메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 167, Issue 6, 2010, Pages 819-830

Using the ETAS model for catalog declustering and seismic background assessment

Author keywords

Declustering; Epidemic model; Maximum likelihood; Seismic background

Indexed keywords

AFTERSHOCK; ALGORITHM; EARTHQUAKE CATALOGUE; EARTHQUAKE TRIGGER; FORESHOCK; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ANALYSIS; MODELING; PROBABILITY; SEISMIC MOMENT; SEISMIC ZONE; SEISMICITY;

EID: 77954315240     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-010-0065-5     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (52)

References (36)
  • 1
    • 14344261878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bird, P. and Kagan, Y. Y. (2004), Plate-tectonic analysis of shallow seismicity: Apparent boundary width, beta, corner magnitude, coupled lithosphere thickness, and coupling in seven tectonic settings, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 94(6), 2380-2399 (plus electronic supplement).
  • 2
    • 34248635127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bird, P. and Liu, Z. (2007), Seismic hazard inferred from tectonics: California, Seism. Res. Lett. 78(1), 37-48.
  • 3
    • 77954310829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Catalli, F., Cocco, M., Console, R. and Chiaraluce, L. (2008), Modeling seismicity rate changes during the 1997 Umbria-Marche sequence (central Italy) through a rate- and state-dependent model, in preparation.
  • 4
    • 0034766687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Console, R., Testing earthquake forecasting hypotheses (2001), Tectonophysics, 338, 261-268.
  • 5
    • 1442291143 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Console, R., Murru, M., and Lombardi, A. M. (2003), Refining earthquake clustering models, J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2468, doi: 10. 1029/2002JB002130.
  • 6
    • 17044431503 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Console, R. and Murru, M. (2001), A simple and testable model for earthquake clustering, J. Geophys. Res. 106, 8699-8711.
  • 7
    • 34248656199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Console, R., Murru, M., Catalli, F., and Falcone, G. (2007), Real time forecasts through an earthquake clustering model constrained by the rate-and-state constitutive law: Comparison with a purely stochastic ETAS model, Seism. Res. Lett. 78, 49-56.
  • 8
    • 34248673702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Field, E. H. (2007), Overview of the Working Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM), Seism. Res. Lett. 78(1), 7-16.
  • 9
    • 0029518123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frankel, A. (1995), Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States, Seism. Res. Lett. 66, 8-21.
  • 10
    • 77954311028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gardner, J. K. and Knopoff, L. (1974), Is the sequence of earthquakes in California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 64, 1363-1367.
  • 11
    • 77954313112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gibbons, J. D. and Chakraborti, S. Non-parametric Statistical Inference, 4th ed. (New York: Marcel Dekker 2003), 645 pp.
  • 12
    • 77954311894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gutenberg, B. and Richter, C. (1944), Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 34, 185-188.
  • 13
    • 0037058191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Helmstetter, A. and Sornette, D. (2002), Subcritical and supercritical regimes in epidemic models of earthquake aftershocks, J. Geophys. Res. 107, 2237, doi: 10. 1029/2001JB001580.
  • 14
    • 0042412061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Helmstetter, A. and Sornette, D. (2003), Importance of direct and indirect triggered seismicity in the ETAS model of seismicity, Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 1576, doi: 10. 1029/2003GL017670.
  • 15
    • 33644506758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Helmstetter, A., Kagan, Y. Y., and Jackson, D. D. (2006), Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 96(1), 90-106.
  • 16
    • 34248663223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Helmstetter, A., Kagan, Y. Y., and Jackson, D. D. (2007), High-resolution time-independent grid-based forecast for M≥5 earthquakes in California, Seism. Res. Lett. 78(1), 78-86.
  • 17
    • 77954313227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jackson, D. D. and Kagan, Y. Y. (1999), Testable earthquake forecasts for 1999, Seism. Res. Lett. 70(4), 393-403.
  • 18
    • 0026082280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (1991), Likelihood analysis of earthquake catalogues, Geophys. J. Int. 106(1), 135-148.
  • 19
    • 0036273635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (2002), Seismic moment distribution revisited: II. Moment conservation principle, Geophys. J. Int. 149(3), 731-754.
  • 20
    • 7244247255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (2004), Short-term properties of earthquake catalogs and models of earthquake source, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 94(4), 1207-1228.
  • 21
    • 77950125351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y., Bird, P., and Jackson, D. D. (2010), Earthquake Patterns in Diverse Tectonic Zones of the Globe, Pure Appl. Geophys. (this issue).
  • 22
    • 0028601589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and Jackson, D. D. (1994), Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. 99, 13, 685-13, 700.
  • 23
    • 0033732689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and Jackson, D. D. (2000), Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, (Leon Knopoff's Festschrift), Geophys. J. Int. 143, 438-453.
  • 24
    • 34248668723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y., Jackson, D. D., and Rong, Y. F. (2007), A testable five-year forecast of moderate and large earthquakes in southern California based on smoothed seismicity, Seism. Res. Lett. 78(1), 94-98.
  • 25
    • 49549132331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. and Knopoff, L. (1976), Statistical search for non-random features of the seismicity of strong earthquakes, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 12(4), 291-318.
  • 26
    • 39749093047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marsan, D. and Longliné, O. (2008), Extending earthquakes' reach through cascading, Science 319, 1076-1079.
  • 27
    • 0020969023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ogata, Y. (1983), Estimation of the parameters in the modified Omori formula for aftershock frequencies by the maximum likelihood procedure, J. Phys. Earth 31, 115-124.
  • 28
    • 0001663614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ogata, Y. (1998), Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 50(2), 379-402.
  • 29
    • 0032752981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ogata, Y. (1999), Seismicity analysis through point-process modeling: A review, Pure Appl. Geophys. 155, 471-507.
  • 30
    • 77954311261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasenberg, P. (1985), Second-order moment of Central California seismicity, J. Geophys. Res. 90, 5479-5495.
  • 31
    • 34248633736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shen, Z. K., Jackson, D. D., and Kagan, Y. Y. (2007), Implications of geodetic strain rate for future earthquakes, with a five-year forecast of M5 earthquakes in southern California, Seism. Res. Lett. 78(1), 116-120.
  • 32
    • 0028604945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ward, S. N. (1994), A multidisciplinary approach to seismic hazard in California, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 84, 1293-1309.
  • 33
    • 33646338457 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zhuang, J. and Ogata, Y. (2006), Properties of the probability distribution associated with the largest event in an earthquake cluster and their implications to foreshocks, Phys. Rev. E, doi: 10. 1103/PhysRevE. 73. 046134.
  • 34
    • 0035998813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., and Vere-Jones, D. (2002), Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences, J. Am. Stat. Ass. 97, 458, 369-380.
  • 35
    • 4644316414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y., and Vere-Jones, D. (2004), Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction, J. Geophys. Res. 109 (B5), B05301, doi: 10. 1029/2003JB002879.
  • 36
    • 58549097468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zhuang, J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M. K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., and Jackson, D. D. (2008), Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes: Their influences on foreshock probabilities, J. Geophys. Res. 113, B11302, doi: 10. 1029/2008JB005579.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.