Does information available at delivery improve the accuracy of predicting vaginal birth after cesarean? validation of the published models in an independent patient cohort

American Journal of Perinatology

Volumn 28, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 293-298

  Costantine, Maged M ^a   Fox, Karin A ^a   Pacheco, Luis Diego ^a   Mateus, Julio ^a   Hankins, Gary D V ^a   Grobman, William A ^b   Saade, George R ^a  

^a University of Texas Medical Branch School of Medicine   (United States)

^b NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

prediction model; trial of labor; Vaginal birth after cesarean

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; ADULT; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; BODY MASS; CESAREAN SECTION; COHORT ANALYSIS; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CONTROLLED STUDY; CORRELATION COEFFICIENT; DELIVERY; DIAGNOSTIC TEST ACCURACY STUDY; ENTRY TO CARE; ETHNICITY; FEMALE; GESTATIONAL AGE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MATERNAL AGE; MEDICAL INFORMATION; OBSERVATIONAL STUDY; OBSTETRIC CARE; POSTOPERATIVE PERIOD; PREDICTION; PREDICTION MODEL; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PREECLAMPSIA; PREGNANT WOMAN; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; RETROSPECTIVE STUDY; STATISTICAL MODEL; TERM BIRTH; TRIAL OF LABOR; UTERINE CERVIX DILATATION; UTERINE CERVIX RIPENING; VAGINAL DELIVERY; VALIDATION STUDY;

ADULT; FEMALE; HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PREGNANCY; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; ROC CURVE; TRIAL OF LABOR; VAGINAL BIRTH AFTER CESAREAN; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 79953041723     PISSN: 07351631     EISSN: 10988785     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1055/s-0030-1271214     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. Hamilton B E., Martin J A., Ventura S J. Births: Preliminary Data for 2007. National vital statistics reports. Vol. 57. No 12. Hyattsville, MD National Center for Health Statistics Released March 18, 2009 Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr57/nvsr57-12.pdf
2. Martin J A., Hamilton B E., Sutton P D. et al. Births: Final Data for 2006. National Center for Health Statistics. January 7, 2009. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr57/nvsr57-07.pdf Accessed June 1, 2010
3. American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists. Vaginal birth after previous cesarean. ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 54. Obstet Gynecol 2004 104 203-212
4. Landon M B., Leindecker S, Spong C Y. et al, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. The MFMU Cesarean Registry: factors affecting the success of trial of labor after previous cesarean delivery. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2005 193 3 Pt 2 1016-1023 (Pubitemid 41285487)
5. Landon M B., Hauth J C., Leveno K J. et al, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. Maternal and perinatal outcomes associated with a trial of labor after prior cesarean delivery. N Engl J Med 2004 351 2581-2589 (Pubitemid 39628579)
6. NIH Consensus Development Conference on Vaginal Birth after Cesarean: New Insights. March 8-10, 2010. Bethesda, MD Available at: http://consensus.nih. gov/2010/images/vbac/vbac-statement.pdf Accessed May 24, 2010
7. Grobman W A., Lai Y, Landon M B. et al, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network (MFMU). Development of a nomogram for prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol 2007 109 806-812 (Pubitemid 46559066)
8. Grobman W A., Lai Y, Landon M B. et al, for the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. Does information available at admission for delivery improve prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean? Am J Perinatol 2009 26 693-701
9. Costantine M M., Fox K, Byers B D. et al. Validation of the prediction model for success of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol 2009 114 1029-1033
10. Zweig M H., Campbell G. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: a fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine. Clin Chem 1993 39 561-577 (Pubitemid 23118304)
11. Hanley J A., McNeil B J. The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 1982 143 29-36 (Pubitemid 12142173)
12. Lasko T A., Bhagwat J G., Zou K H., Ohno-Machado L. The use of receiver operating characteristic curves in biomedical informatics. J Biomed Inform 2005 38 404-415 (Pubitemid 41405811)
13. Lilliefors H W. On the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for normality with mean and variance unknown. J Am Stat Assoc 1967 62 399-402
14. Rossi A C., D'Addario V. Maternal morbidity following a trial of labor after cesarean section vs elective repeat cesarean delivery: a systematic review with metaanalysis. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2008 199 224-231
15. Grobman W A., Lai Y, Landon M B. et al, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. Can a prediction model for vaginal birth after cesarean also predict the probability of morbidity related to a trial of labor? Am J Obstet Gynecol 2009 200 56-e1-e6