A divide and conquer approach to cope with uncertainty, human health risk, and decision making in contaminant hydrology

Water Resources Research

Volumn 47, Issue 5, 2011, Pages

  De Barros, Felipe P J ^a,b   Bolster, Diogo ^a   Sanchez Vila, Xavier ^c   Nowak, Wolfgang ^b  

^a University of Notre Dame   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF STUTTGART   (Germany)

^c UNIVERSITAT POLITÈCNICA DE CATALUNYA   (Spain)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BEHAVIORAL PARAMETERS; COMPLEX SYSTEMS; CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY; CRITICAL CONCENTRATION; DATA AVAILABILITY; DECISION SUPPORTS; DIVIDE-AND-CONQUER APPROACH; FAULT-TREES; HUMAN HEALTH RISKS; HYDROLOGICAL SYSTEM; INTERDISCIPLINARY FIELDS; MANAGEMENT PROBLEMS; NEW FORMS; POLICY MAKING; PRACTICAL PROBLEMS; PROBABILISTIC RISK ANALYSIS; PUBLIC HEALTH; RELATIVE IMPORTANCE; STOCHASTIC FAULTS; SYSTEM FAILURES;

BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS; GROUNDWATER; HEALTH; HYDROLOGY; PHYSIOLOGICAL MODELS; PLANT EXTRACTS; RISK ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

HEALTH RISKS;

ASSESSMENT METHOD; DATA SET; DECISION MAKING; ESTIMATION METHOD; GROUNDWATER; HEALTH RISK; HYDROLOGY; INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACH; PARSIMONY ANALYSIS; RISK FACTOR; STOCHASTICITY; THEORETICAL STUDY; THRESHOLD; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 79957479270     PISSN: 00431397     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009954     Document Type: Article

References (71)

1. Andricevic, R., and V. Cvetkovic (1996), Evaluation of risk from contaminants migrating by groundwater, Water Resour. Res., 32(3), 611-621. (Pubitemid 26351896)
2. Andricevic, R., J. Daniels, and R. Jacobson (1994), Radionuclide migration using travel time transport approach and its application in risk analysis, J. Hydrol., 163, 125-145. (Pubitemid 292100)
3. Baresel, C., and G. Destouni (2007), Uncertainty-accounting environmental policy and management of water systems, Environ. Sci. Technol., 41, 3653-3659. (Pubitemid 350067208)
4. Bedford, T., and R. Cooke (2003), Probalistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
5. Bellin, A., and Y. Rubin (1996), HYDROGEN: A spatially distributed random field generator for correlated properties, Stochastic Hydrol. Hydraul., 10(4), 253-278. (Pubitemid 126839065)
6. Bellin, A., and D. Tonina (2007), Probability density function of nonreactive solute concentration in heterogeneous porous formations, J. Contam. Hydrol., 94, 109-125. (Pubitemid 47505376)
7. Benekos, I., C. A. Shoemaker, and J. R. Stedinger (2007), Probabilistic risk and uncertainty analysis for bioremediation of four chlorinated ethenes in groundwater, Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess., 21, 375-390. (Pubitemid 46463622)
8. Benson, D. A., and M. M. Meerschaert (2008), Simulation of chemical reaction via particle tracking: Diffusion-limited versus thermodynamic rate-limited regimes, Water Resour. Res., 44, W12201, doi:10.1029/ 2008WR007111.
9. Bertuzzo, E., S. Azaele, A. Maritan, M. Gatto, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, and A. Rinaldo (2008), On the space-time evolution of a cholera epidemic, Water Resour. Res., 44, W01424, doi:10.1029/2007WR006211. (Pubitemid 351304149)
10. Bogen, K. T., and R. C. Spear (1987), Integrating uncertainty and interindividual variability in environmental risk assessment, Risk Anal., 7(4), 427-436. (Pubitemid 18030812)
11. Bolster, D., M. Barahona, M. Dentz, D. Fernandez-Garcia, X. Sanchez-Vila, P. Trinchero, C. Valhondo, and D. Tartakovsky (2009), Probabilistic risk analysis of groundwater remediation strategies, Water Resour. Res., 45, W06413, doi:10.1029/2008WR007551.
12. Bolster, D., D. A. Benson, T. LeBorgne, and M. Dentz (2010), Anomalous mixing and reaction induced by super-diffusive non-local transport, Phys. Rev. E, 82, 021119, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.82.021119.
13. Burmaster, D., and A. Wilson (1996), An introduction to second-order random variables in human health risk assessments, Human Ecol. Risk Assess. Int. J., 2(4), 892-919.
14. Christakos, G. (2004), A sociological approach to the state of stochastic hydrogeology, Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess., 18, 274-277.
15. Cirpka, O., R. Schwede, J. Luo, and M. Dentz (2008), Concentration statistics for mixing-controlled reactive transport in random heterogeneous media, J. Contam. Hydrol., 98, 61-74.
16. Cvetkovic, V., A. Shapiro, and G. Dagan (1992), A solute flux approach to transport in heterogenous formations: 2. Uncertainty analysis, Water Resour. Res., 28(5), 1377-1388. (Pubitemid 23372240)
17. Dagan, G. (1987), Theory of solute transport by groundwater, Annu. Rev. Fluid Mech., 19, 183-215.
18. Dagan, G. (1989), Flow and Transport in Porous Formations, Springer, Berlin.
19. Davison, A., G. Howard, M. Stevens, P. Callan, L. Fewtrell, D. Deere, and J. Bartram (2005), Water safety plans managing drinking-water quality from catchment to consumer, Tech. Rep. WHO/SDE/WSH/05.06, World Health Org., Geneva, Switzerland.
20. Dawoud, E., and S. Purucker (1996), Quantitative uncertainty analysis of superfund residential risk pathway models for soil and groundwater, white paper, Environ. Restoration Risk Assess. Program, Lockheed Martin Energy Syst., Inc., Oak Ridge, Tenn.
21. de Barros, F. P. J., and Y. Rubin (2008), A risk-driven approach for subsurface site characterization, Water Resour. Res., 44, W01414, doi:10.1029/2007WR006081. (Pubitemid 351304139)
22. de Barros, F. P. J., Y. Rubin, and R. Maxwell (2009), The concept of comparative information yield curves and its application to risk-based site characterization, Water Resour. Res., 45, W06401, doi:10.1029/ 2008WR007324.
23. Dentz, M., and J. Carrera (2005), Effective solute transport in temporally fluctuating flow through heterogeneous media, Water Resour. Res., 41, W08414, doi:10.1029/2004WR003571. (Pubitemid 41393343)
24. Donado, L. D., X. Sánchez-Vila, M. Dentz, J. Carrera, and D. Bolster (2009), Multicomponent reactive transport in multicontinuum media, Water Resour. Res., 45, W11402, doi:10.1029/2008WR006823.
25. Edery, Y., H. Scher, and B. Berkowitz (2009), Modeling bimolecular reactions and transport in porous media, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L02407, doi:10.1029/2008GL036381.
26. Fiori, A., I. Jankovic, G. Dagan, and V. Cvetkovic (2007), Ergodic transport through aquifers of non-Gaussian log conductivity distribution and occurrence of anomalous behavior, Water Resour. Res., 43, W09407, doi:10.1029/2007WR005976. (Pubitemid 350058443)
27. Fjeld, R., N. Eisenberg, and K. Compton (2007), Quantitative Environmental Risk Analysis for Human Health, John Wiley, Hoboken, N. J.
28. Freer, J., K. Beven, and B. Ambroise (1996), Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in runoff prediction and the value of data: An application of the GLUE approach, Water Resour. Res., 32(7), 2161-2173.
29. Freeze, R. (2004), The role of stochastic hydrogeological modeling in realworld engineering applications, Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess., 18, 286-289.
30. Frind, E. O., J. W. Molson, and D. L. Rudolph (2006), Well vulnerability: A quantitative approach for source water protection, Ground Water, 44(5), 732-742. (Pubitemid 44341824)
31. Gelhar, L. W., C. Welty, and K. Rehfeldt (1992), A critical review of data on field scale disperion in aquifers, Water Resour. Res., 28(7), 1955-1974. (Pubitemid 23373205)
32. Gramling, C., C. Harvey, and L. Meigs (2002), Reactive transport in porous media: A comparison of model prediction with laboratory visualization, Environ. Sci. Technol., 36, 2508-2514. (Pubitemid 34595192)
33. Kitanidis, P. (1994), The concept of the dilution index, Water Resour. Res., 30(7), 2011-2026. (Pubitemid 286134)
34. Kitanidis, P. K. (1995), Quasi-linear geostatistical theory for inversing, Water Resour. Res., 31(10), 2411-2419. (Pubitemid 26475164)
35. Levy, M., and B. Berkowitz (2003), Measurement and analysis of non- Fickian dispersion in heterogeneous porous media, J. Contam. Hydrol., 64, 203-226. (Pubitemid 36694143)
36. Maddalena, R. L., and T. E. McKone (2002), Developing and evaluating distributions for probabilistic human exposure assessments, Tech. Rep. LBNL-51492, Lawrence Berkeley Natl. Lab., Berkeley, Calif.
37. Maxwell, R., and W. Kastenberg (1999), Stochastic environmental risk analysis: An integrated methodology for predicting cancer risk from contaminated groundwater, Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess., 13, 27-47. (Pubitemid 129514558)
38. Maxwell, R., S. Pelmulder, F. Tompson, and W. Kastenberg (1998), On the development of a new methodology for groundwater driven health risk assessment, Water Resour. Res., 34(4), 833-847. (Pubitemid 28159460)
39. Maxwell, R., W. Kastenberg, and Y. Rubin (1999), A methodology to integrate site characterization information into groundwater-driven health risk assessment, Water Resour. Res., 35(9), 2841-2885.
40. Maxwell, R., S. Carle, and A. Tompson (2008), Contamination, risk, and heterogeneity: On the effectiveness of aquifer remediation, Environ. Geol., 54, 1771-1786. (Pubitemid 351743677)
41. McKnight, U., S. Funder, J. Rasmussen, M. Finkel, P. Binning, and P. Bjerg (2010), An integrated model for assessing the risk of TCE groundwater contamination to human receptors and surface water ecosystems, Ecol. Eng., 36, 1126-1137.
42. McKone, T., and T. Bogen (1991), Predicting the uncertainties in risk assessment, Environ. Sci. Technol., 25, 1674-1681.
43. McLucas, A. C. (2003), Decision Making: Risk Management, Systems Thinking and Situation Awareness, Argos, Canberra.
44. Molin, S., and V. Cvetkovic (2010), Microbial risk assessment in heterogeneous aquifers: 1. Pathogen transport, Water Resour. Res., 46, W05518, doi:10.1029/2009WR008036.
45. Molin, S., V. Cvetkovic, and T. Stenstrom (2010), Microbial risk assessment in heterogeneous aquifers: 2. Infection risk sensitivity, Water Resour. Res., 46, W05519, doi:10.1029/2009WR008039.
46. Morales, K. H., L. Ryan, T. L. Kuo, M. Wu, and C. J. Chen (2000), Risk of internal cancers from arsenic in drinking water, Environ. Health Perspect., 108(7), 655-661. (Pubitemid 30657871)
47. Neuman, S. P., and D. M. Tartakovsky (2009), Perspective on theories of anomalous transport in heterogeneous media, Adv. Water Resour., 32(5), 670-680, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.08.005.
48. Nowak, W. (2010), Measures of parameter uncertainty in geostatistical estimation and design, Math. Geosci., 42(2), 199-221.
49. Nowak, W., F. P. J. de Barros, and Y. Rubin (2010), Bayesian geostatistical design: Optimal site investigation when the geostatistical model is uncertain, Water Resour. Res., 46, W03535, doi:10.1029/2009WR008312.
50. Pappenberger, F., and K. Beven (2006), Ignorance is bliss: Or seven reasons not to use uncertainty analysis, Water Resour. Res., 42, W05302, doi:10.1029/2005WR004820. (Pubitemid 43955900)
51. Persson, K., and G. Destouni (2009), Propagation of water pollution uncertainty and risk from the subsurface to the surface water system of a catchment, J. Hydrol., 377, 434-444.
52. Raje, D., and V. Kapoor (2000), Experimental study of bimolecular reaction kinetics in porous media, Environ. Sci. Technol., 24, 1234-1239. (Pubitemid 30186017)
53. Rubin, Y. (1991), Prediction of tracer plume migration in heterogeneous porous media by the method of conditional probabilities, Water Resour. Res., 27(6), 1291-1308.
54. Rubin, Y. (2003), Applied Stochastic Hydrogeology, Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford, U. K.
55. Rubin, Y. (2004), Stochastic hydrogeology-Challenges and misconceptions, Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess., 18, 280-281.
56. Rubin, Y., and G. Dagan (1992), Conditional estimates of solute travel time in heterogenous formations: Impact of transmissivity measurements, Water Resour. Res., 28(4), 1033-1040.
57. Rubin, Y., M. A. Cushey, and A. Bellin (1994), Modeling of transport in groundwater for environmental risk assessment, Stochastic Hydrol. Hydraul., 8(1), 57-77.
58. Sanchez-Vila, X., and A. Guadagnini (2005), Travel time and trajectory moments of conservative solutes in three dimensional heterogeneous porous media under mean uniform flow, Adv. Water Resour., 28, 429-439. (Pubitemid 40355168)
59. Sidle, C. R., B. Nilson, M. Hansen, and J. Fredericia (1998), Spatially varying hydraulic and solute transport characteristics of a fractured till determined by field tracer test, Funen, Denmark, Water Resour. Res., 34(10), 2515-2527. (Pubitemid 28451052)
60. Silliman, S. E., L. Konikow, and C. Voss (1997), Laboratory investigation of longitudinal dispersion in anisotropic porous media, Water Resour. Res., 23(11), 2145-2154.
61. Tartakovsky, D. (2007), Probabilistic risk analysis in subsurface hydrology, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05404, doi:10.1029/2007GL029245. (Pubitemid 46864509)
62. Tartakovsky, D. M., and C. L. Winter (2008), Uncertain future of hydrogeology, J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(1), 37-39.
63. Troldborg, M., G. Lemming, P. Binning, N. Tuxen, and P. Bjerg (2008), Risk assessment and prioritisation of contaminated sites on the catchment scale, J. Contam. Hydrol., 101, 14-28.
64. Troldborg, M., P. Binning, S. Nielsen, P. Kjeldsen, and A. Christensen (2009), Unsaturated zone leaching models for assessing risk to groundwater of contaminated sites, J. Contam. Hydrol., 105, 28-37.
65. Ucinski, D. (2005), Optimal Measurement Methods for Distributed Parameter System Identification, CRC Press, Boca Raton, Fla.
66. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (1989), Risk assessment guidance for Superfund, vol. 1, Human health manual (part A), Rep. EPA/540/1-89/002, Washington, D. C.
67. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (1991), Risk assessment guidance for Superfund, volume 1, Human health evaluation (part B), Rep. EPA/540/R-92/003, Washington, D. C.
68. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (2001), Risk assessment guidance for Superfund, volume III-Part A: Process for conducting probabilistic risk assessment, Rep. EPA 540/R-02/002, Washington, D. C.
69. Winter, C., and D. Tartakovsky (2008), A reduced complexity model for probabilistic risk assessment of groundwater contamination, Water Resour. Res., 44, W06501, doi:10.1029/2007WR006599.
70. Yu, W., C. Harvey, and C. Harvey (2003), Arsenic in groundwater in Bangladesh: A geostatistical and epidemiological framework for evaluating health effects and potential remedies, Water Resour. Res., 39(6), 1146, doi:10.1029/2002WR001327.
71. Zimmerman, D. A., et al. (1998), A comparison of seven geostatistically based inverse approaches to estimate transmissivities for modeling advective transport by groundwater flow, Water Resour. Res., 34(6), 1373-1413. (Pubitemid 28253515)