The role of large environmental noise in masting: General model and example from pistachio trees

Journal of Theoretical Biology

Volumn 259, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 701-713

  Lyles, Danielle ^a   Rosenstock, Todd S ^a   Hastings, Alan ^a   Brown, Patrick H ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Alternate bearing; Moran; Nonlinear; Regional stochasticity; Synchronize

Indexed keywords

ECOSYSTEM RESPONSE; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECT; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; MASTING; NOISE; NUMERICAL MODEL; ORCHARD; POPULATION GROWTH; REPRODUCTION; STOCHASTICITY; TESTING METHOD; TREE;

ARTICLE; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; NOISE; NONHUMAN; PISTACHIO; PLANT REPRODUCTION; PLANT YIELD; POLLEN; PRIORITY JOURNAL; TREE;

ECOSYSTEM; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; PISTACIA; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; TREES;

PISTACIA VERA;

EID: 67650762520     PISSN: 00225193     EISSN: 10958541     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.04.015     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Anderson R.M., and May R.M. Directly transmitted infectious diseases: control by vaccination. Science 215 4536 (1982) 1053-1060
2. Bartlett M.S. Measles periodicity and community size. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. 120 1 (1957) 48-70
3. Crane J., and Nelson M.M. The unusual mechanism of alternate bearing in the pistachio. HortScience 6 5 (1971) 489-490
4. Crone E.E., Polansky L., and Lesica P. Empirical models of pollen limitation, resource acquisition, and mast seeding by a bee-pollinated wildflower. Am. Nat. 166 3 (2005) 396-408
5. Hudson P.J., and Cattadori I.M. The Moran effect: a cause of population synchrony. Trends Ecol. Evol. 14 1 (1999) 1-2
6. Isagi Y., Sugimura K., Sumida A., and Ito H. How does masting happen and synchronize?. J. Theor. Biol. 187 (1997) 231-239
7. Iwasa Y., and Satake A. Mechanisms inducing spatially extended synchrony in mast seeding: the role of pollen coupling and environmental fluctuation. Ecol. Res. 19 (2004) 13-20
8. Janzen D.H. Seed predation by animals. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 2 (1971) 465-492
9. Johnson R.S., and Weinbaum S.A. Variation in tree size, cropping efficiency, and alternate bearing among Kerman pistachio trees. J. Am. Soc. Hort. Sci. 112 6 (1987) 942-945
10. Kaitala V., Ranta E., and Lindström J. Cyclic population dynamics and random perturbations. J. Anim. Ecol. 65 (1996) 249-251
11. Kanber R., Yazar A., Önder S., and Köksal H. Irrigation response of pistachio (Pistacia vera l.). Irrigation Sci. 14 (1993) 7-14
12. Kelly D. The evolutionary ecology of mast seeding. TREE 9 12 (1994) 465-470
13. Kelly D., and Sork V.L. Mast seeding in perennial plants: why, how, where?. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 33 (2002) 427-447
14. Knapp E.E., Goedde M.A., and Rice K.J. Pollen-limited reproduction in blue oak: implications for wind pollination in fragmented populations. Oecologia 128 (2001) 48-55
15. Knops J.M., Koenig W.D., and Carmen W.J. Negative correlation does not imply a tradeoff between growth and reproduction in California oaks. PNAS 104 43 (2007) 16982-16985
16. Koenig W.D., and Knops J.M. Scale of mast-seeding and tree-ring growth. Nature 396 (1998) 225-226
17. Kon H., and Noda T. Experimental investigation on weather cues for mast seeding of Fagus crenata. Ecol. Res. 22 (2007) 802-806
18. Kon H., Noda T., Terazawa K., Koyama H., and Yasaka M. Proximate factors causing mast seeding in Fagus crenata: the effects of resource level and weather cues. Can. J. Bot. 83 (2005) 1402-1409
19. Lamontagne J.M., and Boutin S. Local-scale synchrony and variability in mast seed production patterns of Picea glauca. J. Ecol. 95 5 (2007) 991-1000
20. Lande R., Engen S., and Saether B.E. Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation (2003), Oxford University Press, Oxford (ISBN:0198525249)
21. Lewontin R.C., and Cohen D. On population growth in a randomly varying environment. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 62 4 (1969) 1056-1060
22. Liebhold A., Koenig W.D., and Bjørnstad O.N. Spatial synchrony in population dynamics. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 35 (2004) 467-490
23. Maritan A., and Banavar J.R. Chaos, noise, and synchronization. Phys. Rev. Lett. 72 10 (1994) 1451-1454
24. Moran P. The statistical analysis of the Canadian lynx cycle ii: synchronization and meteorology. Aus. J. Zool. 1 (1953) 291-298
25. Nisbet R.M., and Gurney W.S. A simple mechanism for population cycles. Nature 263 (1976) 319-320
26. Nisbet R.M., and Gurney W.S. Modelling Fluctuating Populations (2004), The Blackburn Press (ISBN:1930665903)
27. Ostfeld R.S., and Keesing F. Pulsed resources and consumer community dynamics in terrestrial ecosystems. Trends Ecol. Evol. 15 6 (2000) 232-237
28. Pías B., and Guitián P. Breeding system and pollen limitation in the masting tree Sorbus aucuparia l. (rosaceae) in the NW Iberian peninsula. Acta Oecol. 29 (2006) 97-103
29. Pikovsky A.S. Statistics of trajectory separation in noisy dynamical systems. Phys. Lett. A 165 (1992) 33-36
30. Pikovsky A.S. Comment on "chaos, noise, and synchronization". Phys. Rev. Lett. 73 21 (1994) 2931
31. Piovesan G., and Adams J.M. Masting behaviour in beech: linking reproduction and climatic variation. Can. J. Bot. 79 (2001) 1039-1047
32. Post E. Large-scale climate synchronizes the timing of flowering by multiple species. Ecology 84 2 (2003) 277-281
33. Potts G.R., Tapper S.C., and Hudson P.J. Population fluctuations in red grouse: analysis of bag records and a simulation model. J. Anim. Ecol. 53 (1984) 21-36
34. Ranta H., Hokkanen T., Linkosalo T., Laukkanen L., Bondestam K., and Oksanen A. Male flowering of birch: spatial synchronization, year-to-year variation and relation of catkin numbers and airborne pollen counts. Forest Ecol. Manag. 255 (2008) 643-650
35. Ranta H., Oksanen A., Hokkanen T., Bondestam K., and Heino S. Masting by betula-species: applying the resource budget model to North European data sets. Int. J. Biometeorol. 49 (2005) 146-151
36. Ranta H., and Satri P. Synchronized inter-annual fluctuation of flowering intensity affects the exposure to allergenic tree pollen in North Europe. Grana 46 4 (2007) 274-284
37. Rees M., Kelly D., and Bjornstad O.N. Snow tussocks, chaos, and the evolution of mast seeding. Am. Nat. 160 1 (2002) 44-59
38. Satake A., and Iwasa Y. Pollen coupling of forest trees: forming synchronized and periodic reproduction out of chaos. J. Theor. Biol. 203 (2000) 63-84
39. Satake A., and Iwasa Y. Spatially limited pollen exchange and a long-range synchronization of trees. Ecology 83 4 (2002) 993-1005
40. Satake A., and Iwasa Y. The synchronized and intermittent reproduction of forest trees is mediated by the Moran effect, only in association with pollen coupling. J. Ecol. 90 (2002) 830-838
41. Schauber E.M., Kelly D., Turchin P., Simon C., Lee W.G., Allen R.B., Payton I.J., Wilson P.R., Cowan P.E., and Brockie R.E. Masting by eighteen New Zealand plant species: the role of temperature as a synchronizing cue. Ecology 83 5 (2002) 1214-1225
42. Selȧs V. Seed production of a masting dwarf shrub, Vaccinium myrtillus, in relation to previous reproduction and weather. Can. J. Bot. 78 (2000) 423-429
43. Stevenson M.T., and Shackel K.A. Alternate bearing in pistachio as a masting phenomenon: construction cost of reproduction versus vegetative growth and storage. J. Am. Soc. Hort. Sci. 123 6 (1998) 1069-1075
44. Tackenberg O., Poschlod P., and Bonn S. Assessment of wind dispersal potential in plant species. Ecol. Monogr. 73 2 (2003) 191-205
45. Tuljapurkar S. Population Dynamics in Variable Environments (1990), Springer, Berlin (ISBN:0387524827)
46. Tuljapurkar S., Horvitz C.C., and Pascarella J.B. The many growth rates and elasticities of populations in random environments. Am. Nat. 162 (2003) 489-502
47. Vaknin Y. Effects of immaturity on productivity and nut quality in pistachio (pistacia vera l.). J. Hort. Sci. Biotechnol. 81 4 (2006) 593-598
48. Vaknin Y., Gan-Mor S., Bechar A., Ronen B., and Eisikowitch D. Effects of supplementary pollination on cropping success and fruit quality in pistachio. Plant Breeding 121 (2002) 451-455
49. Vander Wall S.B. The evolutionary ecology of nut dispersal. Bot. Rev. 67 1 (2001) 74-117