메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 478-486

Increasing model structural complexity inhibits the growth of initial condition errors

Author keywords

Ensemble spread; Initial conditions; Non linear dynamics; Pelagic ecosystem; Predictive skill; Structural complexity

Indexed keywords


EID: 77956049889     PISSN: 1476945X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2009.12.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (8)

References (26)
  • 1
    • 0000694396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Salps and pyrosomid blooms and their importance in biogeochemical cycles
    • Oxford University Press, Q. Bone (Ed.)
    • Andersen V. Salps and pyrosomid blooms and their importance in biogeochemical cycles. The Biology of Pelagic Tunicates 1998, 125-137. Oxford University Press. Q. Bone (Ed.).
    • (1998) The Biology of Pelagic Tunicates , pp. 125-137
    • Andersen, V.1
  • 2
    • 67651091991 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Structural complexity of species assemblages and spatial scale of community organization: a case study of marine benthos
    • Azovsky A.I. Structural complexity of species assemblages and spatial scale of community organization: a case study of marine benthos. Ecol. Complexity 2009, 6:308-315.
    • (2009) Ecol. Complexity , vol.6 , pp. 308-315
    • Azovsky, A.I.1
  • 3
    • 78049478639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • in press. Limits to prediction in a size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model. J Plankton Res.
    • Baird, M.E., in press. Limits to prediction in a size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model. J Plankton Res.
    • Baird, M.E.1
  • 4
    • 34047180509 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model
    • Baird M.E., Suthers I.M. A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model. Ecol. Model. 2007, 203:185-203.
    • (2007) Ecol. Model. , vol.203 , pp. 185-203
    • Baird, M.E.1    Suthers, I.M.2
  • 5
    • 33644641216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupled physical-biological modelling study of the East Australian Current with idealised wind forcing. Part I. Biological model intercomparison
    • Baird M.E., Timko P.G., Suthers I.M., Middleton J.H. Coupled physical-biological modelling study of the East Australian Current with idealised wind forcing. Part I. Biological model intercomparison. J. Mar. Syst. 2006, 59:249-270.
    • (2006) J. Mar. Syst. , vol.59 , pp. 249-270
    • Baird, M.E.1    Timko, P.G.2    Suthers, I.M.3    Middleton, J.H.4
  • 7
    • 0035932743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transient dynamics and food-web complexity in the Lotka-Volterra cascade model
    • Chen X., Cohen J.E. Transient dynamics and food-web complexity in the Lotka-Volterra cascade model. Proc. R. S. Lond. B 2001, 268:869-877.
    • (2001) Proc. R. S. Lond. B , vol.268 , pp. 869-877
    • Chen, X.1    Cohen, J.E.2
  • 10
    • 0036108599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Food web complexity and chaotic population dynamics
    • Fussmann G.F., Heber G. Food web complexity and chaotic population dynamics. Ecol. Lett. 2002, 5:394-401.
    • (2002) Ecol. Lett. , vol.5 , pp. 394-401
    • Fussmann, G.F.1    Heber, G.2
  • 11
    • 78049457881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the fractal modelling of biomass distributions: an application to size class in fisheries, Ecol. Complexity
    • García-Gutiérrez, C., Martín, M.A., Rey, J.-M. On the fractal modelling of biomass distributions: an application to size class in fisheries, Ecol. Complexity 6, 2446-253.
    • , vol.6 , pp. 2446-253
    • García-Gutiérrez, C.1    Martín, M.A.2    Rey, J.-M.3
  • 12
    • 0030806615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zooplankton grazing and growth: Scaling within the 2-2,000μm body size range
    • Hansen P.J., Bjornsen P.K., Hansen B.W. Zooplankton grazing and growth: Scaling within the 2-2,000μm body size range. Limnol. Oceanogr. 1997, 42:687-704.
    • (1997) Limnol. Oceanogr. , vol.42 , pp. 687-704
    • Hansen, P.J.1    Bjornsen, P.K.2    Hansen, B.W.3
  • 13
    • 0347062671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transients: the key to long-term ecological understanding?
    • Hastings A. Transients: the key to long-term ecological understanding?. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2004, 19:39-45.
    • (2004) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.19 , pp. 39-45
    • Hastings, A.1
  • 14
    • 1842764908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea gulls, butterflies, and grasshoppers: A brief history of the butterfly effect in nonlinear dynamics
    • Hilborn R.C. Sea gulls, butterflies, and grasshoppers: A brief history of the butterfly effect in nonlinear dynamics. Am. J. Phys. 2004, 72:425-427.
    • (2004) Am. J. Phys. , vol.72 , pp. 425-427
    • Hilborn, R.C.1
  • 15
    • 0035017735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fundamental unpredictability in multispecies competition
    • Huisman J., Weissing F.J. Fundamental unpredictability in multispecies competition. Am. Nat. 2001, 157:488-494.
    • (2001) Am. Nat. , vol.157 , pp. 488-494
    • Huisman, J.1    Weissing, F.J.2
  • 16
    • 0038461580 scopus 로고
    • Coagulation of marine algae
    • American Chemical Society, Washington, DC, C.P. Huang, C.R. O'Melia, J.J. Morgan (Eds.)
    • Jackson G.A. Coagulation of marine algae. Aquatic Chemistry: Interfacial and Interspecies Processes 1995, 203-217. American Chemical Society, Washington, DC. C.P. Huang, C.R. O'Melia, J.J. Morgan (Eds.).
    • (1995) Aquatic Chemistry: Interfacial and Interspecies Processes , pp. 203-217
    • Jackson, G.A.1
  • 17
    • 0000241853 scopus 로고
    • Deterministic non-periodic flow
    • Lorenz E.N. Deterministic non-periodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 1963, 20:130-141.
    • (1963) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.20 , pp. 130-141
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 18
    • 0000853495 scopus 로고
    • The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion
    • Lorenz E.N. The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion. Tellus 1968, 21:289-307.
    • (1968) Tellus , vol.21 , pp. 289-307
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 19
    • 0001372773 scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations of animal populations, and a measure of community stability
    • MacArthur R.H. Fluctuations of animal populations, and a measure of community stability. Ecology 1955, 33:533-536.
    • (1955) Ecology , vol.33 , pp. 533-536
    • MacArthur, R.H.1
  • 21
    • 70349328530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Highly variable spread rates in replicated biological invasions: Fundamental limits to predictability
    • Melbourne B.A., Hastings A. Highly variable spread rates in replicated biological invasions: Fundamental limits to predictability. Science 2009, 325:1536-1538.
    • (2009) Science , vol.325 , pp. 1536-1538
    • Melbourne, B.A.1    Hastings, A.2
  • 23
    • 34548672106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trophic structure and dynamical complexity in simple ecological models
    • Rai V., Anand M., Upadhyay R.K. Trophic structure and dynamical complexity in simple ecological models. Ecol. Complexity 2007, 4:212-222.
    • (2007) Ecol. Complexity , vol.4 , pp. 212-222
    • Rai, V.1    Anand, M.2    Upadhyay, R.K.3
  • 25
    • 0032840323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ecological consequences of changes in biodiversity: a search for general principles
    • Tilman D. The ecological consequences of changes in biodiversity: a search for general principles. Ecology 1999, 80:1431-1451.
    • (1999) Ecology , vol.80 , pp. 1431-1451
    • Tilman, D.1
  • 26
    • 0035133185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of initial condition sensitivity and chaotic transients on predicting future outbreaks of gypsy moths
    • Wilder J.W. Effect of initial condition sensitivity and chaotic transients on predicting future outbreaks of gypsy moths. Ecol. Mod. 2001, 136:49-66.
    • (2001) Ecol. Mod. , vol.136 , pp. 49-66
    • Wilder, J.W.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.