Effects of IPCC SRES emissions scenarios on river runoff: A global perpective

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 7, Issue 5, 2003, Pages 619-641

  Arnell, Nigel W ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate change impacts on runoff; Drought frequency; Flood frequency; Macro scale hydrological model; Multi decadal variability; SRES emissions scenarios

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DECADAL VARIATION; DROUGHT; EMISSION; FLOOD FREQUENCY; HYDROLOGICAL REGIME; RUNOFF;

EID: 1242315903     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Adam, J.C. and Lettenmaier, D.P., 2003. Adjustment of global gridded precipitation for systematic bias. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 108 (D9), art. no. 4257.
2. Arnell, N.W., 1999a. Climate change and global water resources. Global Environ. Change 9, S31-S49.
3. Arnell, N.W., 1999b. The effect of climate change on hydrological regimes in Europe: a continental perspective. Global Environ. Change 9, 5-23.
4. Arnell, N.W., 1999c. A simple water balance model for the simulation of streamflow over a large geographic domain. J. Hydrol., 217, 314-335.
5. Arnell, N.W., 2004. Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environ. Change. In press.
6. Arnell, N.W., Liu, C. et al., 2001. Hydrology and water resources. Climate Change 2001: Impacts and Adaptations. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. McCarthy and O. Canziani (Eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
7. Arora, V.K. and Boer, G.J., 2001. Effects of simulated climate change on the hydrology of major river basins. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 3335-3348.
8. Döll, P., Kaspar, F. and Lehner, B., 2003. A global hydrological model for deriving water availability indicators: model tuning and validation. J. Hydrol., 270. 105-134.
9. Giorgi, F., Whetton, P.H. et al., 2001. Emerging patterns of simulated regional climate changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings. Geophys. Res. Letters 28, 3317-3320.
10. Gordon, C., Cooper, C. et al., 2000. imulation of SST, sea-ice extents and ocean heat transports in a coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics 16, 147-168.
11. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2000. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
12. IPCC, 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Science of Climate Change. Report of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovenmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
13. New, M., Hulme, M. and Jones, P.D., 1999. Representing twentieth century space-time climate variability. Part I: development of a 1961-1990 mean monthly terrestrial climatology, J. Climate, 12, 829-856.
14. Nijssen, B., O'Donnell, G.M., Hamlet, A.F. and Lettenmaier, D.P., 2001a. Hydrologic sensitivity of global rivers to climate change. Climatic Change 50, 143-175.
15. Nijssen, B., O'Donnell, G.M., Lettenmaier, D.P., Lohmann, D. and Wood, E.F., 2001b. Predicting the discharge of global rivers. J. Climate, 14, 3307-3323.
16. Saxton, K.E. Rawls, W.J., Romberger, J.S. and Papendick, R.I., 1986. Estimating generalised soil water characteristics from texture. Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Engrs., 50, 1031-1035.
17. Shuttleworth, W.J., 1993.. Evaporation. Handbook of Hydrology, D.R. Maidment (Ed.). McGraw Hill, New York. 4.1-4.53.
18. Smith, J.B. and Lazo, J.K., 2001. A summary of climate change impact assessments under the US Country Studies Programme. Climatic Change, 50, 1-29.
19. Vorosmarty, C.J., Moore, B., Grace, A.L. et al., 1989. Continental scale models of water balance and fluvial transport: an application to South America. Global Biogeochem. Cycles 3, 241-265.
20. Vorosmarty, C.J., Green, P., Salisbury, J. and Lammers, R.B., 2000. Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science, 289, 284-298.