A comparison between raw ensemble output, (modified) Bayesian model averaging, and extended logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 138, Issue 11, 2010, Pages 4199-4211

  Schmeits, Maurice J ^a   Kok, Kees J ^a  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Bayesian methods; Ensembles; Forecasting techniques; Precipitation

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN METHODS; BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING; BIAS CORRECTION; DATA SETS; ENSEMBLE MEMBERS; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEMS; ENSEMBLES; FORECASTING TECHNIQUES; LOGISTIC REGRESSIONS; MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; NETHERLANDS; PRECIPITATION; TOTAL PRECIPITATION;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

FORECASTING;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); REGRESSION ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

NETHERLANDS;

EID: 78650192426     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2010MWR3285.1     Document Type: Article

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