Increasing temperatures change pelagic trophodynamics and the balance between pelagic and benthic secondary production in a water column model of the Kattegat

Journal of Marine Systems

Volumn 85, Issue 1-2, 2011, Pages 57-70

  Maar, Marie ^a   Hansen, Jørgen L S ^a  

^a NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Benthos; Ecosystem model; Spring bloom; Warming; Zooplankton

Indexed keywords

BENTHOS; ECOSYSTEM MODEL; SPRING BLOOM; WARMING; ZOOPLANKTON;

AGRICULTURE; BLOOMS (METAL); ECOSYSTEMS; FOOD SUPPLY; PRODUCTION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ALGAL BLOOM; BENTHOS; CALIBRATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; DEPOSIT FEEDER; ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS; ECOSYSTEM MODELING; FOOD SUPPLY; MARINE ECOSYSTEM; MONITORING SYSTEM; PHYTODETRITUS; PRIMARY PRODUCTION; SECONDARY PRODUCTION; SEDIMENTATION RATE; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TROPHIC INTERACTION; TROPHIC LEVEL; WATER COLUMN; ZOOPLANKTON;

KATTEGAT;

EID: 78751611188     PISSN: 09247963     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2010.11.006     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Aberle N., Lengfellner K., Sommer U. Spring bloom succession, grazing impact and herbivore selectivity of ciliate communities in response to winter warming. Oecologia 2007, 150:668-681.
2. Ærtebjerg G., Andersen J., Carstensen J., Christiansen T., Conley D.J., Dahl K., Dahllöf I., Fossing H., Greve T., Hansen J.L.S., Henriksen P., Josefson A.B., Krause-Jensen D., Larsen M.M., Markager S.S., Nielsen T.G., Petersen B., Risgaard-Petersen N., Rysgaard S., Strand J., Bering N., Oversen N., Ellermann T., Hertel O., Skjøth C.A. Status of the Marine Environment 2001. Faglig rapport fra DMU nr. 419 2002, (In Danish).
3. Alheit J., Mollmann C., Dutz J., Kornilovs G., Loewe P., Mohrholz V., Wasmund N. Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2005, 62:1205-1215.
4. Allen J.I., Holt J.T., Blackford J., Proctor R. Error quantification of a high-resolution coupled hydrodynamic-ecosystem coastal-ocean model: Part 2. Chlorophyll-a, nutrients and SPM. J. Mar. Syst. 2007, 68:381-404.
5. Andersson L., Rydberg L. Trends in nutrient and oxygen conditions within the Kattegat - effects of local nutrient supply. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 1988, 26:559-579.
6. Andersson A., Haecky P., Hagström Å. Effect of temperature and light on the growth of micro-, nano- and pico-plankton: impact on algal succession. Mar. Biol. 1994, 120:511-520.
7. Beaugrand G., Reid P.C. Long-term changes in phytoplankton, zooplankton and salmon related to climate. Glob. Change Biol 2003, 9:801-817.
8. Bendtsen J., Gustafsson K.E., Petersen J.K. Modelling vertical mixing in the surface boundary layer using artificial age tracers. J. Mar. Syst. 2006, 60:115-128.
9. Bendtsen J., Gustafsson K.E., Söderkvist J., Hansen J.L.S. Ventilation of bottom water in the North Sea-Baltic Sea transition zone. J. Mar. Syst. 2009, 75:138-149.
10. Blackford J.C. An analysis of benthic biological dynamics in a North Sea ecosystem model. J. Sea Res. 1997, 38:213-230.
11. Brandt J., Christensen J.H., Frohn L.M., Palmgren F., Berkowicz R., Zlatev Z. Operational air pollution forecasts from European to local scale. Atmos. Environ. 2001, 35:S91-S98.
12. Carstensen J., Conley D., Muller-Karulis B. Spatial and temporal resolution of carbon fluxes in a shallow coastal ecosystem, the Kattegat. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2003, 252:35-50.
13. Cederwall H., Elmgren R. Biological Effects of Eutrophication in the Baltic Sea, Particularly the Coastal Zone. Ambio 1990, 19:109-112.
14. Coyle K.O., Konar B., Blanchard A., Highsmith R.C., Carroll J., Carroll M., Denisenko S.G., Sirenko B.I. Potential effects of temperature on the benthic infaunal community on the south-eastern Bering Sea shelf: possible impacts of climate change. Deep Sea Res. II 2007, 54:2885-2905.
15. DMI Tidevand ved de danske vandstandsstationer. Technical Report 02-21 2002, The Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen. http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/tr02-21.pdf.
16. Droop M.R., Mickelson M.J., Scott J.M., Turner M.F. Light and nutrient status of algal cells. J. Mar. Biol. Assoc. UK 1982, 62:402-434.
17. Eriksson Wiklund A.-K., Dahlgren K., Sundelin B., Andersson A. Effects of warming and shifts of pelagic food web structure on benthic productivity in a coastal marine system. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2009, 396:13-25.
18. Fennel K. Convection and the timing of phytoplankton spring blooms in the western Baltic Sea. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 1999, 49:113-128.
19. Fennel W. Modeling of copepods with links to circulation models. J. Plankton Res. 2001, 23:1217-1232.
20. Graf G., Bengtson W., Diesner U., Schultz R., Theede H. Benthic response to sedimentation of a spring phytoplankton bloom. Mar. Biol. 1982, 67:201-208.
21. Graneli E. Below-halocline oxygen consumption in the Kattegat. Hydrobiologia 1992, 235:303-310.
22. Graneli E., Wallstrom K., Larsson U., Graneli W., Elmgren R. Nutrient limitation of primary production in the Baltic Sea area. Ambio 1990, 19:142-151.
23. Halsband C., Hirche H.J. Reproductive cycles of dominant calanoid copepods in the North Sea. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2001, 209:219-229.
24. Hansen J.L.S., Bendtsen J. Klimabetingede effekter på marine økosystemer. Faglig rapport fra DMU no. 598, the Ministry of Environments 2006, 50 pp.
25. Hansen P.J., Bjørnsen P.K., Hansen B.W. Zooplankton grazing and growth: scaling within the 2-2,000-μm body size range. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1997, 42:687-704.
26. Hays G.C., Richardson A.J., Robinson C. Climate change and marine plankton. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2005, 20:337-344.
27. Hertel O., Ellermann T., Palmgren F., Berkowicz R., Løfstrøm P., Frohn L.M., Geels C., Skjøth C.A., Brandt J., Christensen J., Kemp K., Ketzel M. Integrated air-quality monitoring - combined use of measurements and models in monitoring programmes. Environ. Chem. 2007, 4:65-74.
28. Hinrichsen H.H., Schmidt J.O., Petereit C., Möllmann C. Survival probability of Baltic larval cod in relation to spatial overlap patterns with its prey obtained from drift model studies. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 2005, 62:878-885.
29. Huisman J., van Oostveen P., Weissing F.J. Critical depth and critical turbulence: two different mechanisms for the development of phytoplankton blooms. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1999, 44:1781-1787.
30. IPCC Summary for policy makers. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report 2007.
31. Iriarte A., Purdie D.A. Factors controlling the timing of major spring bloom events in an UK south coast estuary. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 2004, 61:679-690.
32. Isla J.A., Lengfellner K., Sommer U. Physiological response of the copepod Pseudocalanus sp. in the Baltic Sea at different thermal scenarios. Glob. Change Biol. 2008, 14:895-906.
33. Jackson G.A. A model of the formation of marine algal flocs by physical coagulation processes. Deep Sea Res. I 1990, 37:1197-1211.
34. Josefson A.B., Conley D.J. Benthic response to a pelagic front. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 1997, 147:49-62.
35. Josefson A.B., Rasmussen B. Nutrient retention by benthic macrofaunal biomass of Danish estuaries: importance of nutrient load and residence time. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 2000, 50:205-216.
36. Keller A.A., Oviatt C.A., Walker H.A., Hawk J.D. Predicted impacts of elevated temperature on the magnitude of the winter-spring phytoplankton bloom in temperate coastal waters: a mesocosm study. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1999, 44:344-356.
37. Kiørboe T., Nielsen T.G. Regulation of zooplankton biomass and production in a temperate, coastal ecosystem: 1. Copepods. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1994, 39:493-507.
38. Lee J.Y., Tett P., Jones K., Luyten P., Smith C., Wild-Allen K. The PROWQM physical-biological model with benthic-pelagic coupling applied to the northern North Sea. J. Sea Res. 2002, 48:287-331.
39. Luyten P., Jones J., Proctor R., Tabor R., Tett P., Wild-Allen K. A coupled hydrodynamical-ecological model for regional and shelf seas: user documentation. MUMM Report. Belgium, Management Unit of the Mathematical Models of the North Sea 1999, Report 914 pp.
40. Maar M., Nielsen T.G., Richardson K., Christaki U., Hansen O.S., Zervoudaki S., Christou E.D. Spatial and temporal variability of food web structure during the spring bloom in the Skagerrak. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 2002, 239:11-29.
41. Maar M., Bolding K., Petersen J.K., Hansen J.L.S., Timmermann K. Local effects of blue mussels around turbine foundations in an ecosystem model of Nysted off-shore wind farm. J. Sea Res. 2009, 62:159-174.
42. MADS The National Database for Marine Data, The National Environmental Research Institute, Aarhus University us, Denmark WWW page. http://www.dmu.dk/International/Water/Monitoring+of+the+Marine+Environme nt/MADS/.
43. Müren U., Berglund J., Samuelsson K., Andersson A. Potential effects of elevated sea-water temperature on pelagic food webs. Hydrobiology 2005, 545:153-166.
44. Neumann T. Climate-change effects on the Baltic Sea ecosystem: a model study. J. Mar. Syst. 2010, 81:213-224.
45. Nielsen T.G., Kiørboe T. Regulation of zooplankton biomass and production in a temperate, coastal ecosystem: 2. Ciliates. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1994, 39:508-519.
46. Nixon S. Marine eutrophication: a growing international problem. Ambio 1990, 19(3):101.
47. Olesen M. The fate of an early diatom spring bloom in the Kattegat. Ophelia 1993, 37:51-66.
48. Olesen M., Lundsgaard C. Seasonal sedimentation of autochthonous material from the euphotic zone of a coastal system. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 1995, 41:475-490.
49. Oviatt C.A. Biological considerations in marine enclosure experiments: challenges and revelations. Oceanography 1994, 7:45-51.
50. Pedersen T.M., Hansen J.L.S., Josefson A.B., Hansen B.W. Mortality through ontogeny of soft bottom marine invertebrates with planktonic larvae. J. Mar. Syst. 2008, 73:185-207.
51. Peeters F., Straile D., Lorke A., Livingstone D.M. Earlier onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom in lakes of the temperate zone in a warmer climate. Glob. Change Biol 2007, 13:1898-1909.
52. Quijón P.A., Kelly M.C., Snelgrove P.V.R. The role of sinking phytodetritus in structuring shallow-water benthic communities. J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 2008, 366:134-145.
53. Richardson K., Christoffersen A. Seasonal distribution and production of phytoplankton in the southern Kattegat. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 1991, 78:217-227.
54. Richardson K., Heilmann J.P. Primary production in the Kattegat past and present. Ophelia 1995, 41:317-328.
55. Scheffer M., Straile D., van Nes E.H., Hosper H. Climatic warming causes regime shifts in lake food webs. Limnol. Oceanogr. 2001, 46:1780-1783.
56. Smetacek V., Cloern J.E. On phytoplankton Trends. Science 2008, 319:1346-1348.
57. Sommer U., Aberle N., Engel A., Hansen T., Lengfellner K., Sandow M., Wohlers J., Zollner E., Riebesell U. An indoor mesocosm system to study the effect of climate change on the late winter and spring succession of Baltic Sea phyto- and zooplankton. Oecologia 2007, 150:655-667.
58. Sverdrup H.U. On conditions for the vernal blooming of phytoplankton. J. Cons. Perms. Int. Explor. Mer. 1953, 18:287-295.
59. Tett P. Parameterising a Microplankton Model. Report Edinburgh University 1998, 53 pp.
60. Tett P., Lee J.Y. N:Si ratios and the 'balance of organisms': PROWQM simulations of the northern North Sea. J. Sea Res. 2005, 54:70-91.
61. Vichi M., Ruardij P., Baretta J.W. Link or sink: a modelling interpretation of the open Baltic biogeochemistry. Biogeosciences 2004, 1:79-100.
62. Wassmann P. Relationship between primary and export production in the boreal coastal zone of the North Atlantic. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1990, 35:464-471.
63. Winder M., Schindler D.E. Climatic effects on the phenology of lake processes. Glob. Change Biol 2004, 10:1844-1856.
64. Winder M., Schindler D.E. Climate change uncouples trophic interactions in an aquatic system. Ecology 2004, 85(8):2100-2106. 85(11):3178.