메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn , Issue , 2010, Pages 547-579

Treatment of uncertainty in performance assessments for the geological disposal of radioactive waste

Author keywords

Aleatory uncertainty; Epistemic uncertainty; Performance assessment; Radioactive waste disposal; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty analysis

Indexed keywords

ACTINIDES; CONCEPTUAL DESIGN; GEOLOGY; NUMERICAL METHODS; RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL; RADIOACTIVE WASTES; RADIOACTIVITY; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; WASTE DISPOSAL; WASTE TREATMENT;

EID: 78650836092     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1533/9781845699789.4.547     Document Type: Chapter
Times cited : (4)

References (70)
  • 1
    • 0019393403 scopus 로고
    • Characterization and evaluation of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis
    • Parry G.W., Winter P.W. Characterization and evaluation of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis. Nuclear Safety 1981, 22(1):28-42.
    • (1981) Nuclear Safety , vol.22 , Issue.1 , pp. 28-42
    • Parry, G.W.1    Winter, P.W.2
  • 2
    • 0025681550 scopus 로고
    • The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems
    • Apostolakis G. The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems. Science 1990, 250(4986):1359-1364.
    • (1990) Science , vol.250 , Issue.4986 , pp. 1359-1364
    • Apostolakis, G.1
  • 3
    • 0028131261 scopus 로고
    • Treatment of uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems
    • Helton J.C. Treatment of uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems. Risk Analysis 1994, 14(4):483-511.
    • (1994) Risk Analysis , vol.14 , Issue.4 , pp. 483-511
    • Helton, J.C.1
  • 4
    • 0028131950 scopus 로고
    • Propagation of uncertainty in risk assessments: the need to distinguish between uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and uncertainty due to variability
    • Hoffman F.O., Hammonds J.S. Propagation of uncertainty in risk assessments: the need to distinguish between uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and uncertainty due to variability. Risk Analysis 1994, 14(5):707-712.
    • (1994) Risk Analysis , vol.14 , Issue.5 , pp. 707-712
    • Hoffman, F.O.1    Hammonds, J.S.2
  • 5
    • 0000490093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems
    • Guest Editorial
    • Helton J.C., Burmaster D.E. Treatment of aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in performance assessments for complex systems. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1996, 54(2-3):91-94. Guest Editorial.
    • (1996) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.54 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 91-94
    • Helton, J.C.1    Burmaster, D.E.2
  • 6
    • 0030286892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in risk analysis: six levels of treatment
    • Paté-Cornell M.E. Uncertainties in risk analysis: six levels of treatment. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1996, 54(2-3):95-111.
    • (1996) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.54 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 95-111
    • Paté-Cornell, M.E.1
  • 7
    • 0031376522 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in the presence of stochastic and subjective uncertainty
    • Helton J.C. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in the presence of stochastic and subjective uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 1997, 57(1-4):3-76.
    • (1997) Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation , vol.57 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 3-76
    • Helton, J.C.1
  • 8
    • 33745691657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical and numerical approaches in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal: dealing with uncertainty
    • Elsevier Science, New York, E.M. Scott (Ed.)
    • Helton J.C. Mathematical and numerical approaches in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal: dealing with uncertainty. Modelling Radioactivity in the Environment 2003, 353-390. Elsevier Science, New York. E.M. Scott (Ed.).
    • (2003) Modelling Radioactivity in the Environment , pp. 353-390
    • Helton, J.C.1
  • 10
    • 77951675271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SNL (Sandia National Laboratories) MDL-WIS-PA-000005 Rev 00, AD 01, Las Vegas, Nevada, US Department of Energy Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management
    • SNL (Sandia National Laboratories) Total system performance assessment model/analysis for the license application 2008, MDL-WIS-PA-000005 Rev 00, AD 01, Las Vegas, Nevada, US Department of Energy Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management.
    • (2008) Total system performance assessment model/analysis for the license application
  • 11
    • 0027810117 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques for use in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal
    • Helton J.C. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis techniques for use in performance assessment for radioactive waste disposal. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1993, 42(2-3):327-367.
    • (1993) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.42 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 327-367
    • Helton, J.C.1
  • 12
    • 0028501607 scopus 로고
    • A review of techniques for parameter sensitivity analysis of environmental models
    • Hamby D.M. A review of techniques for parameter sensitivity analysis of environmental models. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 1994, 32(2):135-154.
    • (1994) Environmental Monitoring and Assessment , vol.32 , Issue.2 , pp. 135-154
    • Hamby, D.M.1
  • 13
    • 0004237770 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • John Wiley and Sons, Inc, A. Saltelli, K. Chan, E.M. Scott (Eds.)
    • Sensitivity Analysis 2000, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. A. Saltelli, K. Chan, E.M. Scott (Eds.).
    • (2000) Sensitivity Analysis
  • 14
    • 0036085488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification and review of sensitivity analysis methods
    • Frey H.C., Patil S.R. Identification and review of sensitivity analysis methods. Risk Analysis 2002, 22(3):553-578.
    • (2002) Risk Analysis , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 553-578
    • Frey, H.C.1    Patil, S.R.2
  • 15
    • 3242761482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - II: Statistical methods
    • Cacuci D.G., Ionescu-Bujor M. A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - II: Statistical methods. Nuclear Science and Engineering 2004, 147(3):204-217.
    • (2004) Nuclear Science and Engineering , vol.147 , Issue.3 , pp. 204-217
    • Cacuci, D.G.1    Ionescu-Bujor, M.2
  • 16
    • 3242785664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - I: Deterministic methods
    • Ionescu-Bujor M., Cacuci D.G. A comparative review of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of large-scale systems - I: Deterministic methods. Nuclear Science and Engineering 2004, 147(3):189-2003.
    • (2004) Nuclear Science and Engineering , vol.147 , Issue.3 , pp. 189-2003
    • Ionescu-Bujor, M.1    Cacuci, D.G.2
  • 22
    • 84902560693 scopus 로고
    • NUREG/CP-0138, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC
    • Mosleh A., Siu N., Smidts C., Liu C. 1994, NUREG/CP-0138, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC.
    • (1994)
    • Mosleh, A.1    Siu, N.2    Smidts, C.3    Liu, C.4
  • 23
    • 0024718478 scopus 로고
    • Expert opinion in risk analysis: the NUREG-1150 methodology
    • Hora S.C., Iman R.L. Expert opinion in risk analysis: the NUREG-1150 methodology. Nuclear Science and Engineering 1989, 102(4):323-331.
    • (1989) Nuclear Science and Engineering , vol.102 , Issue.4 , pp. 323-331
    • Hora, S.C.1    Iman, R.L.2
  • 26
    • 38249015875 scopus 로고
    • A review of expert judgement techniques with reference to nuclear safety
    • Thorne M.C., Williams M.M.R. A review of expert judgement techniques with reference to nuclear safety. Progress in Nuclear Safety 1992, 27(2-3):83-254.
    • (1992) Progress in Nuclear Safety , vol.27 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 83-254
    • Thorne, M.C.1    Williams, M.M.R.2
  • 27
    • 0027851583 scopus 로고
    • The use of expert opinion in formulating conceptual models of underground disposal systems and the treatment of associated bias
    • Thorne M.C. The use of expert opinion in formulating conceptual models of underground disposal systems and the treatment of associated bias. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1993, 42(2-3):161-180.
    • (1993) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.42 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 161-180
    • Thorne, M.C.1
  • 30
    • 3342878524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessment of critical infrastructures
    • Cooke R.M., Goossens L.H.J. Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessment of critical infrastructures. Journal of Risk Research 2004, 7(6):643-656.
    • (2004) Journal of Risk Research , vol.7 , Issue.6 , pp. 643-656
    • Cooke, R.M.1    Goossens, L.H.J.2
  • 33
    • 0019540987 scopus 로고
    • On the quantitative definition of risk
    • Kaplan S., Garrick B.J. On the quantitative definition of risk. Risk Analysis 1981, 1(1):11-27.
    • (1981) Risk Analysis , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 11-27
    • Kaplan, S.1    Garrick, B.J.2
  • 34
    • 0018468345 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code
    • McKay M.D., Beckman R.J., Conover W.J. A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 1979, 21(2):239-245.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 239-245
    • McKay, M.D.1    Beckman, R.J.2    Conover, W.J.3
  • 35
    • 0038476492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems
    • Helton J.C., Davis F.J. Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2003, 81(1):23-69.
    • (2003) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.81 , Issue.1 , pp. 23-69
    • Helton, J.C.1    Davis, F.J.2
  • 36
  • 38
    • 57649233609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conceptual basis for the definition and calculation of expected dose in performance assessments for the proposed high level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada
    • Helton J.C., Sallaberry C.J. Conceptual basis for the definition and calculation of expected dose in performance assessments for the proposed high level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2009, 94:677-698.
    • (2009) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.94 , pp. 677-698
    • Helton, J.C.1    Sallaberry, C.J.2
  • 39
    • 0027148484 scopus 로고
    • Construction of complementary cumulative distribution functions for comparison with the EPA release limits for radioactive waste disposal
    • Helton J.C., Iuzzolino H.J. Construction of complementary cumulative distribution functions for comparison with the EPA release limits for radioactive waste disposal. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1993, 40(3):277-293.
    • (1993) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.40 , Issue.3 , pp. 277-293
    • Helton, J.C.1    Iuzzolino, H.J.2
  • 41
    • 84902560694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disposal of high- level radioactive wastes in a geologic repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada
    • US NRC (United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission)
    • US NRC (United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission) Disposal of high- level radioactive wastes in a geologic repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. Code of Federal Regulations 10 Part 63 2008, http://www.access.gpo.gov/nara/cfr/waisidx_08/10cfr63_08.html.
    • (2008) Code of Federal Regulations 10 Part 63
  • 42
    • 0029237038 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of early exposure results with the MACCS reactor accident consequence model
    • Helton J.C., Johnson J.D., Shiver A.W., Sprung J.L. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of early exposure results with the MACCS reactor accident consequence model. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 1995, 48(2):91-127.
    • (1995) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.48 , Issue.2 , pp. 91-127
    • Helton, J.C.1    Johnson, J.D.2    Shiver, A.W.3    Sprung, J.L.4
  • 43
    • 0001727377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Special Issue: The 1996 Performance Assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant
    • (guest eds.)
    • Helton J.C., Marietta M.G. Special Issue: The 1996 Performance Assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2000, 69(1-3):1-451. (guest eds.).
    • (2000) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.69 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 1-451
    • Helton, J.C.1    Marietta, M.G.2
  • 44
    • 0005951448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sampling-based methods
    • John Wiley & Sons, Inc, New York, A. Saltelli, K. Chan, E.M. Scott (Eds.)
    • Helton J.C., Davis F.J. Sampling-based methods. Sensitivity Analysis 2000, 101-153. John Wiley & Sons, Inc, New York. A. Saltelli, K. Chan, E.M. Scott (Eds.).
    • (2000) Sensitivity Analysis , pp. 101-153
    • Helton, J.C.1    Davis, F.J.2
  • 45
    • 4344564859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics AIAA G-077-1998, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Reston, Virginia
    • American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics AIAA Guide for the Verification and Validation of Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulations 1998, AIAA G-077-1998, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Reston, Virginia.
    • (1998) AIAA Guide for the Verification and Validation of Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulations
  • 47
    • 0036544606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification and validation in computational fluid dynamics
    • Oberkampf W.L., Trucano T.G. Verification and validation in computational fluid dynamics. Progress in Aerospace Sciences 2002, 38(3):209-272.
    • (2002) Progress in Aerospace Sciences , vol.38 , Issue.3 , pp. 209-272
    • Oberkampf, W.L.1    Trucano, T.G.2
  • 48
    • 19944417612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification, validation, and predictive capability in computational engineering and physics
    • Oberkampf W.L., Trucano T.G., Hirsch C. Verification, validation, and predictive capability in computational engineering and physics. Applied Mechanics Review 2004, 57(5):345-384.
    • (2004) Applied Mechanics Review , vol.57 , Issue.5 , pp. 345-384
    • Oberkampf, W.L.1    Trucano, T.G.2    Hirsch, C.3
  • 49
    • 4544221547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Building PDE codes to be verifiable and validatable
    • Roache P.J. Building PDE codes to be verifiable and validatable. Computing in Science and Engineering 2004, 6(5):30-38.
    • (2004) Computing in Science and Engineering , vol.6 , Issue.5 , pp. 30-38
    • Roache, P.J.1
  • 50
    • 4344712048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification and validation in computational engineering and science: basic concepts
    • Babuska I., Oden J.T. Verification and validation in computational engineering and science: basic concepts. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering 2004, 193(36-38):4057-4066.
    • (2004) Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering , vol.193 , Issue.36-38 , pp. 4057-4066
    • Babuska, I.1    Oden, J.T.2
  • 52
    • 0023918923 scopus 로고
    • The perils of prudence: how conservative risk assessments distort regulation
    • Nichols A.L., Zeckhauser R.J. The perils of prudence: how conservative risk assessments distort regulation. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 1988, 8:61-75.
    • (1988) Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology , vol.8 , pp. 61-75
    • Nichols, A.L.1    Zeckhauser, R.J.2
  • 53
    • 0029020053 scopus 로고
    • Challenges to default assumptions stimulate comprehensive realism as a new tier in quantitative cancer risk assessment
    • Sielken R.L., Bretzlaff R.S., Stevenson D.E. Challenges to default assumptions stimulate comprehensive realism as a new tier in quantitative cancer risk assessment. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 1995, 21:270-280.
    • (1995) Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology , vol.21 , pp. 270-280
    • Sielken, R.L.1    Bretzlaff, R.S.2    Stevenson, D.E.3
  • 55
    • 0036084671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk and uncertainty analysis in government safety decisions
    • Paté-Cornell E. Risk and uncertainty analysis in government safety decisions. Risk Analysis 2002, 22(3):633-646.
    • (2002) Risk Analysis , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 633-646
    • Paté-Cornell, E.1
  • 56
    • 84902560695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No. S-03-023, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC
    • Diaz N.J. NRC News 2003, No. S-03-023, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC.
    • (2003) NRC News
    • Diaz, N.J.1
  • 61
    • 2642571615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, T.J. Ross, J.M. Booker, W.J. Parkinson (Eds.)
    • Fuzzy Logic and Probability Applications: Bridging the Gap 2002, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. T.J. Ross, J.M. Booker, W.J. Parkinson (Eds.).
    • (2002) Fuzzy Logic and Probability Applications: Bridging the Gap
  • 62
    • 2642540093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized information theory: aims, results, and open problems
    • Klir G.J. Generalized information theory: aims, results, and open problems. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2004, 85(1-3):21-38.
    • (2004) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.85 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 21-38
    • Klir, G.J.1
  • 63
    • 2642581898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An exploration of alternative approaches to the representation of uncertainty in model predictions
    • Helton J.C., Johnson J.D., Oberkampf W.L. An exploration of alternative approaches to the representation of uncertainty in model predictions. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2004, 85(1-3):39-71.
    • (2004) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.85 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 39-71
    • Helton, J.C.1    Johnson, J.D.2    Oberkampf, W.L.3
  • 64
    • 34447104320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sampling-based computational strategy for the representation of epistemic uncertainty in model predictions with evidence theory
    • Helton J.C., Johnson J.D., Oberkampf W.L., Storlie C.B. A sampling-based computational strategy for the representation of epistemic uncertainty in model predictions with evidence theory. Computational Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering 2007, 196(37-40):3980-3998.
    • (2007) Computational Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering , vol.196 , Issue.37-40 , pp. 3980-3998
    • Helton, J.C.1    Johnson, J.D.2    Oberkampf, W.L.3    Storlie, C.B.4
  • 65
    • 34548585030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: description of techniques
    • Storlie C.B., Helton J.C. Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: description of techniques. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2008, 93(1):28-54.
    • (2008) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.93 , Issue.1 , pp. 28-54
    • Storlie, C.B.1    Helton, J.C.2
  • 66
    • 34548576866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: example results
    • Storlie C.B., Helton J.C. Multiple predictor smoothing methods for sensitivity analysis: example results. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 2008, 93(1):55-77.
    • (2008) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.93 , Issue.1 , pp. 55-77
    • Storlie, C.B.1    Helton, J.C.2
  • 68
    • 0033079533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output
    • Saltelli A., Tarantola S., Chan K.P.-S. A quantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output. Technometrics 1999, 41(1):39-56.
    • (1999) Technometrics , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-56
    • Saltelli, A.1    Tarantola, S.2    Chan, K.P.-S.3
  • 70
    • 0033241715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General foundations of high-dimensional model representations
    • Rabitz H., Alis O.F. General foundations of high-dimensional model representations. Journal of Mathematical Chemistry 1999, 25(2-3):197-233.
    • (1999) Journal of Mathematical Chemistry , vol.25 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 197-233
    • Rabitz, H.1    Alis, O.F.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.