메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 25, Issue 7-8, 2005, Pages 739-753

Agricultural drought in a future climate: Results from 15 global climate models participating in the IPCC 4th assessment

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHT; GREENHOUSE GAS;

EID: 29244474948     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-005-0057-9     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (301)

References (24)
  • 1
    • 0007974748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cabauw experimental results from the Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parameterization Schemes
    • Chen TH et al (1997) Cabauw experimental results from the Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parameterization Schemes. J Clim 10:1194-1215
    • (1997) J Clim , vol.10 , pp. 1194-1215
    • Chen, T.H.1
  • 2
    • 0036866457 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases and aerosols
    • 10.1007/s00382-002-0259-3
    • Douville H, Chauvin F, Planton S, Royer JF, Salas-Melia D, Tyteca D (2002) Sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases and aerosols. Clim Dyn 20:45-68 10.1007/ s00382-002-0259-3
    • (2002) Clim Dyn , vol.20 , pp. 45-68
    • Douville, H.1    Chauvin, F.2    Planton, S.3    Royer, J.F.4    Salas-Melia, D.5    Tyteca, D.6
  • 3
    • 0037092719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the "reliability ensemble averaging" (REA) method
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1141:COAURA>2.0.CO;2
    • Giorgi F, Mearns LO (2002) Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the "reliability ensemble averaging" (REA) method. J Clim 15 1141-1158 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1141:COAURA>2.0.CO;2
    • (2002) J Clim , vol.15 , pp. 1141-1158
    • Giorgi, F.1    Mearns, L.O.2
  • 4
    • 0031464240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 climate experiment
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0662:SDINMI>2.0.CO;2
    • 2 climate experiment. J Clim 10:662-686 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0662:SDINMI>2.0.CO;2
    • (1997) J Clim , vol.10 , pp. 662-686
    • Gregory, J.M.1    Mitchell, J.F.B.2    Brady, A.J.3
  • 5
    • 0000610493 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of soil moisture to doubling of carbon dioxide in climate model experiments, Part I: North America
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(1988)001<0348:SOSMTD>2.0.CO;2
    • Kellogg WW, Zhao ZC (1988) Sensitivity of soil moisture to doubling of carbon dioxide in climate model experiments, Part I: North America. J Clim 1:348-366 10.1175/1520-0442(1988)001<0348:SOSMTD>2.0.CO;2
    • (1988) J Clim , vol.1 , pp. 348-366
    • Kellogg, W.W.1    Zhao, Z.C.2
  • 6
    • 0035528512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Soil moisture memory in climate models
    • 10.1175/1525-7541(2001)002<0558:SMMICM>2.0.CO;2
    • Koster RD, Suarez MJ (2001) Soil moisture memory in climate models. J Hydrometeorol 2:558-570 10.1175/ 1525-7541(2001)002<0558:SMMICM>2.0.CO;2
    • (2001) J Hydrometeorol , vol.2 , pp. 558-570
    • Koster, R.D.1    Suarez, M.J.2
  • 8
    • 0001513208 scopus 로고
    • Large-scale changes of soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide
    • 10.1175/1520-0469(1987)044<1211:LSCOSW>2.0.CO;2
    • Manabe S, Wetherald RT (1987) Large-scale changes of soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. J Atmos Sci 44:1211-1235 10.1175/1520-0469(1987)044<1211:LSCOSW>2.0.CO;2
    • (1987) J Atmos Sci , vol.44 , pp. 1211-1235
    • Manabe, S.1    Wetherald, R.T.2
  • 10
    • 3343020716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated long-term changes in river discharge and soil moisture due to global warming
    • 10.1623/hysj.49.4.625.54429
    • Manabe S, Milly PCD, Wetherald RT (2004b) Simulated long-term changes in river discharge and soil moisture due to global warming. Hydrol Sci J 49:625-642 10.1623/hysj.49.4.625.54429
    • (2004) Hydrol Sci J , vol.49 , pp. 625-642
    • Manabe, S.1    Milly, P.C.D.2    Wetherald, R.T.3
  • 11
    • 0024249692 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of soil-moisture sensitivity in two global climate models
    • 10.1175/1520-0469(1988)045<1476:ACOSMS>2.0.CO;2
    • Meehl GA, Washington WM (1988) A comparison of soil-moisture sensitivity in two global climate models. J Atmos Sci 45:1476-1492 10.1175/ 1520-0469(1988)045<1476:ACOSMS>2.0.CO;2
    • (1988) J Atmos Sci , vol.45 , pp. 1476-1492
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Washington, W.M.2
  • 12
    • 0000870958 scopus 로고
    • Potential evaporation and soil moisture in general circulation models
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0209:PEASMI>2.0.CO;2
    • Milly PCD (1992) Potential evaporation and soil moisture in general circulation models. J Clim 5:209-226 10.1175/ 1520-0442(1992)005<0209:PEASMI>2.0.CO;2
    • (1992) J Clim , vol.5 , pp. 209-226
    • Milly, P.C.D.1
  • 13
    • 0037203824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate
    • 10.1038/415514a
    • Milly PCD, Wetherald RT, Dunne KA, Delworth TL (2002) Increasing risk of reat floods in a changing climate. Nature 415:514-517 10.1038/415514a
    • (2002) Nature , vol.415 , pp. 514-517
    • Milly, P.C.D.1    Wetherald, R.T.2    Dunne, K.A.3    Delworth, T.L.4
  • 16
    • 0034233140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 2: Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2217:RTCSTC>2.0.CO;2
    • New M, Hulme M, Jones PD (2000) Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part 2: Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. J Clim 13:2217-2238 10.1175/ 1520-0442(2000)013<2217:RTCSTC>2.0.CO;2
    • (2000) J Clim , vol.13 , pp. 2217-2238
    • New, M.1    Hulme, M.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 17
    • 0035428537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A probability and decision-model analysis of a multi-model ensemble of climate change simulations
    • 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3212:APADMA>2.0.CO;2
    • Raisanen J, Palmer TN (2001) A probability and decision-model analysis of a multi-model ensemble of climate change simulations. J Clim 14:3212-3226 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3212:APADMA>2.0.CO;2
    • (2001) J Clim , vol.14 , pp. 3212-3226
    • Raisanen, J.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 19
    • 17744396293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forty-five years of observed soil moisture in the Ukraine: No summer desiccation (yet)
    • doi 10.1029/2004GL021914
    • Robock A, Mu MQ, Vinnikov KY, Trofimova IV, Adamenko TI (2005) Forty-five years of observed soil moisture in the Ukraine: No summer desiccation (yet). Goephys Res Lett 32:L03401, doi:10.1029/2004GL021914
    • (2005) Goephys Res Lett , vol.32
    • Robock, A.1    Mu, M.Q.2    Vinnikov, K.Y.3    Trofimova, I.V.4    Adamenko, T.I.5
  • 20
    • 0023466447 scopus 로고
    • Climate model simulations of the equilibrium climate response to increased carbon dioxide
    • Schlesinger ME, Mitchell JFB (1987) Climate model simulations of the equilibrium climate response to increased carbon dioxide. Rev Geophys 25:760-798
    • (1987) Rev Geophys , vol.25 , pp. 760-798
    • Schlesinger, M.E.1    Mitchell, J.F.B.2
  • 21
    • 0036867357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summer dryness in a warmer climate: A process study with a regional climate model
    • 10.1007/s00382-002-0258-4
    • Seneviratne SI, Pal JS, Eltahir EAB, Schar C (2002) Summer dryness in a warmer climate: A process study with a regional climate model. Clim Dyn 10:69-85 10.1007/s00382-002-0258-4
    • (2002) Clim Dyn , vol.20 , pp. 69-85
    • Seneviratne, S.I.1    Pal, J.S.2    Eltahir, E.A.B.3    Schar, C.4
  • 23
    • 0032695231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detectability of summer dryness caused by greenhouse warming
    • 10.1023/A:1005499220385
    • Wetherald RT, Manabe S (1999) Detectability of summer dryness caused by greenhouse warming. Clim Change 43:495-511 10.1023/A:1005499220385
    • (1999) Clim Change , vol.43 , pp. 495-511
    • Wetherald, R.T.1    Manabe, S.2
  • 24
    • 36448993327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of hydrologic changes associated with global warming
    • doi: 10.1029/2001JD001195
    • Wetherald RT, Manabe S (2002) Simulation of hydrologic changes associated with global warming. J Geophys Res Atmosp 107:dOi: 10.1029/ 2001JD001195
    • (2002) J Geophys Res Atmosp , vol.107
    • Wetherald, R.T.1    Manabe, S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.