Stochastic environmental risk analysis: An integrated methodology for predicting cancer risk from contaminated groundwater

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment

Volumn 13, Issue 1-2, 1999, Pages 27-47

  Maxwell, R M ^a,b   Kastenberg, W E ^c  

^a Berkeley   (United States)

^b LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^c Etcheverry Hall MCI 730   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0033453944     PISSN: 14363240     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s004770050030     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Andricevic R, Daniels JI, Jacobson RL (1994) Radionuclide migration using a travel time transport approach and its application in risk analysis. J. Hydrology, 163, 125-145
2. Andricevic R, Cvetkovic V (1996) Evaluation of risk from contaminants migrating by groundwater. Water Resour. Res., 32(3), 611-621
3. d's, Rep. UCRL-AR-105002, Lawrence Livermore Natl. Lab., Livermore, Calif.
4. Bogen KT, Conrado CL, Robison WL (1997) Uncertainty and variability in updated estimates of potential dose and risk at a U.S. nuclear test site - Bikini Atoll. Health Phys., 73, 115-126
5. Bogen KT (1995) Methods to approximate joint uncertainty and variability in risk. Risk Analysis, 15(3), 411-419
6. Bogen KT, Spear RC (1987) Integrating uncertainty and interindividual variability in environmental risk assessment. Risk Analysis, 7(4), 427-436
7. Burmaster DE, Wilson AM (1996) An introduction to second-order random variables in human health risk assessments. Human And Ecol. Risk Asses., 2(4), 892-919
8. Cohen JT, Lampson MA, Bowers TS (1996) The use of two-stage Monte Carlo simulation techniques to characterize variability and uncertainty in risk analysis. Human And Ecol. Risk Asses, 2(4), 939-971
9. Dagan G, Fiori A (1997) The influence of pore-scale dispersion on concentration statistical moments in transport through heterogeneous aquifers. Water Resour. Res., 33(7), 1595-1605
10. Fiori A (1996) Finite peclet number extensions of Dagan's solutions to transport in anisotropic heterogeneous media. Water Resour. Res., 32(1), 193-198
11. Freeze RA, Massmann J, Smith L, Sperling J, James B (1990) Hydrogeological decision analysis, 1, A framework. Ground Water, 28(5), 738-766
12. Frey HC, Rhodes DS (1996) Characterizing, simulating, and analyzing variability and uncertainty: An illustration of methods using an air toxics emissions example. Human And Ecol. Risk Asses., 2(4), 762-797
13. Gelhar LW (1993) Stochastic Subsurface Hydrology. Prentace-Hall
14. Hess KM, Wolf SH, Celia MA (1992) Large-scale natural test in sand and gravel, Cape Cod, Massachusetts, 3, Hydraulic conductivity variability and calculated macrodispersivities. Water Resour. Res., 28(8), 2011-2020
15. Hoffman FO, Hammonds JS (1994) Propagation of uncertainty in risk assessments - the need to distinguish between uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and uncertainty due to variability. Risk Analysis, 14(5), 707-712
16. Kinzelbach W (1988) The random walk method in pollutant transport simulation, in Groundwater Flow and Quality Modeling, NATO ASI Ser., Ser. C Math and Phys. Sci., vol. 224, edited by E. Custido, A. Gurgui, and J.P. Lobo Ferreria, pp. 227-246, D. Reidel, Norwell, Mass.
17. LaBolle EM, Fogg GE, Tompson AFB (1996) Random-walk simulation of transport in heterogeneous porous media: Local mass-conservation problem and implementation methods. Water Resour. Res., 32(3), 583-593
18. Massmann J, Freeze RA (1987a) Groundwater contamination from waste management sites: The interaction between risk-based engineering design and regulatory policy, 1, Methodology. Water Resour. Res., 23(2), 351-367
19. Massmann J, Freeze RA (1987b) Groundwater contamination from waste management sites: The interaction between risk-based engineering design and regulatory policy, 2, Results. Water Resour. Res., 23(2), 368-380
20. Massmann J, Freeze RA, Smith L, Sperling T, James B (1991) Hydrogeological decision analysis, 2, Applications to groundwater contamination. Ground Water, 29(4), 536-548
21. Maxwell RM, Pelmulder SD (1996) Health risk sensitivity to variable and uncertain parameters, Proceedings of the North American Water and Environment Congress
22. Maxwell RM, Pelmulder SD, Tompson AFB, Kastenberg WE (1998) On the development of a new methodology for groundwater-driven health risk assessment. Water Resour. Res., 34(4), 833-847
23. Maxwell RM (1998a) User's Manual: GWRD.F, TURN3D.F, GWpcg.F, Slim-Fast.f, Expose.F. A suite of numerical codes for simulating groundwater flow, contaminant transport; human exposure and risk in three-dimensional, heterogeneous aquifers, with explicit consideration of uncertainty and variability. Center for Nuclear and Toxic Waste Management Report number 98-04, January
24. Maxwell RM (1998b) "The Effects of Uncertainty and Variability in Groundwater-Driven Health Risk Assessment." Ph.D. Dissertation, University of California, Berkeley
25. McKone TE (1994) Uncertainty and variability in human exposures to soil contaminants through home-grown food - a monte-carlo assessment., Risk Analysis, 14(4), 449-463
26. McKone TE (1993a) CalTox, A multimedia total exposure model for hazardous-waste sites, I, Executive summary, Rep. UCRL-CR-111456PTI, prepared for the Office of Scientific Affairs, Department of Toxic Substances Control, California Environmental Protection Agency, Sacramento, CA
27. McKone TE (1993b) CalTox, A multimedia total exposure model for hazardous-waste sites, II, Multimedia transport and transformation, Rep. UCRL-CR-111456PTII, prepared for the Office of Scientific Affairs, Department of Toxic Substances Control, California Environmental Protection Agency, Sacramento, CA
28. McKone TE (1993c) CalTox, A multimedia total exposure model for hazardous-waste sites, III, Multipathway exposure model, Rep. UCRL-CR-111456PTIII, prepared for the Office of Scientific Affairs, Department of Toxic Substances Control, California Environmental Protection Agency, Sacramento, CA
29. McKone TE, Bogen KT (1991) Predicting the uncertainties in risk assessment: A California groundwater case study, Environ. Sci. and Technol., 25(10), 1674-1681
30. McKone TE, Bogen KT (1992) Uncertainties in health-risk assessment: An integrated case study based on tetrachloroethylene in california groundwater. Reg. Tox. and Pharmac., 15, 86-103 National Research Council (NRC), 1994 Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1994
31. Pelmulder SD, Yeh WW-G, Kastenberg WE (1996) Regional scale framework for modeling water resources and health risk problems. Water Resour. Res., 32(6), 1851-1861
32. Rajaram H, Gelhar LW (1995) Plume scale-dependent dispersion in aquifers with a wide range of scales of heterogeneity. Water Resour. Res., 31(10), 2469-2482
33. Rai SN, Krewski D, Bartlett S (1996) A general framework for the analysis of uncertainty and variability in risk assessment. Human and Ecol. Risk Asses, 2(4), 972-989
34. Reichard EG, Evans JS (1989) Assessing the value of hydrogeologic information for risk-based remedial action decisions. Water Resour. Res., 25(7), 1451-1460
35. Schafer-Perini AL, Wilson JL (1991) Efficient and accurate front tracking for two-dimensional groundwater flow models. Water Resour. Res., 27(7), 1471-1485
36. Seager MK (1988) A SLAP for the masses, Rep. UCRL-100195, Larence Livermore Nat. Lab., Livermore, CA
37. Smith L, Schwartz FW (1980) Mass transport, 1, A stochastic analysis of macroscopic dispersion. Water Resour. Res., 16(2), 303-313
38. Smith L, Schwartz FW (1981) Mass transport, 2, A stochastic analysis of uncertainty in prediction. Water Resour. Res., 17(2), 351-369
39. Springer RA (1991) Application of an improved slug-test analysis to the large-scale characterization of heterogeneity in a Cape Cod aquifer. M.S. thesis, Mass. Inst. of Technol., Cambridge
40. Tompson AFB (1993) Numerical simulation of chemical migration in physically and chemically heterogeneous porous media. Water Resour. Res., 29(11), 3709-3726
41. Tompson AFB, Gelhar LW (1990) Numerical simulation of solute transport in three-dimensional randomly heterogeneous porous media Water Resour. Res., 26(10), 2541-2562
42. Tompson AFB, Ababou R, Gelhar LW (1989) Implementation of the 3-dimensional turning bands random field generator. Water Resour. Res., 25(10), 2227-2243
43. Tompson AFB, Vomoris EG, Gelhar LW (1987) Numerical simulation of solute transport in randomly heterogeneous porous media: Motivation, model development, and application, Rep. UCID-21281, Lawrence Livermore Natl. Lab., Livermore, Calif.
44. Uffink GJM (1988) Modeling of solute transport with random walk method, in Groundwater Flow and Quality Modeling, NATO ASI Ser., Ser. C Math and Phys. Sci., vol. 224, edited by E. Custido, A. Gurgui, and J.P. Lobo Ferreria, pp. 247-265, D. Reidel, Norwell, Mass. US Environmental Protection Agency, Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund Volume I: Human Health Manual (Part A), Rep. EPA/540/1-89/002, Off. of Emergency and Remedial Response, Washington D.C., 1989
45. Uffink GJM (1988) Modeling of solute transport with random walk method, in Groundwater Flow and Quality Modeling, NATO ASI Ser., Ser. C Math and Phys. Sci., vol. 224, edited by E. Custido, A. Gurgui, and J.P. Lobo Ferreria, pp. 247-265, D. Reidel, Norwell, Mass. US Environmental Protection Agency, Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund Volume I: Human Health Manual (Part A), Rep. EPA/540/1-89/002, Off. of Emergency and Remedial Response, Washington D.C., 1989