Forecasting British elections: A dynamic perspective

Electoral Studies

Volumn 23, Issue 2, 2004, Pages 297-305

  Norpoth, H ^a  

^a STONY BROOK UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Autoregressive models; British elections; Vote forecasting

Indexed keywords

ELECTION; FORECASTING METHOD; PARTY POLITICS; VOTING BEHAVIOR;

EURASIA; EUROPE; UNITED KINGDOM; WESTERN EUROPE;

EID: 1942420738     PISSN: 02613794     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0261-3794(02)00070-7     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Box G.E.P. Jenkins G. Time series analysis Rev. ed. 1976 Holden-Day San Francisco
2. Campbell A. Converse P.E. Miller W.E. Stokes D.E. The American voter 1960 Wiley New York
3. Clarke H. Sanders D. Stewart M. Whiteley P. The 2001 British election study: An interim report British Politics Group Newsletter Summer 2001 5-8
4. Clarke H.D. Norpoth H. Whiteley P. It's about time: Modelling political and social dynamics Scarbrough E. Tanenbaum E. Research strategies in the social sciences: A guide to new approaches 1998 127-155 Oxford University Press Oxford
5. Craig F.W.S. British electoral facts 1832-1980 1981 Parliamentary Research Services Chichester
6. Dickey D.A. Bell W.R. Miller R.B. Unit roots in time series models: Tests and implications The American Statistician 40 1986 12-27
7. Downs A. An economic theory of democracy 1957 Harper - Row New York
8. Duverger M. Political parties 1963 Wiley New York
9. Hoge, W., 1997. Out of office one day, out of a home the next, New York Times, May 3, 7.
10. King A. Britain at the polls 1992 1993 Chatham House Chatham
11. Morrow J.D. Game theory for political scientists 1994 Princeton University Press Princeton
12. Norpoth H. Of time and candidates Campbell J. Garand J. Before the vote 2000 57-81 Sage Publications Thousands Oaks
13. Paldam M. How robust is the vote function? Norpoth M.L. Lewis-Beck M. Lafay J.-D. Economics and politics: The calculus of support 1991 9-32 University of Michigan Press Ann Arbor
14. Rae D.W. The political consequences of electoral laws Rev. ed. 1971 Yale University Press New Haven
15. Stokes D.E. Iversen G.R. On the existence of forces restoring party competition Campbell A. Converse P.E. Miller W.E. Stokes D.E. Elections and the political order 1966 180-193 New York Wiley