메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 2, 2005, Pages 165-173

Forecasting seats from votes in British general elections

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ELECTION; FORECASTING METHOD; MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS; POLITICAL PROCESS; VOTING BEHAVIOR;

EID: 17844386356     PISSN: 13691481     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-856X.2005.00179.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (27)
  • 4
    • 1942450177 scopus 로고
    • 'Economic evaluations and election outcomes: An analysis of alternative forecasting models
    • D. Broughton, D. Farrell, D. Denver and C. Railings, (London: Harvester Wheatsheaf)
    • Clarke, H. D. C and Stewart, M. C. (1994) 'Economic evaluations and election outcomes: an analysis of alternative forecasting models, in D. Broughton, D. Farrell, D. Denver and C. Railings, British Elections and Parties Yearbook (London: Harvester Wheatsheaf).
    • (1994) British Elections and Parties Yearbook
    • Clarke, H.D.C.1    Stewart, M.C.2
  • 5
    • 0011672841 scopus 로고
    • 'Dummy variables and predictive tests for structural change'
    • Dufour, J. M. (1980) 'Dummy variables and predictive tests for structural change', Economic Letters, 6, 241-247.
    • (1980) Economic Letters , vol.6 , pp. 241-247
    • Dufour, J.M.1
  • 7
    • 0004227324 scopus 로고
    • (New York: McGraw-Hill International)
    • Gujarati, D. N. (1988) Basic Econometrics (New York: McGraw-Hill International).
    • (1988) Basic Econometrics
    • Gujarati, D.N.1
  • 8
    • 17844393034 scopus 로고
    • Minutes of Evidence before the Royal Commission on Systems of Elections
    • HMSO 19 May 1909, Cmnd 5352 (London: His Majesty's Stationery Office)
    • HMSO (1909) Minutes of Evidence before the Royal Commission on Systems of Elections, 19 May 1909, Cmnd 5352 (London: His Majesty's Stationery Office).
    • (1909)
  • 9
    • 0000722756 scopus 로고
    • 'The law of cubic proportions in election results'
    • Kendall, M. G. and Stuart, A. (1950) 'The law of cubic proportions in election results', British Journal of Sociology, 1:3, 183-197.
    • (1950) British Journal of Sociology , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 183-197
    • Kendall, M.G.1    Stuart, A.2
  • 11
    • 84976017534 scopus 로고
    • 'Should a two-and-a-half law replace the cube law in British elections?'
    • Laakso, M. (1979) 'Should a two-and-a-half law replace the cube law in British elections?', British Journal of Political Science, 9:3, 355-384.
    • (1979) British Journal of Political Science , vol.9 , Issue.3 , pp. 355-384
    • Laakso, M.1
  • 12
    • 1942516881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'General election forecasts in the United Kingdom: A political economy model
    • Lewis-Beck, M. S., Nadeau, R. and Bélanger, E. (2004) 'General election forecasts in the United Kingdom: a political economy model, Electoral Studies, 23:2, 279-290.
    • (2004) Electoral Studies , vol.23 , Issue.2 , pp. 279-290
    • Lewis-Beck, M.S.1    Nadeau, R.2    Bélanger, E.3
  • 13
    • 1942514741 scopus 로고
    • 'General election forecasting in Britain: A comparison of three simple models
    • Mughan, A. (1987) 'General election forecasting in Britain: a comparison of three simple models, Electoral Studies, 6:2, 195-207.
    • (1987) Electoral Studies , vol.6 , Issue.2 , pp. 195-207
    • Mughan, A.1
  • 14
    • 1942484828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting the outcome of the 2001 British general election'
    • Mughan, A. (2004) 'Forecasting the outcome of the 2001 British general election', Electoral Studies, 23:2, 291-296.
    • (2004) Electoral Studies , vol.23 , Issue.2 , pp. 291-296
    • Mughan, A.1
  • 15
    • 1942420738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting British elections: A dynamic perspective'
    • Norpoth, H. (2004) 'Forecasting British elections: a dynamic perspective', Electoral Studies, 23:2, 297-305.
    • (2004) Electoral Studies , vol.23 , Issue.2 , pp. 297-305
    • Norpoth, H.1
  • 16
    • 0001361437 scopus 로고
    • 'A preliminary survey of the theories and findings on vote and popularity functions'
    • Paldam, M. (1981) 'A preliminary survey of the theories and findings on vote and popularity functions', European Journal of Political Research, 7:1, 1-26.
    • (1981) European Journal of Political Research , vol.7 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-26
    • Paldam, M.1
  • 17
    • 84975994549 scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting the British election to the European Parliament'
    • Payne, C. and Brown, P. (1981) 'Forecasting the British election to the European Parliament', British Journal of Political Science, 11:2, 235-244.
    • (1981) British Journal of Political Science , vol.11 , Issue.2 , pp. 235-244
    • Payne, C.1    Brown, P.2
  • 18
    • 84974133745 scopus 로고
    • 'Seats and votes: An application of the cube law to the Canadian electoral system'
    • Qualter, T. H. (1968) 'Seats and votes: an application of the cube law to the Canadian electoral system', Canadian Journal of Political Science, 1:3, 336-344.
    • (1968) Canadian Journal of Political Science , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 336-344
    • Qualter, T.H.1
  • 19
    • 84981636211 scopus 로고
    • 'Government popularity and the next general election'
    • Sanders, D. (1991) 'Government popularity and the next general election', Political Quarterly, 62:3, 235-261.
    • (1991) Political Quarterly , vol.62 , Issue.3 , pp. 235-261
    • Sanders, D.1
  • 20
    • 84919164221 scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting the 1992 general election result: The performance of an economic model
    • D. Denver (ed), (London: Harvester Wheatsheaf)
    • Sanders, D. (1993) 'Forecasting the 1992 general election result: the performance of an economic model, in D. Denver (ed), British Elections and Parties Yearbook (London: Harvester Wheatsheaf).
    • (1993) British Elections and Parties Yearbook
    • Sanders, D.1
  • 21
    • 0009159543 scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting political preferences and election outcomes in the UK: Experiences, problems and prospects for the next general election'
    • Sanders, D. (1995) 'Forecasting political preferences and election outcomes in the UK: experiences, problems and prospects for the next general election', Electoral Studies, 14:3, 251-272.
    • (1995) Electoral Studies , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 251-272
    • Sanders, D.1
  • 23
    • 84971129370 scopus 로고
    • 'The desired political entropy'
    • Theil, H. (1969) 'The desired political entropy', American Political Science Review, 63:3, 521-525.
    • (1969) American Political Science Review , vol.63 , Issue.3 , pp. 521-525
    • Theil, H.1
  • 24
    • 84971910224 scopus 로고
    • 'The relationship between seats and votes in two party systems'
    • Tufte, E. (1973) 'The relationship between seats and votes in two party systems', American Political Science Review, 67:3, 540-554.
    • (1973) American Political Science Review , vol.67 , Issue.3 , pp. 540-554
    • Tufte, E.1
  • 25
    • 84975976992 scopus 로고
    • 'Electoral forecasting from poll data: The British case'
    • Whiteley, P. F. (1979) 'Electoral forecasting from poll data: the British case', British Journal of Political Science, 9:2, 219-236.
    • (1979) British Journal of Political Science , vol.9 , Issue.2 , pp. 219-236
    • Whiteley, P.F.1
  • 26
    • 0038970154 scopus 로고
    • 'Politico-econometric estimation in Britain: An alternative interpretation'
    • P. Whiteley (ed), (London: Sage)
    • Whiteley, P. (1980) 'Politico-econometric estimation in Britain: an alternative interpretation', in P. Whiteley (ed), Models of Political Economy (London: Sage).
    • (1980) Models of Political Economy
    • Whiteley, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.