메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 835-849

Climate variability and projected change in the western United States: Regional downscaling and drought statistics

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ANNUAL VARIATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE VARIATION; DOWNSCALING; DROUGHT; GEOSTATISTICS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RADIATIVE FORCING; TREND ANALYSIS; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY;

EID: 80052272312     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0838-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (148)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 33646344974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD006290
    • Alexander LV et al (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res 111: D05109. doi: 10. 1029/2005JD006290.
    • (2006) J Geophys Res , vol.111
    • Alexander, L.V.1
  • 2
    • 51749092642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric warming and the amplifications of precipitation extremes
    • Allan RP, Soden BJ (2008) Atmospheric warming and the amplifications of precipitation extremes. Science 321: 1481-1484.
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , pp. 1481-1484
    • Allan, R.P.1    Soden, B.J.2
  • 3
    • 35148842439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interactions across spatial scales among forest dieback, fire, and erosion in northern New Mexico landscapes
    • Allen CD (2007) Interactions across spatial scales among forest dieback, fire, and erosion in northern New Mexico landscapes. Ecosystems 10: 797-808.
    • (2007) Ecosystems , vol.10 , pp. 797-808
    • Allen, C.D.1
  • 4
    • 0021638986 scopus 로고
    • The palmer drought severity index: limitations and assumptions
    • Alley WM (1984) The palmer drought severity index: limitations and assumptions. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23: 1100-1109.
    • (1984) J Clim Appl Meteorol , vol.23 , pp. 1100-1109
    • Alley, W.M.1
  • 5
    • 33745860328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL025711
    • Andreadis KM, Lettenmaier DP (2006) Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophys Res Lett 33: L10403. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL025711.
    • (2006) Geophys Res Lett , vol.33
    • Andreadis, K.M.1    Lettenmaier, D.P.2
  • 6
    • 39749104112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States
    • Barnett TP et al (2008) Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science 319: 1080-1083.
    • (2008) Science , vol.319 , pp. 1080-1083
    • Barnett, T.P.1
  • 8
    • 3543073552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A winter precipitation 'dipole' in the western United States associated with multidecadal ENSO variability
    • doi:10.1029/2003GL018726
    • Brown DP, Comrie AC (2004) A winter precipitation 'dipole' in the western United States associated with multidecadal ENSO variability. Geophys Res Lett 31: L09203. doi: 10. 1029/2003GL018726.
    • (2004) Geophys Res Lett , vol.31
    • Brown, D.P.1    Comrie, A.C.2
  • 9
    • 66149188820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate
    • Brown RD, Mote PW (2009) The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate. J Clim 22: 2124-2145.
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 2124-2145
    • Brown, R.D.1    Mote, P.W.2
  • 10
    • 33750957935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the twenty-first century with the Hadley Centre Climate Model
    • Burke EJ, Brown SJ, Christidis N (2006) Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the twenty-first century with the Hadley Centre Climate Model. J Hydrometeorol 7: 1113-1125.
    • (2006) J Hydrometeorol , vol.7 , pp. 1113-1125
    • Burke, E.J.1    Brown, S.J.2    Christidis, N.3
  • 11
    • 65849190053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CCSP, A Report by the US Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [Bader DC, Covey C, Gutowski WJ Jr, Held IM, Kunkel KE, Miller RL, Tokmakian RT, Zhang MH (Authors)], US Department of Energy, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, Washington, DC
    • CCSP (2008) Climate models: an assessment of strengths and limitations. A Report by the US Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [Bader DC, Covey C, Gutowski WJ Jr, Held IM, Kunkel KE, Miller RL, Tokmakian RT, Zhang MH (Authors)], US Department of Energy, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, Washington, DC, 124 pp.
    • (2008) Climate Models: An Assessment of Strengths and Limitations , pp. 124
  • 13
    • 0026266398 scopus 로고
    • A 1000-year record of winter precipitation from northwestern New Mexico USA: a reconstruction from tree-rings and its relationship to El Niño and the Southern Oscillation
    • D'Arrigo RD, Jacoby GC (1991) A 1000-year record of winter precipitation from northwestern New Mexico USA: a reconstruction from tree-rings and its relationship to El Niño and the Southern Oscillation. Holocene 1: 95-101.
    • (1991) Holocene , vol.1 , pp. 95-101
    • D'Arrigo, R.D.1    Jacoby, G.C.2
  • 14
    • 12144258630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A global dataset of palmer drought severity index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming
    • Dai A, Trenberth KE, Qian T (2004) A global dataset of palmer drought severity index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J Hydrometeorol 7: 1117-1130.
    • (2004) J Hydrometeorol , vol.7 , pp. 1117-1130
    • Dai, A.1    Trenberth, K.E.2    Qian, T.3
  • 15
    • 27644485013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change
    • Diffenbaugh NS, Pal JS, Trapp RJ, Giorgi F (2005) Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci 102: 15774-15778.
    • (2005) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.102 , pp. 15774-15778
    • Diffenbaugh, N.S.1    Pal, J.S.2    Trapp, R.J.3    Giorgi, F.4
  • 16
    • 37349018271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of temperature and precipitation trends on US drought
    • doi:10.1029/2007GL031541
    • Easterling DR, Wallis TWR, Lawrimore JH, Heim RR (2007) Effects of temperature and precipitation trends on US drought. Geophys Res Lett 34: L20709. doi: 10. 1029/2007GL031541.
    • (2007) Geophys Res Lett , vol.34
    • Easterling, D.R.1    Wallis, T.W.R.2    Lawrimore, J.H.3    Heim, R.R.4
  • 17
    • 0032466323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections
    • Gershunov A, Barnett TP (1998) Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79: 2715-2725.
    • (1998) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.79 , pp. 2715-2725
    • Gershunov, A.1    Barnett, T.P.2
  • 18
    • 1642312199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contemporary changes of the hydrological cycle over the contiguous United States, trends derived from in situ observations
    • Groisman PY, Knight RW, Karl TR, Easterling DR, Sun B, Lawrimore JH (2004) Contemporary changes of the hydrological cycle over the contiguous United States, trends derived from in situ observations. J Hydrometeorol 5: 64-85.
    • (2004) J Hydrometeorol , vol.5 , pp. 64-85
    • Groisman, P.Y.1    Knight, R.W.2    Karl, T.R.3    Easterling, D.R.4    Sun, B.5    Lawrimore, J.H.6
  • 20
    • 0031919538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing the palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index
    • Guttman NB (1998) Comparing the palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. J Am Water Res Assoc 34: 113-121.
    • (1998) J Am Water Res Assoc , vol.34 , pp. 113-121
    • Guttman, N.B.1
  • 21
    • 0029776241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A historical perspective of US climate divisions
    • Guttman NB, Quayle RG (1996) A historical perspective of US climate divisions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77: 293-303.
    • (1996) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.77 , pp. 293-303
    • Guttman, N.B.1    Quayle, R.G.2
  • 22
    • 0036921622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modulation of ENSO-based long-lead outlooks of southwestern US winter precipitation by the Pacific decadal oscillation
    • Gutzler DS, Kann DM, Thornbrugh C (2002) Modulation of ENSO-based long-lead outlooks of southwestern US winter precipitation by the Pacific decadal oscillation. Weather Forecast 17: 1163-1172.
    • (2002) Weather Forecast , vol.17 , pp. 1163-1172
    • Gutzler, D.S.1    Kann, D.M.2    Thornbrugh, C.3
  • 23
    • 0036700088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of twentieth-century drought indices used in the United States
    • Heim RR Jr (2002) A review of twentieth-century drought indices used in the United States. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83: 1149-1165.
    • (2002) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.83 , pp. 1149-1165
    • Heim Jr., R.R.1
  • 24
    • 38949095673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past peak water in the Southwest
    • Hoerling M, Eischeid J (2007) Past peak water in the Southwest. Southwest Hydrol 6: 18 ff. http://www. swhydro. arizona. edu/.
    • (2007) Southwest Hydrol , vol.6 , pp. 18
    • Hoerling, M.1    Eischeid, J.2
  • 28
    • 33645311550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO evolution and teleconnections in IPCC's twentieth-century climate simulations: realistic representation?
    • Joseph R, Nigam S (2006) ENSO evolution and teleconnections in IPCC's twentieth-century climate simulations: realistic representation? J Clim 19: 4360-4377.
    • (2006) J Clim , vol.19 , pp. 4360-4377
    • Joseph, R.1    Nigam, S.2
  • 30
    • 0032700229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of the use of natural variability concepts in managing ecological systems
    • Landres PB, Morgan P, Swanson FJ (1999) Overview of the use of natural variability concepts in managing ecological systems. Ecol Appl 9: 1179-1188.
    • (1999) Ecol Appl , vol.9 , pp. 1179-1188
    • Landres, P.B.1    Morgan, P.2    Swanson, F.J.3
  • 31
    • 1542291450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mid-century ensemble regional climatic change scenarios for the western United States
    • Leung LR, QianY Bian X, Washington WM, Han J, Roads JO (2004) Mid-century ensemble regional climatic change scenarios for the western United States. Clim Change 62: 75-113.
    • (2004) Clim Change , vol.62 , pp. 75-113
    • Leung, L.R.1    Qiany Bian X2    Washington, W.M.3    Han, J.4    Roads, J.O.5
  • 35
    • 0033570696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States
    • McCabe GJ, Dettinger MD (1999) Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States. Int J Climatol 19: 1399-1410.
    • (1999) Int J Climatol , vol.19 , pp. 1399-1410
    • McCabe, G.J.1    Dettinger, M.D.2
  • 36
    • 43449128081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mechanisms of plant survival and mortality during drought: why do some plants survive while others succumb to drought?
    • McDowell N et al (2008) Mechanisms of plant survival and mortality during drought: why do some plants survive while others succumb to drought? New Phytol 178: 719-739.
    • (2008) New Phytol , vol.178 , pp. 719-739
    • McDowell, N.1
  • 38
    • 0029389547 scopus 로고
    • The tree-ring record of severe sustained drought
    • Meko D, Stockton CW, Boggess WR (1995) The tree-ring record of severe sustained drought. Water Resour Bull 31: 789-801.
    • (1995) Water Resour Bull , vol.31 , pp. 789-801
    • Meko, D.1    Stockton, C.W.2    Boggess, W.R.3
  • 41
    • 0004198495 scopus 로고
    • U. S. Weather Bureau Research Paper 45
    • Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought. U. S. Weather Bureau Research Paper 45, 58 pp.
    • (1965) Meteorological Drought , pp. 58
    • Palmer, W.C.1
  • 42
    • 44449086846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
    • Palmer TN, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Weisheimer A, Rodwell MJ (2008) Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 89: 459-470.
    • (2008) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.89 , pp. 459-470
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Weisheimer, A.3    Rodwell, M.J.4
  • 43
    • 34249947530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America
    • doi:10.1126/science.1139601
    • Seager R et al (2007) Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science 316: 1181-1184. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1139601.
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 1181-1184
    • Seager, R.1
  • 44
  • 45
    • 43749124856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected changes in drought occurrence under future global warming from multi-model, multi-scenario, IPCC AR4 simulations
    • Sheffield J, Wood EF (2008) Projected changes in drought occurrence under future global warming from multi-model, multi-scenario, IPCC AR4 simulations. Clim Dyn 31: 79-105.
    • (2008) Clim Dyn , vol.31 , pp. 79-105
    • Sheffield, J.1    Wood, E.F.2
  • 46
    • 0032427248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American Southwest
    • Swetnam TW, Betancourt JL (1998) Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American Southwest. J Clim 11: 3128-3147.
    • (1998) J Clim , vol.11 , pp. 3128-3147
    • Swetnam, T.W.1    Betancourt, J.L.2
  • 47
    • 33644697480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events
    • Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Change 79: 185-211.
    • (2006) Clim Change , vol.79 , pp. 185-211
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Hayhoe, K.2    Arblaster, J.M.3    Meehl, G.A.4
  • 48
    • 41849123060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining the tropical Pacific's response to global warming
    • Vecchi GA, Clement A, Soden BJ (2008) Examining the tropical Pacific's response to global warming. EOS 89: 81 ff.
    • (2008) Eos , vol.89
    • Vecchi, G.A.1    Clement, A.2    Soden, B.J.3
  • 49
    • 29244474948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Agricultural drought in a future climate: results from 15 global climate models participating in the IPCC 4th assessment
    • Wang G (2005) Agricultural drought in a future climate: results from 15 global climate models participating in the IPCC 4th assessment. Clim Dyn 25: 739-753.
    • (2005) Clim Dyn , vol.25 , pp. 739-753
    • Wang, G.1
  • 50
    • 77649316417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distinguishing pronounced droughts in the southwestern United States: seasonality and effects of warmer temperatures
    • Weiss JL, Castro CL, Overpeck JT (2009) Distinguishing pronounced droughts in the southwestern United States: seasonality and effects of warmer temperatures. J Clim 22: 5918-5932.
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 5918-5932
    • Weiss, J.L.1    Castro, C.L.2    Overpeck, J.T.3
  • 51
    • 36448934567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern US
    • doi:10.1029/2001JD000659
    • Wood AW, Maurer EP, Kumar A, Lettenmaier DP (2002) Long range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern US. J Geophys Res 107: 4429. doi: 10. 1029/2001JD000659.
    • (2002) J Geophys Res , vol.107 , pp. 4429
    • Wood, A.W.1    Maurer, E.P.2    Kumar, A.3    Lettenmaier, D.P.4
  • 52
    • 1542381343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs
    • Wood AW, Leung LR, Sridhar V, Lettenmaier DP (2004) Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Clim Change 62: 189-216.
    • (2004) Clim Change , vol.62 , pp. 189-216
    • Wood, A.W.1    Leung, L.R.2    Sridhar, V.3    Lettenmaier, D.P.4
  • 53
    • 0032466974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2000 years of drought variability in the central United States
    • Woodhouse CA, Overpeck JT (1998) 2000 years of drought variability in the central United States. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79: 2693-2714.
    • (1998) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.79 , pp. 2693-2714
    • Woodhouse, C.A.1    Overpeck, J.T.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.