Refining earthquake clustering models

Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Volumn 108, Issue 10, 2003, Pages

  Console, Rodolfo ^a   Murru, Maura ^a   Lombardi, Anna Maria ^a  

^a ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA   (Italy)

Author keywords

Aftershocks; Earthquake clustering; Hypothesis test; Italian seismicity; Stochastic processes

Indexed keywords

CLUSTER ANALYSIS; EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 1442291143     PISSN: 21699313     EISSN: 21699356     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Akaike, H., A new look at the statistical model identification, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control, AC-19, 716-722, 1974.
2. Anagnos, T., and A. S. Kiremidjian, A review of earthquake occurrence models for seismic hazard analysis, Probab. Eng. Mech., 3, 3-11, 1988.
3. Cao, T. Q., M. D. Petersen, and M. S. Reichle, Seismic hazard estimate from background seismicity in southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 86, 1372-1381, 1996.
4. Console, R., Testing earthquake forecasting hypotheses, Tectonophysics, 338, 261-268, 2001.
5. Console, R., and M. Murru, A simple and testable model for earthquake clustering, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 8699-8711, 2001.
6. Console, R., F. Di Luccio, M. Murru, M. Imoto, and G. Stavrakakis, Short term and short range seismicity patterns in different seismic areas of the world, Nat. Hazards, 19, 107-121, 1999.
7. Davis, S. D., and C. Frohlich, Single-link cluster analysis, synthetic earthquake catalogues, and aftershock identification, Geophys. J. Int., 104, 289-306, 1991.
8. Dieterich, J., A constitutive law for rate of earthquake production and its application to earthquake clustering, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 2001-2618, 1994.
9. Evison, F. F., and D. A. Rhoades, The precursory earthquake swarm in New Zealand: Hypothesis test II, N. Z. J. Geol. Geophys., 40, 537-547, 1997.
10. w 7.3 Landers earthquake, J. Geophys. Res.. 107(B9), 2190, doi:10.1029/2001JB000911, 2002.
11. Frankel, A., Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States, Seismol. Res. Lett., 66, 8-21, 1995.
12. Jackson, D. D., and Y. Y. Kagan, Testable earthquake forecasts for 1999, Seismol. Res. Lett., 70, 393-403, 1999.
13. Kagan, Y. Y., Likelihood analysis of earthquake catalogues, Geophys. J. Int., 106, 135-148, 1991.
14. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson, Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 143, 438-453, 2000.
15. Kagan, Y. Y., and L. Knopoff, Earthquake risk prediction as a stochastic process, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 14, 97-108, 1977.
16. Kagan, Y. Y., and L. Knopoff, Statistical short-term earthquake prediction, Science, 236, 1467-1563, 1987.
17. Ogata, Y., Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual analysis for point processes, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 83, 9-27, 1988.
18. Ogata, Y., Space-time point-process models for earthquake occurrences, Ann. Inst. Stat. Math., 50, 379-402, 1998.
19. Reasenberg, P. A., and L. M. Jones, Earthquake hazard after a mainshock in California, Science, 243, 1173-1176, 1989.
20. Rhoades, D. A., and F. F. Evison, On the reliability of precursors, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 58, 137-140, 1989.
21. Sakamoto, Y., M. Ishiguro, and G. Kitagawa, Akaike Information Criterion Statistics, 290 pp., D. Reidel, Norwell, Mass., 1983.
22. Shaw, B. E., Generalized Omori law for aftershocks and foreshocks from a simple dynamics, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 907-910, 1993.
23. Shi, Y., and A. Bolt, The standard error of the magnitude-frequency b value, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 72, 1677-1687, 1982.
24. Sornette, D., and A. Sornette, Renormalization of earthquake aftershocks, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1981-1984, 1999.
25. Utsu, T., A statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks, Geophys. Mag., 30, 521-605, 1961.
26. Utsu, T., Y. Ogata, and R. S. Matsu'ura, The centenary of the Omori formula for a decay law of aftershock activity, J. Phys. Earth, 43, 1-33, 1995.
27. Vere-Jones, D., Probabilities and information gain for earthquake forecasting, Comput. Seismol., 30, 248-263, 1998.