메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 24, Issue 5, 2009, Pages 1431-1451

Deterministic ensemble forecasts using gene-expression programming

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ENSEMBLE AVERAGES; ENSEMBLE FORECASTS; ENSEMBLE MEMBERS; FITNESS FUNCTIONS; FORECAST DATES; HORIZONTAL GRID SPACING; MULTI-GRID; MULTI-MODEL; NATURAL SELECTION; NONLINEAR COMBINATION; NWP MODEL; RAINY SEASONS; SPARSE SAMPLING; SYMBOLIC REGRESSION; WEATHER STATIONS;

EID: 74549124223     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222192.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (38)

References (49)
  • 2
    • 0344705194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Canadian MC2: A semi-Lagrangian, semi-implicit wideband atmospheric model suited for finescale process studies and simulation
    • Benoit, R., M. Desgagne, P. Pellerin, S. Pellerin, and Y. Chartier, 1997: The Canadian MC2: A semi-Lagrangian, semi-implicit wideband atmospheric model suited for finescale process studies and simulation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 2383-2415.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 2383-2415
    • Benoit, R.1    Desgagne, M.2    Pellerin, P.3    Pellerin, S.4    Chartier, Y.5
  • 4
    • 65349098924 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic multisite precipitation downscaling by an expanded Bernoulli-gamma density network
    • Cannon, A. J., 2008: Probabilistic multisite precipitation downscaling by an expanded Bernoulli-gamma density network. J. Hydrometeor., 9, 1284-1300.
    • (2008) J. Hydrometeor. , vol.9 , pp. 1284-1300
    • Cannon, A.J.1
  • 5
    • 74549151036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification of extratropical cyclones within the NCEP operational models Part II: The Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system
    • Charles, M. E., and B. A. Colle, 2009: Verification of extratropical cyclones within the NCEP operational models. Part II: The Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1191-1214.
    • (2009) Wea. Forecasting , vol.24 , pp. 1191-1214
    • Charles, M.E.1    Colle, B.A.2
  • 6
    • 38849209866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strengths and weaknesses of MOS, running-mean bias removal, and Kalman filter techniques for improving model forecasts over the western United States
    • Cheng, W. Y. Y., and W. J. Steenburgh, 2007: Strengths and weaknesses of MOS, running-mean bias removal, and Kalman filter techniques for improving model forecasts over the western United States. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1304-1318.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1304-1318
    • Cheng, W.Y.Y.1    Steenburgh, W.J.2
  • 9
    • 33646368683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD006311
    • Delle Monache, L., T. Nipen, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, and R. Stull, 2006: Ozone ensemble forecasts: 2. A Kalman filter predictor bias correction. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05308, doi:10.1029/2005JD006311.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.111
    • Delle Monache, L.1    Nipen, T.2    Deng, X.3    Zhou, Y.4    Stull, R.5
  • 10
    • 23144455758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting
    • Eckel, F. A., and C. F. Mass, 2005: Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 328-350.
    • (2005) Wea. Forecasting , vol.20 , pp. 328-350
    • Eckel, F.A.1    Mass, C.F.2
  • 11
    • 74549158467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ECMWF, cited, WG 3 Workshop on Ensemble Prediction Working Group 3 Rep., ECMWF, 6 pp. [Available online at]
    • ECMWF, cited 2008: WG 3: Verification and applications of ensemble forecasts. Workshop on Ensemble Prediction Working Group 3 Rep., ECMWF, 6 pp. [Available online at http://www. ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2007/ensemble_ prediction/wg3.pdf.]
    • (2008) Verification and applications of ensemble forecasts
  • 12
    • 0347499408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gene expression programming: A new adaptive algorithm for solving problems
    • Ferreira, C., 2001: Gene expression programming: A new adaptive algorithm for solving problems. Complex Systems, 13, 87-129.
    • (2001) Complex Systems , vol.13 , pp. 87-129
    • Ferreira, C.1
  • 14
    • 74549181212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 4.0: Modeling made easy. [Available online at]
    • 4.0: Modeling made easy. [Available online at http://www.gepsoft.com.]
    • (2008)
    • Ferreira, C.1
  • 15
    • 38849101652 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative analysis of the local observationbased (LOB) method and the nonparametric regression-based method for gridded bias correction in mesoscale weather forecasting
    • Gel, Y. R., 2007: Comparative analysis of the local observationbased (LOB) method and the nonparametric regression-based method for gridded bias correction in mesoscale weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1243-1256.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1243-1256
    • Gel, Y.R.1
  • 17
    • 0004066241 scopus 로고
    • A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5)
    • TN-3981STR
    • Grell, G., J. Dudhia, and D. R. Stauffer, 1994: A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5). NCAR Tech. Rep. TN-3981STR, 121 pp.
    • (1994) NCAR Tech. Rep. , pp. 121
    • Grell, G.1    Dudhia, J.2    Stauffer, D.R.3
  • 18
    • 27544454120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantitative precipitation forecasting of wintertime storms in the Sierra Nevada: Sensitivity to the microphysical parameterization and horizontal resolution
    • Grubisic, V., R. K. Vellore, and A. W. Huggins, 2005: Quantitative precipitation forecasting of wintertime storms in the Sierra Nevada: Sensitivity to the microphysical parameterization and horizontal resolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2834-2859.
    • (2005) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.133 , pp. 2834-2859
    • Grubisic, V.1    Vellore, R.K.2    Huggins, A.W.3
  • 19
    • 38849150984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A practical approach to sequential estimation of systematic error on near-surface mesoscale grids
    • Hacker, J., and D. L. Rife, 2007: A practical approach to sequential estimation of systematic error on near-surface mesoscale grids. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1257-1273.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1257-1273
    • Hacker, J.1    Rife, D.L.2
  • 20
    • 0002897679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts
    • Hamill, T. M., and S. J. Colucci, 1997: Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 1312-1327.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 1312-1327
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Colucci, S.J.2
  • 22
    • 38849206836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A fuzzy-logic based analog forecasting system for ceiling and visibility
    • Hansen, B., 2007: A fuzzy-logic based analog forecasting system for ceiling and visibility. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1319-1330.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1319-1330
    • Hansen, B.1
  • 24
    • 33947256082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecast system over the northeast United States
    • Jones, M. S., B. A. Colle, and J. S. Tongue, 2007: Evaluation of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecast system over the northeast United States. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 36-55.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 36-55
    • Jones, M.S.1    Colle, B.A.2    Tongue, J.S.3
  • 30
    • 0038668776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evolutionary origin of complex features
    • Lenski, R. E., C. Ofria, R. T. Pennock, and C. Adami, 2003: The evolutionary origin of complex features. Nature, 423, 139-144.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.423 , pp. 139-144
    • Lenski, R.E.1    Ofria, C.2    Pennock, R.T.3    Adami, C.4
  • 31
    • 41949131229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrometeorological accuracy enhancement via postprocessing of numerical weather forecasts in complex terrain
    • McCollor, D., and R. Stull, 2008a: Hydrometeorological accuracy enhancement via postprocessing of numerical weather forecasts in complex terrain. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 131-144.
    • (2008) Wea. Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 131-144
    • McCollor, D.1    Stull, R.2
  • 32
    • 54749120536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrometeorological short-range ensemble forecasts in complex terrain Part I: Meteorological evaluation
    • McCollor, D, and R. Stull, 2008b: Hydrometeorological short-range ensemble forecasts in complex terrain. Part I: Meteorological evaluation. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 533-556.
    • (2008) Wea. Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 533-556
    • McCollor, D.1    Stull, R.2
  • 33
    • 54749100843 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrometeorological short-range ensemble forecasts in complex terrain Part II: Economic evaluation
    • McCollor, D, and R. Stull, 2008c: Hydrometeorological short-range ensemble forecasts in complex terrain. Part II: Economic evaluation. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 557-574.
    • (2008) Wea. Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 557-574
    • McCollor, D.1    Stull, R.2
  • 34
    • 65849302861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of probabilistic medium-range temperature forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System
    • McCollor, D, and R. Stull, 2009: Evaluation of probabilistic medium-range temperature forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 3-17.
    • (2009) Wea. Forecasting , vol.24 , pp. 3-17
    • McCollor, D.1    Stull, R.2
  • 36
    • 20444497873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles
    • Raftery, A. E., T. Gneiting, F. Balabdaoui, and M. Polakowski, 2005: Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1155-1174.
    • (2005) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.133 , pp. 1155-1174
    • Raftery, A.E.1    Gneiting, T.2    Balabdaoui, F.3    Polakowski, M.4
  • 37
    • 0034052601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    • Richardson, D. S., 2000: Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 649-667.
    • (2000) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.126 , pp. 649-667
    • Richardson, D.S.1
  • 39
    • 0030455490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gridpoint predictions of high temperature from a mesoscale model
    • Stensrud, D. J., and J. A. Skindlov, 1996: Gridpoint predictions of high temperature from a mesoscale model. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 103-110.
    • (1996) Wea. Forecasting , vol.11 , pp. 103-110
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Skindlov, J.A.2
  • 40
    • 0242415326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England
    • Stensrud, D. J, and N. Yussouf, 2003: Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2510-2524.
    • (2003) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.131 , pp. 2510-2524
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Yussouf, N.2
  • 41
    • 27644470645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near-surface variables
    • Stensrud, D. J, and N. Yussouf, 2005: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near-surface variables. Meteor. Appl., 12, 217-230.
    • (2005) Meteor. Appl. , vol.12 , pp. 217-230
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Yussouf, N.2
  • 42
    • 33947269252 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system
    • Stensrud, D. J, and N. Yussouf, 2007: Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 3-17.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 3-17
    • Stensrud, D.J.1    Yussouf, N.2
  • 45
    • 14744298129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operational consensus forecasts
    • Woodcock, F., and C. Engel, 2005: Operational consensus forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 101-111.
    • (2005) Wea. Forecasting , vol.20 , pp. 101-111
    • Woodcock, F.1    Engel, C.2
  • 46
    • 38849171706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibration of probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts with an artificial neural network
    • Yuan, H., X. Gao, S. L. Mullen, S. Sorooshian, J. Du, and H.-M. H. Juang, 2007: Calibration of probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts with an artificial neural network. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1287-1303.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1287-1303
    • Yuan, H.1    Gao, X.2    Mullen, S.L.3    Sorooshian, S.4    Du, J.5    Juang, H.-M.H.6
  • 47
    • 33845443334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of near-surface variables at independent locations from a bias-corrected ensemble forecasting system
    • Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2006: Prediction of near-surface variables at independent locations from a bias-corrected ensemble forecasting system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3415-3424.
    • (2006) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.134 , pp. 3415-3424
    • Yussouf, N.1    Stensrud, D.J.2
  • 48
    • 38849084629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near-surface variables during the 2005/06 cool season
    • Yussouf, N., and D. J. Stensrud, 2007: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near-surface variables during the 2005/06 cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1274-1286.
    • (2007) Wea. Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 1274-1286
    • Yussouf, N.1    Stensrud, D.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.