Neutral theory as a predictor of avifaunal extinctions after habitat loss

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Volumn 108, Issue 6, 2011, Pages 2316-2321

  Halley, John M ^a   Iwasa, Yoh ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF IOANNINA   (Greece)

^b KYUSHU UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Biodiversity loss; Extinction debt; Extinction rates; Faunal relaxation

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BIODIVERSITY; BIRD; COMMUNITY; DETERIORATION; ECOLOGY; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; FOREST FRAGMENTATION; HABITAT; NEUTRAL GENE THEORY; NONHUMAN; OBSERVATION; OCEANIC REGIONS; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES EXTINCTION; SPECIES RICHNESS;

ANIMALS; BIOLOGICAL EVOLUTION; ECOSYSTEM; EXTINCTION, BIOLOGICAL; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL;

EID: 79952299718     PISSN: 00278424     EISSN: 10916490     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1011217108     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Pimm SL, Russell GJ, Gittleman JL, Brooks TM (1995) The future of biodiversity. Science 269:347-350.
2. Pimm SL (2008) Biodiversity: Climate change or habitat loss - which will kill more species? Curr Biol 18:R117-R119.
3. Myers N (1979) The Sinking Ark. A New Look at the Problem of Disappearing Species (Pergamon Press, Oxford).
4. Diamond JM (1972) Biogeographic kinetics: Estimation of relaxation times for avifaunas of southwest Pacific islands. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 69:3199-3203.
5. Tilman D, May RM, Lehman CL, Nowak MA (1994) Habitat destruction and the extinction debt. Nature 371:65-66. (Pubitemid 24277463)
6. Kuussaari M, et al. (2009) Extinction debt: A challenge for biodiversity conservation. Trends Ecol Evol 24:564-571.
7. Solow AR (1993) Inferring extinction from sighting data. Ecology 74:962-964.
8. Terborgh J (1974) Preservation of natural diversity: The problem of extinction prone species. Bioscience 24:715-722.
9. Pärtel M, Helm A, Reitalu T, Liira J, Zobel M (2007) Grassland diversity related to the Late Iron Age human population density. J Ecol 95:574-582. (Pubitemid 46624085)
10. Gonzalez A, Chaneton EJ (2002) Heterotroph species extinction, abundance and biomass dynamics in an experimentally fragmented microecosystem. J Anim Ecol 71:594-602. (Pubitemid 34842153)
11. Triantis KA, et al. (2010) Extinction debt on oceanic islands. Ecography (Cop.) 33:285-294.
12. Steadman DW (2006) Extinction and Biogeography of Tropical Pacific Birds (University of Chicago Press, Chicago).
13. Hanski I, Ovaskainen O (2002) Extinction debt at extinction threshold. Conserv Biol 16:666-673. (Pubitemid 34592921)
14. Hubbell SP (2001) The Unified Neutral Theory of Biodiversity and Biogeography (Princeton University Press, Princeton).
15. Chave J (2004) Neutral theory and community ecology. Ecol Lett 7:241-253.
16. Alonso D, Etienne RS, McKane AJ (2006) The merits of neutral theory. Trends Ecol Evol 21:451-457. (Pubitemid 44066620)
17. Ricklefs RE (2006) The unified neutral theory of biodiversity: Do the numbers add up? Ecology 87:1424-1431.
18. Gewin V (2006) Beyond neutrality - ecology finds its niche. PLoS Biol 4:e278.
19. Clark JS (2009) Beyond neutral science. Trends Ecol Evol 24:8-15.
20. Volkov I, Banavar JR, Hubbell SP, Maritan A (2007) Patterns of relative species abundance in rainforests and coral reefs. Nature 450:45-49. (Pubitemid 350070560)
21. Clark JS, McLachlan JS (2003) Stability of forest biodiversity. Nature 423:635-638. (Pubitemid 36713222)
22. Leigh EG, Jr. (2007) Neutral theory: A historical perspective. J Evol Biol 20:2075-2091.
23. Durrett R, Levin S (1996) Spatial models for species-area curves. J Theor Biol 179:119-127. (Pubitemid 26150990)
24. Chave J, Leigh EG, Jr. (2002) A spatially explicit neutral model of beta-diversity in tropical forests. Theor Popul Biol 62:153-168. (Pubitemid 38051032)
25. O'Dwyer JP, Green JL (2010) Field theory for biogeography: A spatially explicit model for predicting patterns of biodiversity. Ecol Lett 13:87-95.
26. Azaele S, Pigolotti S, Banavar JR, Maritan A (2006) Dynamical evolution of ecosystems. Nature 444:926-928. (Pubitemid 46025004)
27. Gilbert B, Laurance WF, Leigh EG, Jr., Nascimento HEM (2006) Can neutral theory predict the responses of Amazonian tree communities to forest fragmentation? Am Nat 168:304-317.
28. Leigh EG, Wright SJ, Herre EA, Putz FE (1993) The decline of tree diversity on newly isolated tropical islands: A test of a null hypothesis and some implications. Evol Ecol 7:76-102. (Pubitemid 24406612)
29. Hubbell SP, et al. (2008) How many tree species and how many of them are there in the Amazon will go extinct? Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105:11498-11504.
30. Green JL, Ostling A (2003) Endemics area relationships: The influence of species dominance and spatial aggregation. Ecology 84:3090-3097. (Pubitemid 38261455)
31. MacArthur RH (1957) On the relative abundance of bird species. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 43:293-295.
32. Sugihara G, Bersier LF, Southwood TRE, Pimm SL, May RM (2003) Predicted correspondence between species abundances and dendrograms of niche similarities. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100:5246-5251. (Pubitemid 36542690)
33. Moran PAP (1962) The Statistical Processes of Evolutionary Theory (Clarendon Press, Oxford).
34. Willis EO (1974) Populations and local extinctions of birds on Barro Colorado Island, Panama. Ecol Monogr 44:153-169.
35. Brooks TM, Pimm SL, Oyugi JO (1999) Time lag between deforestation and bird extinction in tropical forest fragments. Conserv Biol 13:1140-1150. (Pubitemid 29475545)
36. Ferraz G, et al. (2003) Rates of species loss from Amazonian forest fragments. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100:14069-14073. (Pubitemid 37499192)
37. Newmark WD (1991) Tropical forest fragmentation and the local extinction of understory birds in the eastern Usambara Mountains, Tanzania. Conserv Biol 5:67-78.
38. MacHunter J, Wright W, Loyn R, Rayment P (2006) Bird declines over 22 years in forest remnants in southeastern Australia: Evidence of faunal relaxation? Can J For Res 36:2756-2768. (Pubitemid 46622531)
39. Thiollay JM (1994) Structure, density and rarity in an Amazonian rainforest bird community. J Trop Ecol 10:449-481.
40. Terborgh J, Robinson SK, Parker TA, Munn CA, Pierpont N (1990) Structure and organization of an Amazonian forest bird community. Ecol Monogr 60:213-238.
41. Van Houtan KS, Pimm SL, Halley JM, Bierregaard RO, Jr., Lovejoy TE (2007) Dispersal of Amazonian birds in continuous and fragmented forest. Ecol Lett 10:219-229.
42. Van Houtan KS, Pimm SL, Bierregaard RO, Lovejoy TE, Stouffer PC (2006) Local extinctions in flocking birds in Amazonian forest fragments. Evol Ecol Res 8:129-148. (Pubitemid 43204483)