, 311-329. doi:10.1071/BT96014
34. IPCC (2007) 'Climate Change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of working group 1 to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change.' (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge)
35. Kitching RL, Putland D, Ashton LA, Laidlaw MJ, Boulter SL, ChristensonH, Lambkin CL (In press) Detecting biodiversity changes along climatic gradients: The IBISCA Queensland project. Memoirs of the Queensland Museum, in press.
36. Laidlaw MJ, McDonald WJF, Hunter RJ, Kitching RL (in press) Subtropical rainforest turnover along an altitudinal gradient. Memoirs of the Queensland Museum.
37. Laurance SGW, Laurance WF, Nascimento JEM, Andrade A, Fearnside PM, Rebello ERG, Condit R (2009) Long-term variation in Amazon forest dynamics. Journal of Vegetation Science 20, 323-333. doi:10.1111/j.1654-1103.2009.01044.x
38. Laurance WF, Oliveira AA, Laurance SG, Condit R, Nascimento HEM, Sanchez-Thorin AC, Lovejoy TE, Andrade A, D'Angelo S, Ribeiro JE, Dick CW (2004) Pervasive alteration of tree communities in undisturbed Amazonian forests. Nature 428, 171-175. doi:10.1038/nature02383 (Pubitemid 38374311)
39. Lewis SL, Phillips OL, Baker TR (2006) Impacts of global change on the structure, dynamics and functioning of South American tropical forests. In 'Emerging threats to tropical forests'. (Eds WF Laurance, CA Peres) pp. 15-31. (The University of Chicago Press: Chicago, IL)
40. Loope LL, Giambelluca TW (1998) Vulnerability of island tropical montane cloud forests to climate change, with special reference to east Maui, Hawaii. Climatic Change 39, 503-517. doi:10.1023/A:1005372118420 (Pubitemid 28360192)
41. Magurran AE (1988) 'Ecological diversity and its measurement.' (Princeton University Press: Princeton)
42. Malhi Y, Phillips OL (2004) Tropical forests and global atmospheric change: A synthesis. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 359, 549-555. doi:10.1098/rstb.2003.1449 (Pubitemid 38370783)
43. McJannet D, Wallace J, Riddell P (2007) Precipitation interception in Australian tropical rainforests: II. Altitudinal gradients of cloud interception, stemflow, throughfall and interception. Hydrological Processes 21, 1703-1718. doi:10.1002/hyp.6346 (Pubitemid 47029405)
44. Mori SA, Boom BM, De Carvalino AM, Dos Santos TS (1983) Ecological importance of Myrtaceae in an eastern Brazilian wet forest. Biotropica 15, 68-70. doi:10.2307/2388002
45. Norden N, Chave J, Caubère A, Châtelet P, Ferroni N, Forget PM, ThébaudC (2007) Is temporal variation of seedling communities determined by environment or by seed arrival? A test in a neotropical forest. Journal of Ecology 95, 507-516. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2745.2007.01221.x (Pubitemid 46624079)
46. Olsen MF, Lamb D (1984) Recovery of subtropical rainforest following storm damage. Proceedings of the Ecological Society of Australia 15, 297-301.
47. Potts MD (2003) Drought in a Bornean everwet rain forest. Journal of Ecology 91, 467-474. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2745.2003.00779.x (Pubitemid 36658643)
48. Pounds JA, Fogden MPL, Campbell JH (1999) Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature 398, 611-615. doi:10.1038/19297 (Pubitemid 29183687)
49. Queenborough SA, Burslem DFRP, Garwood NC, Valencia R (2007) Neighbourhood and community interactions determine the spatial pattern of tropical tree seedling survival. Ecology 88, 2248-2258. doi:10.1890/06-0737.1 (Pubitemid 351345134)
50. Richardson AD, Denny EG, Siccama TG, Lee X (2003) Evidence for a rising cloud ceiling in eastern North America. Journal of Climate 16, 2093-2098. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2093:EFARCC>2.0.CO;2 (Pubitemid 36906635)
51. Roderick L, Farquhar GD, Berry SL, Noble IR (2001) On the direct effect of clouds and atmospheric particles on the productivity and structure of the vegetation. Oecologia 129, 21-30. doi:10.1007/s004420100760 (Pubitemid 32943758)
52. Simpson HM(1976) Antarctic beech communities in south-east Queensland. Honours thesis, University of Queensland, Brisbane.
53. Sperling FN, Washington R, Whittaker RJ (2004) Future climate change of the subtropical north Atlantic: Implications for the cloud forests of Tenerife. Climatic Change 65, 103-123. doi:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000037488.33377.bf (Pubitemid 39123022)
54. Still CJ, Foster PN, Schneider SH (1999) Simulating the effects of climate change on tropical montane cloud forests. Nature 398, 608-610. doi:10.1038/19293 (Pubitemid 29183686)
55. Stork NE, Balston J, Farquhar GD, Franks PJ, Holtum JAM, Liddell MJ (2007) Tropical rainforest canopies and climate change. Austral Ecology 32, 105-112. doi:10.1111/j.1442-9993.2007.01741.x (Pubitemid 46161108)
56. Tang Y (2008) Maintenance and dynamics of rainforest edges. PhD thesis, Griffith University, Brisbane.
57. Turner JC (1976) An altitudinal transect in rain forest in the Barrington Tops area, New South Wales. Australian Journal of Ecology 1, 155-174. doi:10.1111/j.1442-9993.1976.tb01104.x
58. Walsh KJE, Ryan BF (2000) Tropical cyclone intensity increases near Australia as a result of climate change. Journal of Climatology 13, 3029-3036. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<3029:TCIINA>2.0.CO;2
59. Westoby M, Burgman M (2006) Climate change as a threatening process. Austral Ecology 31, 549-550. doi:10.1111/j.1442-9993.2006.01657.x (Pubitemid 44091721)
60. Williams JW, Jackson ST, Kutzbach JE (2007) Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100AD. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104, 5738-5742. doi:10.1073/pnas. 0606292104 (Pubitemid 47175604)
61. Wright SJ, Muller-Landau HC, Condit R, Hubbell SP (2003) Gap-dependent recruitment, realized vital rates and size distributions of tropical trees. Ecology 84, 3174-3185. doi:10.1890/02-0038 (Pubitemid 38261408)