메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 150, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 151-166

A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects

Author keywords

Bipower variation; Jumps; Leverage effect; Realized volatility; Simultaneous equation model

Indexed keywords

BIPOWER VARIATION; JUMPS; LEVERAGE EFFECT; REALIZED VOLATILITY; SIMULTANEOUS EQUATION MODEL;

EID: 67349251861     PISSN: 03044076     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.12.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (133)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 25844435205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How often to sample a continuous-time process in the presence of market microstructure noise
    • Aït-Sahalia Y., Mykland P.A., and Zhang L. How often to sample a continuous-time process in the presence of market microstructure noise. Review of Financial Studies 18 (2005) 351-416
    • (2005) Review of Financial Studies , vol.18 , pp. 351-416
    • Aït-Sahalia, Y.1    Mykland, P.A.2    Zhang, L.3
  • 2
    • 0012692686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An empirical investigation of continuous-time equity return models
    • Andersen T.G., Benzoni L., and Lund J. An empirical investigation of continuous-time equity return models. Journal of Finance 57 (2002) 1239-1284
    • (2002) Journal of Finance , vol.57 , pp. 1239-1284
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Benzoni, L.2    Lund, J.3
  • 3
    • 0005880209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts
    • Andersen T.G., and Bollerslev T. Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts. International Economic Review 39 (1998) 885-905
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.39 , pp. 885-905
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 4
    • 36448949838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Roughing it up: Including jump components in the measurement, modeling and forecasting of return volatility
    • Andersen T.G., Bollerslev T., and Diebold F.X. Roughing it up: Including jump components in the measurement, modeling and forecasting of return volatility. Review of Economics and Statistics 89 4 (2007) 701-720
    • (2007) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.89 , Issue.4 , pp. 701-720
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Diebold, F.X.3
  • 8
    • 75849130529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A semiparametric framework for modeling and forecasting jumps and volatility in speculative prices
    • forthcoming
    • Andersen, T.G., Bollerslev, T., Huang, X., 2009. A semiparametric framework for modeling and forecasting jumps and volatility in speculative prices. Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming)
    • (2009) Journal of Econometrics
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Huang, X.3
  • 10
    • 56349136475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise
    • Barndorff-Nielsen O.E., Hansen P.R., Lunde A., and Shephard N. Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise. Econometrica 76 (2008) 1481-1536
    • (2008) Econometrica , vol.76 , pp. 1481-1536
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E.1    Hansen, P.R.2    Lunde, A.3    Shephard, N.4
  • 11
    • 0036012995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometric analysis of realised volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models
    • Barndorff-Nielsen O.E., and Shephard N. Econometric analysis of realised volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 64 (2002) 253-280
    • (2002) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B , vol.64 , pp. 253-280
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E.1    Shephard, N.2
  • 14
    • 84926075268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How accurate is the asymptotic approximation to the distribution of realised variance?
    • Andrews D., Powell J., Ruud P., and Stock J. (Eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Barndorff-Nielsen O.E., and Shephard N. How accurate is the asymptotic approximation to the distribution of realised variance?. In: Andrews D., Powell J., Ruud P., and Stock J. (Eds). Identification and Inference for Econometric Models. A Festschrift for Tom Rothenberg (2005), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 306-331
    • (2005) Identification and Inference for Econometric Models. A Festschrift for Tom Rothenberg , pp. 306-331
    • Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E.1    Shephard, N.2
  • 15
    • 0000833419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market
    • Bates D.S. Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market. Journal of Econometrics 94 (2000) 181-238
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.94 , pp. 181-238
    • Bates, D.S.1
  • 16
    • 0033270691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets
    • Bekaert G., and Wu G. Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets. Review of Financial Studies 13 (2000) 1-42
    • (2000) Review of Financial Studies , vol.13 , pp. 1-42
    • Bekaert, G.1    Wu, G.2
  • 17
    • 0036888003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating daily volatility in financial markets utilizing intraday data
    • Bollen B., and Inder B. Estimating daily volatility in financial markets utilizing intraday data. Journal of Empirical Finance 9 (2002) 551-562
    • (2002) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.9 , pp. 551-562
    • Bollen, B.1    Inder, B.2
  • 18
    • 70350121603 scopus 로고
    • ARCH models
    • Engle R.F., and McFadden D. (Eds), Elsevier
    • Bollerlsev T., Engle R., and Nelson D. ARCH models. In: Engle R.F., and McFadden D. (Eds). Handbook of Econometrics (1994), Elsevier 2959-3038
    • (1994) Handbook of Econometrics , pp. 2959-3038
    • Bollerlsev, T.1    Engle, R.2    Nelson, D.3
  • 19
    • 0000375581 scopus 로고
    • A conditionally heteroskedastic time series model for speculative prices and rates of return
    • Bollerslev T. A conditionally heteroskedastic time series model for speculative prices and rates of return. Review of Economics and Statistics 69 (1987) 542-547
    • (1987) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.69 , pp. 542-547
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 23
    • 0142013411 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating stochastic volatility diffusions using conditional moments of integrated volatility
    • Bollerslev T., and Zhou H. Estimating stochastic volatility diffusions using conditional moments of integrated volatility. Journal of Econometrics 109 (2002) 33-65
    • (2002) Journal of Econometrics , vol.109 , pp. 33-65
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Zhou, H.2
  • 24
    • 43549117863 scopus 로고
    • No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns
    • Campbell J.Y., and Hentschel L. No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics 31 (1992) 281-331
    • (1992) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.31 , pp. 281-331
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Hentschel, L.2
  • 26
    • 0032356952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-memory in continuous-time stochastic volatility models
    • Comte F., and Renault E. Long-memory in continuous-time stochastic volatility models. Mathematical Finance 8 (1998) 291-323
    • (1998) Mathematical Finance , vol.8 , pp. 291-323
    • Comte, F.1    Renault, E.2
  • 29
    • 0041404541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consistent high-precision volatility from high-frequency data
    • Corsi F., Zumbach G., Müller U.A., and Dacorogna M. Consistent high-precision volatility from high-frequency data. Economic Notes 30 2 (2001) 183-204
    • (2001) Economic Notes , vol.30 , Issue.2 , pp. 183-204
    • Corsi, F.1    Zumbach, G.2    Müller, U.A.3    Dacorogna, M.4
  • 31
    • 33644498904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting realized volatility using a long-memory stochastic volatility model: Estimation, prediction and seasonal adjustment
    • Deo R., Hurvich C., and Lu Y. Forecasting realized volatility using a long-memory stochastic volatility model: Estimation, prediction and seasonal adjustment. Journal of Econometrics 131 1-2 (2006) 29-58
    • (2006) Journal of Econometrics , vol.131 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 29-58
    • Deo, R.1    Hurvich, C.2    Lu, Y.3
  • 32
    • 0347623647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management
    • Diebold F.X., Gunther T.A., and Tay A.S. Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management. International Economic Review 39 4 (1998) 863-883
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.39 , Issue.4 , pp. 863-883
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Gunther, T.A.2    Tay, A.S.3
  • 33
    • 84993924525 scopus 로고
    • Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility
    • Engle R.F., and Ng V.K. Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility. Journal of Finance 48 5 (1993) 1749-1778
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , Issue.5 , pp. 1749-1778
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ng, V.K.2
  • 34
    • 2942726323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do stock prices and volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices
    • Eraker B. Do stock prices and volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices. Journal of Finance 59 3 (2004) 1367-1403
    • (2004) Journal of Finance , vol.59 , Issue.3 , pp. 1367-1403
    • Eraker, B.1
  • 35
    • 0142188082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of jumps in volatility and returns
    • Eraker B., Johannes M., and Polson N. The impact of jumps in volatility and returns. Journal of Finance 58 3 (2003) 1269-1300
    • (2003) Journal of Finance , vol.58 , Issue.3 , pp. 1269-1300
    • Eraker, B.1    Johannes, M.2    Polson, N.3
  • 36
    • 0036403602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bridging the gap between the distribution of realized (ECU) volatility and ARCH modeling (of the euro): The GARCH-NIG model
    • Forsberg L., and Bollerslev T. Bridging the gap between the distribution of realized (ECU) volatility and ARCH modeling (of the euro): The GARCH-NIG model. Journal of Applied Econometrics 17 (2002) 535-548
    • (2002) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.17 , pp. 535-548
    • Forsberg, L.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 38
    • 0000650053 scopus 로고
    • Seminonparametric estimation of conditionally constrained heterogeneous processes: Asset pricing applications
    • Gallant A.R., and Tauchen G. Seminonparametric estimation of conditionally constrained heterogeneous processes: Asset pricing applications. Econometrica 57 (1989) 1091-1120
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 1091-1120
    • Gallant, A.R.1    Tauchen, G.2
  • 40
    • 0002245296 scopus 로고
    • Semi-nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation
    • Gallant A.R., and Nychka D.W. Semi-nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation. Econometrica 55 2 (1987) 363-390
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , Issue.2 , pp. 363-390
    • Gallant, A.R.1    Nychka, D.W.2
  • 43
    • 33644524444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consistent ranking of volatility models
    • Hansen P.R., and Lunde A. Consistent ranking of volatility models. Journal of Econometrics 131 (2006) 97-121
    • (2006) Journal of Econometrics , vol.131 , pp. 97-121
    • Hansen, P.R.1    Lunde, A.2
  • 44
    • 84977719043 scopus 로고
    • Chaos and nonlinear dynamics: Application to financial markets
    • Hsieh D.A. Chaos and nonlinear dynamics: Application to financial markets. Journal of Finance 46 5 (1991) 1839-1877
    • (1991) Journal of Finance , vol.46 , Issue.5 , pp. 1839-1877
    • Hsieh, D.A.1
  • 45
    • 26444481610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relative contribution of jumps to total price variance
    • Huang X., and Tauchen G. The relative contribution of jumps to total price variance. Journal of Financial Econometrics 3 4 (2005) 456-499
    • (2005) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 456-499
    • Huang, X.1    Tauchen, G.2
  • 46
    • 19644389883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements
    • Koopman S.J., Jungbacker B., and Hol E. Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements. Journal of Empirical Finance 12 3 (2005) 445-475
    • (2005) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.12 , Issue.3 , pp. 445-475
    • Koopman, S.J.1    Jungbacker, B.2    Hol, E.3
  • 47
    • 67349173575 scopus 로고
    • Working Paper, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2004
    • Lundblad, C., 2004. The risk return tradeoff in the long-run: 1836-2003. Working Paper, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
    • (1836) The risk return tradeoff in the long-run
    • Lundblad, C.1
  • 49
    • 4744352050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting financial volatility: High-frequency time-series forecasts vis-à-vis implied volatility
    • Martens M., and Zein J. Predicting financial volatility: High-frequency time-series forecasts vis-à-vis implied volatility. Journal of Futures Markets 24 11 (2004) 1005-1028
    • (2004) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.24 , Issue.11 , pp. 1005-1028
    • Martens, M.1    Zein, J.2
  • 50
    • 34248474317 scopus 로고
    • Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous
    • Merton R.C. Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous. Journal of Financial Economics 3 1-2 (1976) 125-144
    • (1976) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.3 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 125-144
    • Merton, R.C.1
  • 51
    • 85025724501 scopus 로고
    • On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation
    • Merton R.C. On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation. Journal of Financial Economics 8 4 (1980) 323-361
    • (1980) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. 323-361
    • Merton, R.C.1
  • 52
  • 53
    • 26444569950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Properties of bias-corrected realized variance under alternative sampling schemes
    • Oomen R.C. Properties of bias-corrected realized variance under alternative sampling schemes. Journal of Financial Econometrics 3 (2005) 555-577
    • (2005) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.3 , pp. 555-577
    • Oomen, R.C.1
  • 54
    • 10644241710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The jump-risk premia implicit in options: Evidence from an integrated time-series study
    • Pan J. The jump-risk premia implicit in options: Evidence from an integrated time-series study. Journal of Financial Economics 63 (2002) 3-50
    • (2002) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.63 , pp. 3-50
    • Pan, J.1
  • 55
    • 4544369828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting currency volatility: A comparison of implied volatilities and AR(FI)MA models
    • Pong S., Shackleton M.B., Taylor S.J., and Xu X. Forecasting currency volatility: A comparison of implied volatilities and AR(FI)MA models. Journal of Banking & Finance 28 (2004) 2541-2563
    • (2004) Journal of Banking & Finance , vol.28 , pp. 2541-2563
    • Pong, S.1    Shackleton, M.B.2    Taylor, S.J.3    Xu, X.4
  • 56
    • 0000441798 scopus 로고
    • The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations
    • Poterba J.M., and Summers L.H. The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations. American Economic Review 76 (1986) 1142-1151
    • (1986) American Economic Review , vol.76 , pp. 1142-1151
    • Poterba, J.M.1    Summers, L.H.2
  • 58
    • 0031498068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The incremental volatility information in one million foreign exchange quotations
    • Taylor S.J., and Xu X. The incremental volatility information in one million foreign exchange quotations. Journal of Empirical Finance 4 (1997) 317-340
    • (1997) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.4 , pp. 317-340
    • Taylor, S.J.1    Xu, X.2
  • 59
  • 60
    • 29144451478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A tale of two time scales: Determining integrated volatility with noisy high-frequency data
    • Zhang L., Mykland P.A., and Aït-Sahalia Y. A tale of two time scales: Determining integrated volatility with noisy high-frequency data. Journal of the American Statistical Association 100 (2005) 1394-1411
    • (2005) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.100 , pp. 1394-1411
    • Zhang, L.1    Mykland, P.A.2    Aït-Sahalia, Y.3
  • 61
    • 0030530343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-frequency data and volatility in foreign-exchange rates
    • Zhou B. High-frequency data and volatility in foreign-exchange rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 14 (1996) 45-52
    • (1996) Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , vol.14 , pp. 45-52
    • Zhou, B.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.