메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 159, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 276-288

Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting

Author keywords

Financial markets; Jump detection; Threshold estimation; Volatility estimation; Volatility forecasting

Indexed keywords

FINANCIAL MARKET; JUMP DETECTION; THRESHOLD ESTIMATION; VOLATILITY ESTIMATION; VOLATILITY FORECASTING;

EID: 77957985116     PISSN: 03044076     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.07.008     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (437)

References (63)
  • 3
    • 64449085480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for jumps in a discretely observed process
    • Y. At-Sahalia, and J. Jacod Testing for jumps in a discretely observed process Annals of Statistics 37 2009 184 222
    • (2009) Annals of Statistics , vol.37 , pp. 184-222
    • At-Sahalia, Y.1    Jacod, J.2
  • 4
    • 55349147645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation
    • Y. At-Sahalia, and L. Mancini Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation Journal of Econometrics 147 1 2008 17 33
    • (2008) Journal of Econometrics , vol.147 , Issue.1 , pp. 17-33
    • At-Sahalia, Y.1    Mancini, L.2
  • 5
    • 0012692686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An empirical investigation of continuous-time equity return models
    • T. Andersen, L. Benzoni, and J. Lund An empirical investigation of continuous-time equity return models Journal of Finance 57 2002 1239 1284
    • (2002) Journal of Finance , vol.57 , pp. 1239-1284
    • Andersen, T.1    Benzoni, L.2    Lund, J.3
  • 7
    • 36448949838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Roughing it up: Including jump components in the measurement, modeling and forecasting of return volatility
    • T. Andersen, T. Bollerslev, and F.X. Diebold Roughing it up: including jump components in the measurement, modeling and forecasting of return volatility Review of Economics and Statistics 89 2007 701 720
    • (2007) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.89 , pp. 701-720
    • Andersen, T.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Diebold, F.X.3
  • 10
    • 33947357039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and IID noise: Theory and testable distributional implications
    • T. Andersen, T. Bollerslev, and D. Dobrev No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and IID noise: theory and testable distributional implications Journal of Econometrics 138 1 2007 125 180
    • (2007) Journal of Econometrics , vol.138 , Issue.1 , pp. 125-180
    • Andersen, T.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Dobrev, D.3
  • 12
    • 0347985226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the functional estimation of jumpdiffusion models
    • F. Bandi, and T. Nguyen On the functional estimation of jumpdiffusion models Journal of Econometrics 116 2003 293 328
    • (2003) Journal of Econometrics , vol.116 , pp. 293-328
    • Bandi, F.1    Nguyen, T.2
  • 13
    • 26844499204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: An overview
    • A. Banerjee, and G. Urga Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: an overview Journal of Econometrics 129 12 2005 1 34
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.129 , Issue.12 , pp. 1-34
    • Banerjee, A.1    Urga, G.2
  • 15
    • 30744467415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation
    • DOI 10.1093/jjfinec/nbi022
    • O.E. Barndorff-Nielsen, and N. Shephard Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation Journal of Financial Econometrics 4 2006 1 30 (Pubitemid 43091647)
    • (2006) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.4 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-30
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E.1    Shephard, N.2
  • 20
    • 0000833419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market
    • D. Bates Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market Journal of Econometrics 94 2000 181 238
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.94 , pp. 181-238
    • Bates, D.1
  • 21
  • 22
    • 0010218351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intraday periodicity, long memory volatility and macroeconomic announcement effects in the US Treasury Bond market
    • T. Bollerslev, J. Cai, and F. Song Intraday periodicity, long memory volatility and macroeconomic announcement effects in the US Treasury Bond market Journal of Empirical Finance 7 2000 37 55
    • (2000) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.7 , pp. 37-55
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Cai, J.2    Song, F.3
  • 24
    • 67349251861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A discrete-time model for daily S&P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects
    • T. Bollerslev, U. Kretschmer, C. Pigorsch, and G. Tauchen A discrete-time model for daily S&P500 returns and realized variations: jumps and leverage effects Journal of Econometrics 150 2 2009 151 166
    • (2009) Journal of Econometrics , vol.150 , Issue.2 , pp. 151-166
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Kretschmer, U.2    Pigorsch, C.3    Tauchen, G.4
  • 27
    • 77957996696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets
    • (forthcoming)
    • Busch, T., Christensen, B., Nielsen, M., 2009. The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets. Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming).
    • (2009) Journal of Econometrics
    • Busch, T.1    Christensen, B.2    Nielsen, M.3
  • 28
    • 77958006418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between the volatility of returns and the number of jumps in financial markets
    • Cartea, A., Karyampas, D., 2010. The relationship between the volatility of returns and the number of jumps in financial markets. Working Paper.
    • (2010) Working Paper
    • Cartea, A.1    Karyampas, D.2
  • 30
    • 77957975791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance
    • (forthcoming)
    • Christensen, K., Oomen, R., Podoslkij, M., 2008. Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance. Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming).
    • (2008) Journal of Econometrics
    • Christensen, K.1    Oomen, R.2    Podoslkij, M.3
  • 32
    • 62849101579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple approximate long-memory model of realized volatility
    • F. Corsi A simple approximate long-memory model of realized volatility Journal of Financial Econometrics 7 2009 174 196
    • (2009) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.7 , pp. 174-196
    • Corsi, F.1
  • 33
    • 77957985998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discrete-time volatility forecasting with persistent leverage effect and the link with continuous-time volatility modeling
    • Corsi, F., Ren, R., 2010. Discrete-time volatility forecasting with persistent leverage effect and the link with continuous-time volatility modeling. Working Paper.
    • (2010) Working Paper
    • Corsi, F.1
  • 34
    • 10944245426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systemic risk and international portfolio choice
    • S. Das, and R. Uppal Systemic risk and international portfolio choice The Journal of Finance 59 6 2004 2809 2834
    • (2004) The Journal of Finance , vol.59 , Issue.6 , pp. 2809-2834
    • Das, S.1    Uppal, R.2
  • 36
    • 0001668150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transform analysis and asset pricing for affine jumpdiffusions
    • D. Duffie, J. Pan, and K. Singleton Transform analysis and asset pricing for affine jumpdiffusions Econometrica 68 2000 1343 1376
    • (2000) Econometrica , vol.68 , pp. 1343-1376
    • Duffie, D.1    Pan, J.2    Singleton, K.3
  • 37
    • 2942726323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do stock prices and Volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices
    • B. Eraker Do stock prices and Volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices The Journal of Finance 59 3 2004 1367 1404
    • (2004) The Journal of Finance , vol.59 , Issue.3 , pp. 1367-1404
    • Eraker, B.1
  • 38
    • 0142188082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of jumps in equity index volatility and returns
    • B. Eraker, M. Johannes, and N. Polson The impact of jumps in equity index volatility and returns Journal of Finance 58 2003 1269 1300
    • (2003) Journal of Finance , vol.58 , pp. 1269-1300
    • Eraker, B.1    Johannes, M.2    Polson, N.3
  • 39
    • 38349068617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-scale jump and volatility analysis for high-frequency financial data
    • J. Fan, and Y. Wang Multi-scale jump and volatility analysis for high-frequency financial data Journal of the American Statistical Association 102 2007 1349 1362
    • (2007) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.102 , pp. 1349-1362
    • Fan, J.1    Wang, Y.2
  • 42
    • 33644519378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting volatility: Getting the most out of return data sampled at different frequencies
    • E. Ghysels, P. Santa-Clara, and R. Valkanov Predicting volatility: getting the most out of return data sampled at different frequencies Journal of Econometrics 131 12 2006 59 95
    • (2006) Journal of Econometrics , vol.131 , Issue.12 , pp. 59-95
    • Ghysels, E.1    Santa-Clara, P.2    Valkanov, R.3
  • 43
    • 33947587647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The information content of implied volatility in light of the jump/continuous decomposition of realized volatility
    • P. Giot, and S. Laurent The information content of implied volatility in light of the jump/continuous decomposition of realized volatility Journal of Futures Markets 27 4 2007 337
    • (2007) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 337
    • Giot, P.1    Laurent, S.2
  • 44
    • 26444481610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relative contribution of jumps to total price variance
    • X. Huang, and G. Tauchen The relative contribution of jumps to total price variance Journal of Financial Econometrics 3 4 2005 456 499
    • (2005) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 456-499
    • Huang, X.1    Tauchen, G.2
  • 45
    • 39149086045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic properties of realized power variations and associated functionals of semimartingales
    • J. Jacod Asymptotic properties of realized power variations and associated functionals of semimartingales Stochastic Processes and their Applications 118 2008 517 559
    • (2008) Stochastic Processes and Their Applications , vol.118 , pp. 517-559
    • Jacod, J.1
  • 47
    • 45849118671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for jumps when asset prices are observed with noisea "swap variance" approach
    • G. Jiang, and R. Oomen Testing for jumps when asset prices are observed with noisea "swap variance" approach Journal of Econometrics 144 2 2008 352 370
    • (2008) Journal of Econometrics , vol.144 , Issue.2 , pp. 352-370
    • Jiang, G.1    Oomen, R.2
  • 48
    • 1642393705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The statistical and economic role of jumps in continuous-time interest rate models
    • M. Johannes The statistical and economic role of jumps in continuous-time interest rate models Journal of Finance 59 2004 227 260
    • (2004) Journal of Finance , vol.59 , pp. 227-260
    • Johannes, M.1
  • 49
    • 57349092654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jumps in financial markets: A new nonparametric test and jump dynamics
    • S. Lee, and P. Mykland Jumps in financial markets: a new nonparametric test and jump dynamics Review of Financial Studies 21 6 2008 2535
    • (2008) Review of Financial Studies , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 2535
    • Lee, S.1    Mykland, P.2
  • 50
    • 1842713110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • News arrival, jump dynamics and volatility components for individual stock returns
    • J. Maheu, and T. McCurdy News arrival, jump dynamics and volatility components for individual stock returns Journal of Finance 59 2 2004 755 793
    • (2004) Journal of Finance , vol.59 , Issue.2 , pp. 755-793
    • Maheu, J.1    McCurdy, T.2
  • 51
    • 67949112681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-parametric threshold estimation for models with stochastic diffusion coefficient and jumps
    • C. Mancini Non-parametric threshold estimation for models with stochastic diffusion coefficient and jumps Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 36 2 2009 270 296
    • (2009) Scandinavian Journal of Statistics , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 270-296
    • Mancini, C.1
  • 52
    • 77952498206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Threshold estimation of Markov models with jumps and interest rate modeling
    • (forthcoming)
    • Mancini, C., Ren, R., 2009. Threshold estimation of Markov models with jumps and interest rate modeling. Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming).
    • (2009) Journal of Econometrics
    • Mancini, C.1
  • 53
    • 40549142517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Realized volatility: A review
    • M. McAleer, and M. Medeiros Realized volatility: a review Econometric Reviews 27 1 2008 10 45
    • (2008) Econometric Reviews , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 10-45
    • McAleer, M.1    Medeiros, M.2
  • 54
    • 10644241710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The jump-risk premia implicit in options: Evidence from an integrated time series study
    • J. Pan The jump-risk premia implicit in options: evidence from an integrated time series study Journal of Financial Economics 63 2002 3 50
    • (2002) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.63 , pp. 3-50
    • Pan, J.1
  • 55
    • 26444497777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies
    • (forthcoming)
    • Patton, A., 2008. Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies. Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming).
    • (2008) Journal of Econometrics
    • Patton, A.1
  • 56
    • 70349813191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of volatility functionals in the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps
    • M. Podolskij, and M. Vetter Estimation of volatility functionals in the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps Bernoulli 15 3 2009 634 668
    • (2009) Bernoulli , vol.15 , Issue.3 , pp. 634-668
    • Podolskij, M.1    Vetter, M.2
  • 58
    • 77957977426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust estimation of integrated variance and quarticity under flat price and no trading bias
    • Schulz, F.C., 2010. Robust estimation of integrated variance and quarticity under flat price and no trading bias. Working Paper.
    • (2010) Working Paper
    • Schulz, F.C.1
  • 59
    • 21144464942 scopus 로고
    • Volume, volatility and dispersion of beliefs
    • C.T. Shalen Volume, volatility and dispersion of beliefs Review of Financial Studies 6 1993 405 434
    • (1993) Review of Financial Studies , vol.6 , pp. 405-434
    • Shalen, C.T.1
  • 60
    • 70449622718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limit theorems for bipower variation of semimartingales
    • M. Vetter Limit theorems for bipower variation of semimartingales Stochastic Processes and their Applications 120 1 2010 22 38
    • (2010) Stochastic Processes and Their Applications , vol.120 , Issue.1 , pp. 22-38
    • Vetter, M.1
  • 61
    • 84937302781 scopus 로고
    • A model of competitive stock trading volume
    • J. Wang A model of competitive stock trading volume Journal of Political Economy 102 1994 127 168
    • (1994) Journal of Political Economy , vol.102 , pp. 127-168
    • Wang, J.1
  • 62
    • 33645976274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Power and multipower variation: Inference for high frequency data
    • J. Woerner Power and multipower variation: inference for high frequency data A.N. Shiryaev, M. do Rosario Grossinho, P. Oliveira, M. Esquivel, Stochastic Finance 2006 Springer 343 364
    • (2006) Stochastic Finance , pp. 343-364
    • Woerner, J.1
  • 63
    • 77958017536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bond risk premia and realized jump volatility
    • Federal Reserve Board
    • Wright, J., Zhou, H., 2007. Bond risk premia and realized jump volatility. Working Paper. Federal Reserve Board.
    • (2007) Working Paper
    • Wright, J.1    Zhou, H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.