Evaluating and managing wildlife impacts of climate change under uncertainty

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 220, Issue 7, 2009, Pages 923-930

  Prato, Tony ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Evaluation; Management; Uncertainty; Wildlife impacts

Indexed keywords

ALTERNATIVE MANAGEMENTS; CHANCE CONSTRAINTS; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE IMPACTS; CLIMATIC VARIABLES; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORKS; DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS; EVALUATION; FUTURE CLIMATES; FUZZY MULTIPLE ATTRIBUTES; FUZZY RELATIONS; LINGUISTIC VARIABLES; MANAGEMENT TEAMS; MINIMAX REGRET CRITERIONS; RELATIVE IMPORTANCES; RELIABILITY LEVELS; SPECIES INTEGRITIES; TRIANGULAR FUZZY NUMBERS; UNCERTAINTY; WILDLIFE IMPACTS; WILDLIFE MANAGEMENTS;

COMPUTATIONAL LINGUISTICS; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS; FUZZY LOGIC; FUZZY SETS; MANAGEMENT; MANAGERS; QUALITY ASSURANCE;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; FUZZY MATHEMATICS; MANAGEMENT PRACTICE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT;

EID: 61449104568     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.01.010     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Adger W.N., and Brown K. Land Use and the Causes of Global Warming (1994), John Wiley and Sons, New York
2. Barrett C.R., and Pattanaik P.K. Fuzzy sets, preference and choice: Some conceptual issues. Bulletin of Economic Research 41 (1989) 229-253
3. Berger P.A. Generating agricultural landscapes for alternative futures analysis: a multiple attribute decision-making model. Transactions in GIS 10 (2006) 103-120
4. Carlsson C., and Fuller R. Fuzzy multiple criteria decision making: recent developments. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 78 (1996) 139-153
5. Chen S.J., and Hwang C.L. Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, No. 375 (1992), Springer-Verlag, Berlin
6. Chen C.-T. Extensions to the TOPSIS for group decision-making under fuzzy environment. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 114 (2000) 1-9
7. Dalkey, N.C., 1967. Second Symposium on Long Range Forecasting and Planning. Alamogordo, NM, Report P-3704, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, October 11-12.
8. Environmental Protection Agency, National Park Service, and Fish and Wildlife Service. Undated. Climate Change, Wildlife, and Wildlands, Case Study, Western Mountains and Plains. http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/UniqueKeyLookup/SHSU5BPQ3X/$File/CS_wmtn.pdf (accessed April 23, 2008).
9. Hansen A.J., Neilson R.P., Dale V.H., Father C.H., Iverson L.R., Currie D.J., Shafer S., Cook R., and Bartley P.J. Global change in forests: response of species, communities, and biomes. BioScience 51 (2001) 765-779
10. Harding L.E., and McCullum E. Ecosystem response to climate change in British Columbia and Yukon: threats and opportunities for biodiversity. In: Taylor E., and Taylor B. (Eds). Responding to Global Climate Change in British Columbia and Yukon (1997), Environment Canada, Vancouver, BC 9-1-9-22
11. Harris L.D., and Gallagher P.B. New initiatives for wildlife conservation: the need for movement corridors. In: Mackintosh G. (Ed). Preserving Communities and Corridors (1989), Defenders of Wildlife, Washington, DC 11-34
12. Hebda R.J. Impact of climate change on biogeoclimatic zones of British Columbia and Yukon. In: Taylor E., and Taylor B. (Eds). Responding to Global Climate Change in British Columbia and Yukon (1997), Environment Canada, Vancouver, BC 13-1-13-15
13. Holling C.S. Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management (1978), John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, England
14. Inkley, D.B., Anderson, M.G., Blaustein, A.R., Burkett, V.R., Felzer, B., Griffith, B., Price, J., Root, T.L., 2004. Global climate change and wildlife in North America. Technical Review 04-2, The Wildlife Society, Bethesda, MD.
15. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In: Houghton J.T., et al. (Ed). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (2001), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
16. Johansson A., and Sumpter D.J.T. From local interactions to population dynamics in site-based models of ecology. Theoretical Population Biology 64 (2003) 497-517
17. Kirschbaum M.U.F. Forest growth and species distribution in a changing climate. Tree Physiology 20 (2000) 309-322
18. Klir G.J., and Yuan B. Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic: Theory and Applications (1995), Prentice-Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ
19. McLain R.J., and Lee R.G. Adaptive management: promises and pitfalls. Environmental Management 20 (1996) 437-448
20. Meehl G.A., Covey C., Delworth T., Latif M., McAvaney B., Mitchell J.F.B., Stouffer F.J., and Taylor K.E. The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: a new era in climate change research. American Meteorological Society 88 (2007) 1383-1394
21. Peterman R.M., and Peters C.N. Decision analysis: taking uncertainties into account in forest resource management. In: Sit V., and Taylor B. (Eds). Statistical Methods for Adaptive Management Studies, Land Management Handbook No. 42 (1998), Research Branch, Ministry of Forestry, Victoria, British Columbia 105-127
22. Peters R.L. Effects of global warming on biological diversity. In: Abrahamson D.E. (Ed). The Challenge of Global Warming (1989), Island Press, Washington, DC 82-95
23. Peterson, G., De Leo, G.A., Hellmann, J.J., Janssen, M.A., Kinzig, A., Malcolm, J.R., O'Brien, K.L., Pope, S.E., Rothman, D.S., Shevliakova, E., Tinch, R.R.T., 1997. Uncertainty, climate change, and adaptive management. Conservation Ecology. Online: http://www.consecol.org/vol1/iss2/art4/ (accessed April 23, 2008).
24. Prato T. Multiple attribute evaluation of ecosystem management for the Missouri River. Ecological Economics 45 (2003) 297-309
25. Prato T. Accounting for uncertainty in making species protection decisions. Conservation Biology 19 (2005) 806-814
26. Prato T. Bayesian adaptive management of ecosystems. Ecological Modelling 183 (2005) 147-156
27. Prato, T., 2007. Accounting for risk and uncertainty in determining preferred strategies for adapting to future climate change. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. Online: http://www.springerlink.com/content/720051j053475670/fulltext.html (accessed April 23, 2008).
28. Prato T., and Hajkowicz S. Comparison of profit maximization and multiple criteria models for selecting farming systems. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 56 (2001) 52-55
29. Schneider S.H., and Kuntz-Duriseti K. Uncertainty and climate change policy. In: Schneider S.H., Rosencranz A., and Niles J.O. (Eds). Climate Change Policy: A Survey (2002), Island Press, Washington, DC 53-87
30. Seaver, D.A., 1976. Assessment of Group Preferences and Group Uncertainty for Decision-Making. University of Southern California Social Science Research Institute, Research Report 76-4, 1-61.
31. Smith J.B. A Synthesis of Potential Climate Change Impacts on the U.S. (2004), Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Arlington, VA
32. Stenseth N.C., Mysterud A., Ottersen G., Hurrell J.W., Chan K., and Lima M. Ecological effects of climate fluctuations. Science 297 (2002) 1292-1296
33. Vitousek P.M., Mooney H.A., Lubchenco J., and Melillo J.M. Human domination of the earth's ecosystems. Science 277 (1997) 494-499
34. Walker, B., Steffen, W., 1997. An overview of the implications of global change for natural and managed terrestrial ecosystems. Conservation Ecology. Online: http://www.consecol.org/vol1/iss2/art2/ (accessed April 23, 2008).
35. Walters C.J., and Hilborn R. Ecological optimization and adaptive management. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 9 (1978) 157-188