Forest growth and species distribution in a changing climate

Tree Physiology

Volumn 20, Issue 5-6, 2000, Pages 309-322

  Kirschbaum, Miko U F ^a  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

Author keywords

CO2; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Mineralization; Photosynthesis; Transpiration

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM RESPONSE; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; GROWTH RATE; PHOTOSYNTHESIS;

EID: 0034163396     PISSN: 0829318X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/treephys/20.5-6.309     Document Type: Article

References (101)

1. 2 world. Plant Cell Environ. 14:13-20.
2. 2. Plant Cell Environ. 14:869-875.
3. 2 levels. Aust. J. Bot. 40:615-630.
4. Ball, J.T., I.E. Woodrow and J.A. Berry. 1987. A model predicting stomatal conductance and its contribution to the control of photosynthesis under different environmental conditions. In Progress in Photosynthesis Research Vol. IV. Ed. J. Biggins. Martinus Nijhoff, Dordrecht, pp 221-224.
5. Battaglia, M., C. Beadle and S. Loughhead. 1996. Photosynthetic temperature response of Eucalyptus globulus and Eucalyptus nitens. Tree Physiol. 16:81-89.
6. Bazzaz, F. A. 1998. Tropical forests in a future climate: changes in biological diversity and impact on the global carbon cycle, Clim. Change 39:317-336.
7. Berry, J. and O. Björkman. 1980. Photosynthetic response and adaptation to temperature in higher plants. Annu. Rev. Plant Physiol. 31:491-543.
8. Berry, J.A. and J.K. Raison. 1982. Responses of macrophytes to temperature. In Physiological Plant Ecology I. Responses to the Physical Environment, Encyclopedia of Plant Physiology, New Series Vol. 12A. Eds. O.L. Lange, P.S. Nobel, C.B. Osmond and H. Ziegler. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp 277-338.
9. Beuker, E. 1994. Long-term effects of temperature on the wood production of Pinus sylvestris L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. in old provenance experiments. Scand. J. For. Res. 9:34-45.
10. Björkman, O., M. Nobs, H.A. Mooney, J. Troughton, J. Berry, F. Nicholson and W. Ward. 1974. Growth responses of plants from habitats with contrasting thermal environments: transplant studies in the Death Valley and the Bodega Head experimental gardens. Carnegie Inst. Wash. Year Book 73:748-757.
11. Björkman, O., H.A. Mooney and J. Ehleringer. 1975. Photosynthetic responses of plants from habitats with contrasting thermal environments: comparison of photosynthetic characteristics of intact plants. Carnegie Inst. Wash. Year Book 74:743-748.
12. Björkman, O., M. Badger and P.A. Armond. 1978. Thermal acclimation of photosynthesis: effect of growth temperature on photosynthetic characteristics and components of the photosynthetic apparatus in Nerium oleander. Carnegie Inst. Wash. Year Book 77:262-282.
13. Booth, T.H., H.A. Nix, M.F. Hutchinson and T. Jovanovic. 1988. Niche analysis and tree species introduction. For. Ecol. Manage. 23:47-59.
14. 2-enrichment; equilibrium behaviour of integrated plant-soil models. Ecol. Appl. 3:666-681.
15. Cramer, W.P., D.W. Kicklighter, A. Bondeau, B. Moore, III, G. Churkina, B. Nemry, A. Ruimy and A.L. Schloss. 1999. Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): overview and key results. Global Change Biol. 5:1-15.
16. Cubasch, U. and R.D. Cess. 1990. Processes and modelling. In Climate Change. The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Eds. J.T. Houghton, G.J. Jenkins and J.J. Ephraums. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 69-91.
17. Cure, J.D. and B. Acock. 1986. Crop responses to carbon dioxide doubling: a literature survey. Agric. For. Meteorol. 38:127-145.
18. Davis, A.J., L.S. Jenkinson, J.H. Lawton, B. Shorrocks and S. Wood. 1998. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature 39:783-786.
19. 2 on ecosystem processes in a Chesapeake Bay wetland. Aust. J. Bot. 40:579-595.
20. 2 concentration inhibit mitochondrial respiration in green plants? Plant Cell Environ. 22:649-647.
21. 2 and temperature with water use efficiency. Plant Cell Environ. 14:843-852.
22. 2 concentration on natural and commercial temperate trees and forests. Adv. Ecol. Res. 19:1-55.
23. Farquhar, G.D. and S. von Caemmerer. 1982. Modelling of photosynthetic response to environmental conditions. In Physiological Plant Ecology II. Water Relations and Carbon Assimilation, Encyclopedia of Plant Physiology, New Series Vol. 12B. Eds. O.L. Lange, P.S. Nobel, C.B. Osmond and H. Ziegler. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp 549-588.
24. 3 species. Planta 149:78-90.
25. Fearnside, P.M. 1995. Potential impacts of climatic change on natural forests and forestry in Brazilian Amazonia. For. Ecol. Manage. 78:51-70.
26. Fitter, A.H. and R.K.M. Hay. 1987. Environmental physiology of plants, 2nd Edn. Academic Press, San Diego, California, 421 p.
27. Forward, D.F. 1960. Effect of temperature on respiration. In Encyclopedia of plant physiology Vol. 12, No. 2. Ed. W. Ruhland. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp 234-258.
28. Gifford, R.M. 1994. The global carbon cycle: a viewpoint on the missing sink. Aust. J. Plant Physiol. 21:1-15.
29. 2 concentration and temperature: long-term vs. short-term distinctions for modelling. Global Change Biol. 1:385-396.
30. Glassy, J.M. and S.W. Running. 1994. Validating diurnal climatological logic of the MT-CLIM model across a climatic gradient in Oregon. Ecol. Appl. 4:248-257.
31. 2 and other trace gases, Clim. Change 10:137-161.
32. Gonzalez-Meler, M.A., B.G. Drake and J. Azcon-Bieto. 1996. Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and plant respiration. In SCOPE 56 - Global Change: Effects on Coniferous Forests and Grasslands. Eds. A.I. Breymeyer, D.O. Hall, J.M. Melillo and G.I. Agren. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Chichester, pp 161-181.
33. 2: a broader perspective. Photosynth. Res. 39:369-388.
34. Hughes, L., E.M. Cawsey and M. Westoby. 1996a. Geographic and climatic range sizes of Australian eucalypts and a test of Rapoport's rule. Glob. Ecol. Biogeog. Lett. 5:128-142.
35. Hughes, L., E.M. Cawsey and M. Westoby. 1996b. Climatic range sizes of Eucalyptus species in relation to future climate change. Glob. Ecol. Biog. Lett. 5:23-29.
36. Hutchinson, G.E. 1957. Concluding remarks. Cold Spring Harbor Symp. Quant. Biol. 22:415-427.
37. IPCC, 1996. Technical summary. In Climate Change 1995. The Science of Climate Change. Eds. J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 9-49.
38. Jarvis, P.G. and K.G. McNaughton. 1986. Stomatal control of transpiration: scaling up from leaf to region. Adv. Ecol. Res. 15:1-49.
39. Jones, P.D. 1994. Hemispheric surface air temperature variations: a reanalysis and an update to 1993. J. Climatol. 7:1794-1802.
40. Kail, T.R., P.D. Jones, R.W. Knight, G. Kukla, N. Plummer, V. Razuvayev, K.P. Gallo, J. Lindseay, R.J. Charlson and T.C. Peterson. 1993. A new perspective on recent global warming: asymmetric trends of daily maximum and minimum temperature. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 74:1007-1023.
41. Kattenberg, A., F. Giorgi, H. Grassl, G.A. Meehl, J.F.B. Mitchell, R.J. Stouffer, T. Tokioka, A.J. Weaver and T.M.L. Wigley. 1996. Climate models - projections of future climate. In Climate Change 1995. The Science of Climate Change. Eds. J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 285-357.
42. Kauppi, P. and M. Posch. 1985. Sensitivity of boreal forests to possible climatic warming. Clim. Change 7:45-54.
43. Kellomaki, S., T. Karjalainen and H. Väisänen. 1997. More timber from boreal forests under changing climate? For. Ecol. Manage. 94:195-208.
44. Kimball, B.A. 1983. Carbon dioxide and agricultural yield: an assemblage and analysis of 430 prior observations. Agron. J. 75:779-788.
45. Kimball, J.S., S.W. Running and R. Nemani. 1997. An improved method for estimating surface humidity from daily minimum temperature. Agric. For. Meteorol. 85:87-98.
46. 2. Clim. Change 35:199-227.
47. 2 concentration. Plant Cell Environ. 17:747-754.
48. Kirschbaum, M.U.F. 1999a. CenW, a forest growth model with linked carbon, energy, nutrient and water cycles. Ecol. Model. 181:17-59.
49. Kirschbaum. M.U.F. 1999b. Modelling forest growth and carbon storage under changed climatic conditions. Tellus 518:871-888.
50. Kirschbaum, M.U.F. 2000. Will changes in soil organic matter act as a positive or negative feedback on global warming? Biogeochemistry 48:21-51.
51. Kirschbaum. M.U.F. and G.D. Farquhar. 1984. Temperature dependence of whole-leaf photosynthesis in Eucalyptus pauciflora Sieb. ex Spreng. Aust. J. Plant Physiol. 11:519-538.
52. 2 concentration under nutrient-limited conditions. Plant Cell Environ. 17:1081-1099.
53. Kirschbaum, M.U.F., A. Fischlin, M.G.R. Cannell, R.V. Cruz, W. Galinski and W.A. Cramer. 1996. Climate change impacts on forests. In Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses. Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Eds. R.T. Watson, M.C. Zinyowera and R.H. Moss. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, pp 131-158.
54. 2 concentration in relation to various factors affecting nutrient supply. Global Change Biol. 4:23-42.
55. 2. in Global Change and Terrestrial Ecosystems. Eds. B.H. Walker and W.L. Steffen. Cambridge University Press, pp 20-43.
56. Körner, C. and W. Larcher. 1988. Plant life in cold climates. In Plants and Temperature. Eds. S.F. Long, and F.I. Woodward. Symp. Soc. Exp. Biol. 42, The Company of Biol. Ltd., Cambridge, pp 25-57.
57. Landsberg, J. and M. Stafford Smith. 1992. A functional scheme for predicting the outbreak potential of herbivorous insects under global climate change. Aust. J. Bot. 40:565-577.
58. Leichenko, R.M. 1993. Climate change and water resource availability: an impact assessment for Bombay and Madras, India. Water Intern. 18:147-156.
59. Lieth, H. 1973. Primary production: terrestrial ecosystems. Hum. Ecol. 1:303-332.
60. Loehle, C. 1996. Forest response to climate change: do simulations predict unrealistic dieback? J. For. 94:13-15.
61. Long, S.P., C.P. Osborne and S.W. Humphries. 1996. Photosynthesis, rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and climate change. In SCOPE 56-Global Change: Effects on Coniferous Forests and Grasslands. Eds. A.I. Breymeyer, D.O. Hall, J.M. Melillo and G.I. Ågren. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Chichester, pp 121-159.
62. 2 enrichment and climate warming. Water Air Soil Pollut. 70:309-323.
63. Malanson, G.P., W.E. Westman and Y.-L. Yan. 1992. Realized versus fundamental niche functions in a model of chaparral response to climatic change. Ecol. Model. 64:261-277.
64. 12C in tree rings of conifers. Oecologia 105:13-21.
65. Martin, P., N. Rosenberg and M.S. McKenney. 1989. Sensitivity of evapotranspiration in a wheat field, a forest and a grassland to changes in climate and direct effects of carbon dioxide. Clim. Change 14:117-151.
66. McKenney, M.S. and N.J. Rosenberg. 1993. Sensitivity of some potential evapotranspiration estimation methods to climate change. Agric. For. Meteorol. 64:81-110.
67. 2. Aust. J. Bot. 40:657-677.
68. McNulty, S.G., J.M. Vose and W.T. Swank. 1996. Potential climate change effects on loblolly pine forest productivity and drainage across the southern United States. Ambio 25:449-453.
69. Melillo, J.M., T.V. Callaghan, F.I. Woodward, E. Salati and S.K. Sinha. 1990. Effects on ecosystems. In Climate Change: the IPCC Scientific Assessment. Eds. J.T. Houghton, G.J. Jenkins and J.J. Ephraums. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 283-310.
70. Monteith, J.L. 1965. Evaporation and environment. Symp. Soc. Exp. Biol. 19:205-234.
71. Morison, J.I.L. and R.M. Gifford. 1983. Stomatal sensitivity to carbon dioxide and humidity. Plant Physiol. 71:789-796.
72. 2. Plant Cell Environ. 8:467-474.
73. Nicholls, N., G.V. Gruza, J. Jouzel, T.R. Karl, L.A. Ogallo and D.E. Parker. 1996. Observed climate variability and change. In Climate Change 1995. The Science of Climate Change. Eds: J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 133-192.
74. Nolan, W.G. and R.M. Smillie. 1976. Multi-temperature effects on Hill reaction activity of barley chloroplasts. Biochim. Biophys. Acta 440:461-475.
75. Pataki. D.E., R. Oren and D.T. Tissue. 1998. Elevated carbon dioxide does not affect average canopy stomatal conductance of Pinus taeda L. Oecologia 117:47-52.
76. 4 Hawaiian Euphorbia species native to diverse habitats. Oecologia 55:333-341.
77. Phillips, O.L. 1997. The changing ecology of tropical forests. Biodivers. Conserv. 6:291-311.
78. Policy. H.W., J.M. Norman, T.J. Arkebauer, E.A. Walter-Shea, D.H. Greegor, Jr. and B. Bramer. 1992. Leaf gas exchange of Andropogon gerandii Vitman. Panicum virgatum L. and Sorghastrum nutans (L.) Nash in a tallgrass prairie. J. Geophys. Res. 97: 18837-18844.
79. Proe, M.F., S.M. Allison and K.B. Matthews. 1996. Assessment of the impact of climate change on the growth of Sitka spruce in Scotland. Can. J. For. Res. 26:1914-1921.
80. 2 and temperature. Water Air Soil Pollut. 64:327-344.
81. 2: a balanced-nutrition, coupled-element-cycles model. Ecol. Appl. 7:444-460.
82. 2. Aust. J. Bot. 40:473-490.
83. Rind, D., R. Goldberg, J. Hansen, C. Rosenzweig and R. Ruedy. 1990. Potential evapotranspiration and the likelihood of future drought. J. Geophys. Res. 95:9983-10004.
84. Rind, D., C. Rosenzweig and M. Stieglitz. 1997. The role of moisture transport between ground and atmosphere in global change. Annu. Rev. Energy Environ. 22:47-74.
85. 3 grasses in the Hawaiian islands. Oecologia 45:354-359.
86. Running. S.W., R.R. Nemani and R.D. Hungerford. 1987. Extrapolation of synoptic meteorological data in mountainous terrain, and its use for simulating forest evapotranspiration. Can. J. For. Res. 17:472-483.
87. Ryan, M.G., R.E. McMurtrie, G.I. Ågren, E.R. Hunt, Jr., J.D. Aber, A.D. Friend, E.B. Rastetter and W.M. Pulliam. 1996. Comparing models of ecosystem function for temperate conifer forests. II. Simulations of the effect of climate change. In SCOPE 56 - Global Change: Effects on Coniferous Forests and Grasslands. Eds. A.I. Breymeyer, D.O. Hall, J.M. Melillo and G.I. Ågren. John Wiley and Sons Ltd., Chichester, pp 363-387.
88. Schimel, D., D. Alves, I. Enting, M. Heimann, F. Joos, D. Raynaud, T. Wigley, M. Prather, R. Derwent, D. Ehhalt, P. Fraser, E. Sanhueza, X. Zhou, P. Jonas, R. Charlson, H. Ronde, S. Sadasivan, K.P. Shine, Y. Fouquart, V. Ramaswamy, S. Solomon, J. Srinivasan, D. Albritton, R. Derwent, I. Isaksen, M. Lal and D. Wuebbles. 1996. Radiative forcing of climate change. In The Science of Climate Change. Eds. J.T. Houghton, L.G. Meira Filho, B.A. Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg and K. Maskell. Climate Change 1995, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 65-131.
89. Schimel, D.S., W.J. Parton, T.G.F. Kittel, D.S. Ojima and C.V. Cole. 1990. Grassland biogeochemistry: links to atmospheric processes. Clim. Change 17:13-25.
90. Skole, D. and C. Tucker. 1993. Tropical deforestation and habitat fragmentation in the Amazon: satellite data from 1978 to 1988. Science 260:1905-1910.
91. Slatyer, R.O. and P.A. Morrow. 1977. Altitudinal variation in the photosynthetic characteristics of snow gum, Eucalyptus pauciflora Sieb, ex Spreng. Seasonal changes under field conditions in the Snowy Mountains of south-eastern Australia. Aust. J. Bot. 25:1-20.
92. Thomas, R.B. and B.R. Strain. 1991. Root restriction as a factor in photosynthetic acclimation of cotton seedlings grown in elevated carbon dioxide. Plant Physiol. 96:627-634.
93. Thornthwaite, C.W. 1948. An approach towards a rational classification of climate. Geograph. Rev. 38:55-94.
94. 4 grasses and carbon isotope discrimination along an altitudinal and moisture gradient in Kenya. Oecologia 37:337-350.
95. 2 and nutrients on photosynthesis and Rubisco in Loblolly pine seedlings. Plant Cell Environ. 16:859-865.
96. Valentine, H.T., T.G. Gregoire, H.E. Burkhart and D.Y. Hollinger. 1998. Projections of growth of loblolly pine stands under elevated temperature and carbon dioxide. In The Productivity and Sustainability of Southern Forest Ecosystems in a Changing Environment. Eds. R.A. Mickler and S. Fox. Springer-Verlag, New York, pp 341-352.
97. Waring, R.H., J.J. Landsberg and M. Williams. 1998. Net primary production of forests - a constant fraction of gross primary production. Tree Physiol. 18:129-134.
98. 2 at the whole-plant level. Global Change Biol. 4:879-893.
99. 2 from pre-industrial levels. Nature 327:617-618.
100. Woodward, F.I. 1987b. Climate and plant distribution. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 174 p.
101. Woodwell, G.M. 1987. Forests and climate: surprises in store. Oceanus 29:71-75.