메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 1, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 21-34

Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: The example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; DISEASE PREDISPOSITION; EPIDEMIC; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE; INFECTION; LIVESTOCK; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RETROSPECTIVE STUDY; UNITED KINGDOM;

EID: 63149132207     PISSN: 17554365     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2008.09.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (53)

References (28)
  • 1
    • 0038523890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clinical and laboratory investigations of five outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease during the 2001 epidemic in the United Kingdom.
    • Alexandersen S., Kitching R.P., et al. Clinical and laboratory investigations of five outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease during the 2001 epidemic in the United Kingdom. Vet. Rec. 152 16 (2003) 489-496
    • (2003) Vet. Rec. , vol.152 , Issue.16 , pp. 489-496
    • Alexandersen, S.1    Kitching, R.P.2
  • 2
    • 0042805199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The pathogenesis and diagnosis of foot-and-mouth disease.
    • Alexandersen S., Zhang Z., et al. The pathogenesis and diagnosis of foot-and-mouth disease. J. Comp. Pathol. 129 1 (2003) 1-36
    • (2003) J. Comp. Pathol. , vol.129 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-36
    • Alexandersen, S.1    Zhang, Z.2
  • 3
    • 0442325064 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission of pneumococcal carriage in families: a latent Markov process model for binary longitudinal data.
    • Auranen K., Arjas E., et al. Transmission of pneumococcal carriage in families: a latent Markov process model for binary longitudinal data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 95 452 (2000) 1044-1053
    • (2000) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.95 , Issue.452 , pp. 1044-1053
    • Auranen, K.1    Arjas, E.2
  • 4
    • 0035995099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in populations with random social structure.
    • Britton T., and O'Neill P.D. Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in populations with random social structure. Scand. J. Statist. 29 3 (2002) 375-390
    • (2002) Scand. J. Statist. , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 375-390
    • Britton, T.1    O'Neill, P.D.2
  • 5
    • 0141688093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient construction of reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo proposal distributions.
    • Brooks S.P., Giudici P., et al. Efficient construction of reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo proposal distributions. J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 65 (2003) 3-39
    • (2003) J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. B Stat. Methodol. , vol.65 , pp. 3-39
    • Brooks, S.P.1    Giudici, P.2
  • 6
    • 33748878361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating heterogeneity in pneumococcal transmission: a Bayesian-MCMC approach applied to a follow-up of schools.
    • Cauchemez S., Temime L., et al. Investigating heterogeneity in pneumococcal transmission: a Bayesian-MCMC approach applied to a follow-up of schools. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 101 475 (2006) 946-958
    • (2006) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.101 , Issue.475 , pp. 946-958
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Temime, L.2
  • 7
    • 42049099048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data.
    • Cauchemez S., Valleron A.J., et al. Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data. Nature 452 7188 (2008) 750-754
    • (2008) Nature , vol.452 , Issue.7188 , pp. 750-754
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Valleron, A.J.2
  • 8
    • 70450277983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deviance information criteria for missing data models.
    • Celeux G., Forbes F., et al. Deviance information criteria for missing data models. Bayesian Analysis 1 4 (2006) 651-674
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , Issue.4 , pp. 651-674
    • Celeux, G.1    Forbes, F.2
  • 9
    • 77951637863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain.
    • Chis Ster I. Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. PLoS ONE 2 6 (2007) e502
    • (2007) PLoS ONE , vol.2 , Issue.6
    • Chis Ster, I.1
  • 10
    • 49949108143 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics.
    • Cook A.R., Gibson G.J., et al. Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 5 27 (2008) 1203-1213
    • (2008) Journal of the Royal Society Interface , vol.5 , Issue.27 , pp. 1203-1213
    • Cook, A.R.1    Gibson, G.J.2
  • 11
    • 33746415216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatio-temporal point processes, partial likelihood, foot and mouth disease.
    • Diggle P.J. Spatio-temporal point processes, partial likelihood, foot and mouth disease. Stat. Methods Med. Res. 15 4 (2006) 325-336
    • (2006) Stat. Methods Med. Res. , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 325-336
    • Diggle, P.J.1
  • 12
    • 0035843902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions.
    • Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., et al. The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions. Science 292 5519 (2001) 1155-1160
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , Issue.5519 , pp. 1155-1160
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2
  • 13
    • 0035807295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain.
    • Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., et al. Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413 6855 (2001) 542-548
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , Issue.6855 , pp. 542-548
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2
  • 14
    • 0031780720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating parameters in stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain methods.
    • Gibson G.J., and Renshaw E. Estimating parameters in stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain methods. IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 15 1 (1998) 19-40
    • (1998) IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-40
    • Gibson, G.J.1    Renshaw, E.2
  • 15
    • 77956889087 scopus 로고
    • Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination.
    • Green P.J. Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo computation and Bayesian model determination. Biometrika 82 4 (1995) 711-732
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , Issue.4 , pp. 711-732
    • Green, P.J.1
  • 16
    • 77956890234 scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo sampling using Markov chains and their applications.
    • Hastings W.K. Monte Carlo sampling using Markov chains and their applications. Biometrika 57 (1970) 97-109
    • (1970) Biometrika , vol.57 , pp. 97-109
    • Hastings, W.K.1
  • 17
    • 0037460207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak.
    • Haydon D.T., Chase-Topping M., et al. The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak. Proc. R. Soc. Lond., B Biol. Sci. 270 1511 (2003) 121-127
    • (2003) Proc. R. Soc. Lond., B Biol. Sci. , vol.270 , Issue.1511 , pp. 121-127
    • Haydon, D.T.1    Chase-Topping, M.2
  • 18
    • 4344701248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak - the aftermath.
    • Haydon D.T., Kao R.R., et al. The UK foot-and-mouth disease outbreak - the aftermath. Nat. Rev., Microbiol. 2 8 (2004) 675-681
    • (2004) Nat. Rev., Microbiol. , vol.2 , Issue.8 , pp. 675-681
    • Haydon, D.T.1    Kao, R.R.2
  • 19
    • 0036603649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of mathematical modelling in the control of the 2001 FMD epidemic in the UK.
    • Kao R.R. The role of mathematical modelling in the control of the 2001 FMD epidemic in the UK. Trends Microbiol. 10 6 (2002) 279-286
    • (2002) Trends Microbiol. , vol.10 , Issue.6 , pp. 279-286
    • Kao, R.R.1
  • 20
    • 0035955427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape.
    • Keeling M.J., Woolhouse M.E.J., et al. Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Science 294 5543 (2001) 813-817
    • (2001) Science , vol.294 , Issue.5543 , pp. 813-817
    • Keeling, M.J.1    Woolhouse, M.E.J.2
  • 21
    • 0037426792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling vaccination strategies against foot-and-mouth disease.
    • Keeling M.J., Woolhouse M.E.J., et al. Modelling vaccination strategies against foot-and-mouth disease. Nature 421 6919 (2003) 136-142
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , Issue.6919 , pp. 136-142
    • Keeling, M.J.1    Woolhouse, M.E.J.2
  • 22
    • 33846907527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease.
    • Kitching R.P., Taylor N.M., et al. Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease. Nature 445 7128 (2007) E12
    • (2007) Nature , vol.445 , Issue.7128
    • Kitching, R.P.1    Taylor, N.M.2
  • 23
    • 0033473456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics.
    • O'Neill P.D., and Roberts G.O. Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics. J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. A Stat. So. 162 (1999) 121-129
    • (1999) J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. A Stat. So. , vol.162 , pp. 121-129
    • O'Neill, P.D.1    Roberts, G.O.2
  • 24
    • 34047099821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic.
    • Savill N.J., Shaw D.J., et al. Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 4 13 (2007) 235-241
    • (2007) Journal of the Royal Society Interface , vol.4 , Issue.13 , pp. 235-241
    • Savill, N.J.1    Shaw, D.J.2
  • 25
    • 0036435040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit.
    • Spiegelhalter D.J., Best N.G., et al. Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. J. R. Stat. Soc., B 64 (2002) 583-616
    • (2002) J. R. Stat. Soc., B , vol.64 , pp. 583-616
    • Spiegelhalter, D.J.1    Best, N.G.2
  • 26
    • 2942576309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of experimental epidemics of foot-and-mouth disease.
    • Streftaris G., and Gibson G.J. Bayesian analysis of experimental epidemics of foot-and-mouth disease. Proc. R. Soc. Lond., B Biol. Sci. 271 1544 (2004) 1111-1117
    • (2004) Proc. R. Soc. Lond., B Biol. Sci. , vol.271 , Issue.1544 , pp. 1111-1117
    • Streftaris, G.1    Gibson, G.J.2
  • 27
    • 84993730689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in closed populations.
    • Streftaris G., and Gibson G.J. Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in closed populations. Stat. Model. 4 1 (2004) 63-75
    • (2004) Stat. Model. , vol.4 , Issue.1 , pp. 63-75
    • Streftaris, G.1    Gibson, G.J.2
  • 28
    • 33644745135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK.
    • Tildesley M.J., Savill N.J., et al. Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature 440 7080 (2006) 83-86
    • (2006) Nature , vol.440 , Issue.7080 , pp. 83-86
    • Tildesley, M.J.1    Savill, N.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.