Completing incomplete cohort fertility schedules

Demographic Research

Volumn 23, Issue , 2010, Pages 223-256

  Roger Cheng, P C ^a   Lin, Eric S ^b  

^a NATIONAL CENTRAL UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^b NATIONAL TSING HUA UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 78049460099     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14359871     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2010.23.9     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Bloom, D.E. (1982). What's happening to the age at first birth in the United States? A study of recent cohorts. Demography 19(3): 351-370. doi:10.2307/2060976.
2. Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G. (1998). On the quantum and tempo of fertility. Population and Development Review 24(2): 271-291. doi:10.2307/2807974.
3. Bongaarts, J. and Feeney, G. (2006). The quantum and tempo of life-cycle events. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2006: 115-151. doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2006s115.
4. Booth, H. (2006). Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review. International Journal of Forecasting 22(3): 547-581. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.04.001.
5. Booth, H., Maindonald, J., and Smith, L. (2002). Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline. Population Studies 56(3): 325-336. doi:10.1080/00324720215935.
6. Chandola, T., Coleman, D.A., and Hiorns, R.W. (1999). Recent European fertility patterns: Fitting curves to 'distorted' distributions. Population Studies 53(3): 317-329. doi:10.1080/00324720308089.
7. Chen, R. and Morgan, S.P. (1991). Recent trends in the timing of first births in the United States. Demography 28(4): 513-533. doi:10.2307/2061420.
8. Coale, A. and McNeil, D. (1972). The distribution by age at first marriage in a female cohort. Journal of the American Statistical Association 67(340): 743-749. doi:10.2307/2284631.
9. Currie, I.D., Durban, M., and Eilers, P.H.C. (2004). Smoothing and forecasting mortality rates. Statistical Modelling 4(4): 279-298. doi:10.1191/1471082X04st080oa.
10. De Beer, J. (1985). A time series model for cohort data. Journal of the American Statistical Association 80(391): 525-530. doi:10.2307/2288465.
11. Deaton, A.S. and Paxson, C.H. (1994). Saving, growth, and aging in taiwan. In: Wise, D.A. (ed.) Studies in the Economics of Aging. Chicago: University of Chicago Press: 331-357. doi:10.3386/w4330.
12. Evans, M.D.R. (1986). American fertility patterns: A comparison of white and nonwhite cohorts born 1903-56. Population and Development Review 12(2): 267-293. doi:10.2307/1973111.
13. Fu, W.J. (2000). Ridge estimator in singular design with application to age-period-cohort analysis of disease rates. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Method 29(2): 263-278. doi:10.1080/03610920008832483.
14. Henz, U. and Huinink, J. (1999). Problems concerning the parametric analysis of the age at first birth. Mathematical Population Studies 7(2): 131-145. doi:10.1080/08898489909525451.
15. Heuser, R.L. (1976). Fertility Tables for Birth Cohorts by Color: United States 1917-73. Rockville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, dhew publication no. (hra) 76-1152 ed.
16. Joseph, K.S., Allen, A.C., Dodds, L., Turner, L.A., Scott, H., and Liston, R. (2005). The perinatal effects of delayed childbearing. Obstetrics and Gynecology 105(6): 1410-1418. doi:10.1097/01.AOG.0000163256.83313.36.
17. Kim, Y.J. and Schoen, R. (2000). On the quantum and tempo of fertility: Limits to the Bongaarts-Feeney adjustment. Population and Development Review 26(3): 554-559. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2000.00554.x.
18. Kohler, H.-P. and Ortega, J.A. (2002). Tempo-adjusted period parity progression measures, fertility postponement and completed cohort fertility. Demographic Research 6(6): 91-144. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2002.6.6.
19. Kohler, H.-P. and Philipov, D. (2001). Variance effects in the Bongaarts-Feeney formula. Demography 38(1): 1-16. doi:10.1353/dem.2001.0004.
20. Lee, R.D. and Carter, L.R. (1992). Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association 87(419): 659-672. doi:10.2307/2290204.
21. Li, N. and Wu, Z. (2003). Forecasting cohort incomplete fertility: A method and an application. Population Studies 57(3): 303-320. doi:10.1080/0032472032000137826.
22. Martinelle, S. (1993). The timing of first birth: Analysis and prediction of Swedish first birth rates. European Journal of Population 9(3): 265-286. doi:10.1007/BF01266020.
23. Renshaw, A.E. and Haberman, S. (2003). Lee-Carter mortality forecasting with age-specific enhancement. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 33(2): 255-272. doi:10.1016/S0167-6687(03)00138-0.
24. Ryder, N.B. (1990). What is going to happen to American fertility. Population and Development Review 16(3): 433-454. doi:10.2307/1972831.
25. Schoen, R. (2004). Timing effects and the interpretation of period fertility. Demography 41(4): 801-819. doi:10.1353/dem.2004.0036.
26. Silverman, B.W. (1996). Smoothed functional principal components analysis by choice of norm. The Annals of Statistics 24(1): 1-24. doi:10.1214/aos/1033066196.
27. Smallwood, S. (2002). The effect of changes in timing of childbearing on measuring fertility in England and Wales. Population Trends 109: 36-45.
28. Sobotka, T. (2003). Tempo-quantum and period-cohort interplay in fertility changes in Europe: Evidence from the Czech Republic, Italy, the Netherlands and Sweden. Demographic Research 8(6): 151-214. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2003.8.6.
29. Trussell, J. and Bloom, D.E. (1983). Estimating the co-variates of age at marriage and first birth. Population Studies 37(3): 403-416. doi:10.2307/2174506.
30. Van Imhoff, E. (2001). On the impossibility of inferring cohort fertility measures from period fertility measures. Demographic Research 5(2): 23-64. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2001.5.2.
31. Van Imhoff, E. and Keilman, N. (2000). On the quantum and tempo of fertility: Comment. Population and Development Review 26(3): 549-553. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2000.00549.x.
32. Willekens, F. and Baydar, N. (1984). Age-period-cohort models for forecasting fertility. The Hague: NIDI: 11-111. (Working Paper No. 45).
33. Yang, Y., Fu, W.J., and Land, K.C. (2004). A methodological comparison of age-period-cohort models: The intrinsic estimator and conventional generalized linear models. Sociological Methodology 34(1): 75-110. doi:10.1111/j.0081-1750.2004.00148.x.