메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 135, Issue 643, 2009, Pages 1471-1483

Real-time localised forecasting of the Madden-Julian Oscillation using neural network models

Author keywords

MJO; OLR; Principal components; Statistical forecasting

Indexed keywords

ARABIAN SEA; BAY OF BENGAL; EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION; FINITE NUMBER; FORECAST MODEL; HIGHER ORDER; LEADTIME; LONG-WAVE RADIATION; LOW ORDER; MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION; MJO; NEURAL NETWORK MODEL; OLR; PARAMETRISATION; PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS; REAL TIME; REGIONAL GOVERNMENT; SOUTH CHINA SEA; STATISTICAL FORECASTING; WESTERN PACIFIC;

EID: 70349596945     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.463     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (17)

References (29)
  • 2
    • 0035192917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Active/break cycles: Diagnosis of the intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon
    • Annamalai H, Slingo JM. 2001. Active/break cycles: Diagnosis of the intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon. Climate Dyn. 18: 85-102.
    • (2001) Climate Dyn. , vol.18 , pp. 85-102
    • Annamalai, H.1    Slingo, J.M.2
  • 4
    • 0024861871 scopus 로고
    • Approximation by superpositions of a sigmoidal function
    • Cybenko G. 1989. Approximation by superpositions of a sigmoidal function. Math. Control Signal Syst. 2: 303-314.
    • (1989) Math. Control Signal Syst. , vol.2 , pp. 303-314
    • Cybenko, G.1
  • 5
    • 0025671498 scopus 로고
    • Tropical-extratropical interaction associated with the 30-60-day oscillation and its impact on medium- and extended-range prediction
    • Ferranti L, Palmer TN, Molteni F, Klinker K. 1990. Tropical-extratropical interaction associated with the 30-60-day oscillation and its impact on medium- and extended-range prediction. J. Atmos. Sci. 47: 2177-2199.
    • (1990) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.47 , pp. 2177-2199
    • Ferranti, L.1    Palmer, T.N.2    Molteni, F.3    Klinker, K.4
  • 7
    • 0034066983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Medium range forecast errors associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian oscillation
    • Hendon HH, Liebmann B, Newman M, Glick JD, Schemm J. 2000. Medium range forecast errors associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Mon. Weather Rev. 128: 69-86.
    • (2000) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.128 , pp. 69-86
    • Hendon, H.H.1    Liebmann, B.2    Newman, M.3    Glick, J.D.4    Schemm, J.5
  • 9
    • 0034023181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction skill of the Madden-Julian oscillation in dynamical extended range forecasts
    • Jones C, Waliser DE, Schemm JK, Lau WK. 2000. Prediction skill of the Madden-Julian oscillation in dynamical extended range forecasts. Climate Dyn. 16: 273-289.
    • (2000) Climate Dyn. , vol.16 , pp. 273-289
    • Jones, C.1    Waliser, D.E.2    Schemm, J.K.3    Lau, W.K.4
  • 10
  • 11
    • 0025447562 scopus 로고
    • A simple procedure for pruning back-propagation trained neural networks
    • Karnin ED. 1990. A simple procedure for pruning back-propagation trained neural networks. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks 1(2): 239-242.
    • (1990) IEEE Trans. Neural Networks , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 239-242
    • Karnin, E.D.1
  • 12
    • 0035385372 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EOF representations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its connection with ENSO
    • Kessler WS. 2001. EOF representations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its connection with ENSO. J. Climate 14: 3055-3061.
    • (2001) J. Climate , vol.14 , pp. 3055-3061
    • Kessler, W.S.1
  • 13
    • 57149131412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical prediction of weekly tropical cyclone activity in the southern hemisphere
    • Leroy A, Wheeler MC. 2008. Statistical prediction of weekly tropical cyclone activity in the southern hemisphere. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 3637-3654.
    • (2008) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 3637-3654
    • Leroy, A.1    Wheeler, M.C.2
  • 14
    • 0001600664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Description of a complete (interpolated) OLR dataset
    • Liebmann B, Smith CA. 1996. Description of a complete (interpolated) OLR dataset. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 77: 1275-1277.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 1275-1277
    • Liebmann, B.1    Smith, C.A.2
  • 15
    • 0033824267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical extended-range prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation
    • Lo F, Hendon HH. 2000. Empirical extended-range prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Mon. Weather Rev. 128: 2528-2543.
    • (2000) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.128 , pp. 2528-2543
    • Lo, F.1    Hendon, H.H.2
  • 16
    • 56349130695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Real-time extraction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation using empirical mode decomposition and statistical forecasting with a VARMA model
    • Love BS, Matthews AJ, Janacek GJ. 2008. Real-time extraction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation using empirical mode decomposition and statistical forecasting with a VARMA model. J. Climate 21: 5318-5335.
    • (2008) J. Climate , vol.21 , pp. 5318-5335
    • Love, B.S.1    Matthews, A.J.2    Janacek, G.J.3
  • 17
    • 0028571920 scopus 로고
    • Observations of the 40-50-day tropical oscillation - A review
    • Madden RA, Julian PR. 1994. Observations of the 40-50-day tropical oscillation - A review. Mon. Weather Rev. 122: 814-837.
    • (1994) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.122 , pp. 814-837
    • Madden, R.A.1    Julian, P.R.2
  • 18
    • 44349193338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Primary and successive events in the Madden-Julian oscillation
    • Matthews AJ. 2008. Primary and successive events in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 439-453.
    • (2008) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.134 , pp. 439-453
    • Matthews, A.J.1
  • 19
    • 0033548168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Genesis and evolution of the 1997-98
    • McPhaden MJ. 1999. Genesis and evolution of the 1997-98 El Niño. Science 283: 950-954.
    • (1999) El Niño. Science , vol.283 , pp. 950-954
    • McPhaden, M.J.1
  • 21
    • 0022471098 scopus 로고
    • Learning representations by back-propagating errors
    • Rumelhart DE, Hinton GE, Williams RJ. 1986a. Learning representations by back-propagating errors. Nature 323: 533-536.
    • (1986) Nature , vol.323 , pp. 533-536
    • Rumelhart, D.E.1    Hinton, G.E.2    Williams, R.J.3
  • 22
    • 0000646059 scopus 로고
    • Learning internal representations by error propagation
    • Chapter 8, Rumelhart DE, McClelland JL. (eds.) MIT Press: Cambridge, Mass
    • Rumelhart DE, Hinton GE, Williams RJ. 1986b. Learning internal representations by error propagation. Chapter 8 in Parallel Distributed Processing 1. Rumelhart DE, McClelland JL. (eds.) MIT Press: Cambridge, Mass.
    • (1986) Parallel Distributed Processing 1
    • Rumelhart, D.E.1    Hinton, G.E.2    Williams, R.J.3
  • 23
    • 0000512115 scopus 로고
    • Intraseasonal behaviour of clouds, temperature, and motion in the tropics
    • Salby ML, Hendon HH. 1994. Intraseasonal behaviour of clouds, temperature, and motion in the tropics. J. Atmos. Sci. 51: 2207-2224.
    • (1994) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.51 , pp. 2207-2224
    • Salby, M.L.1    Hendon, H.H.2
  • 25
    • 0032734744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A statistical extended-range tropical forecast model based on the slow evolution of the Madden-Julian oscillation
    • Waliser DE, Jones C, Schemm JK, Graham NE. 1999. A statistical extended-range tropical forecast model based on the slow evolution of the Madden-Julian oscillation. J. Climate 12: 1918-1939.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 1918-1939
    • Waliser, D.E.1    Jones, C.2    Schemm, J.K.3    Graham, N.E.4
  • 26
    • 2942673326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction
    • Wheeler M, Hendon HH. 2004. An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction. Mon. Weather Rev. 132: 1917-1932.
    • (2004) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 1917-1932
    • Wheeler, M.1    Hendon, H.H.2
  • 28
    • 33947224726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of the ocean in the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Implications for MJO prediction
    • Woolnough SJ, Vitart F, Balmaseda MA. 2007. The role of the ocean in the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Implications for MJO prediction. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 117-128.
    • (2007) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.133 , pp. 117-128
    • Woolnough, S.J.1    Vitart, F.2    Balmaseda, M.A.3
  • 29
    • 23644435616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Madden-Julian Oscillation
    • RG2003, DOI: 10.1029/2004RG000158
    • Zhang C. 2005. Madden-Julian Oscillation. Rev. Geophys. 43: RG2003, DOI: 10.1029/2004RG000158.
    • (2005) Rev. Geophys. , vol.43
    • Zhang, C.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.