메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 592-601

Forecasting accuracy of wind power technology diffusion models across countries

Author keywords

Bass; Diffusion models; Forecasting accuracy; Gompertz; Incentives; Logistic; Wind power

Indexed keywords


EID: 78650938267     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.05.018     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (43)

References (24)
  • 1
    • 0002006114 scopus 로고
    • Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: empirical comparisons
    • Armstrong J.S., Collopy F. Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: empirical comparisons. International Journal of Forecasting 1992, 8:69-80.
    • (1992) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 69-80
    • Armstrong, J.S.1    Collopy, F.2
  • 2
    • 0001449665 scopus 로고
    • A new product growth model for consumer durables
    • Bass F.M. A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Science 1969, 15:215-227.
    • (1969) Management Science , vol.15 , pp. 215-227
    • Bass, F.M.1
  • 3
    • 21844481302 scopus 로고
    • Why the Bass model fits without decision variables
    • Bass F.M., Krishnan T.V., Jain D.C. Why the Bass model fits without decision variables. Marketing Science 1994, 13:203-273.
    • (1994) Marketing Science , vol.13 , pp. 203-273
    • Bass, F.M.1    Krishnan, T.V.2    Jain, D.C.3
  • 4
    • 44649190517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of micro-CHP diffusion by means of system dynamics
    • Ben Maalla E.M., Kunsch P.L. Simulation of micro-CHP diffusion by means of system dynamics. Energy Policy 2008, 36:2308-2319.
    • (2008) Energy Policy , vol.36 , pp. 2308-2319
    • Ben Maalla, E.M.1    Kunsch, P.L.2
  • 5
    • 78650946217 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling international wind energy adoption: patterns of innovation diffusion under regulation
    • Working paper series. Available at SSRN: .
    • Diaz-Rainey, I. (2005). Modelling international wind energy adoption: patterns of innovation diffusion under regulation. Working paper series. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract%3D959896.
    • (2005)
    • Diaz-Rainey, I.1
  • 6
    • 70449413734 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A diffusion model of an induced environmental market: reconciling WTP to actual adoption of green energy tariff
    • Working paper series. Available at SSRN: .
    • Diaz-Rainey, I., & Tzavara, D. (2009). A diffusion model of an induced environmental market: reconciling WTP to actual adoption of green energy tariff. Working paper series. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract%3D1349772.
    • (2009)
    • Diaz-Rainey, I.1    Tzavara, D.2
  • 7
    • 0002983624 scopus 로고
    • Early prediction of early success of new grocery products
    • Fourt L.A., Woodlock J.W. Early prediction of early success of new grocery products. Journal of Marketing 1960, 25:31-38.
    • (1960) Journal of Marketing , vol.25 , pp. 31-38
    • Fourt, L.A.1    Woodlock, J.W.2
  • 8
    • 74149088760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross-country diffusion of photovoltaic systems: modelling choices and forecasts for national adoption patterns
    • Guidolin M., Mortarino C. Cross-country diffusion of photovoltaic systems: modelling choices and forecasts for national adoption patterns. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010, 77:279-296.
    • (2010) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.77 , pp. 279-296
    • Guidolin, M.1    Mortarino, C.2
  • 9
    • 28944432921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil and gas depletion: diffusion models and forecasting under strategic intervention
    • Guseo R., Dalla Valle A. Oil and gas depletion: diffusion models and forecasting under strategic intervention. Statistical Methods and Applications 2005, 14:375-387.
    • (2005) Statistical Methods and Applications , vol.14 , pp. 375-387
    • Guseo, R.1    Dalla Valle, A.2
  • 10
    • 34147126948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World oil depletion models: price effects compared with strategic or technological interventions
    • Guseo R., Dalla Valle A., Guidolin M. World oil depletion models: price effects compared with strategic or technological interventions. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2007, 74:452-469.
    • (2007) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.74 , pp. 452-469
    • Guseo, R.1    Dalla Valle, A.2    Guidolin, M.3
  • 11
    • 0001471130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An empirical comparison of new product trial forecasting models
    • Hardie B.G., Fader P.S. An empirical comparison of new product trial forecasting models. Journal of Forecasting 1998, 17:209-229.
    • (1998) Journal of Forecasting , vol.17 , pp. 209-229
    • Hardie, B.G.1    Fader, P.S.2
  • 12
    • 0036816881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling multinational telecommunications demand with limited data
    • Islam T., Fiebig D.G., Meade N. Modelling multinational telecommunications demand with limited data. International Journal of Forecasting 2002, 18:605-624.
    • (2002) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.18 , pp. 605-624
    • Islam, T.1    Fiebig, D.G.2    Meade, N.3
  • 13
    • 33645986448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stimulating the diffusion of photovoltaic systems: a behavioural perspective
    • Jager W. Stimulating the diffusion of photovoltaic systems: a behavioural perspective. Energy Policy 2005, 34:1935-1943.
    • (2005) Energy Policy , vol.34 , pp. 1935-1943
    • Jager, W.1
  • 14
    • 37049016905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The diffusion of clean technology: a review with suggestions for future diffusion analysis
    • Kemp R., Volpi M. The diffusion of clean technology: a review with suggestions for future diffusion analysis. Journal of Cleaner Production 2008, 16(S1):S14-S21.
    • (2008) Journal of Cleaner Production , vol.16 , Issue.S1
    • Kemp, R.1    Volpi, M.2
  • 15
    • 0036592444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multinational diffusion models: an alternative framework
    • Kumar V., Krishnan V. Multinational diffusion models: an alternative framework. Marketing Science 2002, 21:318-330.
    • (2002) Marketing Science , vol.21 , pp. 318-330
    • Kumar, V.1    Krishnan, V.2
  • 17
  • 18
    • 33745933045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation-a 25-year review
    • Meade N., Islam T. Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation-a 25-year review. International Journal of Forecasting 2006, 22:519-545.
    • (2006) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 519-545
    • Meade, N.1    Islam, T.2
  • 19
    • 37049024118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cleaner technology diffusion: case studies, modeling and policy
    • Montalvo C., Kemp R. Cleaner technology diffusion: case studies, modeling and policy. Journal of Cleaner Production 2008, 16(S1):S1-S6.
    • (2008) Journal of Cleaner Production , vol.16 , Issue.S1
    • Montalvo, C.1    Kemp, R.2
  • 21
    • 64949187148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of offshore wind power development in Europe and the US: patterns and drivers of development
    • Snyder B., Kaiser M.J. A comparison of offshore wind power development in Europe and the US: patterns and drivers of development. Applied Energy 2009, 86:1845-1856.
    • (2009) Applied Energy , vol.86 , pp. 1845-1856
    • Snyder, B.1    Kaiser, M.J.2
  • 22
    • 33846881971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wind power in Europe: a simultaneous innovation-diffusion model
    • Söderholm P., Klaassen G. Wind power in Europe: a simultaneous innovation-diffusion model. Environmental and Resource Economics 2007, 36:163-190.
    • (2007) Environmental and Resource Economics , vol.36 , pp. 163-190
    • Söderholm, P.1    Klaassen, G.2
  • 23
    • 0034288853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: an analysis and review
    • Tashman L.J. Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: an analysis and review. International Journal of Forecasting 2000, 16:437-450.
    • (2000) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.16 , pp. 437-450
    • Tashman, L.J.1
  • 24
    • 56049112315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wind power technology diffusion analysis in selected states of India
    • Usha Rao K., Kishore V.V.N. Wind power technology diffusion analysis in selected states of India. Renewable Energy 2009, 34:983-988.
    • (2009) Renewable Energy , vol.34 , pp. 983-988
    • Usha Rao, K.1    Kishore, V.V.N.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.