Evaluation of bear rub surveys to monitor grizzly bear population trends

Journal of Wildlife Management

Volumn 74, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 860-870

  Stetz, Jeffrey B ^a   Kendall, Katherine C ^b   Servheen, Chirstopher ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MONTANA   (United States)

^b Glacier National Park   (United States)

Author keywords

Bear rubs; Grizzly bear; Markrecapture; Montana; Noninvasive genetic sampling; Northern continental divide ecosystem; Pradel model; Trend monitoring; Ursus arctos

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; BEAR; ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT; GROWTH RATE; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION SIZE; SAMPLING; TELEMETRY; WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT;

MONTANA; UNITED STATES;

URSUS ARCTOS;

EID: 77951783821     PISSN: 0022541X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2193/2008-435     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Abrams, P. A. 2002. Will small population size warn us of impending extinction? The American Naturalist 160:293-305.
2. Apps, C., J. Boulanger, and M. Proctor. 2005. Grizzly bear population monitoring in the central Rocky and Columbia mountains: a feasibility assessment. Prepared for Parks Canada; Mount Revelstoke and Glacier National Parks, Revelstoke, British Columbia; and Banff, Yoho and Kootenay National Parks, Lake Louise, Alberta. Aspen Wildlife Research, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
3. Barker, R., E. Cooch, and C. Schwarz. 2002. Discussion comments on: 'Approaches for the direct estimation of K and demographic contributions to K using capture-recapture data'. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:569-572.
4. Beier, L. R., S. B. Lewis, R. W. Flynnn, G. Pendleton, and T. V. Schumacher. 2005. From the field: a single-catch snare to collect brown bear hair for genetic mark-recapture studies. Wildlife Society Bulletin 33:766-773. (Pubitemid 41494883)
5. Bellemain, E., and P. Taberlet. 2004. Improved noninvasive genotyping method: application to brown bear (Ursus arctos) faeces. Molecular Ecology Notes 4:519-522. (Pubitemid 39147518)
6. Boulanger, J., S. Himmer, and C. Swan. 2004a. Monitoring of grizzly bear population trends and demography using DNA mark-recapture methods in the Owikeno Lake area of British Columbia. Canadian Journal of Zoology 82:1267-1277.
7. Boulanger, J., K. C. Kendall, J. B. Stetz, D. A. Roon, L. P. Waits, and D. Paetkau. 2008a. Multiple data sources improve DNA-based mark-recapture population estimates of grizzly bears. Ecological Applications 18:577-589.
8. Boulanger, J., G. Stenhouse, and R. Munro. 2004b. Sources of heterogeneity bias when DNA mark-recapture sampling methods are applied to grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) populations. Journal of Mammalogy 85:618-624. (Pubitemid 39115971)
9. Boulanger, J., G. C. White, B. N. McLellan, J. Woods, M. Proctor, and S. Himmer. 2002. A meta-analysis of grizzly bear DNA mark-recapture projects in British Columbia, Canada. Ursus 13:137-152.
10. Boulanger, J., G. C. White, M. Proctor, G. Stenhouse, G. Machutchon, and S. Himmer. 2008b. Use of occupancy models to estimate the influence of previous live captures on DNA-based detection probabilities of grizzly bears. Journal of Wildlife Management 72:589-595. (Pubitemid 351532529)
11. Clark, J. D., and R. Eastridge. 2006. Growth and sustainability of black bears at White River National Wildlife Refuge, Arkansas. Journal of Wildlife Management 70:1094-1101. (Pubitemid 44449680)
12. Crosbie, S. F., and B. F. J. Manly. 1985. Parsimonious modelling of capture-mark-recapture studies. Biometrics 41:385-398.
13. Dood, A. R., S. J. Atkinson, and V. Boccadori. 2006. Grizzly bear management plan for western Montana: final programmatic environmental impact statement 2006-2016. Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks, Helena, USA.
14. Dreher, B. P., S. R. Winterstein, K. T. Scribner, P. M. Lukacs, D. R. Etter, G. J. M. Rosa, V. A. Lopez, S. Libants, and K. B. Filcek. 2007. Noninvasive estimation of black bear abundance incorporating genotyp-ing errors and harvested bear. Journal of Wildlife Management 71:2684-2693.
15. Eberhardt, L. L., B. M. Blanchard, and Knight R. R. 1994. Population trend of the Yellowstone grizzly bear as estimated from reproductive and survival rate. Canadian Journal of Zoology 72:360-363. (Pubitemid 2096249)
16. Ennis, S., and T. F. Gallagher. 1994. PCR-based sex determination assay in cattle based on the bovine Amelogenin locus. Animal Genetics 25:425-427.
17. Franklin, A. B. 2001. Exploring ecological relationships in survival and estimating rates of population change using Program Mark. Pages 350-356 in R. Field, R. J. Warren, H. Pkarma, and P. R. Sievert, editors. Wildlife, land, and people: priorities for the 21st century. Proceedings of the Second International Wildlife Management Conference. The Wildlife Society, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
18. Franklin, A. B., R. J. Gutiérrez, J. D. Nichols, M. E. Seamans, G. C. White, G. S. Zimmerman, J. E. Hines, T. E. Munton, W. S. LaHaye, J. A. Blakesley, G. N. Steger, B. R. Noon, D. W. H. Shaw, J. J. Keane, T. L. McDonald, and S. Britting. 2004. Population dynamics of the California spotted owl (Strix occidentalis occidentalis): a meta-analysis. Ornithological Monograph 54:1-54.
19. Garshelis, D. L., M. L. Gibeau, and S. Herrero. 2005. Grizzly bear demographics in and around Banff National Park and Kananaskis Country, Alberta. Journal of Wildlife Management 69:277-297. (Pubitemid 40600551)
20. Gibbs, J. P. 2000. Monitoring populations. Pages 213-252 in L. Boitani and T. K. Fuller, editors. Research techniques in animal ecology. Columbia University Press, New York, New York, USA.
21. Green, G. I., and D. J. Mattson. 2003. Tree rubbing by Yellowstone grizzly bears Ursus arctos. Wildlife Biology 9:1-9.
22. Harris, R. B. 1984. Preliminary experiments on a scent-station index for grizzly bears. University of Montana, Missoula, USA.
23. Hines, J. E., and J. D. Nichols. 2002. Investigations of potential bias in the estimation of k using Pradel's (1996) model for capture-recapture data. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:573-587.
24. Huggins, R. M. 1991. Some practical aspects of a conditional likelihood approach to capture experiments. Biometrics 47:725-732.
25. Joseph, L. N., S. A. Field, C. Wilcox, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. Presence-absence versus abundance data for monitoring threatened species. Conservation Biology 20:1679-1687. (Pubitemid 44912624)
26. Karamanlidis, A. A., D. Youlatos, S. Sgardelis, and Z. Scouras. 2007. Using sign at power poles to document presence of bears in Greece. Ursus 18:54-61. (Pubitemid 46996536)
27. Kendall, K. C., J. B. Stetz, J. Boulanger, A. C. Macleod, D. Paetkau, and G. C. White. 2009. Demography and genetic structure of a recovering brown bear population. Journal of Wildlife Management 73:3-17.
28. Kendall, K. C., J. B. Stetz, D. A. Roon, L. P. Waits, J. B. Boulanger, and D. Paetkau. 2008. Grizzly Bear Density in Glacier National Park, Montana. Journal of Wildlife Management 72:1693-1705.
29. Kendall, W. L., J. D. Nichols, and J. E. Hines. 1997. Estimating temporary emigration using capture-recapture data with Pollock's robust design. Ecology 78:563-578. (Pubitemid 27352315)
30. Luikart, G., S. Zundel, D. Rioux, C. Miquel, K. A. Keating, J. T. Hogg, B. Steele, K. Foresman, and P. Taberlet. 2008. Low genotyping error rates and noninvasive sampling in bighorn sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management 72:299-304. (Pubitemid 351171977)
31. Mace, R. 2005. Interagency population monitoring plan for grizzly bears in the Northern Continental Divide ecosystem, Montana. Montana Department Fish, Wildlife and Parks, Kalispell, USA.
32. Mace, R., and T. Chilton. 2007. Northern Continental Divide ecosystem grizzly bear monitoring team annual report-2006. Montana Department Fish, Wildlife and Parks, Kalispell, USA.
33. Mace, R., S. C. Minta, T. L. Manley, and K. E. Aune. 1994. Estimating grizzly bear population size using camera sightings. Wildlife Society Bulletin 22:74-83. (Pubitemid 2080808)
34. Mace, R., and J. S. Waller. 1998. Demography and population trend of grizzly bears in the Swan Mountains, Montana. Conservation Biology 12:1005-1016. (Pubitemid 28476450)
35. Nichols, J. D., and J. E. Hines. 2002. Approaches for the direct estimation of K, and demographic contributions to K, using capture-recapture data. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:539-568. (Pubitemid 34088931)
36. Nichols, J. D., and B. K. Williams. 2006. Monitoring for conservation. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 21:668-673.
37. Otis, D. L., K. P. Burnham, G. C. White, and D. R. Anderson. 1978. Statistical inference from capture data on closed animal populations. Wildlife Monographs 62.
38. Paetkau, D. 2003. An empirical exploration of data quality in DNA-based population inventories. Molecular Ecology 12:1375-1387. (Pubitemid 36708446)
39. Paetkau, D., W. Calvert, I. Stirling, and C. Strobeck. 1995. Microsatellite analysis of population structure in Canadian polar bears. Molecular Ecology 4:347-354.
40. Pledger, S. 2000. Unified maximum likelihood estimates for closed capture-recapture models using mixtures. Biometrics 56:434-442. (Pubitemid 30422633)
41. Pollock, K. H., J. D. Nichols, T. R. Simons, G. L. Farnsworth, L. L. Bailey, and J. R. Sauer. 2002. Large scale wildlife monitoring studies: statistical methods for design and analysis. Environmetrics 13:105-119.
42. Pradel, R. 1996. Utilization of capture-mark-recapture for the study of recruitment and population growth rate. Biometrics 52:703-709. (Pubitemid 27177873)
43. Proctor, M. F., B. McLellan, and C. Strobeck. 2002. Population fragmentation of grizzly bears in southeastern British Columbia, Canada. Ursus 13:153-160.
44. Proctor, M. F., B. N. McLellan, C. Strobeck, and R. M. R. Barclay. 2005. Genetic analysis reveals demographic fragmentation of grizzly bears yielding vulnerably small populations. Proceedings of the Royal Society Biology 272:2409-2416. (Pubitemid 41579368)
45. Roon, D. A., L. P. Waits, and K. C. Kendall. 2005. A simulation test of the effectiveness of several methods for error-checking non-invasive genetic data. Animal Conservation 8:203-215.
46. Sandercock, B. K., and S. R. Beissinger. 2002. Estimating rates of population change for a neotropical parrot with ratio, mark-recapture and matrix methods. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:589-607.
47. Schwartz, M. K., G. Luikart, and R. S. Waples. 2007. Genetic monitoring as a promising tool for conservation and management. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 22:25-33. (Pubitemid 44959168)
48. Servheen, C., R. Mace, R. Harris, W. Kasworm, W. Wakkinen, B. McLellan, D. Carney, A. Sokkalla, T. Wittinger, J. Waller, F. Hovey, S. Gniadek, K. Kendall, and T. Manley. 1996. Report on methods to determine population size and rate of change for grizzly bears at the ecosystem scale. Report to Interagency Grizzly Bear Committee. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Forestry Sciences Lab, Missoula, Montana, USA.
49. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service [USFWS]. 1993. Grizzly bear recovery plan. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Missoula, Montana, USA.
50. White, G. C. 2008. Closed population estimation models and their extensions in Program MARK. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 15:89-99.
51. White, G. C., and K. P. Burnham. 1999. Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study Supplement 46:120-138.
52. Williams, B., J. Nichols, and M. Conroy. 2002. Analysis and management of animal populations. Academic Press, San Diego, California, USA.
53. Woods, J. G., D. Paetkau, D. Lewis, B. N. McLellan, M. Proctor, and C. Strobeck. 1999. Genetic tagging of free-ranging black and brown bears. Wildlife Society Bulletin 27:616-627. (Pubitemid 30008019)