메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 30, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 264-268

Citizen forecasting: Can UK voters see the future?

Author keywords

British election; Citizen forecasting; Election forecasting

Indexed keywords

ELECTION; ESTIMATION METHOD; NUMERICAL MODEL; PARTY POLITICS; PREDICTION; THEORETICAL STUDY; VOTING BEHAVIOR;

EID: 79956026213     PISSN: 02613794     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.09.012     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (40)

References (23)
  • 1
    • 1942450177 scopus 로고
    • Economic evaluations and election outcomes: an analysis of alternative forecasting models
    • Frank Cass, London, D. Broughton, D.M. Farrell, D. Denver, C. Rallings (Eds.)
    • Clarke H.D., Stewart M.C. Economic evaluations and election outcomes: an analysis of alternative forecasting models. British Elections & Parties Yearbook 1994 1995, 73-91. Frank Cass, London. D. Broughton, D.M. Farrell, D. Denver, C. Rallings (Eds.).
    • (1995) British Elections & Parties Yearbook 1994 , pp. 73-91
    • Clarke, H.D.1    Stewart, M.C.2
  • 2
    • 1642528677 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The electoral system: biased to blair?
    • OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford, P. Norris (Ed.)
    • Curtice J. The electoral system: biased to blair?. Britain Votes 2001 2001, 239-250. OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford. P. Norris (Ed.).
    • (2001) Britain Votes 2001 , pp. 239-250
    • Curtice, J.1
  • 5
    • 33846063798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The PM and the pendulum: dynamic forecasting of British elections
    • Lebo M.J., Norpoth H. The PM and the pendulum: dynamic forecasting of British elections. British Journal of Political Science 2007, 37(1):71-87.
    • (2007) British Journal of Political Science , vol.37 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-87
    • Lebo, M.J.1    Norpoth, H.2
  • 8
    • 79956031826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nowcasting v. Polling: the 2010 UK election trials
    • Lewis-Beck M.S., Nadeau R., Bélanger E. Nowcasting v. Polling: the 2010 UK election trials. Electoral Studies 2011, 30(2):284-287.
    • (2011) Electoral Studies , vol.30 , Issue.2 , pp. 284-287
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Nadeau, R.2    Bélanger, E.3
  • 10
    • 84976088787 scopus 로고
    • The politics of institutional choice: presidential ballot access for third parties in the United States
    • Lewis-Beck M.S., Squire P. The politics of institutional choice: presidential ballot access for third parties in the United States. British Journal of Political Science 1995, 25(3):419-427.
    • (1995) British Journal of Political Science , vol.25 , Issue.3 , pp. 419-427
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Squire, P.2
  • 11
    • 0347718424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Voters as forecasters: a micromodel of election prediction
    • Lewis-Beck M.S., Tien C. Voters as forecasters: a micromodel of election prediction. International Journal of Forecasting 1999, 15(2):175-184.
    • (1999) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , Issue.2 , pp. 175-184
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Tien, C.2
  • 12
    • 79955997126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Election forecasting. In Clements, M., Hendry, D. (Eds.), Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford. forthcoming
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S., Tien, C., Election forecasting. In Clements, M., Hendry, D. (Eds.), Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford. forthcoming.
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Tien, C.2
  • 13
    • 79956051882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The United Kingdom: plurality rule under siege
    • OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford, M. Gallagher, P. Mitchell (Eds.)
    • Mitchell P. The United Kingdom: plurality rule under siege. The Politics of Electoral Systems 2005, 157-184. OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford. M. Gallagher, P. Mitchell (Eds.).
    • (2005) The Politics of Electoral Systems , pp. 157-184
    • Mitchell, P.1
  • 14
    • 1942514741 scopus 로고
    • General election forecasting: a comparison of three simple models
    • Mughan A. General election forecasting: a comparison of three simple models. Electoral Studies 1987, 6:195-207.
    • (1987) Electoral Studies , vol.6 , pp. 195-207
    • Mughan, A.1
  • 16
    • 1942420738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting British elections: a dynamic perspective
    • Norpoth H. Forecasting British elections: a dynamic perspective. Electoral Studies 2004, 23:297-305.
    • (2004) Electoral Studies , vol.23 , pp. 297-305
    • Norpoth, H.1
  • 17
    • 38949147772 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing the boundaries but keeping the disproportionality: the electoral impact of the fifth periodical reviews by the parliamentary boundary commissions for England and Wales
    • Rallings C., Johnston R., Thrasher M. Changing the boundaries but keeping the disproportionality: the electoral impact of the fifth periodical reviews by the parliamentary boundary commissions for England and Wales. Political Quarterly 2008, 79(1):80-90.
    • (2008) Political Quarterly , vol.79 , Issue.1 , pp. 80-90
    • Rallings, C.1    Johnston, R.2    Thrasher, M.3
  • 19
    • 84981636211 scopus 로고
    • Government popularity and the next general election
    • Sanders D. Government popularity and the next general election. Political Quarterly 1991, 62:235-261.
    • (1991) Political Quarterly , vol.62 , pp. 235-261
    • Sanders, D.1
  • 21
    • 84975976992 scopus 로고
    • Electoral forecasting from poll data: the British case
    • Whiteley P.F. Electoral forecasting from poll data: the British case. British Journal of Political Science 1979, 9:219-236.
    • (1979) British Journal of Political Science , vol.9 , pp. 219-236
    • Whiteley, P.F.1
  • 23
    • 53349141485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating rival forecasting models of the 2005 general election in Britain - An encompassing experiment
    • Whiteley P.F. Evaluating rival forecasting models of the 2005 general election in Britain - An encompassing experiment. Electoral Studies 2008, 27(4):581-588.
    • (2008) Electoral Studies , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 581-588
    • Whiteley, P.F.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.