Spatio-temporal variation of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) incidence in the Czech Republic: Is the current explanation of the disease's rise satisfactory?

Ticks and Tick-borne Diseases

Volumn 1, Issue 3, 2010, Pages 129-140

  Zeman, Petr ^a   Pazdiora, Petr ^b   Benes, Cestmir ^c  

^a Medical Laboratories   (Czech Republic)

^b CHARLES UNIVERSITY   (Czech Republic)

^c NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH   (Czech Republic)

Author keywords

Climate warming; Czech Republic; Socio economic factors; Spatial statistics; Tick borne encephalitis; Time series analysis

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; ARTICLE; BIOSTATISTICS; CHILD; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONTROLLED STUDY; CZECH REPUBLIC; DEMOGRAPHY; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; ENDEMIC DISEASE; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; FEMALE; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM; HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; INFECTION CONTROL; INFECTION RISK; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION RISK; REGIONALIZATION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SCHOOL CHILD; SOCIAL STATUS; SOCIOECONOMICS; TICK BORNE ENCEPHALITIS; TREND STUDY;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; CLIMATE CHANGE; CZECH REPUBLIC; ENCEPHALITIS, TICK-BORNE; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; MIDDLE AGED; POPULATION DENSITY; SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS; SPACE-TIME CLUSTERING; YOUNG ADULT;

IXODIDA;

EID: 77956481105     PISSN: 1877959X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ttbdis.2010.05.003     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Blaskovic D., et al. Studies on tick-borne encephalitis. Bull. World Health Org. 1967, 36(Suppl. 1):5-94.
2. Casati S., Gern L., Piffaretti J.-C. Diversity of the population of tick-borne encephalitis virus infecting Ixodes ricinus ticks in an endemic area of central Switzerland (Canton Bern). J. Gen. Virol. 2006, 87:2235-2241.
3. Daniel M., Danielova V., Kriz B., Jirsa A., Nozicka J. Shift of the tick Ixodes ricinus and tick-borne encephalitis to higher altitudes in Central Europe. Eur. J. Clin. Microbiol. Inf. Dis. 2003, 22:327-328.
4. Danielova V., Schwarzova L., Materna J., Daniel M., Metelka L., Holubova J., Kriz B. Tick-borne encephalitis virus expansion to higher altitudes correlated with climate warming. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2008, 298(Suppl. 1):68-72.
5. Diggle P., Rowlingson B., Su T. Point process methodology for on-line spatio-temporal disease surveillance. Environmetrics 2005, 16:423-434.
6. Dumpis U., Crook D., Oksi J. Tick-borne encephalitis. Clin. Inf. Dis. 1999, 28:882-890.
7. Efron B. The Jackknife, the Bootstrap and Other Resampling Plans 1982, SIAM, Philadelphia.
8. Geographical Institute Atlas of the Environment and Health of the Population of the CSFR 1992, Institute of Geography, Brno, and Federal Committee for the Environment, Prague.
9. Gern L., Cadenas F.M., Burri C. Influence of some climatic factors on Ixodes ricinus ticks studied along altitudinal gradients in two geographic regions in Switzerland. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2008, 298(S1):55-59.
10. GfK TBE Vaccination Rate Study - Czech Republic 2007 2007, GfK Gruppe, HealthCare, Austria.
11. Gray J.S., Dautel H., Estrada-Peña A., Kahl O., Lindgren E. Effects of climate change on ticks and tick-borne diseases in Europe. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases 2009, 12. 10.1155/2009/593232.
12. Heinz F.X., Holzmann H., Essl A., Kundi M. Field effectiveness of vaccination against tick-borne encephalitis. Vaccine 2007, 25:7559-7567.
13. Hubalek Z., Halouzka J., Juricova Z. Longitudinal surveillance of the tick Ixodes ricinus for borreliae. Med. Vet. Entomol. 2003, 17:46-51.
14. Korenberg E., Likhacheva T. Analysis of the long-term dynamics of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) and ixodid tick-borne borrelioses (ITBB) morbidity in Russia. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2006, 296(S1):54-58.
15. Kriz B., Benes C., Danielova V., Daniel M. Socio-economic conditions and other anthropogenic factors influencing tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Czech Republic. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2004, 293(Suppl. 37):63-68.
16. Kunz C. Tick-borne encephalitis in Europe. Acta Leidensia 1992, 60:1-14.
17. Lindgren E. Climate and tick-borne encephalitis. Cons. Ecol. Online 1998, 2:1-14.
18. Lindgren E., Gustafson R. Tick-borne encephalitis in Sweden and climate change. Lancet 2001, 358:16-18.
19. Lindgren E., Tälleklint L., Polfeldt T. Impact of climatic change on the northern latitude limit and population density of the disease-transmitting European tick Ixodes ricinus. Environ. Health Perspect. 2000, 108:119-123.
20. Mallat S.G. A theory for multiresolution signal decomposition: the wavelet representation. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. 1989, 11:674-693.
21. Materna J., Daniel M., Metelka L., Harcarik J. The vertical distribution, density and the development of the tick Ixodes ricinus in mountain areas influenced by climate changes (The Krkonose Mts., Czech Republic). Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2008, 298(S1):25-37.
22. Mayer V., Kozuch O. Study of the virulence of tick-borne encephalitis virus XI. Genetic heterogeneity of the virus from naturally infectious Ixodes ricinus ticks. Acta Virol. 1969, 13:469-482.
23. Morse S.S. Factors in the emergence of infectious diseases. Emerg. Inf. Dis. 1995, 1:7-15.
24. National Statistical Bureau Regional differences in demographic, social, and economic development in the Czech Republic in 2000-2005. National Statistical Bureau, Prague 2007, (in Czech.). http://www.czso.cz/csu/edicniplan.nsf/p/1379-07.
25. National Statistical Bureau Statistical Bulletin - The Capital of Prague. National Statistical Bureau, Prague 2009, (in Czech.). http://www.czso.cz/csu/edicniplan.nsf/p/W-101302-09.
26. Pazdiora P., Benesova J., Böhmova Z., Kralikova J., Kubatova A., Menclova I., Moravkova I., Pruchova J., Prechova M., Spacilova M., Vodrazkova Z., Struncova V., Svecova M. The prevalence of tick-borne encephalitis in the region of West Bohemia (Czech Republic) between 1960-2005. Wien. Med. Wochenschr. 2008, 158:91-97.
27. Pisot P., Kalvova J., Brazdil R. Cycles and trends in the Czech temperature series using wavelet transforms. Int. J. Climatol. 2004, 24:1661-1670.
28. Randolph S. The shifting landscape of tick-borne zoonoses: tick-borne encephalitis and Lyme borreliosis in Europe. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 2001, 356:1045-1056.
29. Randolph S. Tick-borne encephalitis incidence in Central and Eastern Europe: consequences of political transition. Microb. Infect. 2008, 10:209-216.
30. Silverman B.W. Density estimation for statistics and data analysis 1986, Chapman and Hall, London and New York.
31. Sumilo D., Asokliene L., Bormane A., Vasilenko V., Golovjova I., Randolph S.E. Climate change cannot explain the upsurge of tick-borne encephalitis in the Baltics. PloS One 2007, 2(e500):11. 10.1371/journal.pone.0000500.
32. Sumilo D., Bormane A., Asokliene L., Vasilenko V., Golovjova I., Avsic-Zupanc T., Hubalek Z., Randolph S.E. Socio-economic factors in the differential upsurge of tick-borne encephalitis in Central and Eastern Europe. Rev. Med. Virol. 2008, 18:81-95.
33. Sumilo D., Asokliene L., Avsic-Zupanc T., Bormane A., Vasilenko V., Lucenko I., Golovjova I., Randolph S.E. Behavioural responses to perceived risk of tick-borne encephalitis: Vaccination and avoidance in the Baltics and Slovenia. Vaccine 2008, 26:2580-2588.
34. Süss J., Schrader C., Falk U., Wohanka N. Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in Germany - epidemiological data, development of risk areas and virus prevalence in field-collected ticks and ticks removed from humans. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2004, 293(Suppl. 37):69-79.
35. Walder G., Falkensammer B., Heinz F.X., Holzmann H., Dierich M.P., Würzner R. Tick-borne encephalitis in the Tyrol (Austria): changes in incidence and endemicity 2000-2006. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2008, 298(S1):88-93.
36. Wanner H., Bronnimann S., Casty C., Gyalistras D., Lutterbacher J., Schmutz C., Stephenson D.B., Xoplaki E. North Atlantic Oscillation - concepts and studies. Surv. Geophysics 2001, 22:321-382.
37. Zeman P. Objective assessment of risk maps of tick-borne encephalitis and Lyme borreliosis based on spatial patterns of located cases. Int. J. Epidemiol. 1997, 26:1121-1130.
38. Zeman P., Benes C. A tick-borne encephalitis ceiling in Central Europe has moved upwards during the last 30 years: possible impact of global warming?. Int. J. Med. Microbiol. 2004, 239(Suppl. 37):48-54.