Population cycles are highly correlated over long time series and large spatial scales in two unrelated species: Greater sage-grouse and cottontail rabbits

Oecologia

Volumn 165, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 915-924

  Fedy, Bradley C ^a,b   Doherty, Kevin E ^c,d  

^a Veterinary Dentistry and Oral Surgery   (United States)

^b FORT COLLINS SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^c National Audubon Society   (United States)

^d United States Fish and Wildlife Service   (United States)

Author keywords

Centrocercus urophasianus; Conservation; Generalized additive models; Indices; Sylvilagus sp.

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT; GAMEBIRD; LAGOMORPH; LONG-TERM CHANGE; POPULATION CYCLE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES CONSERVATION; TIME SERIES;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; ECOSYSTEM; GALLIFORMES; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DENSITY; PREDATION; RABBIT; TIME; UNITED STATES;

ANIMALS; ECOSYSTEM; GALLIFORMES; POPULATION DENSITY; PREDATORY BEHAVIOR; RABBITS; TIME FACTORS; WYOMING;

ANIMALIA; CENTROCERCUS UROPHASIANUS; ORYCTOLAGUS CUNICULUS; SYLVILAGUS; SYLVILAGUS SP.;

EID: 79952693641     PISSN: 00298549     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00442-010-1768-0     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Anderson DR (2001) The need to get the basics right in wildlife field studies. Wildl Soc Bull 29: 1294-1297.
2. Anderson DR (2003) Response to Engeman: index values rarely constitute reliable information. Wildl Soc Bull 31: 288-291.
3. Atkinson PW et al (2006) Identifying declines in waterbirds: the effects of missing data, population variability and count period on the interpretation of long-term survey data. Biol Conserv 130: 549-559.
4. Bartel RA, Knowlton FF (2005) Functional feeding responses of coyotes, Canis latrans, to fluctuating prey abundance in the Curlew Valley, Utah, 1977-1993. Can J Zool 83: 569-578.
5. Beck TDI, Braun CE (1980) The strutting ground count, variation, traditionalism, management needs. In: Proceedings of the Western Association of fish and wildlife agencies, vol 60, pp 558-566.
6. Berryman AA (ed) (2002a) Population cycles. The case for trophic interactions. Oxford University Press, New York.
7. Berryman AA (2002b) Population cycles causes and analysis. In: Berryman AA (ed) Population cycles. The case for trophic interactions. Oxford University Press, New York.
8. Bety J, Gauthier G, Korpimaki E, Giroux JF (2002) Shared predators and indirect trophic interactions: lemming cycles and arctic-nesting geese. J Anim Ecol 71: 88-98.
9. Bjornstad ON, Falck W, Stenseth NC (1995) Geographic gradient in small rodent density fluctuations: a statistical modeling approach. Proc R Soc Lond B 262: 127-133.
10. Blomqvist S, Holmgren N, Akesson S, Hedenstrom A, Pettersson J (2002) Indirect effects of lemming cycles on sandpiper dynamics: 50 years of counts from southern Sweden. Oecologia 133: 146-158.
11. Boutin S et al (1995) Population changes of the vertebrate community during a snowshoe hare cycle in Canada's boreal forest. Oikos 74: 69-80.
12. Box GEP, Jenkins GM, Reinsel GC (2008) Time series analysis: forecasting and control, 4th edn. Wiley, Hoboken.
13. Bulmer MG (1974) Statistical analysis of 10-year cycle in Canada. J Anim Ecol 43: 701-717.
14. Connelly JW, Knick ST, Schroeder MA, Stiver SJ (2004) Conservation assessment of greater sage-grouse and sagebrush habitats. In: Western Association of fish and wildlife agencies, Cheyenne, Wyoming.
15. Dunn EH, Francis CM, Blancher PJ, Drennan SR, Howe MA, Lepage D, Robbins CS, Rosenberg KV, Sauer JR, Smith AG (2005) Enhancing the scientific value of The Christmas Bird Count. Auk 122: 338-346.
16. Eglington SM, Davis SE, Joys AC, Chamberlain DE, Noble DG (2010) The effect of observer experience on English Breeding Bird Survey population trends. Bird Study 57: 129-141.
17. Ellingson AR, Lukacs PM (2003) Improving methods for regional landbird monitoring: a reply to Hutto and Young. Wildl Soc Bull 31: 896-902.
18. Elton C (1924) Periodic fluctuations in the numbers of animals: their causes and effects. Br J Exp Biol 2: 116-163.
19. Feldhamer GA, Thompson BC, Chapman JA (2003) Wild mammals of North America: biology, management, and conservation, 2nd edn. John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.
20. Fewster RM, Buckland ST, Siriwardena GM, Baillie SR, Wilson JD (2000) Analysis of population trends for farmland birds using generalized additive models. Ecology 81: 1970-1984.
21. Fonseca LG, Murillo GA, Guadamuz L, Spinola RM, Valverde RA (2009) Downward but stable trend in the abundance of arribada olive ridley sea turtles (Lepidochelys olivacea) at Nancite beach, Costa Rica (1971-2007). Chelonian Conserv Biol 8: 19-27.
22. Garton EO, Connelly JW, Horne JS, Hagen CA, Moser A, Schroeder MA (2010) Greater sage-grouse population dynamics and probability of persistence. Stud Avian Biol (in press).
23. Hanski I, Henttonen H (1996) Predation on competing rodent species: a simple explanation of complex patterns. J Anim Ecol 65: 220-232.
24. Hanski I, Hansson L, Henttonen H (1991) Specialist predators, generalist predators, and the microtine rodent cycle. J Anim Ecol 60: 353-367.
25. Hanski I, Henttonen H, Korpimaki E, Oksanen L, Turchin P (2001) Small-rodent dynamics and predation. Ecology 82: 1505-1520.
26. Hastie T, Tibshirani R (1990) Generalized additive models. Chapman & Hall, New York.
27. Hewson CM, Noble DG (2009) Population trends of breeding birds in British woodlands over a 32-year period: relationships with food, habitat use and migratory behaviour. Ibis 151: 464-486.
28. Hornfeldt B (1978) Synchronous population fluctuations in voles, small game, owls, and tularemia in northern Sweden. Oecologia 32.
29. Huitu O, Koivula M, Korpimaki E, Klemola T, Norrdahl K (2003) Winter food supply limits growth of northern vole populations in the absence of predation. Ecology 84: 2108-2118.
30. Johnson DH (2008) In defense of indices: the case of bird surveys. J Wildl Manag 72: 857-868.
31. Johnson DH, Rowland MM (2007) The utility of lek counts for monitoring greater sage-grouse. In: Reese KP, Bowyer RT (eds) Proceedings of a symposium at Idaho State University Hosted by University of Idaho and Idaho State University, vol Station Bulletin 88, Moscow, Idaho, pp 15-23.
32. Kausrud KL et al (2008) Linking climate change to lemming cycles. Nature 456: 93-97.
33. Keith LB (1963) Wildlife's ten-year cycle. University of Wisconsin Press, Madison.
34. Klemola T, Koivula M, Korpimaki E, Norrdahl K (2000) Experimental tests of predation and food hypotheses for population cycles of voles. Proc R Soc Lond B 267: 351-356.
35. Klemola T, Tanhuanpaa M, Korpimaki E, Ruohomaki K (2002) Specialist and generalist natural enemies as an explanation for geographical gradients in population cycles of northern herbivores. Oikos 99: 83-94.
36. Knick ST, Dobkin DS, Rotenberry JT, Schroeder MA, Vander Haegen WM, van Riper C (2003) Teetering on the edge or too late? Conservation and research issues for avifauna of sagebrush habitats. Condor 105: 611-634.
37. Korpimaki E, Norrdahl K, Huitu O, Klemola T (2005) Predator-induced synchrony in population oscillations of coexisting small mammal species. Proc R Soc Lond B 272: 193-202.
38. Krebs CJ et al (1995) Impact of food and predation on the snowshoe hare cycle. Science 269: 1112-1115.
39. MacKenzie DI, Kendall WL (2002) How should detection probability be incorporated into estimates of relative abundance? Ecology 83: 2387-2393.
40. Moss R, Watson A (2001) Population cycles in birds of the grouse family (Tetraonidae). In: Caswell H (ed) Advances in ecological research, vol 32. Academic, San Diego, pp 53-111.
41. Nisbet RM, Gurney WSC (1982) Modelling fluctuating populations. Wiley, Chichester.
42. Norvell RE, Howe FP, Parrish JR (2003) A seven-year comparison of relative-abundance and distance-sampling methods. Auk 120: 1013-1028.
43. Orr RT (1940) The rabbits of California. Occasional papers of the California Academy of Science 19.
44. Ranta E, Kaitala V, Lindstrom J (1999) Spatially autocorrelated disturbances and patterns in population synchrony. Proc R Soc Lond B 266: 1851-1856.
45. Robbins CS, Bystrak D, Geissler PH (1986) The Breeding Bird Survey: its first fifteen years, 1965-1979. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Resource Publication 157.
46. Robinson RA, Siriwardena GM, Crick HQP (2005) Size and trends of the house sparrow Passerdomesticus population in Great Britain. Ibis 147: 552-562.
47. Rosenstock SS, Anderson DR, Giesen KM, Leukering T, Carter MF (2002) Landbird counting techniques: current practices and an alternative. Auk 119: 46-53.
48. Sauer JR, Hines JE, Fallon J (2008) The North American Breeding Bird Survey, Results and Analysis 1966-2007. Version 5. 15. 2008. U. S. Geological Survey Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland.
49. Schmidt KA, Ostfeld RS (2003) Songbird populations in fluctuating environments: predator responses to pulsed resources. Ecology 84: 406-415.
50. Schroeder MA, Young JR, Braun CE (1999) Sage grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus). In: The birds of North America, vol 425. The Birds of North America, Philadelphia.
51. Schroeder MA et al (2004) Distribution of sage-grouse in North America. Condor 106: 363-376.
52. Seivwright LJ, Redpath SM, Mougeot F, Leckie F, Hudson PJ (2005) Interactions between intrinsic and extrinsic mechanisms in a cyclic species: testosterone increases parasite infection in red grouse. Proc R Soc Lond B 272: 2299-2304.
53. Siriwardena GM (2004) Possible roles of habitat, competition and avian nest predation in the decline of the willow tit Parus montanus in Britain. Bird Study 51: 193-202.
54. Spinola RM, Gates R (2008) Population status and trends of northern bobwhite (Colinus virginianus) in Ohio: 1984-2004. Ohio J Sci 108: 26-30.
55. Taylor SM (1965) The Common Birds Census-some statistical aspects. Bird Study 12: 268-286.
56. Thomas L (1996) Monitoring long-term population change: why are there so many analysis methods? Ecology 77: 49-58.
57. Turchin P, Hanski I (1997) An empirically based model for latitudinal gradient in vole population dynamics. Am Nat 149: 842-874.
58. Walker BL, Naugle DE, Doherty KE (2007) Greater sage-grouse population response to energy development and habitat loss. J Wildl Manag 71: 2644-2654.
59. Walsh DP, White GC, Remington TE, Bowden DC (2004) Evaluation of the lek-count index for greater sage-grouse. Wildl Soc Bull 32: 56-68.
60. White GC (2005) Correcting wildlife counts using detection probabilities. Wildl Res 32: 211-216.
61. Williams CK, Ives AR, Applegate RD, Ripa J (2004) The collapse of cycles in the dynamics of North American grouse populations. Ecol Lett 7: 1135-1142.
62. Williamson K, Homes RC (1964) Methods and preliminary results of the Common Bird Census, 1962-63. Bird Study 11: 240-256.
63. Wilmshurst JF, Greer R, Henry JD (2006) Correlated cycles of snowshoe hares and Dall's sheep lambs. Can J Zool 84: 736-743.
64. Woolf A, Shoemaker D, Cooper M (1993) Evidence of tularemia regulating a semi-isolated cottontail rabbit population. J Wildl Manag 57: 144-157.
65. Wright LJ et al (2009) Importance of climatic and environmental change in the demography of a multi-brooded passerine, the woodlark Lullula arborea. J Anim Ecol 78: 1191-1202.