메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 271, Issue 1544, 2004, Pages 1111-1117

Bayesian analysis of experimental epidemics of foot-and-mouth disease

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Foot and mouth disease; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Stochastic epidemic modelling; Transmission chain

Indexed keywords

DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE;

EID: 2942576309     PISSN: 09628452     EISSN: 14712970     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2004.2715     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (42)

References (24)
  • 2
    • 84985516498 scopus 로고
    • Analysis of data from a single epidemic
    • Becker, N. G. 1983 Analysis of data from a single epidemic. Aust. J. Statist. 25, 191-197.
    • (1983) Aust. J. Statist. , vol.25 , pp. 191-197
    • Becker, N.G.1
  • 4
    • 0035995099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical inference for stochastic epidemics in populations with random social structure
    • Britton, T. & O'Neill, P. D. 2002 Statistical inference for stochastic epidemics in populations with random social structure. Scand. J. Statist. 29, 375-390.
    • (2002) Scand. J. Statist. , vol.29 , pp. 375-390
    • Britton, T.1    O'Neill, P.D.2
  • 5
    • 0033538068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emergency vaccination of sheep against foot-and-mouth disease: Protection against disease and reduction in contact transmission
    • Cox, S. J., Barnett, P. V., Dani, P. & Salt, J. S. 1999 Emergency vaccination of sheep against foot-and-mouth disease: protection against disease and reduction in contact transmission. Vaccine 17, 1858-1868.
    • (1999) Vaccine , vol.17 , pp. 1858-1868
    • Cox, S.J.1    Barnett, P.V.2    Dani, P.3    Salt, J.S.4
  • 6
    • 0040579410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian projection of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome epidemic
    • De Angelis, D., Gilks, W. R. & Day, N. E. 1998 Bayesian projection of the acquired immune deficiency syndrome epidemic (with discussion). Appl. Statist. 47, 449-498.
    • (1998) Appl. Statist. , vol.47 , pp. 449-498
    • De Angelis, D.1    Gilks, W.R.2    Day, N.E.3
  • 7
    • 0031590050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The epidemiology of BSE in GB cattle herds. II. Model construction and analysis of transmission dynamics
    • DOI 10.1098/rstb.1997.0063
    • Ferguson, N. M., Donnelly, C. A., Woolhouse, M. E. J. & Anderson, R. M. 1997 The epidemiology of BSE in GB cattle herds. II. Model construction and analysis of transmission dynamics. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 352, 803-838. (DOI 10.1098/rstb.1997.0063.)
    • (1997) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B , vol.352 , pp. 803-838
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Woolhouse, M.E.J.3    Anderson, R.M.4
  • 8
    • 84950453304 scopus 로고
    • Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities
    • Gelfand, A. E. & Smith, A. F. M. 1990 Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities. J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 85, 398-409.
    • (1990) J. Am. Statist. Assoc. , vol.85 , pp. 398-409
    • Gelfand, A.E.1    Smith, A.F.M.2
  • 9
    • 0032558983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological determinants of the pattern and magnitude of the vCJD epidemic in Great Britain
    • DOI 10.1098/rspb.1998.0596
    • Ghani, A. C., Ferguson, N. M., Donnelly, C. A., Hagenaars, T. J. & Anderson, R. M. 1998 Epidemiological determinants of the pattern and magnitude of the vCJD epidemic in Great Britain. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 265, 2443-2452. (DOI 10.1098/rspb.1998.0596.)
    • (1998) Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B , vol.265 , pp. 2443-2452
    • Ghani, A.C.1    Ferguson, N.M.2    Donnelly, C.A.3    Hagenaars, T.J.4    Anderson, R.M.5
  • 10
    • 0022742095 scopus 로고
    • Exposure of sheep to natural aerosols of foot-and-mouth disease virus
    • Gibson, C. F. & Donaldson, A. I. 1986 Exposure of sheep to natural aerosols of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Res. Vet. Sci. 41, 45-49.
    • (1986) Res. Vet. Sci. , vol.41 , pp. 45-49
    • Gibson, C.F.1    Donaldson, A.I.2
  • 11
    • 0039377949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for fitting spatiotemporal stochastic models in plant epidemiology
    • Gibson, G. J. 1997 Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for fitting spatiotemporal stochastic models in plant epidemiology. Appl. Statist. 46, 215-233.
    • (1997) Appl. Statist. , vol.46 , pp. 215-233
    • Gibson, G.J.1
  • 12
    • 0031780720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating parameters in stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods
    • Gibson, G. J. & Renshaw, E. 1998 Estimating parameters in stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 15, 19-40.
    • (1998) IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 19-40
    • Gibson, G.J.1    Renshaw, E.2
  • 13
    • 0041377721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood estimation for stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain methods
    • Gibson, G. J. & Renshaw, E. 2001 Likelihood estimation for stochastic compartmental models using Markov chain methods. Statist. Comput. 11, 347-358.
    • (2001) Statist. Comput. , vol.11 , pp. 347-358
    • Gibson, G.J.1    Renshaw, E.2
  • 15
    • 0036620679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dose-dependent responses of sheep inoculated intranasally with type O foot-and-mouth disease virus
    • Hughes, G. H., Kitching, R. P. & Woolhouse, M. E. J. 2002a Dose-dependent responses of sheep inoculated intranasally with type O foot-and-mouth disease virus. J. Comp. Pathol. 127, 22-29.
    • (2002) J. Comp. Pathol. , vol.127 , pp. 22-29
    • Hughes, G.H.1    Kitching, R.P.2    Woolhouse, M.E.J.3
  • 16
    • 0036322434 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Serial passage of foot-and-mouth disease virus in sheep reveals declining levels of viraemia over time
    • Hughes, G. H., Mioulet, V., Haydon, D. T., Kitching, R. P., Donaldson, A. I. & Woolhouse, M. E. J. 2002b Serial passage of foot-and-mouth disease virus in sheep reveals declining levels of viraemia over time. J. Gen. Virol. 83, 1907-1914.
    • (2002) J. Gen. Virol. , vol.83 , pp. 1907-1914
    • Hughes, G.H.1    Mioulet, V.2    Haydon, D.T.3    Kitching, R.P.4    Donaldson, A.I.5    Woolhouse, M.E.J.6
  • 19
    • 0042742904 scopus 로고
    • Posterior predictive p-values
    • Meng, X. L. 1994 Posterior predictive p-values. Ann. Statist. 22, 1142-1160.
    • (1994) Ann. Statist. , vol.22 , pp. 1142-1160
    • Meng, X.L.1
  • 20
    • 0011323340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inference for an epidemic when susceptibility varies
    • O'Neill, P. D. & Becker, N. G. 2001 Inference for an epidemic when susceptibility varies. Biostatistics 2, 99-108.
    • (2001) Biostatistics , vol.2 , pp. 99-108
    • O'Neill, P.D.1    Becker, N.G.2
  • 21
    • 0033473456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics
    • O'Neill, P. D. & Roberts, G. O. 1999 Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics. J. R. Statist. Soc. A 162, 121-129.
    • (1999) J. R. Statist. Soc. A , vol.162 , pp. 121-129
    • O'Neill, P.D.1    Roberts, G.O.2
  • 22
    • 0017725336 scopus 로고
    • The airbourne dispersal of foot and mouth disease virus from vaccinated and recovered pigs, cattle and sheep after exposure to infection
    • Sellers, R., Herniman, K. & Gumm, I. 1977 The airbourne dispersal of foot and mouth disease virus from vaccinated and recovered pigs, cattle and sheep after exposure to infection. Res. Vet. Sci. 23, 70-75.
    • (1977) Res. Vet. Sci. , vol.23 , pp. 70-75
    • Sellers, R.1    Herniman, K.2    Gumm, I.3
  • 23
    • 84993730689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in closed populations
    • Streftaris, G. & Gibson, G. J. 2004 Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemics in closed populations. Statist. Model. 4, 63-75.
    • (2004) Statist. Model. , vol.4 , pp. 63-75
    • Streftaris, G.1    Gibson, G.J.2
  • 24
    • 0000576595 scopus 로고
    • Markov chains for exploring posterior distributions
    • Tierney, L. 1994 Markov chains for exploring posterior distributions (with discussion). Ann. Statist. 22, 1701-1762.
    • (1994) Ann. Statist. , vol.22 , pp. 1701-1762
    • Tierney, L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.